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View Poll Results: What do YOU think Thor Dark World will do?
500 Million 8 7.08%
550 Million 10 8.85%
600 Million 10 8.85%
650 Million 10 8.85%
700 Million 17 15.04%
750 Million 16 14.16%
800 Million 22 19.47%
850 Million 8 7.08%
900 Million 3 2.65%
950 Million 1 0.88%
1 Billion plus 8 7.08%
Voters: 113. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 08-11-2013, 03:10 AM   #301
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

^ Agree! (And there's nothing to apologize for.)

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Old 08-11-2013, 12:49 PM   #302
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

This is very hard to predict. I definitely think it won't reach $400M domestic, so around $325 - $350M domestic seems plausible. But these Marvel films have become enormous overseas - IM3 and Avengers both did $800M+ - but Thor won't do the same seeing as it doesn't have any China co-production, which helped IM3 a lot. So overseas I see low $700s, which means I'm predicting a billion-dollar grosser and that feels kinda strange.

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Old 08-11-2013, 04:09 PM   #303
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

^ Now that you break it down like that, Thor:TDW making a billion actually seems plausible.

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Old 08-12-2013, 11:50 AM   #304
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheIrishAvenger View Post
This is very hard to predict. I definitely think it won't reach $400M domestic, so around $325 - $350M domestic seems plausible. But these Marvel films have become enormous overseas - IM3 and Avengers both did $800M+ - but Thor won't do the same seeing as it doesn't have any China co-production, which helped IM3 a lot. So overseas I see low $700s, which means I'm predicting a billion-dollar grosser and that feels kinda strange.
That's why I feel pretty confident predicting a billion. First off a billion isn't quite what it used to be for films like Titanic.

I just think the film has a universal appeal, they have an international cast, and as I said before You Tube did an internal review, and they found that Thor had the 2nd most watches of any superhero next to Batman, with Superman 3rd and Iron Man 4th. Now I don't put too much stock in that, but I think it's definitely shown how these characters have grown in public consciousness especially since Avengers.

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Old 08-12-2013, 07:04 PM   #305
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by Tony Stark View Post
That's why I feel pretty confident predicting a billion. First off a billion isn't quite what it used to be for films like Titanic.

I just think the film has a universal appeal, they have an international cast, and as I said before You Tube did an internal review, and they found that Thor had the 2nd most watches of any superhero next to Batman, with Superman 3rd and Iron Man 4th. Now I don't put too much stock in that, but I think it's definitely shown how these characters have grown in public consciousness especially since Avengers.
Either that or there are a few thousand fangirls hitting those replay buttons. Hard.

(So I've heard. Not that I'd know anything about that personally. Not me!)

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Old 08-12-2013, 07:16 PM   #306
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tony Stark View Post
That's why I feel pretty confident predicting a billion. First off a billion isn't quite what it used to be for films like Titanic.

I just think the film has a universal appeal, they have an international cast, and as I said before You Tube did an internal review, and they found that Thor had the 2nd most watches of any superhero next to Batman, with Superman 3rd and Iron Man 4th. Now I don't put too much stock in that, but I think it's definitely shown how these characters have grown in public consciousness especially since Avengers.
Agreed. That's the only conclusion we can take from this.

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Old 08-13-2013, 09:13 AM   #307
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

That YouTube analysis is highly flawed seeing as it includes only exact name searches (So, searches for the Dark Knight and Man of Steel aren't included for Batman and Superman's' totals, artificially depreciating them) That provides another another flaw in that searches for "Thor" may not necessarily refer to the Marvel Superhero Thor (Maybe some people are searching for some Norwegian guy named Thor ). Regardless the google trends analysis shows that Thor trails Batman, Superman, Iron Man and the Avengers in google searches.

People expecting a billion dollar box office based on this should prepare to be disappointed. Similarly arguments like "Iron Man 3 made a billion so Thor should too" are highly unconvincing. I don't expect Thor to make more than even Man of Steel, particularly with all the behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots.

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Old 08-13-2013, 10:12 AM   #308
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Except Most of those "behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots" you speak of have been debunked by the director himself.

The movie will probably make 700+ worldwide.

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Old 08-13-2013, 10:34 AM   #309
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Except Most of those "behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots" you speak of have been debunked by the director himself
QFT

You tell him Jaqua

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Old 08-13-2013, 11:02 AM   #310
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tec15 View Post
That YouTube analysis is highly flawed seeing as it includes only exact name searches (So, searches for the Dark Knight and Man of Steel aren't included for Batman and Superman's' totals, artificially depreciating them) That provides another another flaw in that searches for "Thor" may not necessarily refer to the Marvel Superhero Thor (Maybe some people are searching for some Norwegian guy named Thor ). Regardless the google trends analysis shows that Thor trails Batman, Superman, Iron Man and the Avengers in google searches.

