The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Superman > Man of Steel

View Poll Results: How do you think Man of Steel will do?
1.5 billion 11 5.85%
1 billion 27 14.36%
900 million 13 6.91%
800 million 35 18.62%
700 million 41 21.81%
600 million 29 15.43%
500 million 18 9.57%
400 million 8 4.26%
300 million 2 1.06%
200 million 4 2.13%
Voters: 188. You may not vote on this poll

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-12-2012, 11:07 PM   #101
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 32,829
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
and how many fanboys underpredicted Avengers and Skyfall?

100 percent.

Nobody knows what MOS is gonna make.
Fact is people tend to over predict these reboots. I was constantly told that Batman Begins was a lock to make 300mil and it didn't, I was told that Superman Returns was a lock to make 300mil and it didn't and I was told that TAS was not only going to make a billion worldwide but that it was going to make over 300mil in the states because everybody hated the Raimi movies and that it was going to be a Batman Begins reception wise and none of those predictions came true. There is more over predicting of reboots than under predicting.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

...It's Batman and Superman, lets just be honest, I don't know how you get bigger than that--Zack Snyder.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 12-12-2012, 11:10 PM   #102
MessiahDecoy123
Cosmic Spidey
 
MessiahDecoy123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 13,796
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liam_H View Post
And how many overpredicted ASM?
Most people predicted 800 m for Avengers.

At least the people who overpredicted ASM weren't off by 600-700 million.

MessiahDecoy123 is online now  
Old 12-12-2012, 11:16 PM   #103
MessiahDecoy123
Cosmic Spidey
 
MessiahDecoy123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 13,796
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
Fact is people tend to over predict these reboots. I was constantly told that Batman Begins was a lock to make 300mil and it didn't, I was told that Superman Returns was a lock to make 300mil and it didn't and I was told that TAS was not only going to make a billion worldwide but that it was going to make over 300mil in the states because everybody hated the Raimi movies and that it was going to be a Batman Begins reception wise and none of those predictions came true. There is more over predicting of reboots than under predicting.
I don't know about Batman Begins or Superman Returns but most predicted 275-285 m for ASM.

Not terribly far from the truth.

MessiahDecoy123 is online now  
Old 12-12-2012, 11:21 PM   #104
TDK elbowstrike
"I'm a man of my word..."
 
TDK elbowstrike's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: 18th and Orchard. You'll find Harvey Dent there..
Posts: 510
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Idk... 700 mil world wide might not be far off.

MOS has been marketing the story or narrative aspects of the film so far.

We haven't seen that much action.

If the 2nd and 3rd act, especially the climax, have as much non-stop drag-out action as I suspect then people in every country will see this multiple times.

It has soooo much potential in the action department, Kryptonian superfights in a modern day Metropolis= possibly the best superhero fights of any superhero movie to date.

And that's something people are going to want to see more than once.

TDK elbowstrike is offline  
Old 12-12-2012, 11:52 PM   #105
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 32,829
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
I don't know about Batman Begins or Superman Returns but most predicted 275-285 m for ASM.

Not terribly far from the truth.
I under predicted the movie so I'm not trying to get on a high horse or anything but most predictions I saw from excited fanboys were over 300mil here in the states.

TOS could make 800mil for all I know but I'm a little gun shy about reboot boxoffice hyperbole after Spidey, Supes, TIH and Batman Begins failed to live up to it.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

...It's Batman and Superman, lets just be honest, I don't know how you get bigger than that--Zack Snyder.

Last edited by I SEE SPIDEY; 12-13-2012 at 12:46 PM.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 01:08 AM   #106
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,959
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Pessimists are making me laugh. I'm not even a Superman fanboy and I can see that this is going to do over 600m at the very least. 500m is way low balled. This feels lik it will be an event film comparable to IM.

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 07:34 AM   #107
GreenKToo
In the fire
 
GreenKToo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: In the fire.
Posts: 11,130
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
I under predicted the movie so I'm not trying to get on a high horse or anything but most predictions I saw from excited fanboys were over 300mil here in the states.

TOS could make 800mil for all I know but I'm a little guy shy about reboot boxoffice hyperbole after Spidey, Supes, TIH and Batman Begins failed to live up to it.
Agreed. I myself thought 250 to 275 for sr. WROOONG!! I didnt predict anything on bb. So yeah, im not about to say a gazillion dollars for mos.

__________________
''Life is hard. It's harder if you're stupid.'' ~ John Wayne


GreenKToo is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 07:44 AM   #108
GreenKToo
In the fire
 
GreenKToo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: In the fire.
Posts: 11,130
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Better to low ball and be surprised than predict the moon and be sorely disappointed.

