Will TDK beat IM's opening weekend?

[Mikelus]

As you know, Iron Man had a huge $98,618,668 opening weekend. But it seems TDK may have a chance to get there, lets see why:

"The Dark Knight" tickets have been a hot commodity since they first went on sale on Friday, June 20 at Fandango.com. As of this morning, the film is outpacing "Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull", "Iron Man" and "Sex and the City" as Fandango's fastest ticket-seller of this summer.
"We are currently seeing a surge in advance ticket sales for 'The Dark Knight'," says Ted Hong, vice president of marketing for Fandango. "It makes sense that there's a rush for tickets, as it's the perfect movie to see on the big screen, as supported by our strong ticket sales for both traditional screens and the larger format in IMAX ®. We believe the film is appealing to both comic book and action fans, as well as casual moviegoers."

The late Heath Ledger's potentially Oscar®-worthy performance as The Joker in "The Dark Knight" was cited as top reason for seeing the movie, according to 53% of respondents to Fandango's online survey of moviegoers in June.

A lot of people believe is impossible, but I don't think is the case anymore, TDK has a real shot of having a bigger opening than IM, the movie is having better reviews and Heath's Joker is one of the greatest villains ever, some critics are even talking about a posthumous Oscar for his performance. If TDK has an opening weekend of $100m or more, some will loose a few bets. ;)

[StorminNorman]

Short version: Yes

[Rezzo]

Pretty sure it will beat it easily.

[chaseter]

The real question is if it will beat SM3's opening...it will easily beat Iron Man.

[Dark Donnie]

The real question is if it will beat SM3's opening...it will easily beat Iron Man.

I think it will beat SM3.

[Wilhelm-Scream]

Who cares?
Do you really care?
If it makes 9 more dollars than Iron Man made are you going to pump your fist in the air?

[dark_b]

As you know, Iron Man had a huge $98,618,668 opening weekend. But it seems TDK may have a chance to get there, lets see why:



A lot of people believe is impossible, but I don't think is the case anymore, TDK has a real shot of having a bigger opening than IM, the movie is having better reviews and Heath's Joker is one of the greatest villains ever, some critics are even talking about a posthumous Oscar for his performance. If TDK has an opening weekend of $100m or more, some will loose a few bets. ;)ehhhhhh the oscars again.

TDK will cure cancer :whatever:

[Rezzo]

If it makes 9 more dollars than Iron Man made are you going to pump your fist in the air?
:lmao::grin:

[black_dust]

Thing is do they go off USA only or international release because SM3 was released worldwide on the same day. TDK comes out everywhere else after US release a week later

[DieSmiling]

Who cares?
Do you really care?
If it makes 9 more dollars than Iron Man made are you going to pump your fist in the air?

Most Batman fans would like Batman to have the biggest movie of 2008, I don't think there's any doubt about that.

I definitely think it's going to beat Iron Man. Spider-Man 3 I doubt...

[Mikelus]

It seems some are not that happy about the possibility, we're just talking about BO numbers, no reason to get moody about it. :woot:

[Rezzo]

Most Batman fans would like Batman to have the biggest movie of 2008, I don't think there's any doubt about that.

I'm a fan, but I could honestly care less about how much it makes. :oldrazz:

[chaseter]

^You better care how much it makes because if it doesn't do good, the possibility of the continuation of the franchise decreases.

[Geo7877]

I think it will. Sequels, if the original was well received, typically do better business. Add that onto TDK being a Batman movie, who I believe has a bigger fanbase than Iron Man, then add to that the highly anticipated/praised final full performance by Heath, and I think it will have a big opening.

[Rezzo]

^You better care how much it makes because if it doesn't do good, the possibility of the continuation of the franchise decreases.

My life won't end if the franchise doesn't continue and honestly come on just about everyone will see The Dark Knight so it will just fine at the box office. :oldrazz:

[chaseter]

My life won't end if the franchise doesn't continue and honestly come on just about everyone will see this and it will do just fine at the box office. :oldrazz:
If TDK sucked and bombed at the box office...my life would end because this is the only franchise that I have extremely high hopes for:o:csad: So if they don't do at least 3-4...I will be sad:csad: Therefore, I hope and want it to do great...I want it to beat the living crap out of the ****fest that was SM3.

