Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Page 31

Spider-Fan · 11-10-2013, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KangConquers

It depends how you look at it. In many ways, Iron Man 3 functioned as a sequel to the Avengers at the box office.

If you look at Thor in terms of growth from Thor 1 to Thor 2? The opening is successful. If you look at it in terms of "% of people who saw Avengers, and decided Thor was a character they liked enough to give another shot at the box office" it's kind of pitiful. Where as Iron Man 3 retained 83% of the Avengers opening weekend crowd, Thor failed to retain even half.

It just shows what a large gap there is between Downey's Iron Man and everyone else, and that Marvel Studios is not quite as synonymous with Box office smashes as I hoped.

Maybe I'm extrapolating too much from this, but I see Thor as the MCU's safe #2 character. If Thor: The Dark World caps out at about $600 M, that in my mind "caps" most of the non-Iron Man MCU.

If Thor can't do $700-750 M, can Cap still do $500 M? Will Guardians of the Galaxy have a TIH, or worse, Green Lanternesque performance? I guess I saw a true blockbuster Thor performance ($250 M domestic, $500 M foreign) as indicative of a safety net for other Marvel properties.

I think all things considered, Thor 2 is definitely going down as a success and Thor 3 will be coming. Sure, it didn't "balloon" like Iron Man 3 did after Avengers, but it is still a strong performance. It's going to be interesting to see what kind of legs it has, given that this isn't a summer release like their other films. Would making 700-750 have been nice? Sure, but let's not get greedy guys. Thor 2 is still going to outperform the 1st film, and Thor 3 won't be in doubt. That's good for the fans

I SEE SPIDEY · 11-10-2013, 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KangConquers

It depends how you look at it. In many ways, Iron Man 3 functioned as a sequel to the Avengers at the box office.

If you look at Thor in terms of growth from Thor 1 to Thor 2? The opening is successful. If you look at it in terms of "% of people who saw Avengers, and decided Thor was a character they liked enough to give another shot at the box office" it's kind of pitiful. Where as Iron Man 3 retained 83% of the Avengers opening weekend crowd, Thor failed to retain even half.

It just shows what a large gap there is between Downey's Iron Man and everyone else, and that Marvel Studios is not quite as synonymous with Box office smashes as I hoped.

Maybe I'm extrapolating too much from this, but I see Thor as the MCU's safe #2 character. If Thor: The Dark World caps out at about $600 M, that in my mind "caps" most of the non-Iron Man MCU.

If Thor can't do $700-750 M, can Cap still do $500 M? Will Guardians of the Galaxy have a TIH, or worse, Green Lanternesque performance? I guess I saw a true blockbuster Thor performance ($250 M domestic, $500 M foreign) as indicative of a safety net for other Marvel properties.

It could actually do 500mil overseas and for all we know 250mil domestically. I'm not predicting 250mil, I'm thinking 230-240mil right now. That's close enough though. Captain America: Winter Soldier is not going to do Thor: The Dark World numbers internationally but I think it could do just as well as Thor domestically.

Mysteryman · 11-10-2013, 02:18 PM

Cap 2 might do 230- 240 domestically?
I like the sound of that.

warriorking · 11-10-2013, 02:28 PM

Lets see how Thor is treated in Avengers 2, curious to see if Portman gets a call to appear in Avengers 2 with Thor now on earth...

Moonwing · 11-10-2013, 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by warriorking

Lets see how Thor is treated in Avengers 2, curious to see if Portman gets a call to appear in Avengers 2 as well with Thor now on earth...