Transformers 2 at the Box Office

[Sentinel X]

How much do you think this film is going to make??...
looking at DVD sales I'm honestly predicting a 100+ million dollar opening and 400 million domestic!

[knowsbleed]

Wow, those are pretty bold numbers. I am no box office guru... I'll leave that up to the likes of MM and the rest, but it will do extremely well if the story and characterization are improved upon.

[Avangarde]

It has all the potential to do better then the first, and like most of these genre movies that are part of a trilogy/or potential one they are often more popular. What was the figures TF1 made?

[Sentinel X]

Roughly 320 million domestic and 700 million worldwide! Its a huge success
And DVD sales made like over 200 million.
Thats why I'm predicting a pretty big opening weekend and domestic...maybe domestic might be more in the high 300s but opening weekend should surely take up 100 million.

[Avangarde]

Well it should make well over $300~ domestic, maybe just a little over TF1. I'll make an early prediction of $337~, remember that figure 18 months from now ;)

[jsf]

somewhere around 250-300mil domestic should be about right

[Darth Elektra]

Transformers:
Domestic: $319,246,193
Foreign: $388,429,551

Worldwide: $707,675,744

Opening Weekend: $70,502,384
___________________

I think it's very likely that Transformers 2 will make more than 100million opening weekend, but it's way to early to begin to think how much it will make total. Mainly because we don't have the competition's dates yet.

For instance, looking at summer 09:

May 1
- The Hannah Montana Movie
- X-Men Origins: Wolverine

May 8
- Star Trek

May 15
- Angels & Demons

May 22
- Night at the Museum 2: Escape From the Smithsonian
- Terminator Salvation: The Future Begins

une 5
- Fast and Furious
- The Year One

June 12
- The A-Team
- Nowhereland

June 19
- Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

June 26
- Transformers 2

July 1
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Public Enemies

July 10
- 2012 (Roland Emmerich)

July 17
- Land of the Lost

July 24
- G-Force
- Piranha 3-D
- Planet 51

July 31
- The Taking of Pelham One, Two, Three
- Untitled Judd Apatow Comedy

August 7
- G.I. Joe

We have to wait and see how Prince of Persia looks, but Transformers should definitely hit the 300million mark domestically. Transformers and Ice Age 3 will probably be the contenders for the number 1 spot for Summer09.

[M.O.Steel]

i think this will be one of those films that breaks all kinds of records towards the begining (like biggest opening, biggest weekend, biggest week, and stuff) but i think it will get an overall lower total. (similar to what spiderman 3 did)

[Rikxiepoo]

Around 800 million worldwide is a good estimate. Its a sequel to a box office hit action movie about robots fighting. More action, bigger budget = more robot smash, so people will see it even more times, even if the plot is a little iffy.

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

The DVD made over $273 million in the US alone, TF 2 will probably be a smash at the BO, especially if the marketing is as good as it was for the first movie.

[Sentinel X]

I will like to bump this ancient thread to see a few predictions now that the superbowl spot has hit. :)

[Chris B]

I think its pretty safe to say that it'll cross the 400 million mark, going off the success of the first film. Plus, the Superbowl spot has created a lot of buzz and the lack of any real competition are major factors.

Or maybe I'll turn out wrong and end up being a jackass in a few months. :hehe:

[Conebone69]

Domestic: 350,000,000

Opening weekend: 80,000,000

[knowsbleed]

I think its pretty safe to say that it'll cross the 400 million mark, going off the success of the first film. Plus, the Superbowl spot has created a lot of buzz and the lack of any real competition are major factors.

Or maybe I'll turn out wrong and end up being a jackass in a few months. :hehe:

I'm leaning with TF2 crossing the 400 mil mark. The tone of the teaser will create some good buzz. It is similar to one of the teasers released for the first movie. Word of mouth for a fun yet more serious movie than the first one will push it past 400 mil. If the movie is only on par with the first movie then I will retract my prediction.

[WarBlade]

Economic downturn anyone? Recession?

Things aren't looking too great in the cinema business these days. I've encountered a number of cost cutting measures proposed just to keep cinemas in business, some of which I'd describe as "stupidity born of desperation." I've also noted Disney's withdrawal from The Voyage of the Dawn Treader citing on the back of economic risk and can't help but wonder what other tent pole projects are likely to be put on hold or scaled back.

I have no doubt that Transformers 2 will be a success. I expect repeat viewings to be curbed a little and attendance in general may be down a bit, throwing some of the early predictions out the window.

