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Old 07-19-2013, 03:45 PM   #1
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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Old 07-19-2013, 03:45 PM   #2
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Default 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

Sorry for the lame title, clearly not my game. Seeing as how this is the follow up to the supposed monster year, I found that title fitting.

Figure I'd start this now. Predictions later, once we get a good feel for the line up, but no need for discussions to wait.

This has to be the Rocks year, he has 4 pretty significant films dropping in 4 back to back months and if even 3 of them are solid, he will be cemented as the modern 80's action star re incarnate.

Snitch in Feb
GI Joe in March
Pain & Gain(and Bay) in April
Fast 6 in May
...and hercules the year after.

High hopes for him. However if they all flop, sheesh.

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Old 07-19-2013, 03:45 PM   #3
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It doesn't help that the quality of this year's summer blockbusters hasn't been particularly high.
Personally I was disappointed by all the summer movies I've seen. Not that they were necessarily bad movies.

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Old 07-19-2013, 04:58 PM   #4
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Personally I was disappointed by all the summer movies I've seen. Not that they were necessarily bad movies.
I haven't been dissapointed at all.

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Old 07-19-2013, 05:09 PM   #5
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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I haven't been dissapointed at all.
I thought this summer was way better than last year. Only movie I flat out disliked that I have seen was Pacific Rim. I'd take almost all of the films I've seen over Avenger's and TDKR. I know that's a minority opinion but I don't care how popular my opinions are.

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Old 07-19-2013, 05:12 PM   #6
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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I thought this summer was way better than last year. Only movie I flat out disliked that I have seen was Pacific Rim. I'd take almost all of the films I've seen over Avenger's and TDKR. I know that's a minority opinion but I don't care how popular my opinions are.
Tell you the truth though, Star Trek and MOS pretty much made my Summer. I thought both were fantastic.

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Old 07-19-2013, 08:26 PM   #7
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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Personally I was disappointed by all the summer movies I've seen. Not that they were necessarily bad movies.
That's how I feel. So many of this years's summer movies have been so vanilla. MOS has been my favorite blockbuster but I'm not sure I would've cared for it had I not been a Superman fan.

ETA: The Great Gatsby has been my favorite summer movie overall but I can see how it would polarize the audience.

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Old 07-24-2013, 11:55 PM   #8
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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Personally I was disappointed by all the summer movies I've seen. Not that they were necessarily bad movies.
I'm with you. Not that any of the movies are bad, nothing really resonated with me. Nor was there a movie that broke out and captured the public's attention like what Avatar, The Dark Knight, or the Avengers did. So far, most of the movies came and went. Came and went. Came and went. Nothing felt like an event, even with Iron Man 3 or Pac Rim.

However, I think the true gem of the summer are the smaller films. Mud and This is the End for example.

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Old 07-19-2013, 05:36 PM   #9
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

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This has to be the Rocks year, he has 4 pretty significant films dropping in 4 back to back months and if even 3 of them are solid, he will be cemented as the modern 80's action star re incarnate.

Snitch in Feb
GI Joe in March
Pain & Gain(and Bay) in April
Fast 6 in May
...and hercules the year after.

High hopes for him. However if they all flop, sheesh.
The thing with The Rock is that he needs a star vehicle to build a franchise to really get into the action groove of old veterans like Stallone with Rambo/Rocky and Schwarzenegger with Terminator.

Dwayne Johnson is a likable and charismatic guy but this new Hercules thing ain't gonna pan out unless of course it's Marvel's verson of Herc introduced in The Avengers films.

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Old 07-19-2013, 03:47 PM   #10
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Some big films have been released but they've all been mediocre.

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Old 07-19-2013, 08:48 PM   #11
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

It's not going to surprise me if within the next few years there's going to be fewer and fewer big budgeted movies being released. We're at the absurd level where every film over a 3-4 month period is trying to present itself as an event movie, many of which struggle to break even let alone make a profit, especially when you hear things like Harry Potter 6 didn't even break even in spite of making a crap load of cash. That is a concern because it means studios are over relying on additional forms of revenue to earn money back on the film, and there's only so many franchises that will ever be capable of doing that like Star Wars.