People expecting a billion dollar box office based on this should prepare to be disappointed. Similarly arguments like "Iron Man 3 made a billion so Thor should too" are highly unconvincing. I don't expect Thor to make more than even Man of Steel, particularly with all the behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots.
I haven't seen any of those arguments. The arguments are simply "IM3 got a boost so Thor 2 should get a boost as well".

Thor 2 will make more than MOS if it is better received than MOS.

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Old 08-13-2013, 12:36 PM   #311
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by jaqua99 View Post
Except Most of those "behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots" you speak of have been debunked by the director himself.

The movie will probably make 700+ worldwide.
And that's why the above post was a failure on so many levels.

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Old 08-13-2013, 07:35 PM   #312
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Yeah, yeah don't mind me. Stay in your echo chambers if it comforts you

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ms. Marvel View Post
I haven't seen any of those arguments. The arguments are simply "IM3 got a boost so Thor 2 should get a boost as well".

Thor 2 will make more than MOS if it is better received than MOS.
If ifs and buts were candy and nuts....

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Old 08-13-2013, 07:49 PM   #313
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

When you consider the possibility of how much the “Avengers” fever will aid this film, along with the large following that Chris and Tom have with the female moviegoers, while adding on the potential good Word-of-Mouth the film will have, this film definitely has the possibility to make at least over 500 Million.

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Old 08-14-2013, 03:11 PM   #314
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

^ Well the first film made 450 million, so making "over" 500 million isn't much of an increase.

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Old 08-14-2013, 03:40 PM   #315
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tec15 View Post
. I don't expect Thor to make more than even Man of Steel, particularly with all the behind the scenes production problems and re-shoots.
you're probably new to this game so let me tell you this: reshoots are nothing to worry about. every major production does it. most of them even schedule a time slot for reshoots way back in preproduction.
As for making MoS money: If TTDW is better than MoS (which is not hard, they just don't have to rape all what the character stands for), it will makjes more money. simple as that. And I won't mention your bts 'problems', because we all know by now that this was just a garbage rumour.

That said, Thor is the most 'European' franchise MS has to offer. It will make tons of money over here. It is also the second most popular franchise besides IM here in Europe. I expect it to scratch the billion euro mark in total

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Old 08-14-2013, 04:22 PM   #316
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

A billion seems wildly optimistic to me. I just don't see it. 700 million and change seems reasonable at this point. I may be underestimating the overseas bo a tad, I dunno.

And guys don't feed the trolls. Especially the obvious ones. Their projection of their own personal disappointments don't require a response. (Healthy debate is fine of course. We aren't n****ites after all)


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Old 08-14-2013, 05:53 PM   #317
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by herolee10 View Post
When you consider the possibility of how much the “Avengers” fever will aid this film, along with the large following that Chris and Tom have with the female moviegoers, while adding on the potential good Word-of-Mouth the film will have, this film definitely has the possibility to make at least over 500 Million.
I'm pretty sure that's what Thor 2 would have made without TA boost......

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Old 08-14-2013, 06:07 PM   #318
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Thor 1 made 450 million before Cap and The Avengers.

The movie will draw in atleast 650 m. If it doesn´t I will be surprised.

My guess is 800, at best. MoS had 648 or something.

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Old 08-14-2013, 09:34 PM   #319
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

My hope and gut feeling is TTDW tops 130 Million opening weekend, if it does all bets are off, because it will create a huge buzz in the media and thus a big box office draw the second weekend as well...

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Old 08-14-2013, 11:26 PM   #320
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by Joeyjojo72 View Post
A billion seems wildly optimistic to me. I just don't see it. 700 million and change seems reasonable at this point. I may be underestimating the overseas bo a tad, I dunno.

And guys don't feed the trolls. Especially the obvious ones. Their projection of their own personal disappointments don't require a response. (Healthy debate is fine of course. We aren't n****ites after all)
Agreed on everything.

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Old 08-14-2013, 11:52 PM   #321
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

I'm going with a conservative $700 mil ww. 1billion just sounds way too optimistic to me.

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Old 08-15-2013, 10:33 AM   #322
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

I would say close to $1B. The fanbase for the actors (or a certain actor) has increased since the first Thor and the Avengers and with TH's performance at Comic Con, it may incite more people into going.

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Old 08-16-2013, 06:40 PM   #323
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by marcvader View Post
I'm going with a conservative $700 mil ww. 1billion just sounds way too optimistic to me.
Yeah 700 mil is definately the lower end of what I see this film grossing.

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Old 08-16-2013, 06:58 PM   #324
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Yeah 700 mil is definately the lower end of what I see this film grossing.
BigThor I imagine your ticket purchases alone will account for a big chunk of the box office. I'm now revising my estimate to 800 million.

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Old 08-16-2013, 07:12 PM   #325
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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BigThor I imagine your ticket purchases alone will account for a big chunk of the box office. I'm now revising my estimate to 800 million.
L-O-L

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