The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Arcam]

If people are super stoked after their 1st viewing, word of mouth will take it to $900 million.

Here's hoping.

[lozzy.94]

I have 100% confidence that this beast of a movie is going to make 1 billion. People use to say no way Avengers is going to make 1 billion and look what happened with that.

[Repulsor Blast]

800 plus million for iron man 2, which was not in 3D.

Iron Man 3 has Avengers behind it to build more hype. If it also is reviewed well, then i could see it definitely making over 1 billion dollars.

[Hawkingbird]

Originally Posted by BigThor

I voted for 900 million which is still a bit of a stretch, but I'm hoping for a billion plus.

Ditto.

[KangConquers]

$350 M domestic, $500 M foreign sounds right to me.

[TheVileOne]

I think the China connection will help bolster its Box Office in Asia.

[Mr. Dent]

Yeah, and that way they won't **** it over by playing it with another big blockbuster the same weekend.

[snyderrocks]

i think iron man 3 will gross 1 billion ww .

[thalidomide]

It's not gonna make a billion. My bet is 850 million.

[Mr. Dent]

It will make a billion.

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by lozzy.94

I have 100% confidence that this beast of a movie is going to make 1 billion. People use to say no way Avengers is going to make 1 billion and look what happened with that.

I agree, especially if things live up to what we've seen so far from the sneak peaks.

I really think Iron Man 3 had the most potential to be the best 3rd superhero film ever (if not one of the best in the genre).

[Tony Stark]

One caveat though, the only roadblock for this film that I see is Star Trek Into Darkness, as I think that could be the best Star Trek film of all time. Hopefully it won't take too much wind out of the sails.

[BigThor]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

I agree, especially if things live up to what we've seen so far from the sneak peaks.

I really think Iron Man 3 had the most potential to be the best 3rd superhero film ever (if not one of the best in the genre).

Agreed, I see this film doing 800-900 million but I'm certainly not going to rule out a billion which IS possible.

[ThePowerCosmic]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

I agree, especially if things live up to what we've seen so far from the sneak peaks.

I really think Iron Man 3 had the most potential to be the best 3rd superhero film ever (if not one of the best in the genre).

What are the best superhero films ever in your opinion? Also, I'm super excited for both but I think MoS will be the better cbm(of course I could be wrong!), while Thor:TDW will be even better than IM3.

[Mr. Dent]

Yeah for some reason I think Thor will wipe the floor with IM3...and I think IM3 will be a fantastic film itself so that says a lot.

[BigThor]

Woah now I'm probably as big of a Thor fan as you can get but there's nothing to suggest it will wipe the floor with IM3.

[Mr. Dent]

A lot based on the writers, director, and what we know of the film so far. I'm just talking about from my perspective. Chris Yost is one of my favorite writers right now and Alan Taylor is going to knock this kind of film out of the park. It's also quite clear that the film will take place almost entirely in the 9 realms instead of Earth which means there will be far more opportunities to explore the kind of high-fantasy that wasn't as prevalent in the first film. We're going to get a more personal look at Asgard, and we're getting actual 9 realm villains besides Loki.

That film, for me, will be better than what IM3 is cooking up...and like I said I think Iron Man will be a fantastic film itself, so it's not a knock on it. I'm just expecting this next Thor movie to be what I always wished Harry Potter and LotR were.

[ThePowerCosmic]

Yeah, plus I think they're going to give Thor more to do in the sequel. We also won't have to sit through him being depowered for half of the movie while being stuck on Earth. Everything I've seen and heard so far from TDW has got me more excited for it than IM3. Just a feeling I have.

Now I don't know about it wiping the floor with IM3, but I think it has a good chance of being the better cbm.

[Incredible Hans]

I made that list of Marvel's box office successes and failures (hope I made no mistake anywhere). Take a look at the ranking and tell me which spot IM3 will take...

1. The Avengers: $1,511,679,547
2. Spider-Man 3: $890,871,626
3. Spider-Man: $821,708,551
4. Spider-Man 2: $783,766,341
5. The Amazing Spider-Man: $752,216,557
6. Iron Man 2: $623,933,331
7. Iron Man: $585,174,222
8. X-Men - The Last Stand: $459,359,555
9. Thor: $449,326,618
10. X2: $407,711,549
11. X-Men Origins - Wolverine: $373,062,864
12. Captain America - The First Avenger: $368,608,363
13. X-Men First Class: $353,624,124
14. Fantastic Four: $330,579,719
15. X-Men: $296,339,527
16. Fantastic Four - Rise of the Silver Surfer: $289,047,763
17. The Incredible Hulk: $263,427,551
18. Hulk: $245,360,480
19. Daredevil: $179,179,718
20. Blade II: $155,010,032
21. Blade: $131,183,530
22. Blade III Trinity: $128,905,366
23. Elektra: $56,681,566
24. Punisher: $54,700,105
25. Howard the Duck: $37,962,774
26. Punisher War Zone: $10,100,036

Isn't it an interesting fact that Spider-Man 3 is the second most successful film based on a Marvel character?

[TheVileOne]

Incredible Hans, only if you are counting worldwide box office. Its my understanding, overseas box office is not as profitable as many would have you believe.

For one thing, getting big worldwide distribution is expensive. Getting the extra prints done and making all the foreign subtitle conversions, dubs, etc.

[Incredible Hans]

Originally Posted by TheVileOne

Incredible Hans, only if you are counting worldwide box office. Its my understanding, overseas box office is not as profitable as many would have you believe.

For one thing, getting big worldwide distribution is expensive. Getting the extra prints done and making all the foreign subtitle conversions, dubs, etc.

You are right with that. I know that this is difficult terrain (for older movies you'd also have to consider inflation).

But nevertheless, for measuring the commercial success of a film it would be even more distorting to look only at the domestic box office.

[eddy]

Nowadays alot of films(especially animated and big disaster/effects movies) depend pretty heavily on those overseas grosses. More and more, films are being released earlier overseas and outgrossing their domestic takes.

[Excelsior.]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

I really think Iron Man 3 had the most potential to be the best 3rd superhero film ever

It's not like it has much competition.

[Mr. Dent]

It will be in the 2 spot.

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by ThePowerCosmic

What are the best superhero films ever in your opinion? Also, I'm super excited for both but I think MoS will be the better cbm(of course I could be wrong!), while Thor:TDW will be even better than IM3.

In no particular order, the "cream of the crop" have been"

Superman the movie
Batman '89
The Dark Knight
Spider-man 2
Iron Man 1
Avengers

MoS has potential, but box office wise it's not going to compete.