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View Poll Results: DOFP Worldwide prediction
+ $300 million 7 5.07%
+ $400 5 3.62%
+ $500 23 16.67%
+ $600 32 23.19%
+ $700 38 27.54%
+ $800 16 11.59%
+ $900 10 7.25%
+ 1 Billion 5 3.62%
1,100 - 1,250 1 0.72%
1,250 -1,500 0 0%
+ 1,500 1 0.72%
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Old 07-12-2013, 06:53 PM   #251
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

I'm gonna go ahead and say the movie will do close to or at $700m.

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Old 07-12-2013, 06:57 PM   #252
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

thats more likely.

300m domestically is just a bit more than X3, so yeah, very likely.

international market is the one that will be the surprise number. FC made a bit more than 200m, so just imagine what FC stars more Original cast stars more Sentinels could do.

400m perfectly. Maybe more.

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Old 07-12-2013, 09:50 PM   #253
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by Angamb View Post
I think the same.

450m seriously??

This is an event movie, not just another X-men sequel
I'm not underestimating the movie, I'm just being realistic. And its not like earning $450 million is that bad. I'm not saying DOFP would only get 450 million, what I said is anything over 459 million would be considered as a success. The last two X-Men films didn't even get more than 400 million and I think it will be a challenge for The Wolverine to get 450 milion worldwide.

Most people thought Star Trek 12 would earn so much more money after the well-received Star Trek 11 and look what happened. Worldwide, its under 500 million and in the U.S., it didn't outgross Star Trek 11.

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Old 07-12-2013, 10:43 PM   #254
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
Most people thought Star Trek 12 would earn so much more money after the well-received Star Trek 11 and look what happened. Worldwide, its under 500 million and in the U.S., it didn't outgross Star Trek 11.
Yeah, it can be hard for a franchise whose appeal has never been that massive to break out big time with the general audiences. Even with great marketing and bigger budget.

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Old 07-13-2013, 09:58 AM   #255
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

it will depend on many things to whether or not this make 500 million or more

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Old 07-13-2013, 10:26 AM   #256
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
I'm not underestimating the movie, I'm just being realistic. And its not like earning $450 million is that bad. I'm not saying DOFP would only get 450 million, what I said is anything over 459 million would be considered as a success. The last two X-Men films didn't even get more than 400 million and I think it will be a challenge for The Wolverine to get 450 milion worldwide.

Most people thought Star Trek 12 would earn so much more money after the well-received Star Trek 11 and look what happened. Worldwide, its under 500 million and in the U.S., it didn't outgross Star Trek 11.
I think X-men has more growth potential than Star Trek.

Star Trek was always a niche brand. Since the 80's the ceiling has been around 260 m adjusted. It had no where to go but down.

X-men is potentially a four quadrant franchise like Iron Man. I'm not saying 1.2 billion is possible but 600-700 m should be the expected range thanks to expanded markets, 3D, and a star filled cast.

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Old 07-13-2013, 11:43 AM   #257
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
I think X-men has more growth potential than Star Trek.

Star Trek was always a niche brand. Since the 80's the ceiling has been around 260 m adjusted. It had no where to go but down.

X-men is potentially a four quadrant franchise like Iron Man. I'm not saying 1.2 billion is possible but 600-700 m should be the expected range thanks to expanded markets, 3D, and a star filled cast.
That is very true there is alot of star power here

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Old 07-13-2013, 10:52 PM   #258
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

I'm predicting a 700 million worldwide gross.

But just to be safe, people should lower their expectations. Look at X3, the movie should have earned 300 million (domestic) and at least 500 million worldwide just for the buzz/hype/the scale of the movie. And despite earning 100 million in 3 to 4 days, it only 234m at domestic box-office and 459m at worldwide box-office.

So anything higher than X3's 459m worldwide gross is already good for the press.

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Old 07-14-2013, 02:06 AM   #259
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
I'm predicting a 700 million worldwide gross.

But just to be safe, people should lower their expectations. Look at X3, the movie should have earned 300 million (domestic) and at least 500 million worldwide just for the buzz/hype/the scale of the movie. And despite earning 100 million in 3 to 4 days, it only 234m at domestic box-office and 459m at worldwide box-office.