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Old 07-19-2013, 09:02 PM   #12
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

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It's not going to surprise me if within the next few years there's going to be fewer and fewer big budgeted movies being released. We're at the absurd level where every film over a 3-4 month period is trying to present itself as an event movie, many of which struggle to break even let alone make a profit, especially when you hear things like Harry Potter 6 didn't even break even in spite of making a crap load of cash. That is a concern because it means studios are over relying on additional forms of revenue to earn money back on the film, and there's only so many franchises that will ever be capable of doing that like Star Wars.
That was Harry Potter 5, and it made plenty of money. Adding the expenses of other films to its bill in an attempt to avoid paying bonuses doesn't change that.

Every HP was incredibly profitable before ever leaving the theater.

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Old 07-19-2013, 11:18 PM   #13
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Funny thing though it's been a strong summer domestically from a box office perspective. There was a time before the summer season began when 2013 was around $300 million behind 2012. That gap has, as of July 18, narrowed to just $70 million.

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Old 07-19-2013, 11:29 PM   #14
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

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Funny thing though it's been a strong summer domestically from a box office perspective. There was a time before the summer season began when 2013 was around $300 million behind 2012. That gap has, as of July 18, narrowed to just $70 million.
It's too bad July 2013 will lag behind last year's July earnings. Pacific Rim just didn't turn into that massive hit WB was hoping for. While The Conjuring will be a moneymaker, thanks to it costing a fraction of PC's production budget, I don't think it'll be a big juggernaut.

Maybe it's time WB should rethink their summer blockbuster playbook, since Alan Horn and Jeff Robinov were ousted.

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Old 07-24-2013, 01:40 PM   #15
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

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It's too bad July 2013 will lag behind last year's July earnings. Pacific Rim just didn't turn into that massive hit WB was hoping for. While The Conjuring will be a moneymaker, thanks to it costing a fraction of PC's production budget, I don't think it'll be a big juggernaut.

Maybe it's time WB should rethink their summer blockbuster playbook, since Alan Horn and Jeff Robinov were ousted.

I really wonder if they'll move Jupiter Ascending out of its July slot. I really don't see it doing any better than Pacific Rim.

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Old 07-28-2013, 10:08 AM   #16
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

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It's too bad July 2013 will lag behind last year's July earnings. Pacific Rim just didn't turn into that massive hit WB was hoping for. While The Conjuring will be a moneymaker, thanks to it costing a fraction of PC's production budget, I don't think it'll be a big juggernaut.

Maybe it's time WB should rethink their summer blockbuster playbook, since Alan Horn and Jeff Robinov were ousted.
Legendary was behind Pacific Rim, they financed the majority of that film and will take the most of the loss. That was mentioned when the Legendary/Universal deal was announced, that it isn't the worst thing for WB.

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Old 07-23-2013, 11:26 PM   #17
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Top 20 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1211,7 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $712,6 million
3. Man of Steel $635,3 million
4. Despicable Me 2 $587,9 million
5. The Croods $582,3 million
6. Monsters University $533,8 million
7. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
8. World War Z $457,2 million
9. Star Trek Into Darkness $448,7 million
10. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
11. The Hangover Part III $350,7 million
12. The Great Gatsby $329,9 million
13. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
14. Oblivion $285,6 million
15. Epic $241,2 million
16. After Earth $235,7 million
17. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million
18. Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons $207,9 million
19. Lost in Thailand $205,4 million
20. Now You See Me $200,5 million

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Old 07-30-2013, 10:53 PM   #18
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Top 20 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1212 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $741,2 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $663,6 million
4. Man of Steel $644 million
5. The Croods $582,7 million
6. Monsters University $577,5 million
7. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
8. World War Z $473,4 million
9. Star Trek Into Darkness $450,2 million
10. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
11. The Hangover Part III $350,8 million
12. The Great Gatsby $330,4 million
13. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
14. Oblivion $286,2 million
15. Epic $243,4 million
16. After Earth $235,9 million
17. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million
18. Pacific Rim $225,2 million
19. Now You See Me $212,6 million
20. Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons $207,9 million