[DieSmiling]

My life won't end if the franchise doesn't continue and honestly come on just about everyone will see The Dark Knight so it will just fine at the box office. :oldrazz:

Yeah, but if you were much of a fan you would care, even if your life won't end. I won't lose my **** if TDK opens to $80 million either, but for the sake of Batman in general, I'd love to see the movie do as well as possible.

[StorminNorman]

Who cares?
Do you really care?
If it makes 9 more dollars than Iron Man made are you going to pump your fist in the air?

Yes.

http://static.squidoo.com/resize/squidoo_images/-1/draft_lens1513858module8197113photo_TigerWoods_Fis t_Pump.jpg1202767632

[Gilpesh]

I think it will. First you have all the comic fan that are surely going to see it and then you got Heath Ledger fans who will go for his "Best performance ever" and then the general public that is getting so hyped up from all the marketing done for it and the reviews so far.

[amazingfantasy15]

I'm not sure if it'll beat Iron Man, I think Iron Man appealled to a larger number of people, parents would feel much more comfortable taking their kid to Iron Man, than The Dark Knight. I'm sure it'll do great though, just think doubling the first movies opening weekend is stretching it.

[Frosty81]

Who cares?
Do you really care?
If it makes 9 more dollars than Iron Man made are you going to pump your fist in the air?

Yes, yes I will. Seriously though, I'd love to see it top everything if nothing else than to encourage WB and other studios to put money into quality movies like this. Walking the fine line between serious grit while still be commercially viable.

[chaseter]

^Agreed.

[Dark Donnie]

Yes.

http://static.squidoo.com/resize/squidoo_images/-1/draft_lens1513858module8197113photo_TigerWoods_Fis t_Pump.jpg1202767632

haha was gonna post a fist pump....

[Wilhelm-Scream]

Most Batman fans would like Batman to have the biggest movie of 2008, I don't think there's any doubt about that.What does it matter?
The only time box office matters is if it's an unproven property, and you like it, so you're hoping for a sequel.
There's no way in Hell there will never be another Batman movie.
Do Batfans all get a check in the mail if it makes more than the other super heroes made?

Do you think the Green Hornet will make more than Ant Man?! :eek:

Do you guys think if they made a Wonder Woman and a Power Girl movie that Power Girl would make more than Wonder Woman because her breasts are bigger?! :eek:

What if Bat Man doesn't make as much as Iron Man?!
Does that mean we have to stop liking Bat Man and switch to Iron Man?! :(
I swear to you all right now!
If Bat Man doesn't out-do Iron Man, I will BOYCOTT all further Bat Man movies!
It will be a betrayal that I can NOT forgive! :mad:

[Wilhelm-Scream]

Most Batman fans would like Batman to have the biggest movie of 2008, I don't think there's any doubt about that.What does it matter?
The only time box office matters is if it's an unproven property, and you like it, so you're hoping for a sequel.
There's no way in Hell there will never be another Batman movie.
Do Batfans all get a check in the mail if it makes more than the other super heroes made?

Do you think the Green Hornet will make more than Ant Man?! :eek:

Do you guys think if they made a Wonder Woman and a Power Girl movie that Power Girl would make more than Wonder Woman because her breasts are bigger?! :eek:

What if Bat Man doesn't make as much as Iron Man?!
Does that mean we have to stop liking Bat Man and switch to Iron Man?! :(
I swear to you all right now!
If Bat Man doesn't out-do Iron Man, I will BOYCOTT all further Bat Man movies!
It will be a betrayal that I can NOT forgive! :mad:

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Opening weekend, yes. I think that the overhype could lead to a backlash in it's second weekend though.

[hpwiz89]

Hell yeah! :brucebat:

[Omega Wizard]

Whoops misread the title. OW yes, Overall no.

[DieSmiling]

What does it matter?
The only time box office matters is if it's an unproven property, and you like it, so you're hoping for a sequel.
There's no way in Hell there will never be another Batman movie.
Do Batfans all get a check in the mail if it makes more than the other super heroes made?

