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View Poll Results: What do YOU think Thor Dark World will do?
500 Million 8 7.08%
550 Million 10 8.85%
600 Million 10 8.85%
650 Million 10 8.85%
700 Million 17 15.04%
750 Million 16 14.16%
800 Million 22 19.47%
850 Million 8 7.08%
900 Million 3 2.65%
950 Million 1 0.88%
1 Billion plus 8 7.08%
Voters: 113. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-23-2013, 11:49 AM   #176
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Originally Posted by insideguy View Post
I think you are looking at really good legs for it. This whole week plus thanksgiving weekend is going to be huge numbers. It will be well over 200 million after next weekend its going to be massive. Perfect time to release it. It has a huge fan base and there will be more repeat customers than most movies. You have to think 140 million opening at least plus 10 million per weekday till next weekend where it will do another 50 million. These are huge numbers. There is nothing " grim" about this at all.
The actual ow will be in range of 150-155 with 70,5 Friday estimates, but to get to 450 it will need x3 multiplier - and it will be very hard-realistic target 350-370.

Like I said before realistically thous are a huge numbers you are right- BUT people predicted 200 mil ow and were saying that IM3 is going down - for thous -yep - its grim (but they are coming in terms with it) like for one of the posters here, who was sure that TDW will get 100+ ow and will be at 200 when CF open. It`s the matter of perception. TDW is looking at 14 mil and 168-169 dom total on monday.

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Old 11-23-2013, 11:55 AM   #177
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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The actual ow will be in range of 150-155 with 70,5 Friday estimates, but to get to 450 it will need x3 multiplier - and it will be very hard-realistic target 350-370.

Like I said before realistically thous are a huge numbers you are right- BUT people predicted 200 mil ow and were saying that IM3 is going down - for thous -yep - its grim (but they are coming in terms with it) like for one of the posters here, who was sure that TDW will get 100+ ow and will be at 200 when CF open. It`s the matter of perception. TDW is looking at 14 mil and 168-169 dom total on monday.
IM3 could still go down. If it doesnt the only reason will be no 3D

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:01 PM   #178
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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IM3 could still go down. If it doesnt the only reason will be no 3D
Yyyep, but TDK ow record is yet standing. IF this movie will have gravity legs (I do not know why, it`s a sequel-sequels of huge original almost always go down no matter WOM - SM2 had a godly WOM and critic but decreased) than yep, IM can go down dom, but ww not a chance.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:03 PM   #179
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

Even if IM3's OW record doesnt fall.
Its Thursday overnight record did fall, impressive for a movie without 3D.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:10 PM   #180
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Yyyep, but TDK ow record is yet standing. IF this movie will have gravity legs (I do not know why, it`s a sequel-sequels of huge original almost always go down no matter WOM - SM2 had a godly WOM and critic but decreased) than yep, IM can go down dom, but ww not a chance.
Box office mojo is reporting 70 million dollar friday for HG that is freaking huge.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:11 PM   #181
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

Looks like CF isn't going to be the gigantic monster that knocks TDW out of the theaters after all………you gotta love it!!!!!!!

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/hung...night-opening/
kay
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...redirect=false

Wonder if the same individuals that preached the sky was falling when Thor didn't meet the wild expectations of many fans or will they invent different reasons why its okay that CF may not even match the numbers of the first film!!!!

I always felt that there was enough room for several films to coexist CF Frozen, and TDW would still manage to make a tidy profits.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:21 PM   #182
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Looks like CF isn't going to be the gigantic monster that knocks TDW out of the theaters after all………you gotta love it!!!!!!!

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/hung...night-opening/
kay
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...redirect=false

Wonder if the same individuals that preached the sky was falling when Thor didn't meet the wild expectations of many fans or will they invent different reasons why its okay that CF may not even match the numbers of the first film!!!!

I always felt that there was enough room for several films to coexist CF Frozen, and TDW would still manage to make a tidy profits.
What do you mean? Thor 2 pulled in 4 million on friday thats ok but still less than the original thor did on the same friday.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:26 PM   #183
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Looks like CF isn't going to be the gigantic monster that knocks TDW out of the theaters after all………you gotta love it!!!!!!!

