The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[batman44]

If Iron Man 2 does better than TDK then good for Favreau and the crew. I don't know why people get so caught up in "my movie did better then yours"

[Ajendo]

IM2 doing better than TDK is beside the point. IM2 needs to outperform the first movie in every way.

[Anita18]

Originally Posted by FaT_tONle

Alice and Wonderland opened with what??? 120 million??? And some of you guys have it barely over a 100 mill. Big OW are to be expected these days so I think 150 has to be the minimum when you adjust for inflation and the works. 400 domestic isn't a huge stretch either, but it could fall short if the reception comes up a little short.

I know, right?

And I don't get why everyone thinks TDK's opening records are that special anymore. I'm still surprised it made so much money in the first place considering how dark and serious it is, and it certainly was huge at that time, but TF2 almost beat TDK's 5-day record, and Harry Potter and then Twilight effin' New Moon beat its midnight opening. And then along came Avatar.

It's pretty safe to assume that box office records will be broken every year now. It's just one of those eras.

[mclay18]

Originally Posted by topdog1

Oh boy, I can smell the Nolanites and the batfanboys already starting to mount their anti-IM2 campaign. I bet a few of them have their canned "bad" reviews already typed up simply waiting to add a few details before they storm the net and try to bash the film. Trust me, it'll happen regardless of the film's quality.

I'm still seething over New Moon breaking TDK's record last November. I'm perfectly fine with IM2 possibly breaking that, since it'll just be so much better on principal (even if it turns out inferior to the first one) than... gag... Twilight.

[JeanVitchier]

If IM2 doesn't break TDK records, does it mean that it's a flop? Why all the hate towards IM2.

[matrix_ghost]

Originally Posted by FaT_tONle

Alice and Wonderland opened with what??? 120 million??? And some of you guys have it barely over a 100 mill. Big OW are to be expected these days so I think 150 has to be the minimum when you adjust for inflation and the works. 400 domestic isn't a huge stretch either, but it could fall short if the reception comes up a little short.

Yeah but you have to factor in the 3-d which greatly helped the OW.
But yeah i do agree with the rest of your post. Iron Man will open huge and if the running time isn't too long , it has a very good chance of beating TDK's opening weekend.

Originally Posted by topdog1

Oh boy, I can smell the Nolanites and the batfanboys already starting to mount their anti-IM2 campaign. I bet a few of them have their canned "bad" reviews already typed up simply waiting to add a few details before they storm the net and try to bash the film. Trust me, it'll happen regardless of the film's quality.

And there will Iron Man 2 fans who will mount a anti-Batman 3 campaign if that movie break IM2 opening weekend.
In both cases those are dumbasses because they should realise
A) records are always meant to be broken
B) geeks , nerds & comic book fans all over the world should instead take pride in this singular achievement :
"Iron Man 2 is going to break the records set by that POS New Moon "

[matrix_ghost]

Originally Posted by JeanVitchier

If IM2 doesn't break TDK records, does it mean that it's a flop? Why all the hate towards IM2.

Hardly.
I think it would definately be something to discuss about it Iron Man 2 made less then the first movie because all signs point out that the movie will ourgross the first movie.
Iron Man 2 has 2 weeks before Shrek 3 opens.
At the end of the first week TDK was at the $313,781,677 mark , at the end of the 2nd week $393,751,065.
I do think that IM2 must be able to hit 400 million given the performance of the first movie & hype that IM2 is getting

[Anita18]

Originally Posted by mclay18

I'm still seething over New Moon breaking TDK's record last November. I'm perfectly fine with IM2 possibly breaking that, since it'll just be so much better on principal (even if it turns out inferior to the first one) than... gag... Twilight.

One good thing is that that means there's actually crazier movie fans out there than TDK fans.

Originally Posted by matrix_ghost

And there will Iron Man 2 fans who will mount a anti-Batman 3 campaign if that movie break IM2 opening weekend.
In both cases those are dumbasses because they should realise
A) records are always meant to be broken
B) geeks , nerds & comic book fans all over the world should instead take pride in this singular achievement :
"Iron Man 2 is going to break the records set by that POS New Moon "

IM2 fanboys vs Twilight fangirls, FIGHT!

[Tony Stark]

You guys are forgetting that ticket prices jumped 2% this year. I think opening weekend, it's almost guaranteed to break the records.

To beat TDK's total haul will be harder because TDK was a mid summer release so the weekday numbers will be stronger for TDK than they will be for IM2.

