The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 - Page 35

Stark Bauer · 07-05-2012, 08:29 PM

^ Yeah good point. The demand for this movie shows. It is averaging a good amount per theater and ranks in the top 6 consistently, despite the wave of new releases in the SUMMER.

Summer movies have a high turnover rate and it certainly is rare to see a movie released in the beginning of May still holding up pretty well in the beginning of July. TA is a fighter, and a survivor. Certainly.

Vartha · 07-07-2012, 09:42 AM

MAN I can't believe Avengers is soooo close to 1.5 BIL!

thalidomide · 07-07-2012, 11:55 AM

So what's the status of the Avengers so far?

KangConquers · 07-07-2012, 12:00 PM

$609 M DOM, $841 M FOR, $1.45 B WW. Japan will push into the $1.5-1.6 B range.

Superhero 101 · 07-07-2012, 12:05 PM

$1,450,714,000

I don't know if Japan can make it to 1.5 but i really hope it does

KangConquers · 07-07-2012, 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Superhero 101

$1,450,714,000

I don't know if Japan can make it to 1.5 but i really hope it does

Japan will likely push it far beyond 1.5 B.

thalidomide · 07-07-2012, 12:29 PM

incredible

TheVileOne · 07-07-2012, 12:43 PM

Just think if they would re-release another cut in theaters they could probably push it to $2.0 billion

.

Jordanstine · 07-07-2012, 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KangConquers

$609 M DOM, $841 M FOR, $1.45 B WW. Japan will push into the $1.5-1.6 B range.

Japan would need to rake in something close to $40M.

Early projections indicated that Avengers may track somewhere around $30M in Japan... how close to the actual is still up in the air.

It's going to be really close for sure based on Japan's reception of Amazing Spider-Man too since it's looking like it won't even make $50M over there like it's previous films, and Spider-Man has been Japan's biggest superhero money maker.

The DOM market is slowly dying with Avengers playing in just 1100 theaters now dropping close to 50% for the first time this Friday.

It's going to be real close.

Lady Marion · 07-07-2012, 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Superhero 101

$1,450,714,000

I don't know if Japan can make it to 1.5 but i really hope it does

What a number. Impressive.

Iceman · 07-07-2012, 04:12 PM

If they have all this extra footage a rerelease would be free money. Not sure when would be the best time for it though.

xeno000 · 07-08-2012, 12:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Iceman

If they have all this extra footage a rerelease would be free money. Not sure when would be the best time for it though.

Marvel can re-release The Avengers at awards time. Although it probably won't be up for the major awards, it ought to get nommed for visual effects and some of the other technical categories. That would be enough to justify putting it back into theaters in the slack winter quarter.

Bruce Malone · 07-08-2012, 12:49 AM

Would any of you actually want to see the movie again in theaters in a few moths though? I'm assuming you'd all have the blu rays by that point.

Paladin-Hoss · 07-08-2012, 06:58 AM

I would.

xeno000 · 07-08-2012, 07:45 AM

I'd be there with bells on. Seeing it in a theater is a far better experience than watching it on a TV, for me at least.

Octavias · 07-08-2012, 12:39 PM

The thing to remember is from this point on TDK made 12 million more dollars... The projections are real solid for TA ending with 623 million for a long time now. if the movie gets bumped out because of theater space earlier than that, a re-release becomes more and more likely, much like TDK did. (it was dfown to 6 theaters at one point) No use leaving millions on the table...

Lady Marion · 07-08-2012, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruce Malone

Would any of you actually want to see the movie again in theaters in a few moths though? I'm assuming you'd all have the blu rays by that point.

Sure I would. Some movies I would love to see again in theaters, even if they were on free TV already, Lord of the Rings, Star Wars, Indianan Jones 1-3. It's a greater experience that home cinema can't reach.

Silver Surfer · 07-08-2012, 02:18 PM

I hope I'm wrong but I don't see Japan pushing it over 1.5B.

