Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction
Honestly, Oscars don't matter all that much when outside of that special niche that banks on name recognition only... if that makes any sense.
Ian Mckellan may be known in the Tolkien world, but if he tried to open a movie as a solo lead... sorry, he's not a household name. The movie-going world is super-fickle. Oscars, hit genre movies, and stuff like that do not guarantee an actor's continued bankability. Not a single one of the LOTR actors could anchor a movie on their own. Also, Oscars do not generate buzz to the general masses. Remember that hit movie starring Kate Winslet? Yeah no, it doesn't exist. The only way to be a bankable star is to reliably open hit movies on your own. And these are usually crapfest movies that are crowd-pleasing debacles (see Adam Sandler, Will Smith, Ben Stiller, etc.).
X-Men has to rely on SOME star power... but mostly franchise and pop culture name recognition.