The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

Billy the Poet · 07-19-2011, 09:09 AM

It may be too early to start, but I think, since we will soon get a better look at how the film will look and the marketing campaign is starting to become more agressive, I decided to start the discussion of how well The Amazing Spider-man will perform in box office, considering its strong competition and challenges in attracting the audience after the disappointing Spider-man 3 and five years off-screen.

So, here, in this thread, we will talk about how much in your opinion TAS will be able to make (OW, domestically, overseas, WW), how good legs will it have and how well will it suppress other competitors (such as The Dark Knight Rises, Ice Age 4, Brave, and Ted).

In addition, I decided to start a poll of how much you predict TAS to make in the domestic market overall.

Billy the Poet · 07-19-2011, 09:17 AM

I'll be first to predict that, with strong promotion and gradual understand of general audience that this is a re-boot with a completely new direction as well as the fact that it's 3D and the major competitor is released only two weeks later, the Amazing Spider-man will be able to make over $300m and, to be approximate, reach $320-340m, similar to the numbers of Spider-man 3.

I also think that, with its release date on Tuesday, the film will hopefully pull $45-55m on the Independence Day and $80-100m as of the opening weekend respectively. I also believe it will be able to gross over $800m worldwide.

Yet, it all depends on:
1) Quality of the final product
2) Promotion
3) General Audience's response
4) Good WOM & Critics' reviews
5) Competitiors' performances
and lastly
6) Overall economic situation

Chewy · 07-19-2011, 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Billy the Poet

I also think that, with its release date on Tuesday, the film will hopefully pull $45-55m on the opening day

I don't see how that's possible. There's no "rush" factor for this film.

Billy the Poet · 07-19-2011, 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chewy

I don't see how that's possible. There's no "rush" factor for this film.

Oops! I meant Wednesday, which is July 4th.

Doctor Jones · 07-19-2011, 09:57 AM

Anywhere from $70 - $90 million opening weekend. This has an uphill battle.

Spider-ManHero12 · 07-19-2011, 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Doctor Jones

Anywhere from $70 - $90 million opening weekend. This has an uphill battle.

Agreed.

Chewy · 07-19-2011, 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Doctor Jones

Anywhere from $70 - $90 million opening weekend. This has an uphill battle.

It opens on a Tuesday so that would be a massive OW for it. Spider-Man 2 sized.

I think it'll end up with around a 50M weekend if it's lucky. Maybe 100M through those first 6 days.

chaseter · 07-19-2011, 10:16 AM

225-250 domestic if it is a really good movie. It won't pass 250.

psylockolussus · 07-21-2011, 04:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chaseter

225-250 domestic if it is a really good movie. It won't pass 250.

I agree!

Not really interested on this Spidy reboot.

spider-neil · 07-21-2011, 04:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by psylockolussus

I agree!

Not really interested on this Spidy reboot.

that maybe so but you like and what the general audience like may be two different things entirely.

hatebox · 07-21-2011, 05:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spider-neil

that maybe so but you like and what the general audience like may be two different things entirely.

If the casual audience reaction to this trailer is anything to by the're not exactly enthralled by the idea of a reboot too. But we'll see what the next trailer brings.

spider-neil · 07-21-2011, 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hatebox

If the casual audience reaction to this trailer is anything to by the're not exactly enthralled by the idea of a reboot too. But we'll see what the next trailer brings.

casual reation? who are casual fans on this forum? or CBM? or aint it cool news? PotC 3 and TF3 was flamed on this board and went on to be massive hits, this board is no indicator of the GA opinion one way or the way.

chaseter · 02-07-2012, 10:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chaseter

225-250 domestic if it is a really good movie. It won't pass 250.

I think I will stick with this. I don't think it will pass $250 million domestic and if it does it will be barely.

Worldwide...idk. The WW market is crazy. I would say it's a sure bet to say it will pass $500 worldwide. If I was forced to guess...I would say $700 million worldwide but I hate guessing WW gross. Who knows...China may go crazy and say no Spider-Man.

MessiahDecoy123 · 07-19-2011, 11:07 AM

Spider-man is bigger than Iron Man with or wihout Sam Raimi.