__________________
''Life is hard. It's harder if you're stupid.'' ~ John Wayne


GreenKToo is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 07:44 AM   #109
GreenKToo
In the fire
 
GreenKToo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: In the fire.
Posts: 11,130
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
I under predicted the movie so I'm not trying to get on a high horse or anything but most predictions I saw from excited fanboys were over 300mil here in the states.

TOS could make 800mil for all I know but I'm a little guy shy about reboot boxoffice hyperbole after Spidey, Supes, TIH and Batman Begins failed to live up to it.
Agreed. I myself thought 250 to 275 for sr. WROOONG!! I didnt predict anything on bb. So yeah, im not about to say a gazillion dollars for mos.

__________________
''Life is hard. It's harder if you're stupid.'' ~ John Wayne


GreenKToo is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 07:57 AM   #110
sf2
Side-Kick
 
sf2's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 4,961
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenKToo View Post
Better to low ball and be surprised than predict the moon and be sorely disappointed.
Indeed.
Btw never thought skyfall n avenger doing that great.

__________________
“Everything you can imagine is real.”
― Pablo Picasso
sf2 is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 08:12 AM   #111
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,959
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

That just means you guys aren't good at predicting lol.

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 08:13 AM   #112
terry78
Heads up, heathen monkeys
 
terry78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Northwest Indiana
Posts: 59,969
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

As soon as I saw reactions to Avengers I knew it was going to have legs to a point. Some flicks you can just tell beforehand.

__________________
The only thing funnier than watching stupid people argue is watching smart people argue.
-----------
Who the **** makes a movie and while planning it is like, "you know what this needs...is some Greg Kinnear."
terry78 is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 08:36 AM   #113
Musty002
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 150
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I think the key thing here is Zack Synder's name in public audience and movie goers thoughts. He has a very horrible track record of late. If I was head of advertisement for Man Of Steel, I make sure the posters and trailers will mention Nolan name a lot more than Synder's.

Musty002 is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 08:44 AM   #114
FilmNerdJamie
The Mod You Deserve
SHH! Global Moderator
 
FilmNerdJamie's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Between the Moon, New York City & your sister
Posts: 8,211
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by sf2 View Post
Btw never thought skyfall n avenger doing that great.
No one did.

__________________
FilmNerdJamie is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 09:29 AM   #115
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,959
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Musty002 View Post
I think the key thing here is Zack Synder's name in public audience and movie goers thoughts. He has a very horrible track record of late. If I was head of advertisement for Man Of Steel, I make sure the posters and trailers will mention Nolan name a lot more than Synder's.
No normal person is going to automatically link Snyder's name to a bad film. They're advertising him as the director of Watchmen and 300. Good enough.

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 10:26 AM   #116
SuperAl
Superman's back!
 
SuperAl's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,598
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
No normal person is going to automatically link Snyder's name to a bad film. They're advertising him as the director of Watchmen and 300. Good enough.
Thats like saying people would directly associate Whedon with all his canceled shows and boxoffice failures. The GA doesnt really care. Snyder isnt really a household name.

SuperAl is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 10:32 AM   #117
GreenKToo
In the fire
 
GreenKToo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: In the fire.
Posts: 11,130
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

All I can say is i'd hate to be a betting man on this, because it could go either way, i.e., bb numbers or spidey 1 numbers. ( i think a little better than bb myself ) but who knows.

__________________
''Life is hard. It's harder if you're stupid.'' ~ John Wayne



Last edited by GreenKToo; 12-13-2012 at 10:38 AM.
GreenKToo is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 01:46 PM   #118
Kirk Langstrom
FRANCINE!!!!
 
Kirk Langstrom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Gotham City
Posts: 20,160
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I think around 600 million WW is a lock, based on the trailer (which was excellent) and the fact that Nolan's name is attached to this movie. Make the recent rumor that Gotham City's number 1 hero is having a cameo at the end a real thing, and that number might even go up considerably.

__________________
The poster formerly known as "CaptainStacy"...
Kirk Langstrom is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 02:14 PM   #119
UaalaDan
Banned User
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 724
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I think this movie is going to make at least 650 million. That's a certainty, imo. If it's damn good, I know I will probably watch it 5 times at least...in 3D. I hated SR and still saw it 3 times, lol.

UaalaDan is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 02:52 PM   #120
Excel
O-bama-ama-ama-ay-ay
 
Excel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Places
Posts: 19,559
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

There is a huge difference between fanboys predicting box office results, and people who predict for sport. Boxoffice.com forums, world of kj, filmgasm, mojo and a few other places are forums of people who only predict box office...for every single movie that comes out. They're pretty good.

