2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 3

[Thread Manager]

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

[Thread Manager]

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

[DoomsdayApex]

Originally Posted by :eek:

Boxoffice.com predicts $186 million opening weekend for The Dark Knight Rises and $520 million in total. Remains to see if they're underestimating it as badly as they did with Avengers and The Hunger Games. Then again, it might be trickier to predict first movies in a franchise than a a third movie.

I agree. It's complex to predict how much TDKR will make on OW and WW. The marketing is in full swing now, and WB has made some brilliant moves to get Batmania established by July 20th.

[rayc1971]

most site who predicted 70mill ow for mib3 were spot on.it is tracking at that number i guess if it pulls 35 mill next weekend it can do 200 mill domestic.200 mill domestic would be a good number for this flick

[Hush]

Plus reviews are not horrible for it.

[FilmNerdJamie]

Originally Posted by :eek:

Boxoffice.com predicts $186 million opening weekend for The Dark Knight Rises and $520 million in total. Remains to see if they're underestimating it as badly as they did with Avengers and The Hunger Games. Then again, it might be trickier to predict first movies in a franchise than a a third movie.

At this point, I'm willing to believe The Dark Knight Rises could hit that high domestic. Had that opening (Low $190Ms wouldn't surprise) for awhile now - even before The Avengers cracked the $200M 3-day nut.

Prometheus, while I've heard great things (Buddy of mine said it was better than Aliens and Scott's best since Black Hawk Down though he did advice I see Alien beforehand!), don't know if the public is going to flock to see.

[dark_b]

it will be interesting to see how much Prometheus makes. i wonder if it would make more in march when John Carter was realesed. 12 days until i watch Prometheus. ohh yeah

[The Morningstar]

It's strange that there hasn't been any reviews for Prometheus yet. If there is no reviews starting to come out tomorrow i could start to get worried. Either Fox are worried about the critical reception or they might just still be playing the "top secret" game with it.

[dark_b]

the march trailer was the last footage i saw. but i read on movie sites that FOX realesed 2 big trailers that spoiled the story and one poster. so i think they dont care .

[The Morningstar]

Ehh none of the trailers or tv spots really spoil anything. Some shocking images but how they all fit together and the "big picture" is still a mystery.

[terry78]

http://boxofficemojo.com/

MIB took it from Avengers at long last. I love Avengers, but it felt like the summer season doesn't really start until we start getting some healthy competition.

[HighFivingMF]

Originally Posted by dark_b

the march trailer was the last footage i saw. but i read on movie sites that FOX realesed 2 big trailers that spoiled the story and one poster. so i think they dont care .

I watched the preview of the first trailer, haven't watched one since, haven't looked at a poster and looked away during TV spots. I'm thoroughly unspoiled.

[mclay18]

Originally Posted by terry78

http://boxofficemojo.com/

MIB took it from Avengers at long last. I love Avengers, but it felt like the summer season doesn't really start until we start getting some healthy competition.

Even though MIB3 won the weekend, it didn't set a record. Sony was expecting a $75M-80M Memorial Day opening weekend -- but they're on track for $70M now. And the film had a whopping $225M-$300M pricetag, and I think MIB3 will take a hit next week when Snow White & The Huntsman comes out.

[CConn]

You people with your SWATH love.

[DoomsdayApex]

Haven't the early reactions been lukewarm for SWATH?

[Bruce Malone]

I think its something that's not getting that much attention anymore but what about the hunger games slowly crawling its way to 400 million?

[:eek:]

Sunday Update: Sony reports that Men in Black 3 will reach the $200 million worldwide plateau by the end of Monday. The studio estimates that $70 million of that will come from North America. MiB3 is currently playing in 106 territories and it's the #1 film in 104 of them.

[Raiden]

Originally Posted by CConn

You people with your SWATH love.

Well, the trailers for this movie have been good, and having both Charlize Theron and Chris Hemsworth in the cast really sells the movie for me. Not saying that it will be automatically be good, but I think it will at least be entertaining.

[mclay18]

Originally Posted by CConn

You people with your SWATH love.

I don't have a hard-on for this movie, but Universal has been marketing it hard and very well. MIB3 has decent word-of-mouth, and it shouldn't drop too hard even with SWATH in theaters. Even if SWATH isn't as good as it appears to be, it should have a decent opening.

[Liam_H]

Originally Posted by DoomsdayApex

Haven't the early reactions been lukewarm for SWATH?

Also I believe press screening are till like Tuesday or Wednesday, usually when its that close to the release date its not a positive sign.

[DACrowe]

Those numbers make me think the audience is very weary on Hollywood cash-grab retreads. Even though MIB3 got (mostly) good reviews and solid WOM, $70 million in a 4-day holiday weekend is not good...especially for Will Smith.

I think this skepticism we're seeing from moviegoers spells bad things for TASM, Total Recall and The Expendables 2. It also makes me very curious as to what SWATH, a potential franchise-starter, will do.

COOL THOUGHT: Maybe this means audiences want stronger women in their blockbusters now. Katniss and Black Widow say hi.

[DoomsdayApex]

Originally Posted by Liam_H

Also I believe press screening are till like Tuesday or Wednesday, usually when its that close to the release date its not a positive sign.

Uh-oh. Yeah, that doesn't sound comforting at all.

[The Morningstar]

When did Prometheus have press screenings? If that film is crap i will probably cry. And i don't mean critical reception, i don't care about that, i mean if when i see it i find it crap, it'll be like a gut shot.

[DoomsdayApex]

Originally Posted by The Morningstar

When did Prometheus have press screenings? If that film is crap i will probably cry. And i don't mean critical reception, i don't care about that, i mean if when i see it i find it crap, it'll be like a gut shot.

NOT. GONNA. HAPPEN.

Don't think like that. Prometheus must not fail.

[rayc1971]

Originally Posted by DACrowe

Those numbers make me think the audience is very weary on Hollywood cash-grab retreads. Even though MIB3 got (mostly) good reviews and solid WOM, $70 million in a 4-day holiday weekend is not good...especially for Will Smith.

I think this skepticism we're seeing from moviegoers spells bad things for TASM, Total Recall and The Expendables 2. It also makes me very curious as to what SWATH, a potential franchise-starter, will do.

COOL THOUGHT: Maybe this means audiences want stronger women in their blockbusters now. Katniss and Black Widow say hi.

yeah 70 mill 4 day is not good for will smith summer blockbuster.i thought it would do 70 mill in 3 days and another 15 mill on the holliday.i think this will be a hint of what spiderman does because people are luke warm on it.total recall will bomb colin ferrel wont carry it.swath i think will be a hit you got the twilight crowd and the thor crowd interested in it.with amazing spiderman if its good it will be like batman bigins with not crazy domestic numbers the sequel like the darknight could make a lot of money