The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Fantastic Four > Fantastic Four

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-02-2013, 03:02 PM   #1
Thread Manager
SHH! Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 0
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

Thread Manager is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 03:02 PM   #2
Thread Manager
SHH! Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 0
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 5

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

Thread Manager is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 03:03 PM   #3
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 33,587
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

The first FF movie sold more tickets than Thor and Captain America in the states, it just didn't make as much because ticket prices were lower in 2005 and it didn't have expensive 3D tickets to help it out. My point is that obviously there is a market for an F4 movie, add in the expanding international market and there is an even bigger market. They should keep the budget down though because reboots so close to the original have a limit on how much they can make if they aren't Spider-Man related. It's going to take at least 140-150mil to do it right though.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

...It's Batman and Superman, lets just be honest, I don't know how you get bigger than that--Zack Snyder.
I SEE SPIDEY is online now  
Old 08-02-2013, 04:39 PM   #4
Kelly
WE ARE HUNTER RIDER!
SHH! Administrator
 
Kelly's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 58,291
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
The first FF movie sold more tickets than Thor and Captain America in the states, it just didn't make as much because ticket prices were lower in 2005 and it didn't have expensive 3D tickets to help it out. My point is that obviously there is a market for an F4 movie, add in the expanding international market and there is an even bigger market. They should keep the budget down though because reboots so close to the original have a limit on how much they can make if they aren't Spider-Man related. It's going to take at least 140-150mil to do it right though.
I agree, but that 140-150 million cannot include anything post production or it is not enough IMO.

__________________
'Listen to yourself and in that quietude you might hear the voice of God' Maya Angelou
Kelly is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 06:26 PM   #5
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 33,587
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kelly View Post
I agree, but that 140-150 million cannot include anything post production or it is not enough IMO.
You are probably correct, it will most likely cost the standard 175+mil.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zarex View Post
It's going to take about $200 million to do it right, and there's zero chance the film is going to generate sufficient ticket sales to justify that budget. The last film cost $130 million and it looked absolutely terrible, especially in how it depicted Reed's powers. The FF is a very expensive team to put onscreen, even more than The Avengers, due to the heavy CGI required to show all four characters. Add an all CGI Thing, the Negative Zone and Annihilus and a green though talented director, and the budget could explode.

In terms of the box office - in a best case scenario the reboot of a much maligned series could be competitive with the last two FOX X-Men films, both of which disappointed at the box office. With the high cost, the lack of tie-in merchandise sales (Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics) and the tough release date, this thing is a money loser as soon as they start filming.
I'm half expecting them to cancell the movie actually. They are supposed to be filming it soon and things are this quiet. I expect a cancellation or delay.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

...It's Batman and Superman, lets just be honest, I don't know how you get bigger than that--Zack Snyder.

Last edited by I SEE SPIDEY; 08-02-2013 at 06:30 PM.
I SEE SPIDEY is online now  
Old 08-02-2013, 06:53 PM   #6
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
You are probably correct, it will most likely cost the standard 175+mil.I'm half expecting them to cancell the movie actually. They are supposed to be filming it soon and things are this quiet. I expect a cancellation or delay.
I pray that happens. I want Galactus and the Silver Surfer in cosmic play in the MCU.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 07:04 PM   #7
Willie Lumpkin
Trophy Husband
 
Willie Lumpkin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Southern New Jersey
Posts: 4,911
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
You are probably correct, it will most likely cost the standard 175+mil.I'm half expecting them to cancell the movie actually. They are supposed to be filming it soon and things are this quiet. I expect a cancellation or delay.
I just hope we either get some solid information from Fox or a deal to get the rights to Marvel soon. These rumors are awful - each one worse than the one before.

Josh Trank is probably the only thing about this film that I even remotely like.

__________________
Check out my best-selling Science Fiction novel: Land of Nod, The Artifact
Willie Lumpkin is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 05:05 PM   #8
TayDee
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: California
Posts: 549
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
The first FF movie sold more tickets than Thor and Captain America in the states, it just didn't make as much because ticket prices were lower in 2005 and it didn't have expensive 3D tickets to help it out. My point is that obviously there is a market for an F4 movie, add in the expanding international market and there is an even bigger market. They should keep the budget down though because reboots so close to the original have a limit on how much they can make if they aren't Spider-Man related. It's going to take at least 140-150mil to do it right though.
I don't remember exactly what I said, but I don't remember saying it was going to bomb. I just don't think with the FF characters alone, that they can establish a Franchise.