[DarkKnight88]

Are you kidding? Economic downturn = Bigger attendance. People are looking for an escape. Just take a look at the Box Office these last two months. Has January ever been this big? No. Films that don't normally do this well are doing incredible business. If anything, box office is actually higher than it's ever been.

[WarBlade]

Are you kidding? Economic downturn = Bigger attendance. People are looking for an escape. Just take a look at the Box Office these last two months. Has January ever been this big? No. Films that don't normally do this well are doing incredible business. If anything, box office is actually higher than it's ever been.

No, I'm not kidding. January might have seen good business in some parts of the world, but down here the numbers have not been great.

"Has January ever been this big?" Try January 2006.

[Narc]

i think we've got another 'dead man's chest' and 'reloaded' on our hands, where the box office of the sequel will be a vast improvement over the first. way too early to tell, but i'm going to make the call that ROTF will surpass 1 billion worldwide total. not too much of a stretch considering the first made $708 mill.

[DarkKnight88]

No, I'm not kidding. January might have seen good business in some parts of the world, but down here the numbers have not been great.

"Has January ever been this big?" Try January 2006.

We're talking about North America, right? Cause if so.. yes they've been great. Just check out this write up from Box Office Mojo from this past weekend...

"Four high-profile nationwide releases and small declines from holdovers led to one of the highest-grossing February weekends on record. Overall weekend business was up a whopping 38 percent over the same timeframe last year, and one has to go back to 2001 to find a better attended comparable weekend."

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2544&p=.htm

Again, people are looking for an escape and movies are a pretty cheap escape compared to a lot else out there.

[Steyin]

WoM for the first film was very high, and most people I know who weren't Transformers fans loved it, so I have no doubt that this one will make a lot more.

[StylishHokie21]

Seeing as how it is a Michael Bay film, this will easily top the first movie most likely. How much did the first one make?

[WarBlade]

We're talking about North America, right?

No, we are not. Seeing as I don't live in that market I would name North America specifically if I was talking about it.

[LightningFlash]

Woah...cool your jets dude.

It'll of course beat the first film though.

[Spider-Vader]

If this movie is as good or better than the first, it will easily be the highest grossing movie of the year. Making anywhere from 350 mil- 400 mil.

[Astrodust]

I think this movie will make more than the first. And the 3rd one should make a ton of money too. Transformers just has a really cool formula that appeals to a lot of people. That said, how should they approach the 3rd film to set up a 4th? If they use Unicron in the 3rd film, how do they outdo it. Unless of course they have a film that in the lines of Revenge of Unicron.

[Closerframe]

Opening Week/Weekend: $100+ Million

Domestic: $350 Million

Foreign: $400 Million

Worldwide: $750 Million

[GNR]

100+ opening weekend without a doubt

[TLH]

It's opening on a Wednesday now, so:

Wed: $55m (record Wednesday)
Thur: $27m (typically large Thursday drop)
Fri: $33m
Sat: $40m
Sun: $28m
------
$101m opening weekend
$183m 5-day

A good multiplier (maybe 4) should give it $410 - $440 million overall. It's going to be a monster.

We've all got a huge debate going on the boxofficemojo.com forums. These are my predictions, which seem to be about what most people seem to think. It's going to be huge, no doubt about it.

[FlawlessVictory]

Yas knows his stuff so that's probably around what we can expect.

[TLH]

Yas knows his stuff so that's probably around what we can expect.

Hehe, thanks Flawless. Haven't seen you around much. Still hanging out in the Iron Man BO thread?

And what are you predicting for ROTF?

[Superhero 101]

I think 180 Million or So for the opening weekend and about 450 million Domestic and 600 Million Worldwide

[Astrodust]

I'm going to say +400 million domestic and over 1 billion worldwide.

[FlawlessVictory]

Hehe, thanks Flawless. Haven't seen you around much. Still hanging out in the Iron Man BO thread?

I've actually spent the most of my time in the Superman forum.

And what are you predicting for ROTF?

I was thinking $400 mil + as well.

Those were some good times watching those TDK numbers come in. :up:

[Astrodust]

What kind of numbers would Transformers have to pull in to be considered a disappointment? I'm gonna say anything below 300 million domestic and sub 700 million worldwide would be considered bad.

[Astrodust]

Also what films released this year have a chance of besting Transformers 2 at the box office? The only one that I see that might have a chance is Avatar, which I'm looking forward to the most.

