Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

[Excelsior.]

Originally Posted by dnno1

C'mon you guys. I don't think you are really that interested in seeing this movie. "Iron Man 3" is trending higher that "Man of Steel". If you really think that this is going to be a hit tell your friends.

Just because Iron Man 3 is trending higher doesn't mean MOS isn't trending high.

[fanboiii]

Well Iron Man has more marketing and an earlier release date.

[kalelinri]

i was just looking at what movies are being released in April and the movie that stands out the most for a MOS trailer to be attached to is 42, the Jackie Robinson movie.

I bet (let me stress, i am speculating) that the next trailer is attached to that film on April 12.

It is being released by WB and Legendary. That makes the most logical sense to me.

[Excelsior.]

If WB had common sense the next trailer should be with Iron Man 3.

[G.Godfrey]

Originally Posted by Excelsior.

If WB had common sense the next trailer should be with Iron Man 3.

Attached to it? No doubt. Debut with it? Hell no, way too late. Last week of March/first week of April should be the online debut (based on the timeline of TDK and TDKR #3 trailers and common sense).

[Mysteryman]

I think 42 is a logical choice .
I think there might be some sort of preview at WonderCon which is two weeks before 42 is released.

[DarthAlani]

Yeah the earliest any new footage from MOS will be in late March. May is way to late, the marketing needs to pick up.

[dnno1]

Originally Posted by kalelinri

i was just looking at what movies are being released in April and the movie that stands out the most for a MOS trailer to be attached to is 42, the Jackie Robinson movie.

I bet (let me stress, i am speculating) that the next trailer is attached to that film on April 12.

It is being released by WB and Legendary. That makes the most logical sense to me.

Originally Posted by Mysteryman

I think 42 is a logical choice .
I think there might be some sort of preview at WonderCon which is two weeks before 42 is released.

It should air with "Jack the Giant Slayer" (which may turn out to be a good movie) as well as other films out that weekend -- of March 15 (Oz the "Great and Powerful", "Bullet to the Head", The Hobbit, and "Gangster Squad" - if they are still in theaters) --. That way you will catch the spring break crowd. You also want to come out with TV ads during March madness and another trailer in May to air with
"Iron Man 3". "42" although a film about a popular figure in history is going to turn out to be another "Red Tails" and won't hit a lot of people who could possibly interested in a film with more action like "Man of Steel".

[Showtime]

Superman Returns First TV Spot was May 12th, 2006.

[sf2]

Originally Posted by The Shield

Of course it is. It's the third (Or forth considering ) movie in the franchise, it's the first movie after the Avengers and it's putting out promo stuff consistently. It has spoilers galore and teasers for teasers for teasers building hype. It had a Super Bowl spot (it has to count for something) and it's staring RDL. Of course it's trending higher.

EXACTLY. The superman name might sound great. But the fact is ironman is more popular today. Maybe it’s one of the reasons the title “man of steel” was picked.

[fanboiii]

I don't think Iron Man factored in at all to the naming of the movie. It's Nolan and Goyer doing The Dark Knight shtick.

[Showtime]

I believe the actual working title during Singer's run on the possible sequel to Returns was The Man Of Steel.

[ConnorKon-El]

Originally Posted by Showtime

I believe the actual working title during Singer's run on the possible sequel to Returns was The Man Of Steel.

Interesting....

[Astrodust]

I would like more talking in the next trailer.

[Kal-El.9859]

Originally Posted by Showtime

I believe the actual working title during Singer's run on the possible sequel to Returns was The Man Of Steel.

It was...which is why I was kinda disappointed in them choosing Man of Steel. A lot of people thought this was a sequel...or at least most of the people I spoke to about this film thought it was

[Dr.]

Originally Posted by fanboiii

I don't think Iron Man factored in at all to the naming of the movie. It's Nolan and Goyer doing The Dark Knight shtick.

That - and very likely to distance itself from the five films in the “Donnerverse” - all of which had the name in the title. Also: maybe a bit of lawsuit strategizing.

[Excel]

Just a funny tidbit: Superman Returns to about exactly 250 million.

If MOS does 250m, everyone will consider it a hit.

[Marvin]

As funny as that may be....

Returns Domestic $200 WW $391 Production Budget 270
Begins Domestic $205 WW $374 Production Budget 150
Ironman Domestic $318 WW $585 Production Budget 140
ASM Domestic $262 WW $752 Production Budget 230

3 of those were considered hits.

When MoS performs somewhere in between IronMan and ASM...

[Mr. Dent]

Originally Posted by Excel

Just a funny tidbit: Superman Returns to about exactly 250 million.

If MOS does 250m, everyone will consider it a hit.

Well it depends on how it does overseas.

[Dr.]

Originally Posted by Marvin

As funny as that may be....

Returns Domestic $200 WW $391 Production Budget 270
Begins Domestic $205 WW $374 Production Budget 150
Ironman Domestic $318 WW $585 Production Budget 140
ASM Domestic $262 WW $752 Production Budget 230

3 of those were considered hits.

What's a "hit"? $205M (domestic) but not $200M? Or $391M (ww) but not $374M?

[Mysteryman]

Originally Posted by Mr. Dent

Well it depends on how it does overseas.

Yes , but if it had an Avengers Size Domestic Opening, that would certainly help quite a bit !

[Marvin]

Originally Posted by Dr.

What's a "hit"? $205M (domestic) but not $200M? Or $391M (ww) but not $374M?

MoS is expected to do alot more than Begins and if it doesn't that won't go ever well with execs or fanboys. Seems unfair but rest easy cause it's going to do gang busters.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I'm thinking 215mil domestic right now. International is so hard to predict.

[manofsteel4life]

Honestly feel overseas will make a killing....domestic is the one that's unpredictable. When you got a guy changing his appearance to look like superman lol....I know it's just one person but superman isn't considered out of date or corny over there, unlike here in America....

[metaphysician]

Whether a given dollar value counts as a hit or not depends largely on the budget for the movie. Batman Begins was viewed as a pretty big success, and Superman Returns as a fairly big failure, because Batman Begins cost almost half the amount to make.