TayDee is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 06:06 PM   #9
Zarex
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 1,529
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
The first FF movie sold more tickets than Thor and Captain America in the states, it just didn't make as much because ticket prices were lower in 2005 and it didn't have expensive 3D tickets to help it out. My point is that obviously there is a market for an F4 movie, add in the expanding international market and there is an even bigger market. They should keep the budget down though because reboots so close to the original have a limit on how much they can make if they aren't Spider-Man related. It's going to take at least 140-150mil to do it right though.
It's going to take about $200 million to do it right, and there's zero chance the film is going to generate sufficient ticket sales to justify that budget. The last film cost $130 million and it looked absolutely terrible, especially in how it depicted Reed's powers. The FF is a very expensive team to put onscreen, even more than The Avengers, due to the heavy CGI required to show all four characters. Add an all CGI Thing, the Negative Zone and Annihilus and a green though talented director, and the budget could explode.

In terms of the box office - in a best case scenario the reboot of a much maligned series could be competitive with the last two FOX X-Men films, both of which disappointed at the box office. With the high cost, the lack of tie-in merchandise sales (Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics) and the tough release date, this thing is a money loser as soon as they start filming.

Zarex is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 08:29 PM   #10
DrCosmic
Professor of Power
 
DrCosmic's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: In the Moment
Posts: 6,006
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zarex View Post
It's going to take about $200 million to do it right, and there's zero chance the film is going to generate sufficient ticket sales to justify that budget. The last film cost $130 million and it looked absolutely terrible, especially in how it depicted Reed's powers. The FF is a very expensive team to put onscreen, even more than The Avengers, due to the heavy CGI required to show all four characters. Add an all CGI Thing, the Negative Zone and Annihilus and a green though talented director, and the budget could explode.

In terms of the box office - in a best case scenario the reboot of a much maligned series could be competitive with the last two FOX X-Men films, both of which disappointed at the box office. With the high cost, the lack of tie-in merchandise sales (Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics) and the tough release date, this thing is a money loser as soon as they start filming.
I'd like to challenge some of these assumptions, see if there's any basis for them.

1) "It's going to take about $200 million to do it right."

This is based on the assumption that ROTSS had the ideal use of budget. That is, any FF film would have to spend at LEAST what ROTSS spent or look lower budget. All we need to do to remove that conclusion is observe that Fantastic Four (2005) had a significantly lower budget (100Million) and looked better than ROTSS. On the flip side, we can look at Green Lantern (2011) which had a higher budget and looked worse, or Chronicle (2012) which had a much lower budget and looked better.

So not all money spends the same, and if the question about the director's skill is that we're not sure if he can do anything other than make great CGI at low cost, then that suggests the cost will be high.

2) "The FF is a very expensive team to put on screen, even more than The Avengers"

Budget for Fantastic Four (2005) - 100M
Budget for Avengers (2012) - 220M

The reason for this is that for the Fantastic Four, the cost (and number) of the actors is lower (RDJ took home 50M on his own), and while stretchiness is hard to to get right, an all CGI thing who is not making large amounts of property damage (not Thing's thing) is more analogous to 2011's Paul (40M budget for a film with 1 hour and thirty minutes of onscreen CGI character in social situations). The other two members, Invisible Woman and Human Torch have incredibly cheap effects which have been done half decent by youtubers for a few dozen dollars, as opposed to a tens of million.

3) "Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics"

They moved it aside for Spider-Man. Why they wouldn't want to make money on FF merchandizing as well, I have no idea why anyone would feel this way.

__________________
WW TV Show Ideas - X-Men TV Show Ideas -
With a Ph.D in Metascience
"Sufficiently understood magic is indistinguishable from science."
DrCosmic is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 08:41 PM   #11
jaymes_e06
Side-Kick
 
jaymes_e06's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Indiana unfortunately....
Posts: 15,163
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

^FPJ in any role is a miscast. Sarah would be great though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DrCosmic View Post
I'd like to challenge some of these assumptions, see if there's any basis for them.

1) "It's going to take about $200 million to do it right."

This is based on the assumption that ROTSS had the ideal use of budget. That is, any FF film would have to spend at LEAST what ROTSS spent or look lower budget. All we need to do to remove that conclusion is observe that Fantastic Four (2005) had a significantly lower budget (100Million) and looked better than ROTSS. On the flip side, we can look at Green Lantern (2011) which had a higher budget and looked worse, or Chronicle (2012) which had a much lower budget and looked better.