[DorneyDave]

It looks as though this movie is going to be "THE" movie this summer, hype wise, at least that's the mood I'm picking up on. People are going to be thirsty for exactly this type of movie this summer I'm thinking and it will be huge.

[rashad]

Also what films released this year have a chance of besting Transformers 2 at the box office? The only one that I see that might have a chance is Avatar, which I'm looking forward to the most.

Depends if you're talking Domestic or Worldwide gross. Can't forget about Half-Blood Prince in that discussion. Nothing is touching that movie overseas based on the history of those films.

[Astrodust]

Harry Potter has yet to break a billion worldwide. I think Transformers 2 has a shot but most likely it will finish below 900 million. I'm going to say Avatar is the dark horse this year. My guess is that film will probably make over a billion worldwide.

[luca_frontino]

I hope it bombs.

[TLH]

I've actually spent the most of my time in the Superman forum.

Ah, cool. Well I'll probably see you in here as ROTF approaches theaters. I'll be here everyday. :yay:

I was thinking $400 mil + as well.

Those were some good times watching those TDK numbers come in. :up:

Those TDK numbers were crazy. ROTF will have some insane numbers as well. $400+ mill is going to be tons of fun to follow the whole way through.

[DW4]

No way is it going to be The Dark Knight but I can see maybe 400 million if not a bit more. No more that 450 million though.

[Jick09]

How about its budget?
The first was 150 million, wasn't it?
Does anybody know what is ROTF's budget?

[craigdbfan]

I don't want to seem blasphemous by stating this question but does anyone think ROTF might surpass TDK in total Worldwide BO earnings? Or for that matter can it surpass TDK's opening weekend numbers?

[Chewy]

It can't surpass TDK's OW numbers because it opens on a Wednesday

[rashad]

It can't surpass TDK's OW numbers because it opens on a Wednesday

Yeah it has no shot at the OW record now. That much is certain. WW I can't see it making $1 billion either. Maybe somewhere in the $800+ million range.

[Weadazoid]

I think the first movie despite having some obvious flaws satisfied on a baisc primal fun level. I wrote this thing off as soon as it had Bay attached, but I have to admitt his cheasy bravado & passion, for bad one lines mixed with action make this work

[matrix_ghost]

How about its budget?
The first was 150 million, wasn't it?
Does anybody know what is ROTF's budget?


The rumored budget is 200 million

http://www.tfw2005.com/transformers-news/transformers-movie-just-movie-31/michael-bay-describes-transformers-revenge-of-the-fallen-filmmaking-process-at-showest-167229/
Before accepting his Vanguard Award for Excellence in Filmmaking, Michael Bay stopped at the ShoWest press room to answer a few questions about the filmmaking process for Transformers: Revenge Of The Fallen. In the session Bay states that there will be no 3-D for Transformers 3. Also he states he will commit to Transformers 3 if Revenge Of The Fallen does well. In addition he describes some of the advancements of the CGI compared to the first film. Lastly Bay states that the movie came in about $4 million under budget, which allowed for more expenses for better special effects. You can view a video of the entire session on Collider.com.

[matrix_ghost]

Harry Potter has yet to break a billion worldwide. I think Transformers 2 has a shot but most likely it will finish below 900 million. I'm going to say Avatar is the dark horse this year. My guess is that film will probably make over a billion worldwide.

True. Although that PG rating definately could help :cwink:. As it stands till POtter opens , TF pretty has the market to itself.

[kotc]

I'll say $80mil first week....$170mil overall....And $240mil overall including overseas.....Not a fan of the first movie but I think unfortunately many will be duped again.....

[Ahura Mazda]

If this movie is any good it will easily top the first one and we know the numbers for those.

[Doctor Jones]

This movie is gonna make a ****load of money.

[Kal-El 8]

I see four big movies this summer but only two that will battle it out till the death .
Last Summer was The Battle of The Billionaires with The Dark Knight coming out as Supreme victor . This Summer it The War Of The Machines.

1. Transformers : Revenge Of The Fallen

2. Terminator Salvation

3. X-men Origins : Wolverine

4. Star Trek

[terry78]

I see four big movies this summer but only two that will battle it out till the death .
Last Summer was The Battle of The Billionaires with The Dark Knight coming out as Supreme victor . This Summer it The War Of The Machines.

1. Transformers : Revenge Of The Fallen

2. Terminator Salvation

3. X-men Origins : Wolverine

4. Star Trek


Harry Potter will be no slouch.

