Originally Posted by DACrowe
I don't think it will get nominated for BP, but Warners is trying. I think it has a better shot than The Hobbit or Skyfall, but they'll go with 10 good films, but none of them will be mainstream hits this year (unless ZD30, Django or Les Mis really take off).
I do think it is funny that there are ten nominations now because they snubbed TDK, but TDKR will still not get in. It is a lesser film, but it is surely better than previous nominees like Avatar or The Blind Side. I mean, come on.
I'd call Lincoln and Argo mainstream hits. Lincoln especially, as it looks like it will hit $150 million domestic by the time awards season ends. I'd give Silver Linings Playbook a good chance of breaking out once it goes wide as well.
2012 is a strong year for film. Previous years have been weaker. It's always worth remembering that the Oscars goes year by year. Years like 1975 and 1976 probably had a better group of nominees than this year will.