The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[MessiahDecoy123]

opening weekend - 125 m

total domestic gross - 345 m

total worldwide gross - 680 m

[topdog1]

opening weekend - 144 m

total domestic gross - 390 m

total worldwide gross - 707 m

[S.A.A.D.]

Domestic: 333,???,???
Foreign:338,???,???
WW: $671,???,???

[S.A.A.D.]

Has anyone heard what the tracking is for this movie? Opening week that,or is it too soon?

[Shivsguy616]

Why do people tend to bother with how much a film makes specifically in its own country? The total figure is all that actually matters, after all.

[matrix_ghost]

Dom : 400 million
WW : 800-900 million

[THE MR. TERRIFIC]

About 600-700M WW

[Juha]

I had to check the previous box office numbers...the first movie did better than I remembered!

When it comes to the sequel:
opening weekend 135 m
domestic gross 380 m + foreign gross 310 m
= worldwide gross 690 m

At minimum.

[dennisv]

Do the words "a f***ton" say something? Yeah, it's gonna make a f***ton.

[Spider-Vader]

Domestic- 400 million
World Wide- 600-900 million

[Ironfan72]

I think $800 Million is a good number, it may make more, but the hype is bigger this time and Iron Man now has a much bigger fan base, so that helps.

[Son of Coul]

Taking into account the first one made over 500 mil, the fact that sequels always make more, and how the media and mainstream celeb shows like ET and Access Hollywood are building this movie up, if only for its star power, I'd say just over 700 mil WW.

[Catman]

The first movie opened with $98.6 million, grossed $318.4 million total domestically, and $585.1 million worldwide.

The general assumption is that Iron Man 2 will gross more since it's a sequel. Just remember that it isn't always the case. Spider-Man 2 didn't outgross Spider-Man, for example. The real factor is competition. Iron Man didn't have any real competition for three weeks since Speed Racer and Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian underperformed. The same could happen with Robin Hood, Prince of Persia, and Sex and the City 2. But, then again, you never know.

So, just to play it safe, let's say its opening weekend is over $100 million. With hype and inflation that's very possible. But it'll slow down with Shrek Forever After since that's a family movie. The first three Shrek movies were very successful, so that could be repeated. So, let's just say that the final domestic gross is over $300 million but under $350 million with the worldwide gross between $600-700 million.

[Dark Victory]

Opening Weekend: $105,000,000
Domestic Total: $350,000,000
WW total: $700,000,000

[Doctor Jones]

Opening Weekend: $110,000,000 - $120,000,000
Domestic Total: $325,000,000
World Wide Total: $600,000,000 - $750,000,000

[FaT_tONle]

OW-160 million
Domestic-370 million
WW-680 million

[FaT_tONle]

OW-160 million
Domestic-370 million
WW-680 million

[Sentinel X]

OW: 140
Domestic: 400
WW: 800

[Chewy]

Exactly one month from Wednesday Tony Stark, Pepper Potts and the other personalities of "Iron Man" will return to make witty mayhem in the superhero sequel.

And exactly three days after that, we could have a new domestic box-office record.

Stark himself, never lacking in suave self-confidence, probably wouldn't make such a bold boast. But it's entirely feasible.

According to just-released tracking surveys, director Jon Favreau's second installment in the Marvel franchise is showing astonishing levels of interest and awareness well ahead of its three-day opening next month. There are enough statistical indications to think the first-weekend gross could top the $158.4-million "Dark Knight" haul, the current record-holder for the biggest (non inflation-adjusted) opening weekend.

Christopher Nolan's Batman sequel grossed that amount when it opened over a three-day weekend in July 2008. The same spring/summer period brought the release of "Iron Man." The character was new to mainstream audiences, star Robert Downey Jr. had yet to engineer his Hollywood comeback and Favreau was riding a cold streak ("Zathura: A Space Adventure," anyone?). The movie still opened to an impressive $98 million, and went on to gross more than $318 million domestically.

But this year's sequel opening on May 7 should pulverize that figure. Thanks in part to Downey, the Paramount-distributed film is drawing as much (strong) interest among women over 30 as it is among women in their 20s, the tracking surveys show. Males in their teens and 20s are so keen on the film they may as well dress up in an iron suit. About the only people who aren't fully sold are teen girls, but there are signs of robustness there too.

And all this doesn't even count the intangibles. The movie generated a titanic reception at last summer's Comic-Con International in San Diego, the kind that happens only once every few years, if that. The "Iron Man 2" trailers have practically shut down YouTube. And according to one rival studio, "Iron Man" is now among the most-liked franchises in Hollywood, right up there with "Spider-Man." (It also doesn't hurt that ticket prices have inched upward in the past two years, although the 2-D "Iron Man 2" likely won't touch the domestic record of $742.5 million set by last year's 3-D "Avatar.")

Of course, shattering a box-office record isn't the same as making a creative breakthrough. "Dark Knight" was a singular cultural phenomenon, adored by critics, loved by the public and regarded in the fan universe as the great example of superhero movies, the Giselle Bündchen of the form. Whether "Iron Man 2" will be similarly embraced remains to be seen. From the advance material, we're expecting more humor than we got in the Batman follow-up but not necessarily the same level of grit or complexity.

Still, a combination of pop-culture awareness, hugely appealing (and promotion-minded) actors and a smartly waged marketing campaign could send "Iron Man 2" on the path to a record. That is, for now -- "Batman 3," after all, is currently in development, and given the tendency of superhero sequels to expand audiences as they go, that movie could eventually land with even more box-office force. Your move, Nolan.

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[topdog1]

Originally Posted by Chewy

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Oh boy, I can smell the Nolanites and the batfanboys already starting to mount their anti-IM2 campaign. I bet a few of them have their canned "bad" reviews already typed up simply waiting to add a few details before they storm the net and try to bash the film. Trust me, it'll happen regardless of the film's quality.

[kedrell]

^Heh, screw them. This film is likely heading well north of $400M domestic(provided it's of the same or better caliber as the first movie, which so far looks to be true) and will probably settle in at the $800M - $1B range worldwide. I can easily see this setting a new opening weekend record. Beating TDK's domestic take will be quite a streach but is far from impossible. This is definitely the odds on frontrunner for biggest movie of the year. Not bad for a '2nd tier' superhero property.

[FaT_tONle]

Alice and Wonderland opened with what??? 120 million??? And some of you guys have it barely over a 100 mill. Big OW are to be expected these days so I think 150 has to be the minimum when you adjust for inflation and the works. 400 domestic isn't a huge stretch either, but it could fall short if the reception comes up a little short.

[War Party]

$161 million opening weekend!

[kedrell]

^That's about what I'm guessing.

[Venomfan]

how did the first movie do in comparison to Batman Begins? by all means Batman Begins should have made much more money since Iron Man was a nobody to most people, but i have a feeling Iron Man made more money. Going by that theres a chance it could beat TDK if its a real good movie