[S.A.A.D]

I'm going to say $100+million opening weekend with opening day being very close to $60 million and with the final box office numbers as far as it's domestic numbers go being very close to $500 million. And I also think worldwide in total at the end it will have made around $900 million. I think when it's all done I will have been right about 3/4 of the predictions I made above at least.

[M.O.Steel]

I see four big movies this summer but only two that will battle it out till the death .
Last Summer was The Battle of The Billionaires with The Dark Knight coming out as Supreme victor . This Summer it The War Of The Machines.

1. Transformers : Revenge Of The Fallen

2. Terminator Salvation

3. X-men Origins : Wolverine

4. Star Trek

not bad of a prediction, but i would put #4 in #2, TS in #3, wolvie in #4. T3 didn't do that great, so this is pretty high. X3 got amazing numbers but wasn't very good, and with the leaked copy out, wolvie's numbers won't be as high. when does harry potter come out. never watch any of the 5 or 6 movies, but they are cash cows, so i would think they would be higher than TS and wolvie.

[rashad]

I'm going to say $100+million opening weekend with opening day being very close to $60 million and with the final box office numbers as far as it's domestic numbers go being very close to $500 million. And I also think worldwide in total at the end it will have made around $900 million. I think when it's all done I will have been right about 3/4 of the predictions I made above at least.

Should be an interesting BO run to say the least.

[S.A.A.D]

not bad of a prediction, but i would put #4 in #2, TS in #3, wolvie in #4. T3 didn't do that great, so this is pretty high. X3 got amazing numbers but wasn't very good, and with the leaked copy out, wolvie's numbers won't be as high. when does harry potter come out. never watch any of the 5 or 6 movies, but they are cash cows, so i would think they would be higher than TS and wolvie.

Harry Potter's new movie is suppose to come out in July sometime. I wouldn't worry about that,Revenge Of The Fallen is easily going to out gross the new Potter movie in America and North America,the first Transformers movie made more than each Potter movie domestically if you compare them seperately. Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already while luckily for the Transformers live action movie franchise being very fresh still. Like,isn't the new Potter movie coming out suppose to be his 6th or 7th movie??

[Raiden]

Right now my prediction is that ROTF will become the #1 movie of the summer.

[Grievous]

Right now my prediction is that ROTF will become the #1 movie of the summer.
I agree, this movie will be twice as big of a deal as the first. But then most sequels awalys are.

[Weadazoid]

I admitt, I never saw the first in the theaters, just kind of wrote it off as not worth my time, Saw it for the first time on HBO, luckily yes in HD, and on a big screen.


I have to say the Show West footage has got me salivating for more of this kind of action, the roundhouse style kick that they show prime about to land really looks AWSOME, not to mention the Superior action we will see on the Bridge as Prime goes after the big wheel about dealio that is the center of Devastator, and the sheer exstacy of seeing something that big become a part of something much bigger.




Having said all of this I hope to one day see a more powerful, deep emotional movie invovling giant Mechs made and that is Evangelion..... Also a cartoon from Japan, but far more invovled and modern.







I predict a plausible 450 Million US domestic run.

[M.O.Steel]

Harry Potter's new movie is suppose to come out in July sometime. I wouldn't worry about that,Revenge Of The Fallen is easily going to out gross the new Potter movie in America and North America,the first Transformers movie made more than each Potter movie domestically if you compare them seperately. Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already while luckily for the Transformers live action movie franchise being very fresh still. Like,isn't the new Potter movie coming out suppose to be his 6th or 7th movie??

i think you misread my post man. i didn't say it would get higher than fallen. i'm pretty sure that T2 ROTF will be the winning movie this summer (but star trek will be close if it doesn't slip in for the win). I put harry potter above terminator and wolvie. you didn't even include it in the top 5. i'm saying that it will get more money than you might think.

my post has nothing to do with potter and transformers.

[rashad]

Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already while luckily for the Transformers live action movie franchise being very fresh still. Like,isn't the new Potter movie coming out suppose to be his 6th or 7th movie??

l doubt that. lol I fully expect HP6 to make it's usual $900+ million WW.

[Mike059jig]

I say like around Spider-man 3 numbers.

[S.A.A.D]

i think you misread my post man. i didn't say it would get higher than fallen. i'm pretty sure that T2 ROTF will be the winning movie this summer (but star trek will be close if it doesn't slip in for the win). I put harry potter above terminator and wolvie. you didn't even include it in the top 5. i'm saying that it will get more money than you might think.

my post has nothing to do with potter and transformers.