Do you think the Green Hornet will make more than Ant Man?! :eek:

Do you guys think if they made a Wonder Woman and a Power Girl movie that Power Girl would make more than Wonder Woman because her breasts are bigger?! :eek:

What if Bat Man doesn't make as much as Iron Man?!
Does that mean we have to stop liking Bat Man and switch to Iron Man?! :(
I swear to you all right now!
If Bat Man doesn't out-do Iron Man, I will BOYCOTT all further Bat Man movies!
It will be a betrayal that I can NOT forgive! :mad:

I think a Nolan helmed 3rd film depends heavily on how well TDK does. With a $200 million dollar budget, the film will have to do well to make WB want to pay out to ensure Nolan comes back. If the movie does gangbusters WB will do whatever it takes to get Nolan back.

Also, call me crazy, but as a Batfan I would like to be able to say "Batman is the most popular superhero in the world right now." It's not a big deal, but I like Batman and want him to be at his most popular.

[TheComicbookKid]

It'll beat Iron Man but not Spidey. It'll approach somewhere around 110million.

[Spider-Fan]

I don't expect it to beat SM3 just because this movie seems like a movie some parents won't let their kids see, unlike SM3 (though I think all this it is too scary for kids stuff is CRAP!!! I watched far, far, FAR worse stuff as a kid and I'm not emotionally scarred nor a mass murdering psycho path like parents think will happen nowadays). Now, IM I think it is going to beat.

If it does beat SM3, I must say I won't overtly care. I love that Spidey has the record, but it is not something that keeps my life going. I didn't care when Pirates 2 beat SM1, either.

[TheComicbookKid]

The only thing stopping it is
1. Two and a half hour run-time
2. It's not simple summer blockbuster entertainment ala Transformers or POTC trilogy
3. It is probably frightening for some younger kids, if what they say about Two-Face is true.

[Spider-Fan]

SM3's 139 minute runtime says long movies can endure. That whole 13 minutes longer TDK is won't make that much of a difference.

And don't spoil the movie for me by revealing that thing you hint at :cmad:

And again, people today act like kids are whimps. This whole frightening kids thing is stupid.

[Mostpowerful]

I don't know and I don't care. I just want TDK to be a great film and to do great at the BO.

[Poetic Chaos]

Opening weekend maybe, but not total. Crime movies just aren't money makers.

[TheComicbookKid]

I didn't hint at anything. I'm just saying that all the reviews say it's a very mature film. The Hulk tried to break the genre and it failed and Batman Returns to push family-friendly and failed.

[Spider-Fan]

I didn't hint at anything. I'm just saying that all the reviews say it's a very mature film. The Hulk tried to break the genre and it failed and Batman Returns to push family-friendly and failed.

Yes, but we know this movie won't fail. True, this is a mature film, which means sensitive parents won't let their kids see, thus why it won't beat SM3.

I wonder how many parents today would let their kids have my childhood. My parents let me watch anything I wanted (the Alien series, Robocop, and Predator were some of my fave movies as a kid).

[SFII]

No. Batman is one of those franchises that's lost its appeal.
for example, Batman Begins was a very good movie, but it wasn't as successful as nearly all the other Batman films.
I personally will see The Dark Knight.

[Norman Bates]

No. Batman is one of those franchises that's lost its appeal.
for example, Batman Begins was a very good movie, but it wasn't as successful as nearly all the other Batman films.
I personally will see The Dark Knight.

Yeah, in '97.

Then gained it back after the respectable Batman Begins. Now the appeal is at it's height.

[SFII]

Yeah, in '97.

Then gained it back after the respectable Batman Begins. Now the appeal is at it's height.
oh i beg to differ. i recall a time in the early 90s when Batman's appeal was at levels far greater than it's ever been.
don't make me have to bust out old pictures of me in my Batman logo shirt with matching logo hat. i was like 14 or something.

[Boom]

Where's the "Don't give a ****" option?

[Evelisse]

aside from the trailers is it really being promoted more than any other movie that has a release date coming up soon? I mean aside from viral marketing that only effects comic book fans (the web sites they visit). Its not like all this viral marketing was being done on prime time television and being talked about by that many non-comicbook fans. I mean they go through all this trouble for marketing, yet its like a huge secret to the general public.

Anyways, I'm sure It will do well enough to get at least one more movie out of the latest series of movies.