With 3D there's no way this falls below 275 m.

160 = opening week

305 = domestic total

550 = overseas total

855 = worldwide total

Mary Jane Watson · 07-19-2011, 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123

Spider-man is bigger than Iron Man with or wihout Sam Raimi.

With 3D there's no way this falls below 275 m.

160 = opening week

305 = domestic total

550 = overseas total

855 = worldwide total

This.

Also I have started to notice that the BO number is getting bigger and break box office record is pretty common right now.

Donald Thomas · 07-04-2012, 04:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123

Spider-man is bigger than Iron Man with or wihout Sam Raimi.

With 3D there's no way this falls below 275 m.

160 = opening week

305 = domestic total

550 = overseas total

855 = worldwide total

Aloha,
I like how you think.It's the female factor that is going to blow fan boys predictions out of the water. They got Webb to direct this movie because of that (among other things). This is a action/adventure date movie.Moreso than most.I'll go out on a limb here and predict that when the stats are totaled. The Amazing Spider-Man had a higher female attendance than any other comic book movie.
Spidey rules

Spiderdevil · 07-04-2012, 08:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donald Thomas

Aloha,
I like how you think.It's the female factor that is going to blow fan boys predictions out of the water. They got Webb to direct this movie because of that (among other things). This is a action/adventure date movie.Moreso than most.I'll go out on a limb here and predict that when the stats are totaled. The Amazing Spider-Man had a higher female attendance than any other comic book movie.
Spidey rules

Excellent point
When I went to see it,a very large portion of the audience were women
My sister who hates each and every comic book movie loved this movie

It is gonna attract a lot of female audience

MessiahDecoy123 · 07-04-2012, 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donald Thomas

Aloha,
I like how you think.It's the female factor that is going to blow fan boys predictions out of the water. They got Webb to direct this movie because of that (among other things). This is a action/adventure date movie.Moreso than most.I'll go out on a limb here and predict that when the stats are totaled. The Amazing Spider-Man had a higher female attendance than any other comic book movie.
Spidey rules

Hey DT, what's up?

Did you like ASM?

MessiahDecoy123 · 07-04-2012, 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123

Hey DT, what's up?

Did you like ASM?

Nevermind, I read your review in another thread.

Glad you enjoyed it, true believer.

MessiahDecoy123 · 07-19-2011, 11:09 AM

oops I voted for over 700 m. I thought the poll was for worldwide totals.

Anno_Domini · 07-19-2011, 12:31 PM

From best to worst, what were the BO for Raimi's films?

chaseter · 07-19-2011, 12:45 PM

www.boxofficemojo.com

Sorry...too lazy to do it. Spider-Man 1 made over $400 million domestic though. That is huge.

Spider-ManHero12 · 07-19-2011, 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chaseter

www.boxofficemojo.com

Sorry...too lazy to do it. Spider-Man 1 made over $400 million domestic though. That is huge.

Indeed.

DW4 · 07-19-2011, 02:59 PM

This is Spider-Man, guaranteed he'll make over 300 million domestically with over 700 WW.

chaseter · 07-19-2011, 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DW4

This is Spider-Man, guaranteed he'll make over 300 million domestically with over 700 WW.

Spider-Man 3 made $336 domestic and that was a highly, highly anticipated sequel.

This is a complete reboot and the biggest movie of 2012 will be coming out merely two weeks later to squash this like a bug. It won't make over $300 million domestic and you can quote me on that

View Poll Results: How much will The Amazing Spider-man make in the domestic market?
$0-100m	2	1.42%
$110-200m	4	2.84%
$210-300m	50	35.46%
$310-400m	35	24.82%
$410m-500m	10	7.09%
$510-600m	10	7.09%
$610-700m	9	6.38%
Over $700m	21	14.89%
Voters: 141. You may not vote on this poll

07-19-2011, 09:09 AM	#1
Billy the Poet Dissidient Join Date: Jun 2011 Location: Anywhere, but the Earth Posts: 594	The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread It may be too early to start, but I think, since we will soon get a better look at how the film will look and the marketing campaign is starting to become more agressive, I decided to start the discussion of how well The Amazing Spider-man will perform in box office, considering its strong competition and challenges in attracting the audience after the disappointing Spider-man 3 and five years off-screen. So, here, in this thread, we will talk about how much in your opinion TAS will be able to make (OW, domestically, overseas, WW), how good legs will it have and how well will it suppress other competitors (such as The Dark Knight Rises, Ice Age 4, Brave, and Ted). In addition, I decided to start a poll of how much you predict TAS to make in the domestic market overall.