So anything higher than X3's 459m worldwide gross is already good for the press.
Statistically, X3 should have actually made about $250M domestically based on its opening. X-Men movies never had legs so bad word-of-mouth didn't technically have THAT drastic of an effect... but still up to $20M or so of lost revenue (domestically). What it did do was hurt home video sales and the franchise's reputation.

If The Wolverine performs like FC (or better yet, Batman Begins!), wherein it opens low-ish but is respectable and slightly leggy, DOFP will benefit greatly. That combined with the returning cast, Hugh and Jennifer's popularity, Halle's high profile-ness, and the 3D factor, DOFP should be able to get back to at least X3 level of opening.

I'm predicting (and did so a while ago) $300M domestic.

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Old 07-14-2013, 02:18 AM   #260
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

When The Wolverine, DOFP and X-Force finally hit the theaters. I think the box-office ranking will be like this:

Domestic:
1. X-Men: Days of Future Past (250+)
2. X-Men: The Last Stand
3. X2: X-Men United
4. X-Men Origins: Wolverine
5. The Wolverine (160m+)
6. X-Men
7. X-Men: First Class
8. X-Force (130m-)

Domestic (adjusted):
1. X-Men: The Last Stand
2. X2: X-Men United
3. X-Men: Days of Future Past (250+)
4. X-Men
5. X-Men Origins: Wolverine
6. The Wolverine (160m+)
7. X-Men: First Class
8. X-Force (130m-)

Worldwide (not-adjusted):
1. X-Men: Days of Future Past (500+)
2. X-Men: The Last Stand
3. The Wolverine (410m+)
4. X2: X-Men United
5. X-Men Origins: Wolverine
6. X-Men: First Class
7. X-Force (300m+)
8. X-Men

Quote:
Originally Posted by josh8 View Post
Statistically, X3 should have actually made about $250M domestically based on its opening. X-Men movies never had legs so bad word-of-mouth didn't technically have THAT drastic of an effect... but still up to $20M or so of lost revenue (domestically). What it did do was hurt home video sales and the franchise's reputation.

If The Wolverine performs like FC (or better yet, Batman Begins!), wherein it opens low-ish but is respectable and slightly leggy, DOFP will benefit greatly. That combined with the returning cast, Hugh and Jennifer's popularity, Halle's high profile-ness, and the 3D factor, DOFP should be able to get back to at least X3 level of opening.

I'm predicting (and did so a while ago) $300M domestic.
X3 would have been the 2nd-highest grossing film of 2006 in the U.S!

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Last edited by psylockolussus; 07-14-2013 at 02:25 AM.
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Old 07-14-2013, 05:19 PM   #261
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Could be the highest grossing X-Film. Could opening not long after Cap 2 and TASM2 hurt the box office? They are targeting similar audiences...

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Old 07-14-2013, 07:18 PM   #262
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by RedBlueWonder View Post
Could be the highest grossing X-Film. Could opening not long after Cap 2 and TASM2 hurt the box office? They are targeting similar audiences...
No. Those movies, especially Captain America, will have made the bulk of their money by then.

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Old 07-14-2013, 07:21 PM   #263
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

"'Could' is not an option"

the movie WILL BE the highest of the franchise.

how high? well, we just have to wait and see

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Old 07-15-2013, 01:44 AM   #264
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by RedBlueWonder View Post
Could be the highest grossing X-Film. Could opening not long after Cap 2 and TASM2 hurt the box office? They are targeting similar audiences...
Captain America will not be a threat to X-Men.

Its first movie didn't even outgross Origins and its getting an April release date.

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Old 07-15-2013, 07:41 AM   #265
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
Captain America will not be a threat to X-Men.

Its first movie didn't even outgross Origins and its getting an April release date.
X-men First Class didn't pass Origins either.

and worldwide Cap 2 will get a boost from Avengers like IM3 did.

I believe DOFP will beat Cap 2 by 50-100 m WW but that battle might be closer than you think.

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Old 07-15-2013, 07:43 AM   #266
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
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Captain America will not be a threat to X-Men.

