Re: TDKR Oscar Chances? - Part 1
It's all relative to what the Academy would nominate and vote for. Remember, these are the same people who nominated Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close.
This is 40 has been getting decent buzz, and since it's more of a dramedy with a highly influential director in Judd Apatow, it definitely has a better shot at being nominated than a superhero film like The Dark Knight Rises. Remember, all this is based on what has happened historically. There will be a superhero film eventually nominated for Best Picture, but if it was going to be anything it would have been The Dark Knight, which was such a massive cultural sensation when it came out, and more universally beloved.