Re: MCU: The Marvel Cinematic Universe Official Discussion
I think Cap 2 and Thor 2 happen regardless of BO really. However, GA reception and BO returns prob effect who gets a sequel first. I think sequels to Thor and Cap are prob further along than anything else Marvel has going (maybe except for Ant-Man). But, Marvel has few franchise options and Hemms and Evans under contract for a long time. They'll get at least 1 solo sequel each.
I think Cap 2 prob comes first, but Thor will make more BO money. I just see more of a push for Cap coming off Avengers by Marvel.