If the movie gets decent reviews and has legs, It's bound to be a 400 mill plus picture.

[Doctor Jones]

Whatever. I don't get why all of you are so concerned whether or not it beats anything. Who ****ing cares if Twlight beats TDK? It doesn't make it better, more people just saw it is all. Which means more people saw a worse film.

[jmc]

On behalf of the sane Batman fans I'll apologize in advance for any hate that may follow IM breaking TDK's opening record by the nutters.

[Son of Coul]

Originally Posted by Doctor Jones

Whatever. I don't get why all of you are so concerned whether or not it beats anything. Who ****ing cares if Twlight beats TDK? It doesn't make it better, more people just saw it is all. Which means more people saw a worse film.

Yeah I never got the obsession with breaking box office records and bizarre fanboy wars over whose movie makes more. I don't give a **** if the only person in the world who pays to see it is me, as long as it's good.

[kedrell]

Originally Posted by Doctor Jones

Whatever. I don't get why all of you are so concerned whether or not it beats anything. Who ****ing cares if Twlight beats TDK? It doesn't make it better, more people just saw it is all. Which means more people saw a worse film.

Might as well ask why sports fans get into fights about which team is better. The natural human competitive spirit is alive and kicking still.

[Son of Coul]

It can be kinda fun if you don't take the argument too seriously. Like when I went to a Giants/Jets preseason game and fans flinging jokes back and forth, but it was all in good fun.

[Sentinel X]

Originally Posted by Doctor Jones

Whatever. I don't get why all of you are so concerned whether or not it beats anything. Who ****ing cares if Twlight beats TDK? It doesn't make it better, more people just saw it is all. Which means more people saw a worse film.

I don't get posts like these. Do you want people to stop tracking box office or what?

Its fun watching your favorite movies break box office records. I don't see whats not to get.

[samsnee]

Imagine if this movie was in 3-d and higher ticket prices...it would def beat the record.

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by samsnee

Imagine if this movie was in 3-d and higher ticket prices...it would def beat the record.

Nah, Clash of the Titans proved that you can't do 3D post production. If you're going to do 3D it has to be pre-planned like Avatar, and right from the get-go.

Avatar might have started the 3D craze, but I think Clash of the Titans just killed it.

[FaT_tONle]

Clash without 3-D opens at what? 55 million? If that? That's decent, but considering the budget and the cast/effects, it's hardly impressive. If this was in 3-D then I could see it opening at 90 million opening day. Moon was what? 70 million? Then they end up dropping over 60% the next week in most cases. Just goes to show how these opening day/weekend records are meaningless.

[Chewy]

**** 3-D

3-D is what it is, and we don't need to see every big blockbuster in 3-D. If anything, I'm more excited that they're sticking to their guns and releasing the movie they wanted to make rather than doing a quick 3-D conversion for the added B.O.

[Deaths Head II]

Yes, I'm also really happy this isn't getting a 3D conversion. I like 3D but only the films that were made with 3D in mind and not just because 3D is the cool thing to do nowadays.

[Catman]

$400-420 million domestically. $850-900 million worldwide. Anyone gonna challenge that?

[StylishHokie21]

Originally Posted by Chewy

**** 3-D

3-D is what it is, and we don't need to see every big blockbuster in 3-D. If anything, I'm more excited that they're sticking to their guns and releasing the movie they wanted to make rather than doing a quick 3-D conversion for the added B.O.

Agreed. It's completely unnecessary. I love how they're making a third Step Up movie in ****ing 3D. Can you believe that?

[hatebox]

Hard to say for this movie. Massive opening weekend certainly , at least 130m, but then word of mouth and reviews will determine the rest.

I can't see it getting many more people who didn't see the first one, unlike, say TDK. The hype for IM2 is solid, but nothing about it suggests it'll be much different to its predecessor. They're basically saying: if you liked IM you'll like IM2. It's business as usual. Except there's another Iron Man-esque guy and Scarlett too.

I'm going to be conservative and guess high 300s for domestic. May openings are good to start off but harder to have legs because all the competition is ahead of you. It also depends on how well Robin Hood does, which doesn't have much hype but could still do damage opening a week later. As for WW? haven't got a clue.

[Superman]

Why is America getting this movie a week after the rest of the world?

It's an American movie based on an American comic book. America should get it first.

[kedrell]

^That question's been asked elsewhere, believe me. Of course, the first movie opened like this as well.