Its first movie didn't even outgross Origins and its getting an April release date.
Cap has gotten a major popularity boost after TA. Spider-Man 1 beat the first X-Men film and even the highest grossing hasn't beat TASM, and that was a reboot. While DOFP is the most unique of the Marvel Movies I can never see a Spider-Man losing to X-Men. TASM2 has the best opening out of the three. In my home the UK and other territories it comes out on April 18. Two Weeks after Cap 2 and won't have any competition untill Godzilla in a months time. In the US TASM2 will have 2 and a half weeks before Godzilla and looking as that film is squeezed in between DOFP and TASM2 they might even move the date.

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Old 07-15-2013, 07:56 AM   #267
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
X-men First Class didn't pass Origins either.

and worldwide Cap 2 will get a boost from Avengers like IM3 did.

I believe DOFP will beat Cap 2 by 50-100 m WW but that battle might be closer than you think.
yeah, Cap sequel will benefit from Avengers impact. not as much as I3, of course, but it will benefit.

But DOFP will be a bigger monster, mark my words

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Old 07-15-2013, 08:07 AM   #268
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
Captain America will not be a threat to X-Men.

Its first movie didn't even outgross Origins and its getting an April release date.
Like The Hunger Games, and Fast Five a year before that, a late first quarter/early second quarter release date isn't going to hurt Winter Soldier. If people want to see it, the brand will sell regardless.

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Old 07-15-2013, 09:30 AM   #269
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

$800M plus

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Old 07-15-2013, 10:12 AM   #270
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

If you took the domestic gross of Amazing Spider-man and adjusted for Inflation both X2 and Last Stand they actully beat It domesticly.It's impossible to know worldwide how they
would hold up since foreign box office Isn't adjusted.Audences just weren't wild about a spider-man reboot like they were the original films.

Cap Is only MS film on the horzion that has much Intrest from me.I am very meh on thor.Especilly considering how weak I felt first film was.But you have to wonder way DIsney didn't schedule It for may.It wouldn't be first time a film I have intrest In the GA
doesn't share my Intrest.Thor Is going to be test does the Avengers still help other MS films and will they help non Iron Man films.

Man of steel dropped to 10 with 280 Million domesticly.It may fall short of 300 million.It may only get into 290 million range beore leaving theatres.DOFP I feel has shot at reaching Man of steel numbers.If the Wolverine turns out well that gives us 2 X-Men related films with postive reactions fresh in people's minds.If you adjust for inflation X2 would have 282 million and Last Stand 283 million.And that was without 3-d adding to prices.

Unfortunly Transformers 4 will probally be summer 2014's highest grossing film Inless the GA surprises me but since I have no Intrest In another michael Bay crapfest they likely won't.Neither X2 or last stand was top film of summer but they held their own good.X2 had to deal with the overhyped Matrix reloaded.

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Old 07-15-2013, 11:44 AM   #271
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

TASM2 is a sequal and as it stands TASM was the highest grossing reboot. While in the US it doesn't have the best chance WW it does due to popularity and it has the best WW release date

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Old 07-15-2013, 11:53 AM   #272
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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TASM2 is a sequal and as it stands TASM was the highest grossing reboot. While in the US it doesn't have the best chance WW it does due to popularity and it has the best WW release date
I think ASM2 gets 850 m tops where as TF4 should cross 1 billion rather easily.

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Old 07-15-2013, 11:58 AM   #273
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

TASM2 has good legs to do well, Sony ain't worried.

TF4 will do well, enough said.

DOFP success will depend of many factors.

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Old 07-15-2013, 01:26 PM   #274
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Out of all movies TF4 deserves 1 billion the least...

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Old 07-15-2013, 10:39 PM   #275
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by Angamb View Post
yeah, Cap sequel will benefit from Avengers impact. not as much as I3
And not as much as Thor 2. It will be the 3rd film to be released after the Avengers movie, and with every MCU film that is going to be released, the so-called Avengers boost will get lower and lower. It will only pick up again when people see Avengers 2.

Also, Chris Evans is not a big draw compare to Robert Downey Jr. And even if this film has Nick Fury, Black Widow and Maria Hill, I doubt a lot of mainstream viewers would watch the movie just to see those three.

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