The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[TheVileOne]

No one wants to see Dark Shadows in IMAX.

[Avenger]

Dark Shadows really doesn't strike me as an IMAX type of movie. What a strange pairing.

[spider-neil]

Originally Posted by Avenger

Dark Shadows really doesn't strike me as an IMAX type of movie. What a strange pairing.

no interest in seeing this movie whatsoever, let alone in IMAX.

[TheVileOne]

I think WB realizes that. But they spent $150 million on that turd so whatever.

[flickchick85]

Originally Posted by TheVileOne

No one wants to see Dark Shadows in IMAX.

I'll see Bruno Delbonnel's cinematography on an IMAX screen any chance I can get, tbh.

[TheVileOne]

Meh, not paying extra just to see someone's cinematography on IMAX even if I respect him.

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by Iceman

Common sense wins out!

Yeah, I knew it wouldn't be pulled, otherwise AMC/United Artists/Regal Entertainment/Disney/Marvel would enter a class action lawsuit against IMAX/WB for anti-trust breach and loss of revenue, and they would win and WB's exclusivity contract with IMAX would be voided.

[Jordanstine]

Topic at BoxOffice.com is how fast The Avengers can hit $250 million.

Day 4 - Monday, or Day 5 - Tuesday?

TDK holds the record at 1 week and 1 day.

[T"Challa]

Well, according to early reviews and tweets from th Dark Shadows premiere, the movie isn't very good..so i guess that kinda sorta bodes well for Avengers

[Chewy]

Originally Posted by T"Challa

Well, according to early reviews and tweets from th Dark Shadows premiere, the movie isn't very good..so i guess that kinda sorta bodes well for Avengers

It wouldn't have affected Avengers regardless. Avengers has no real competition until big Willy's train wreck comes out Memorial weekend.

[spider-neil]

I can't believe they played dark shadows for laughs. I was looking forward that movie and when I saw the trailer for the first time I almost switched off before the end. this movie is a total miss for me, not even going to bother on dvd.

[Raiden]

Originally Posted by T"Challa

Well, according to early reviews and tweets from th Dark Shadows premiere, the movie isn't very good..so i guess that kinda sorta bodes well for Avengers

I think perhaps in another time of the year, I might be interested in this movie because it has many talented actors in the cast, not to mention Tim Burton directing this movie, but right now I can't really muster any interest in it. I'm not surprised if this movie is receiving bad reviews, because the trailer was rather lackluster, with Eva Green being the only one I'm interested in.

The Avengers probably would be crowned #1 for three straight weeks until MIBIII's arrival, and that is only because of Will Smith.

[04nbod]

Originally Posted by JB-the-Hunter

Looking at the poll up there, I'm wondering why so many people voted for 800 million. It's gonna make that much in it's second week. What about this movie gave you the impression that it wouldn't reach 1B? It's like Transformers, but better in every single way.

I voted 900M because I thought there would be a significant crossover audience. Its Iron Man 2 plus 3d plus the curiosity factor. Considering Thor and Cap came in so close at the box office it seemed $190M was the core domestic marvel cinematic universe audience. I underestimated the interest from the general audience or it really is Iron Man fans, plus Thor fans, plus Hulk fans plus Cap fans.

[JB-the-Hunter]

Originally Posted by 04nbod

I voted 900M because I thought there would be a significant crossover audience. Its Iron Man 2 plus 3d plus the curiosity factor. Considering Thor and Cap came in so close at the box office it seemed $190M was the core domestic marvel cinematic universe audience. I underestimated the interest from the general audience or it really is Iron Man fans, plus Thor fans, plus Hulk fans plus Cap fans.

So I guess nobody listened when we used the Batman Begins to The Dark Knight jump as a comparison. Maybe you weren't one of those people, or maybe you were, but still, I always felt it was a valid point and people just ignored it.

[Paladin-Hoss]

Man...looking at this numbers...

Just think how much of a MONSTER the sequel gonna be

[Mr. Immortal]

With the kind of numbers this flick is posting, I'm hoping that they bump Avengers II to 2014...

[spider-neil]

Originally Posted by Mr. Immortal

With the kind of numbers this flick is posting, I'm hoping that they bump Avengers II to 2014...

for that to happen they would need to make thor, cap and IM all in one year and I don't see that happening.

[Webfoot Hero]

Originally Posted by Mr. Immortal

With the kind of numbers this flick is posting, I'm hoping that they bump Avengers II to 2014...

I don't think they will since it won't give them much production time to work on all the movies they have in place on the schedule. Releasing in 2014 would also be a no-go with CA 2 since that's suppose to release that year. I don't think Marvel could get both movies in without short-changing at least one, but most likely both.

[Mr. Immortal]

Originally Posted by spider-neil

for that to happen they would need to make thor, cap and IM all in one year and I don't see that happening.

It is currently 2012.

IM and Thor will be happening in 2013.

Cap will be happening the first part of 2014.

Avengers in the later half of 2014?

I'm not sure I follow your math, son.

[xeno000]

Originally Posted by flickchick85

I'll see Bruno Delbonnel's cinematography on an IMAX screen any chance I can get, tbh.

Really? What does the cinematography matter when the story is tripe? But then, I've heard of people who love Rihanna's music because they think she's attractive. A singer's looks have as little to do with how she sounds as the cinematography has to do with the quality of the script, direction and performances in a film. **shrugs**

[Mr. Immortal]

Originally Posted by Webfoot Hero

I don't think they will since it won't give them much production time to work on all the movies they have in place on the schedule. Releasing in 2014 would also be a no-go with CA 2 since that's suppose to release that year. I don't think Marvel could get both movies in without short-changing at least one, but most likely both.

You'd think so, but most people on this board don't realize The Avengers was an extremely rushed production. The crew has stated it more than a few times. I don't care too much either way, but they could definitely move A2 up if they wanted.

[Webfoot Hero]

Originally Posted by Mr. Immortal

You'd think so, but most people on this board don't realize The Avengers was an extremely rushed production. The crew has stated it more than a few times. I don't care too much either way, but they could definitely move A2 up if they wanted.

But A2 would be even more rushed if they moved it up to 2014 alongside Cap 2. I just think it's smarter to let Cap 2 get released before A2 so both get adequate marketing when they come out.

[kedrell]

Originally Posted by Jordanstine

Topic at BoxOffice.com is how fast The Avengers can hit $250 million.

Day 4 - Monday, or Day 5 - Tuesday?

TDK holds the record at 1 week and 1 day.

Monday I don't think is possible. It'd need a 42.6M Monday. This is May, ain't gonna happen. It could get in the $15-20M range for Monday and hold relatively well on Tuesday and maybe, just maybe get there by the end of Tuesday, but I doubt it. Odds are it'll hit $250M on Wednesday(6 days).

[Mr. Immortal]

Originally Posted by Webfoot Hero

But A2 would be even more rushed if they moved it up to 2014 alongside Cap 2. I just think it's smarter to let Cap 2 get released before A2 so both get adequate marketing when they come out.

I also think it might be a better idea to let the public recover from this movie for a good two years, too. They should be announcing the other 2014 film soon, so we'll find out either way.

[kedrell]

I think it'll be at $265M by the end on Thursday(give or take $5M). Should definitely be able to reach $350M by next weekends end on Sunday. I'm predicting it crosses the $400M threshold on Battleships's opening day(friday 5/18/12).