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Old 03-20-2013, 01:18 PM   #272
Steyin
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by cherokeesam View Post
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 351.41
Iron Man 3 336.43
The Avengers Sequel 321.22
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Pt 1 291.85
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Pt 2 271.42
Star Trek: Into Darkness 263.38
Star Wars Ep. VII 252.68
Man of Steel 245.39
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 244.43
Avatar 2 237.81
The Hobbit: There and Back Again 236.05
Thor: The Dark World 234.51
Monsters University 222.87
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 206.60
Oz: The Great and Powerful 206.49
Captain America: The Winter Soldier 201.39
X-Men: Days of Future Past 200.63

Looks like the shoo-ins for the billion-dollar club this year --- and any 3D will almost certainly put them in --- are THG:CF, IM3, ST:ID, MOS, and TH:TDOS. Thor still has an outside shot of making it, unless The Hobbit and MOS fall south of the mark (in which case Hunger Games, IM3, and Trek will make it a three-way race).
I can see ST:ID getting a boost after the positive reception of the first film, but I don't see it making $1B, especially if Bond (given his popularity) only made it by a little more.

Thor won't make any more than ASM did most likely, even given coming off of TA.

MoS I feel is in the same boat as TDK was; if it has great reviews, great performances and awesome WoM, then it'll make $1B easily. Otherwise, again, I don't see it exceeding 700-800M.

I agree that Hobbit and CF will make it, the Hobbit more so than CF.

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