No no no no no no,don't worry,I was actually just throwing out my 2 cents. I wasn't actually criticizing your post. I never once thought that you assumed it would make more than Revenge Of The Fallen,however,I do agree that this new Potter movie will make more cash at the box office than the last one.

[S.A.A.D]

l doubt that. lol I fully expect HP6 to make it's usual $900+ million WW.

Maybe.

[Avangarde]

I'm going to say $100+million opening weekend with opening day being very close to $60 million and with the final box office numbers as far as it's domestic numbers go being very close to $500 million. And I also think worldwide in total at the end it will have made around $900 million. I think when it's all done I will have been right about 3/4 of the predictions I made above at least.

60 Mill seems a little steep for a Wednesday opening.

[M.O.Steel]

No no no no no no,don't worry,I was actually just throwing out my 2 cents. I wasn't actually criticizing your post. I never once thought that you assumed it would make more than Revenge Of The Fallen,however,I do agree that this new Potter movie will make more cash at the box office than the last one.

ah, just a little miscommunication.

the last HP made a lot of money.

[dark_b]

I say like around Spider-man 3 numbers.i dont think it will make spidey numbers. for those kind of money you need action but at the same time a normal serious story.
this movie has jokes and action this will make a lot of money. but i dont hink like spidey 3. its a little to brainless for that kind of money.

[S.A.A.D]

i dont think it will make spidey numbers. for those kind of money you need action but at the same time a normal serious story.
this movie has jokes and action this will make a lot of money. but i dont hink like spidey 3. its a little to brainless for that kind of money.

Lol at too brainless,you already got Transformers:Revenge Of The Fallen confused as Spiderman 3,how do you screw something like that up??

:oldrazz: :hehe:

[Drizzle]

This and Harry Potter will be the biggest hits of the summer. They'll probably end up making the same amount domestically. My guess is around $300 to $400 million.

[starscream]

Harry Potter's new movie is suppose to come out in July sometime. I wouldn't worry about that,Revenge Of The Fallen is easily going to out gross the new Potter movie in America and North America,the first Transformers movie made more than each Potter movie domestically if you compare them seperately. Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already while luckily for the Transformers live action movie franchise being very fresh still. Like,isn't the new Potter movie coming out suppose to be his 6th or 7th movie??



Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already


no just no lol

[M.O.Steel]

Let's also consider that the movie theater going audience may very very well be tired of Harry's movies already


no just no lol

i don't think it works that way. i predict it will make 290-300 mil +/- 30 mi. it's been consistently like that the last 5. i don't think it will break the straw.

[Steyin]

I have a feeling this will beat TDK's IMAX numbers in the least.

[M.O.Steel]

IMAX...maybe, but i don't think anything else.

[Conebone69]

Im gonna put my bet on 350,000,000 domestically

[Sentinel X]

I say 375 million now and 900 worldwide.

[raynorWilm]

I see this movie pulling in about $30-35mil opening day with an opening (actual) weekend of around $100mil. Of course the figure will be more around $160mil when you add in the Wed. and Thurs. numbers. And I agree with the domestic being around $350 when its all said and done. This film is getting a peak release date which is why it is going to pull these numbers. I think it would be interesting to see what it would do in the May market...

[DemonicFoil]

It's hard to say because there's Terminator and Harry Potter coming out that will rack up big numbers but i bet Transformers will make a hefty amount and be in the number one spot more than 2 weeks.

[raynorWilm]

Terminator is coming out more than a month before T2, so I dont think that will be much of an issue. The big question for me is the 2nd weekend, because Public Enemies is coming out the next Wed., which is going to pull in much of the same audience as T2. I think it will be close, but I think most people will see T2 in the first week and then see Public Enemies the next weekend, but the numbers for both will still be big..

[M.O.Steel]

i don't see PE stealing TF2's number 1 spot the following week. same demogaphics maybe, but TF is a much much bigger scale, and is a summer tentpole popcorn type of movie. PE could have been released in nov and gotten the same money.

and please...it's TF2...theres only one T2. :grin:

TF's placement is perfect because there are no big movies around it. wolvie has star trek the following, and TS soom thereafter. all 3 will hurt each other. after all that is done...TF will come in and take it all. similar to what TDK did, although i don't think it will generate the same numbers.