Tymminator · 07-09-2012, 01:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Silver Surfer

I hope I'm wrong but I don't see Japan pushing it over 1.5B.

I totally see it pushing it over.

Jordanstine · 07-10-2012, 03:13 PM

It took 66 days for The Avengers to finally get a huge drop over 50%.

Sunday drop = 56% and Monday drop = 63% ouch!

Forecasts if the drops are consistent with this week:

~ $613.6 million after July 15th.

~ $614.9 million after July 22nd.

~ $615.7 million after July 29th.

eddy · 07-10-2012, 08:20 PM

I almost wish it could finish at 616 million.

TheVileOne · 07-10-2012, 08:41 PM

Why? Why not finish at maybe $620 million or more?

Tony Stark · 07-10-2012, 11:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jordanstine

It took 66 days for The Avengers to finally get a huge drop over 50%.

Sunday drop = 56% and Monday drop = 63% ouch!

Forecasts if the drops are consistent with this week:

~ $613.6 million after July 15th.

~ $614.9 million after July 22nd.

~ $615.7 million after July 29th.

Well that's mainly because TASM caused it to lose what few screens it was showing on. I can tell you in my area on July 2nd it still had screens on every major theater in down. On July 3rd it was pulled from everywhere except the AMC theaters, where it was down to two or three showings per day.

kedrell · 07-11-2012, 02:23 AM

I want it to get to at least $623M so it can clinch that 3X multiplier.

spideymouse · 07-11-2012, 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jordanstine

It took 66 days for The Avengers to finally get a huge drop over 50%.

Sunday drop = 56% and Monday drop = 63% ouch!

Forecasts if the drops are consistent with this week:

~ $613.6 million after July 15th.

~ $614.9 million after July 22nd.

~ $615.7 million after July 29th.

I don't think the drops will be consistent in the following three weekends, based on what's being released each of those weeks.

View Poll Results: What will be the world-wide box office take of The Avengers?
1.5 billion >	7	4.93%
1.0 billion >	31	21.83%
900 million >	30	21.13%
800 million >	46	32.39%
700 million >	20	14.08%
600 million >	1	0.70%
500 million >	6	4.23%
400 million >	0	0%
300 million >	1	0.70%
200 million >	0	0%
Voters: 142. You may not vote on this poll

07-05-2012, 08:29 PM	#851
Stark Bauer Side-Kick Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 63	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 ^ Yeah good point. The demand for this movie shows. It is averaging a good amount per theater and ranks in the top 6 consistently, despite the wave of new releases in the SUMMER. Summer movies have a high turnover rate and it certainly is rare to see a movie released in the beginning of May still holding up pretty well in the beginning of July. TA is a fighter, and a survivor. Certainly.

07-07-2012, 09:42 AM	#852
Vartha Mod of Thunder SHH! Global Moderator Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: north west Arkansas Posts: 21,750	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 MAN I can't believe Avengers is soooo close to 1.5 BIL! __________________ Responsibility, Duty, Honor these are not mere virtues to which we must aspire they're Essential...to every soldier ....to every King. THOR MAY 6TH 2011 http://movies.groups.yahoo.com/group...ghtythormovie/

07-07-2012, 11:55 AM	#853
thalidomide The Enemy Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Parts, Unknown Posts: 1,142	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 So what's the status of the Avengers so far? __________________ Every damn word I say is a sneak attack!

07-07-2012, 12:00 PM	#854
KangConquers Purple Kang, Purple Kang Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 6,216	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 $609 M DOM, $841 M FOR, $1.45 B WW. Japan will push into the $1.5-1.6 B range. __________________ Marvel Slate: 2013: Iron Man 3, The Wolverine, Thor: The Dark World 2014: Captain America: The Winter Soldier, The Amazing Spider-Man 2, X-Men: Days of Future Past, Guardians of the Galaxy, Big Hero 6 2015: Fantastic 4 Reborn, Avengers 2, Ant-Man Your move, DC...

