Re: Early box-office predictions
If we apply Iron Man 3's growth pattern to Thor, the film would see about $232 M domestic, and $682 M foreign (based on a $400 M domestic/ 800 Foreign projection for IM 3). Cap would see $225 M /$485 M based on these same patterns.
While there is always the Downey argument, Thor has two popular characters from Avengers, and Captain America has half the cast. I'm sure that will help both properties out.
Dream MCU phase 3:
2016: Thor: Ragnarok, Doctor Strange
2017: Captain America: Secret Empire, Black Panther
2018: The Incredible Hulk: Rise of the Leader, Guardians of the Galaxy: War of Kings
2019: The Inhumans, Avengers: Thanos Imperative