The fact that Man Of Steels average predict. among more established predictors is in the 300m range speak, & it is a non sequel, for itself. W.B. have a big hit on their hands.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie View Post
No one did.
While nobody saw Avengers doing quite as well as it did, myself & a few others all thought Skyfall was going to do 300 millionish.

Anyone worth their salt should have known TASM wasn't going to touch the previous films. In fact, it's 260ish finish is a lot higher then most anticipated it would go. It also in the same mid 200s area Batman Begins & Superman Returns inflate to.

Though there are intelligent predictors at other sites, KJ has the best 6-7 predictors on the web. Comparing them to box office theory is like comparing professionals to amateurs. For both weekly analysis & long range predictions, they're the best. Anybody interested in box office should eye the posts by 'Dr. Lecter', 'Magnus', 'Xaiyun', 'Zingy', 'Madgez', and a few others. Most of them have decent real jobs involving statistical analysis & just do this for a hobby, and have for a while.

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewt...p?f=12&t=67194

The general consensus for TASM was 125-140 for the 6 day, 250m ish total. Most of them saw Superman Returns flopping too, actually. General sentiment before tracking was released (which showed supes opening to 100+5 day) was 80/200ish. Right what it did.

I wasnt there for Batman Begins - but they all saw The Dark Knight and Avengers breaking out, though nobody thought they could go as high as they did. Most of them are feeling a similar break out vibe for MOS after the trailer.

__________________
If You Wanna Make The World A Better Place, Take A Look At Yourself, And Then Make A Change

R.I.P. Heath

Last edited by Excel; 12-13-2012 at 02:58 PM.
Excel is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 03:05 PM   #121
Excel
O-bama-ama-ama-ay-ay
 
Excel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Places
Posts: 19,559
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie View Post
$700M is already in that territory with all due respect.

Let's be realistic about the worldwide gross and keep it around $500M. $100M up from Superman Returns with the average price of tickets gone up plus 3D/IMAX bumps. That I could see. Superman is still viewed as an American superhero, hiring a British actor will make no difference.
Superman Returns inflates to 245 I believe. Includie 3-D and Imax bumps (which is at least a 10% increase) and you're at 270 million 2013 dollars in tickets sales. Worth keeping in mind.

Something a lot of people are discounting is Superman Returns wasnt yesterday, it was 7 years ago. It sold a fairly impressive # of tickets at the time, considering it inflates to just under 250 million in todays terms.

To be frank, Superman Returns # of admissions is about as low as I think a contemporary Superman movie can go. Superheros are really popular right now, to state the obvious, and he is he grand daddy. SR had little going for it other than the name SUPERMAN. SR's admissions #s are the lowest I envision Man Of Steel doing, which - with inflation, 3D, and expanded Imax - are a bit north of 250 million.

It is not being fanboyish to say MOS should have little trouble outgrossing TASM if the marketing continues to own.

__________________
If You Wanna Make The World A Better Place, Take A Look At Yourself, And Then Make A Change

R.I.P. Heath
Excel is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 03:12 PM   #122
Visualiza
What is a yout?
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Knowhere
Posts: 1,334
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

If we're assuming that the movie is good, I'd say 700M+ is a safe bet. CBMs have been on a roll lately and Supes is a household name all around the world. This movie could very well elevate the genre yet again, as quite a few films have also done recently...but time will tell.

Visualiza is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 03:30 PM   #123
dark_b
Side-Kick
 
dark_b's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 44,000
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

i hope MOS makes enough money for a sequel. because i will not survive if i have to again watch a 1 hour origin movie. Sony i am looking at you.

dark_b is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 03:45 PM   #124
Visualiza
What is a yout?
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Knowhere
Posts: 1,334
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by dark_b View Post
i hope MOS makes enough money for a sequel. because i will not survive if i have to again watch a 1 hour origin movie. Sony i am looking at you.
Agreed, but I don't think it will come to that. The entire cast & crew of Returns was greenlit for a sequel for years, it just never fell through. I'm pretty sure that, come Hell or high water, this movie is the start of a new franchise. The worst case scenario that I could envision is something akin to what happened with Ang Lee Hulk vs. Leterrier Hulk, in that the sequel was a soft reboot that won't retread the origin. I could live with that.

Visualiza is offline  
Old 12-13-2012, 03:48 PM   #125
JOE
_________________________
 
JOE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 5,716
Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

This ^

__________________
"You see... Madness, as you know, is like gravity. All you need is a little push!"

"If you make yourself more than just an avatar, if you devote yourself to an ideal, you become something else entirely... A legend, Mr. Kane52630"

@JoeJoeJoeUrBoat
JOE is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:09 PM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. ©2014 All Rights Reserved.