So not all money spends the same, and if the question about the director's skill is that we're not sure if he can do anything other than make great CGI at low cost, then that suggests the cost will be high.

2) "The FF is a very expensive team to put on screen, even more than The Avengers"

Budget for Fantastic Four (2005) - 100M
Budget for Avengers (2012) - 220M

The reason for this is that for the Fantastic Four, the cost (and number) of the actors is lower (RDJ took home 50M on his own), and while stretchiness is hard to to get right, an all CGI thing who is not making large amounts of property damage (not Thing's thing) is more analogous to 2011's Paul (40M budget for a film with 1 hour and thirty minutes of onscreen CGI character in social situations). The other two members, Invisible Woman and Human Torch have incredibly cheap effects which have been done half decent by youtubers for a few dozen dollars, as opposed to a tens of million.

3) "Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics"

They moved it aside for Spider-Man. Why they wouldn't want to make money on FF merchandizing as well, I have no idea why anyone would feel this way.
This!

__________________

Quote:
Originally Posted by KRYPTON INC. View Post
The numbered jaymes is right!! :yay:
*\S/T*
jaymes_e06 is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 08:54 PM   #12
Zarex
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 1,529
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by DrCosmic View Post
So not all money spends the same, and if the question about the director's skill is that we're not sure if he can do anything other than make great CGI at low cost, then that suggests the cost will be high.
The FF has to be competitive with the comicbook films directly before it (DOFP, GOTG) and after (A:AOU). All three are rumored to have budgets over $200 million. Trank may be able to put out a quality version on the cheap, but I don't believe he has special skills that Singer, Gunn and Whedon lack.

Quote:
Budget for Fantastic Four (2005) - 100M
Budget for Avengers (2012) - 220M

The reason for this is that for the Fantastic Four, the cost (and number) of the actors is lower (RDJ took home 50M on his own), and while stretchiness is hard to to get right, an all CGI thing who is not making large amounts of property damage (not Thing's thing) is more analogous to 2011's Paul (40M budget for a film with 1 hour and thirty minutes of onscreen CGI character in social situations). The other two members, Invisible Woman and Human Torch have incredibly cheap effects which have been done half decent by youtubers for a few dozen dollars, as opposed to a tens of million.
Having seen the spectacle of TA, MOS and IM3, I can't see viewers being satisfied with a You Tube version of the FF. Quality CGI is expensive.


Quote:
3) "Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics"

They moved it aside for Spider-Man. Why they wouldn't want to make money on FF merchandizing as well, I have no idea why anyone would feel this way.
Marvel paid Sony $278 million to buy out their share of tie in merchandise. Disney/Marvel hasn't reached an an agreement with FOX, so they would have to share with FOX the licensing fees from tie-in merchandise. That's very unlikely to happen, especially with the film expected to come out less than two months before the Avengers sequel.

Zarex is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 09:22 PM   #13
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by DrCosmic View Post
I'd like to challenge some of these assumptions, see if there's any basis for them.

1) "It's going to take about $200 million to do it right."

This is based on the assumption that ROTSS had the ideal use of budget. That is, any FF film would have to spend at LEAST what ROTSS spent or look lower budget. All we need to do to remove that conclusion is observe that Fantastic Four (2005) had a significantly lower budget (100Million) and looked better than ROTSS. On the flip side, we can look at Green Lantern (2011) which had a higher budget and looked worse, or Chronicle (2012) which had a much lower budget and looked better.

So not all money spends the same, and if the question about the director's skill is that we're not sure if he can do anything other than make great CGI at low cost, then that suggests the cost will be high.

2) "The FF is a very expensive team to put on screen, even more than The Avengers"

Budget for Fantastic Four (2005) - 100M
Budget for Avengers (2012) - 220M

The reason for this is that for the Fantastic Four, the cost (and number) of the actors is lower (RDJ took home 50M on his own), and while stretchiness is hard to to get right, an all CGI thing who is not making large amounts of property damage (not Thing's thing) is more analogous to 2011's Paul (40M budget for a film with 1 hour and thirty minutes of onscreen CGI character in social situations). The other two members, Invisible Woman and Human Torch have incredibly cheap effects which have been done half decent by youtubers for a few dozen dollars, as opposed to a tens of million.

3) "Disney isn't going to move Avengers product off he shelves to make room for stretchable Mr. Fantastics"

They moved it aside for Spider-Man. Why they wouldn't want to make money on FF merchandizing as well, I have no idea why anyone would feel this way.
Your theory's methodology is completely wrong here. RDJ made the vast majority of his money on the back end. It wasn't in the budget. Everyone else was basically paid peanuts except for Joss, who I believe also made his money on the back end. They film just cost $225 million because they had real high quality special effect work.

