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Old 06-20-2013, 12:44 AM   #63
fixxxer
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Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Bangalore, India
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
That's a little optimistic. I think that's the best realistic case scenario but it's not so certain that its a foregone conclusion.
I really don't think so. Looking at many of these predictions, this really looks to me like a case of a pretty common cognitive bias... regressive bias to be a little more accurate.

Iron Man 3 will end up doubling Iron Man 2's WW gross shortly... or come very close at the end of it's theatrical run. If anything, people are STILL underestimating The Avengers Effect.

Double CA:TFA's gross and you're slightly south of $750 mill. While most might say that Iron Man is more popular than Captain America, and hence CA:TWS might see a less pronounced bump at the box office, I think the opposite effect could prove just as strong...

The fact that Captain America and his world was not nearly as popular as Iron Man at the time of his solo film probably means his potential for growth is that much more.

I'm sticking at $750 mill.

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