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Old 08-06-2013, 11:11 PM   #19
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Top 20 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1212,3 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $771,2 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $715 million
4. Man of Steel $647,3 million
5. Monsters University $613,7 million
6. The Croods $582,9 million
7. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
8. World War Z $488,7 million
9. Star Trek Into Darkness $450,9 million
10. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
11. The Hangover Part III $350,9 million
12. The Great Gatsby $330,7 million
13. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
14. Pacific Rim $294 million
15. Oblivion $286,2 million
16. The Wolverine $256,3 million
17. Epic $245 million
18. After Earth $242,5 million
19. Now You See Me $233,1 million
20. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million

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Old 08-14-2013, 12:19 AM   #20
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Top 20 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1212,4 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $782,5 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $749,4 million
4. Man of Steel $648,3 million
5. Monsters University $637,2 million
6. The Croods $583,1 million
7. World War Z $502,8 million
8. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
9. Star Trek Into Darkness $452,1 million
10. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
11. The Hangover Part III $351 million
12. Pacific Rim $344,4 million
13. The Great Gatsby $330,9 million
14. The Wolverine $307,7 million
15. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
16. Oblivion $286,2 million
17. Now You See Me $255,8 million
18. Epic $249,2 million
19. After Earth $244,6 million
20. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million

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Old 08-21-2013, 12:23 AM   #21
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Top 20 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1212,8 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $785,5 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $781,8 million
4. Monsters University $658,6 million
5. Man of Steel $649,2 million
6. The Croods $583,3 million
7. World War Z $517,7 million
8. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
9. Star Trek Into Darkness $453,7 million
10. Pacific Rim $384,5 million
11. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
12. The Hangover Part III $351 million
13. The Wolverine $335,9 million
14. The Great Gatsby $331 million
15. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
16. Oblivion $286,2 million
17. Now You See Me $274 million
18. Epic $252,3 million
19. After Earth $245,1 million
20. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million

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Old 07-23-2013, 11:41 PM   #22
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Crazy how big the Fast and Furious franchise has become the last few years.

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Old 07-24-2013, 12:04 AM   #23
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

As much as it's an undeniable hit, I wonder if the Fast and Furious films have hit a certain ceiling, domestically at least, in terms of how much they can earn. Domestically, Fast and Furious Six only made about $30 million more than Fast Five. Maybe this is the fault of my own expectations, but with the near unanimous praise for Fast Five, seemingly bringing in a larger audience, and with an almost equal level of love for Six, I was predicting a significant bump, upwards of the $300 mil mark. Internationally, the sequel also added an additional $60 mil from Five, nothing to scoff at, but with the mammoth amount of growth for sequels nowadays in both domestic and international terms, I can't help but wonder if this series has reached its maximum potential.

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Old 07-24-2013, 01:56 AM   #24
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Who cares if it has hit a ceiling or not? 700 plus million dollars is huge. Also the movie went directly up against The Hangover 3 which had to hurt it's overall gross. The problem now or days is entertainment watchers (and some studios) expect every movie to hit 1 bil and act like it's a disappointment when it doesn't. It's ridiculous. If a movie has to hit 1 bil to be successful too much was spent on the film.

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Old 07-24-2013, 01:36 PM   #25
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Default Re: 2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

"As much as it's an undeniable hit"

This was literally my first sentence. I never mentioned that not hitting a billion was a disappointment, nor did I call it a failure. I am just curious about a film's particular audience and whether or not certain films can continue to grow, or whether or not they stay within a certain range time and time again (like the Twilight and Harry Potter series, mostly staying within a very close range film to film). Discussing such an idea is not as appointing failure.

Who cares if it has hit a ceiling or not?
Anyone that cares to discuss box office, I guess. I don't know why, especially in a thread dedicated to people like me who are very interested in how films perform, that you seem to take so personally some harmless speculation.

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