Now if you are expecting a genuine visual feast out of the FF, and why shouldn't you, it is going to cost real money. You aren't doing it for $150m without it looking like it is cutting corners. You just aren't.

Now if you are willing to have subpar CGI, short action sequences and basically end up attempting to make another early 00's superhero film, good luck getting people into the theater to see it in mass. No one wants to watch the first X-Men film again. It is a good movie, but it is so small compared to what audiences expect now.

Also the reason why the Silver Surfer film looked bad in comparison to the first film, was because they actually attempting something visually ambitious, with a budget that didn't match that ambition. The fact that the first FF film cost as much as it did still kinda boggles the mind. They did nothing.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 03:23 PM   #14
ThePowerCosmic
Air Lordin'
 
ThePowerCosmic's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: HYDRA
Posts: 17,880
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

So the FF will presumably be discovering the Negative Zone and that's how they'll get their powers.

__________________
2015: Avengers: Age of Ultron, Star Wars: Episode VII, Daredevil, Ant-Man, Fantastic Four
2016: Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, Captain America 3, Doctor Strange, X-Men: Apocalypse, Sinister 6, Deadpool, Shazam(?), Gareth Edwards' Star Wars, Warcraft


Hail HYDRA!

Thirsty? Get HYDRAted.
ThePowerCosmic is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 03:33 PM   #15
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

The difference between now and when the original Fantastic Four films came out, is that the market is starting to become saturated. Not just with superhero films, but big action tent poles.

The not great first two films could fly when they did. Now they have to compete with the most amazing looking films we have ever seen. The movie comes out 2015.

Star Wars Episode VII
Age of Ultron
Superman vs. Batman
Pirates of the Caribbean 5
Ant-Man (by Edgar Wright)
Bond 24

Even if it comes out first, I can't see it comparing and holding up.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 04:27 PM   #16
Paradox1
Side-Kick
 
Paradox1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Fl
Posts: 4,258
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

It will be fine it has a March 6, 2015 date that doesn't even make it an official Summer movie tentpole.

__________________
"Wars are never won, regardless of who might be the victor. The very act of war is itself a horrible defeat." Guardian of the Universe "Battleground: Oa!" Green Lantern, 1st Silver Age series, #127, Denny O'Neil)
Paradox1 is online now  
Old 08-02-2013, 04:38 PM   #17
def28
Side-Kick
 
def28's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 7,507
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

I don't see this one doing big numbers at all yet.

Elizabeth Olsen as a young Sue is solid casting though Hope thats true.

def28 is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 04:44 PM   #18
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paradox1 View Post
It will be fine it has a March 6, 2015 date that doesn't even make it an official Summer movie tentpole.
How many movies have made great money in March? The Hunger Games, and that was domestic only. Anything else?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kelly View Post
I agree, but that 140-150 million cannot include anything post production or it is not enough IMO.
Yeah, going to have to bring the Fantastic, and you can't do that on a small budget. The Silver Surfer budget was $130m back in 2007.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."

Last edited by DarthSkywalker; 08-02-2013 at 04:48 PM.
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 05:01 PM   #19
Paradox1
Side-Kick
 
Paradox1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Fl
Posts: 4,258
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
How many movies have made great money in March? The Hunger Games, and that was domestic only. Anything else?


Yeah, going to have to bring the Fantastic, and you can't do that on a small budget. The Silver Surfer budget was $130m back in 2007.
Fast and Furious 5 I think too, and just this year GI Retation, Oz the great and powerful and the Croods all crushed it in March. SO........ yeah big box office numbers happen in March too.

__________________
"Wars are never won, regardless of who might be the victor. The very act of war is itself a horrible defeat." Guardian of the Universe "Battleground: Oa!" Green Lantern, 1st Silver Age series, #127, Denny O'Neil)
Paradox1 is online now  
Old 08-02-2013, 05:11 PM   #20
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paradox1 View Post
Fast and Furious 5 I think too, and just this year GI Retation, Oz the great and powerful and the Croods all crushed it in March. SO........ yeah big box office numbers happen in March too.
Fast 5 came out April 29th.

GI Retaliation came out March 28. Croods came out March 22. Oz came out Feb 14.