[TNC9852002]

It's possible that it may beat IM's opening weekend, but I don't think it'll have the legs in the long run....Hmmm

-TNC

[dark_b]

The only thing stopping it is
1. Two and a half hour run-time
2. It's not simple summer blockbuster entertainment ala Transformers or POTC trilogy
3. It is probably frightening for some younger kids, if what they say about Two-Face is true.i agree with this post.
because of this it can not make big numbers IMO.

[BloodyWolverine]

I pretty much figured Iron Man and TDK would duke it out for top spot and Indy 4 would onw world wide and come in 3rd at the Boc Office.
I at one time had it it TDK, InDY 4 AND Iron Man but i re thaught that is made Indy 3rd.
Ofcourse Harry Potter 6 don't come out until november and each film is creeping back up near 300 million so it could kick Indy into 4th place.
But The Dark KNight could slow down after a big weekend and end up tieing with Indy 4 or HP6 who knows at this point.

[BloodyWolverine]

I wanna add That Heath and Christians performances look amazing and Heath really is The Joker. So much there shouldn't be a Joker in the 3rd movie just make Two Face the main villain and introduce the Penguin or Mr Freeze.

[Iron_Stark]

Where's the "Who gives a ****" opition?

[Hunter Rider]

I never thought it would, i openly admit i thought the fanatics were so caught up in the movie they couldn't see reality, but i also never thought Iron Man would do the money it did either, tracking suggests TDK could reach the same opening as Spidey 1 or even a bit higher, so i think that it is likely TDK will open higher than Iron Man, having the same legs is less likely though IMO.

[Nirvana]

I honestly think in it's opening weekend it will make close to $115 million.

[Norman Bates]

oh i beg to differ. i recall a time in the early 90s when Batman's appeal was at levels far greater than it's ever been.
don't make me have to bust out old pictures of me in my Batman logo shirt with matching logo hat. i was like 14 or something.

To say it lost its appeal is kind of weird considering it sold more tickets so far than Indiana Jones and Spider-Man 3 on Fandango. Ofcourse it's appeal isn't nearly the same as it was in 89. Then it was new and different, not just for Batman, but superhero films in general. But it's appeal is still very much up there at the moment.

[Spider-Fan]

I honestly think in it's opening weekend it will make close to $115 million.

That is around what I expect it to make, also.

[TLH]

I love analyzing the box office, so this question is rather interesting.

In my opinion, Iron Man doesn't stand a chance. I wholly expect TDK to tally $120+ million on its opening weekend at minimum, and I also expect that it will become one of the highest grossing films of all time domestically, i.e: in between Spider-Man and Dead Man's Chest, although it could fall a bit short of $400 million depending on certain factors.

Of course, these numbers of mine are only really a result of everybody saying the film "lives up to the hype and then some". At the end of the day, you need a truly great film to live up to the hype of its opening weekend. Spider-Man 3 wasn't able to to do that, because in terms of legs in correlation with its opening weekend of $151 million, it should have crossed $400 million without breaking a sweat, but the film wasn't deemed that good so it fell considerably short.

I'm not sure about the international market for TDK at this moment. I don't see why it couldn't make $350 million or so overseas.

[Chaos Bringer]

locally for me the IMAX midnite show on thurs. is sold out and the companion midnight show in Theatre 1 is 70% sold. normally midnight shows are only 1 screen. IMAX and a regular screen are being done for TDK.

[RogueDK]

Yes, TDK will handily beat Shellhead's opening B.O.'s numbers. It's its longevity that I'm more concerned with.

It's dark & serious subtext worries me just a little; I'm rooting for it though...

[Darkfly]

I'm really not sure about this, some people are predicting 150m+ which I think is a strech, & on one hand everybody is talking about it & hyping it up but on the other hand Batman Begins only made 50m on its weekend & didn't even beat '89's Box Office total (without inflation) so its kinda hard for me to believe it will make 130/150m but I do think it will make somewhere between 80-100m on the weekend.

[marvel001]

It's going to beat iron man's opening,but only because it's a sequel to a popular movie, i can't wait too see it!

[marvel001]

It's going to beat iron man's opening,but only because it's a sequel to a popular movie, i can't wait too see it!