Re: TDKR Oscar Chances? - Part 1
There's no guarantee that there will be 10 slots this year. Especially with the blockbuster vote probably spread over a number of films.
I figure these 8 are in:
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
If there are other slots, it will be an all out scrum between Beasts of the Southern Wild, The Master, The Dark Knight Rises, Skyfall, The Avengers, Amour, The Hobbit, and The Sessions.
The one advantage The Avengers has is that it's the only film Disney has to push and Hollywood is still mostly a company town.
Also, I do agree that it was stupid to push Silver Linings Playbook like it was a little art film instead of a crowd pleasing romantic comedy. I'm betting that the real push will start once the nominations are announced though.