07-19-2011, 09:17 AM	#2
Billy the Poet Dissidient Join Date: Jun 2011 Location: Anywhere, but the Earth Posts: 594	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread I'll be first to predict that, with strong promotion and gradual understand of general audience that this is a re-boot with a completely new direction as well as the fact that it's 3D and the major competitor is released only two weeks later, the Amazing Spider-man will be able to make over $300m and, to be approximate, reach $320-340m, similar to the numbers of Spider-man 3. I also think that, with its release date on Tuesday, the film will hopefully pull $45-55m on the Independence Day and $80-100m as of the opening weekend respectively. I also believe it will be able to gross over $800m worldwide. Yet, it all depends on: 1) Quality of the final product 2) Promotion 3) General Audience's response 4) Good WOM & Critics' reviews 5) Competitiors' performances and lastly 6) Overall economic situation Last edited by Billy the Poet; 07-21-2011 at 09:05 PM.

07-19-2011, 10:16 AM	#8
chaseter Bland User Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Denver Posts: 41,455	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread 225-250 domestic if it is a really good movie. It won't pass 250. __________________ Kid, you're holding up the line of 2 people. You can leave a penny, you can't take a penny. You can leave a penny anytime. You have to spend $10 to take a penny. Store policy. Since when has this been store policy? Uh, since my boss made up the policy. You gonna pay? You're holding up my line of one other person. You can't afford your milk, step aside. What, daddy didn't give you enough milk money? Little baby gonna cry about it? Just step aside. And that is how Uncle Ben dies.

07-19-2011, 11:07 AM	#14
MessiahDecoy123 Cosmic Spidey Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 9,093	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread Spider-man is bigger than Iron Man with or wihout Sam Raimi. With 3D there's no way this falls below 275 m. 160 = opening week 305 = domestic total 550 = overseas total 855 = worldwide total __________________ "It's Transformers with a brain, a heart and a working sense of humor. Suck on that, Michael Bay! " - Peter Travers on The Avengers

07-19-2011, 11:09 AM	#20
MessiahDecoy123 Cosmic Spidey Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 9,093	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread oops I voted for over 700 m. I thought the poll was for worldwide totals. __________________ "It's Transformers with a brain, a heart and a working sense of humor. Suck on that, Michael Bay! " - Peter Travers on The Avengers

07-19-2011, 12:31 PM	#21
Anno_Domini The Man of Steel Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 16,712	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread From best to worst, what were the BO for Raimi's films? __________________ ChampionshipMaterialPunk VIDEO-CLick to Watch!: #BelieveInTheShield

07-19-2011, 12:45 PM	#22
chaseter Bland User Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Denver Posts: 41,455	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread www.boxofficemojo.com Sorry...too lazy to do it. Spider-Man 1 made over $400 million domestic though. That is huge. __________________ Kid, you're holding up the line of 2 people. You can leave a penny, you can't take a penny. You can leave a penny anytime. You have to spend $10 to take a penny. Store policy. Since when has this been store policy? Uh, since my boss made up the policy. You gonna pay? You're holding up my line of one other person. You can't afford your milk, step aside. What, daddy didn't give you enough milk money? Little baby gonna cry about it? Just step aside. And that is how Uncle Ben dies.

07-19-2011, 02:59 PM	#24
DW4 Side-Kick Join Date: Jun 2007 Location: Long Island, NY Posts: 663	Re: The Amazing Spider-man: Box Office Thread This is Spider-Man, guaranteed he'll make over 300 million domestically with over 700 WW. __________________ PSN: BloodOps "In my book, experience outranks everything."

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