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View Poll Results: How much will Iron Man 3 make world wide?
500 Million 2 1.14%
550 Million 4 2.29%
600 Million 4 2.29%
650 Million 6 3.43%
700 Million 9 5.14%
750 Million 10 5.71%
800 Million 16 9.14%
850 Million 30 17.14%
900 Million 33 18.86%
950 Million 9 5.14%
1 Billion 31 17.71%
1.1 Billion 11 6.29%
1.2 Billion 3 1.71%
1.3 Billion 1 0.57%
1.4 Billion 0 0%
1.5 Billion 6 3.43%
Voters: 175. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 10-22-2012, 09:25 PM   #1
eddy
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Default The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

How much is this puppy going to make?

I say 400 millionish domestic. 900 millionish worldwide.

I'm trying to make this a poll but I'm not sure how to add the options.

Never mind. Figured it out.

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Old 10-22-2012, 10:43 PM   #2
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

As much as I wanted this to earn a billion dollars, I don't see it happening

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Old 10-23-2012, 03:11 AM   #3
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by thalidomide View Post
As much as I wanted this to earn a billion dollars, I don't see it happening
In the past I would've agreed with you, but with 3D and expanding overseas markets it seems like 1 billion is easier to attain nowadays. I say with the right marketing and hype machine IM3 could conceivably pull it off.

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Old 10-22-2012, 11:45 PM   #4
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

Domestically, about 400M-ish like you said. Worldwide about 850M-ish but could even reach a billion. It seem these days that there'a always 2-3 movies that reach that number each year.

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Old 10-23-2012, 12:02 AM   #5
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

Yeah I'd Say it will fall between 800-900 WW but I am guessing 850

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Old 10-23-2012, 01:01 AM   #6
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

400 mill is way too much thts TDKR territory. If the movie gets good reviews I'd say it hits 350 mill domestice and high 700 to low 800 WW. I'm only saying it gets that high though if there is actually an Avengers halo-effect and the movie garners critical acclaim.


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Old 10-23-2012, 01:04 AM   #7
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

750. Think that's a safe spot.

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Old 10-23-2012, 01:19 AM   #8
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
400 mill is way too much thts TDKR territory. If the movie gets good reviews I'd say it hits 350 mill domestice and high 700 to low 800 WW. I'm only saying it gets that high though if there is actually an Avengers halo-effect and the movie garners critical acclaim.
I don't see how 400M is way too much. TDKR and Hunger Games made 400M+ without 3D. As long as Iron Man 3 is a good movie 400M is pretty much in the bag. Third movie in trilogy? Check. Rollover from Avengers? Check. 3D boost? Check.

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Old 10-23-2012, 01:29 AM   #9
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by JB-the-Hunter View Post
I don't see how 400M is way too much. TDKR and Hunger Games made 400M+ without 3D. As long as Iron Man 3 is a good movie 400M is pretty much in the bag. Third movie in trilogy? Check. Rollover from Avengers? Check. 3D boost? Check.
I don't want to say never without seeing what hype for the movie is like closer to the release of the film but this movie doesn't strike me as grossing that much right now. Hunger Games obviously had the female tween crowd going for it, a demographic IM3 won't exactly have in spades. That's important because those girls go in droves to see the movie and are more likely to shell out for the movies on the weekend than a lot of IM3's audience. TDKR is just on a whole other level than IM3.


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Old 10-23-2012, 02:49 AM   #10
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
I don't want to say never without seeing what hype for the movie is like closer to the release of the film but this movie doesn't strike me as grossing that much right now. Hunger Games obviously had the female tween crowd going for it, a demographic IM3 won't exactly have in spades. That's important because those girls go in droves to see the movie and are more likely to shell out for the movies on the weekend than a lot of IM3's audience. TDKR is just on a whole other level than IM3.
Nah, I wouldn't make that assumption.

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Old 10-23-2012, 01:57 AM   #11
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

can i change my vote cuz after that trailer i don't think i voted high enough

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Old 10-23-2012, 03:11 AM   #12
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

I voted for 900 million which is still a bit of a stretch, but I'm hoping for a billion plus.

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Old 10-23-2012, 05:20 AM   #13
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

I voted for $1 billion, and that was before I watched the trailer. After seeing it I'm doubly certain of my prediction.

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Old 10-23-2012, 05:30 AM   #14
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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I voted for $1 billion, and that was before I watched the trailer. After seeing it I'm doubly certain of my prediction.
I voted before the trailer too and now i am wishing i went with the 1 billion vote instead.

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Old 02-02-2013, 02:39 AM   #15
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by BigThor View Post
I voted for 900 million which is still a bit of a stretch, but I'm hoping for a billion plus.
Ditto.

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Old 10-23-2012, 05:35 AM   #16
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

900 million. I think the China money is going to boost this film.

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Old 10-23-2012, 06:33 AM   #17
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

I would have gone with 900 mil before seeing the trailer. Now, it's a billion for me. One only has to look at the tumblr reaction to see that the fangirl appeal is high, which is a must for this kind of figure.

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Old 10-23-2012, 08:26 AM   #18
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

Just for reference;

Iron Man -
US: $318,412,101
Foreign: $266,762,12
Worldwide: $585,174,222


Iron Man 2 -
US: $312,433,331
Foreign: $311,500,000
Worldwide: $623,933,331

The Avengers -
US: $623,357,910
Foreign: $888,400,000
Worldwide: $1,511,757,910



Right now I'd say the floor for IM3 is $800m with Avengers good will, 3D, expanding markets blah blah. If it's great it could pass $900m..... dare I say... maybe more?

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Old 10-23-2012, 08:35 AM   #19
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

I think the safest thing I can say about an early prediction is that it'll make more than IM2, but less than Avengers.

As someone above said, high 700s-low 800s sounds about right.

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Old 10-24-2012, 03:13 PM   #20
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by cherokeesam View Post
I think the safest thing I can say about an early prediction is that it'll make more than IM2, but less than Avengers.
I agree with this. I think IM2 kind of dashed any hope of the franchise making it into $400 million territory domestically. Though obvioulsy the Avengers bump will be a big boost.

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Old 10-24-2012, 03:35 PM   #21
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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I agree with this. I think IM2 kind of dashed any hope of the franchise making it into $400 million territory domestically. Though obvioulsy the Avengers bump will be a big boost.
Why? Iron Man 2 was actually well received despite what fans think and did only slightly less than the first domestically. Besides, nobody is going into Iron Man 3 thinking about Iron Man 2, people are going into it thinking about The Avengers. Iron Man 2 has very little effect on Iron Man 3 if at all in my opinion. The Avengers changed everything. Phase 2 is going to be very different than Phase 1.

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Old 10-24-2012, 04:15 PM   #22
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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Why? Iron Man 2 was actually well received despite what fans think
No it wasn't. It was mixed to middling at best.

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Old 10-24-2012, 05:50 PM   #23
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

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No it wasn't. It was mixed to middling at best.
Actually it was pretty positive, it has like a 75% on Rotten Tomatoes and an 80% approval from the audience.

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Old 10-23-2012, 08:41 AM   #24
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

I'd say 365M domestic + 450M overseas = 815M WW

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Old 10-23-2012, 10:04 AM   #25
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Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

375 m domestic

+

425 m overseas

=

800 m WW

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