07-07-2012, 12:05 PM	#855
Superhero 101 DESI Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 6,493	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 $1,450,714,000 I don't know if Japan can make it to 1.5 but i really hope it does __________________ Summer 2013: Iron Man 3 8.5/10 Star Trek Into Darkness 9/10 Fast And Furious 6 Hangover III Man of Steel The Wolverine

07-07-2012, 12:29 PM	#857
thalidomide The Enemy Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Parts, Unknown Posts: 1,142	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 incredible __________________ Every damn word I say is a sneak attack!

07-07-2012, 12:43 PM	#858
TheVileOne Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: California Posts: 32,287	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 Just think if they would re-release another cut in theaters they could probably push it to $2.0 billion . __________________ "This is true. This is real. This . . . Is . . . Straight Edge." - CM Punk

07-07-2012, 04:12 PM	#861
Iceman XMN AVNGRS JL Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Londinium, North of Gaul, circa XLIII AD Posts: 38,620	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 If they have all this extra footage a rerelease would be free money. Not sure when would be the best time for it though. __________________ 360GT: Miramax7000 CONTEST OF MARVELS II Brackets I & II Brackets III & IV Brackets V & VI Brackets VII & VIII Discussion Thread

07-08-2012, 12:49 AM	#863
Bruce Malone Who's Bad? Join Date: May 2009 Location: Stay out of my territory Posts: 3,320	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 Would any of you actually want to see the movie again in theaters in a few moths though? I'm assuming you'd all have the blu rays by that point.

07-08-2012, 06:58 AM	#864
Paladin-Hoss Side-Kick Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,517	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 I would.

07-08-2012, 07:45 AM	#865
xeno000 Caw caw, mutha****ers! Join Date: May 2011 Location: In the Raven's Nest Posts: 4,113	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 I'd be there with bells on. Seeing it in a theater is a far better experience than watching it on a TV, for me at least. __________________ "I still believe in heroes." - Nick Fury #COULSONLIVES I'm not gonna gloat (much) but I was right! Coulson's Army: Stronger than Death

07-08-2012, 12:39 PM	#866
Octavias Mad Insomniac Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Well, you know where the pinnicle of perfection is Posts: 2,926	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 The thing to remember is from this point on TDK made 12 million more dollars... The projections are real solid for TA ending with 623 million for a long time now. if the movie gets bumped out because of theater space earlier than that, a re-release becomes more and more likely, much like TDK did. (it was dfown to 6 theaters at one point) No use leaving millions on the table... __________________ Isnt it past your bedtime?

07-08-2012, 02:18 PM	#868
Silver Surfer Power Cosmic Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: T.O, Canada Posts: 392	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 I hope I'm wrong but I don't see Japan pushing it over 1.5B.

07-10-2012, 03:13 PM	#870
Jordanstine Side-Kick Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 398	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 It took 66 days for The Avengers to finally get a huge drop over 50%. Sunday drop = 56% and Monday drop = 63% ouch! Forecasts if the drops are consistent with this week: ~ $613.6 million after July 15th. ~ $614.9 million after July 22nd. ~ $615.7 million after July 29th. __________________ Timeline of Avengers Spoilers! Beware! Last edited by Jordanstine; 07-10-2012 at 03:21 PM.

07-10-2012, 08:20 PM	#871
eddy Side-Kick Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 1,307	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 I almost wish it could finish at 616 million. __________________ " I want to make the kind of movie that inspires people to say, ‘There should be more movies with Super Heroes in them.’” -Joss Whedon AVENGERS ASSEMBLE.

07-10-2012, 08:41 PM	#872
TheVileOne Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: California Posts: 32,287	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 Why? Why not finish at maybe $620 million or more? __________________ "This is true. This is real. This . . . Is . . . Straight Edge." - CM Punk

07-11-2012, 02:23 AM	#874
kedrell You'll never Beetus Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Driving coast to coast Posts: 15,348	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6 I want it to get to at least $623M so it can clinch that 3X multiplier. __________________ Holding out hope.....

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