Now the Croods did do good money, though it is an animated family film, so it is going to do that as long as it gets some traction. GI did not do great numbers. It did solid for its budget, but it didn't even make it to $400m worldwide (ended on $371m). Even if I give you Oz, it started good and then completely died in March. On track early to make well over $500m, it didn't even make to $500m.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 05:01 PM   #21
Scarlet Spider
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 2,475
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Major props to mercureyx for calling this casting months ago. Dude's definitely connencted.

Quote:
Originally Posted by def28 View Post
Elizabeth Olsen as a young Sue is solid casting though Hope thats true.
Me too. Not thrilled over them going the Ultimate route and making the team college-aged, but I love Elizabeth Olsen. She'd make a fantastic young Sue Storm.

Scarlet Spider is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 04:38 PM   #22
Kelly
WE ARE HUNTER RIDER!
SHH! Administrator
 
Kelly's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 58,291
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

I would release it the next week when many colleges and public schools are out for Spring Break and looking for something to do. Then again, opening the week before that hopefully means it will have a solid second week as well without much of a drop off.

__________________
'Listen to yourself and in that quietude you might hear the voice of God' Maya Angelou
Kelly is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 06:53 PM   #23
mclay18
Sexed-up archery
 
mclay18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 8,118
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
How many movies have made great money in March? The Hunger Games, and that was domestic only. Anything else?
Here's a list of other movies that did good to fantastic business in March.

300 - March 9, 2007
The Lorax - March 2, 2012
Alice in Wonderland - March 5, 2010
Oz: The Great & Powerful - March 8, 2013
G.I. Joe: Retaliation - March 28, 2013
How to Train Your Dragon - March 26, 2010
The Croods - March 22, 2013

So there is precedence for March blockbusters. Although some late March movies made most of their money in April...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kelly View Post
I would release it the next week when many colleges and public schools are out for Spring Break and looking for something to do. Then again, opening the week before that hopefully means it will have a solid second week as well without much of a drop off.
The big blockbusters in March sometimes have a steep drop-off the second weekend, but they stabilize in the third and fourth weekends. (Sometimes, they're small but the usual drops are 50% or more.) Animated films don't have that problem, as the drops are a lot smaller.

__________________
Think McFly Think


"Come Think With Us."
mclay18 is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 07:01 PM   #24
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 26,501
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by mclay18 View Post
Here's a list of other movies that did good to fantastic business in March.

300 - March 9, 2007
The Lorax - March 2, 2012
Alice in Wonderland - March 5, 2010
Oz: The Great & Powerful - March 8, 2013
G.I. Joe: Retaliation - March 28, 2013
How to Train Your Dragon - March 26, 2010
The Croods - March 22, 2013

So there is precedence for March blockbusters. Although some late March movies made most of their money in April...



The big blockbusters in March sometimes have a steep drop-off the second weekend, but they stabilize in the third and fourth weekends. (Sometimes, they're small but the usual drops are 50% or more.) Animated films don't have that problem, as the drops are a lot smaller.
Outside of Alice, none of those clear $600m WW. Only the Croods also cleared $500m worldwide.

So basically you have a bunch of family (mostly animated) films and 300. None of which meet the profile of a FF film. If we are talking GI Joe numbers, the budget for the FF would have to be under $150m for even a chance at profit at the back end.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is offline  
Old 08-02-2013, 09:14 PM   #25
mclay18
Sexed-up archery
 
mclay18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 8,118
Default Re: Fantastic Four reborn! - Part 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
Outside of Alice, none of those clear $600m WW. Only the Croods also cleared $500m worldwide.

So basically you have a bunch of family (mostly animated) films and 300. None of which meet the profile of a FF film. If we are talking GI Joe numbers, the budget for the FF would have to be under $150m for even a chance at profit at the back end.
Looking at F4:ROTSS, the whole movie looked extremely well-budgeted for the most part. Fox splashed out on getting WETA to animate Silver Surfer, and everything else still looks reasonably good (and I would prefer a Thing suit than an expensive mo-cap one). Factoring in inflation and such, I think the F4 reboot can be made for around $150M-$165M.

And Fox is almost as fiscally conservative as Paramount is when it comes to big-budget films. (Without reshoot costs, Rise of the Apes cost around $93M in production costs, and they got WETA to do all the visual effects!) Plus Trank knows a thing or two about stretching his dollars, as evidenced in Chronicle.

I think people are grossly overestimating the costs of the F4 reboot. I think it's going to be a reasonably-budgeted film. I doubt Fox is going to spend $180M-$200M just to make the film.

__________________
Think McFly Think


"Come Think With Us."
mclay18 is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:34 PM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. 2014 All Rights Reserved.