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/hung...night-opening/
kay
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...redirect=false

Wonder if the same individuals that preached the sky was falling when Thor didn't meet the wild expectations of many fans or will they invent different reasons why its okay that CF may not even match the numbers of the first film!!!!

I always felt that there was enough room for several films to coexist CF Frozen, and TDW would still manage to make a tidy profits.
HG already had a better opening than the first film and you cant pull in any better opening box office numbers without 3d. I think you are not well informed.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:31 PM   #184
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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What do you mean? Thor 2 pulled in 4 million on friday thats ok but still less than the original thor did on the same friday.
We will see how whole week end turns out. It`s week days are horrible but week ends are pretty good- should have a good jump tomorrow.

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HG already had a better opening than the first film and you cant pull in any better opening box office numbers without 3d. I think you are not well informed.
Do not rush-it may or may not have a better OW.


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Old 11-23-2013, 12:50 PM   #185
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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We will see how whole week end turns out. It`s week days are horrible but week ends are pretty good- should have a good jump tomorrow.


Do not rush-it may or may not have a better OW.
You pretty much cant get any better numbers than this without 3d. I think only dark knight rises had a better non 3 d opening.

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Old 11-23-2013, 12:59 PM   #186
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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You pretty much cant get any better numbers than this without 3d. I think only dark knight rises had a better non 3 d opening.
Yep, they need to make MJ part 1 in 3D as it will be the lowest grossing part of franchise.

I beginning to think that TDW may not be able to reach 200 and will end up in 190+.

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Old 11-23-2013, 02:19 PM   #187
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Originally Posted by eeffos View Post
Looks like CF isn't going to be the gigantic monster that knocks TDW out of the theaters after all………you gotta love it!!!!!!!

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/hung...night-opening/
kay
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...redirect=false

Wonder if the same individuals that preached the sky was falling when Thor didn't meet the wild expectations of many fans or will they invent different reasons why its okay that CF may not even match the numbers of the first film!!!!

I always felt that there was enough room for several films to coexist CF Frozen, and TDW would still manage to make a tidy profits.
Did you read the articles you posted? They are updated.

CF is on pace to break November records, with a 2D release. The original film was released in a different month, making this release even more impressive. You do realize that CF is going to make 10x TDW this weekend, and has like a 90% edge on opening weekend without 3D. TDW is set to make around $16m this weekend.

Just for perspective, The Hunger Games will be somewhere between $10-20m off of TDW total by Monday. By the following Monday, it could be 60-70m ahead of TDW.

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Old 11-23-2013, 02:53 PM   #188
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Did you read the articles you posted? They are updated.

CF is on pace to break November records, with a 2D release. The original film was released in a different month, making this release even more impressive. You do realize that CF is going to make 10x TDW this weekend, and has like a 90% edge on opening weekend without 3D. TDW is set to make around $16m this weekend.

Just for perspective, The Hunger Games will be somewhere between $10-20m off of TDW total by Monday. By the following Monday, it could be 60-70m ahead of TDW.
I don't think he was saying Thor 2 was expected to outgross Catching Fire.

but as sequels, Thor 2 increased and CF decreased.

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Old 11-23-2013, 02:58 PM   #189
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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I don't think he was saying Thor 2 was expected to outgross Catching Fire.

but as sequels, Thor 2 increased and CF decreased.
CF didnt decrease! Its made 70 million bucks on friday. Honestly all of you guys have no clue how big hunger games is. It is going to break all November records blow them off the map. I said this weeks ago. It made five million dollars less than the Darkknight rises which was released in the summer. This movie going to make 400 million domestic easily and a billion worldwide.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3754&p=.htm


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Old 11-23-2013, 03:02 PM   #190
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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I don't think he was saying Thor 2 was expected to outgross Catching Fire.

but as sequels, Thor 2 increased and CF decreased.
Catching Fire hasn't "decreased". It is estimated to have out-grossed the first film by $4m on Friday. It is looking to match or better over the weekend, with Thanksgiving next week. That it is a sequel to the 14th highest grossing film in US history, to the film with the 3rd largest 2D ever, those are great numbers. It could still claim to 2D record and plenty of November records. Those are fantastic numbers.

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Old 11-23-2013, 03:04 PM   #191
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Catching Fire hasn't "decreased". It is looking to match or better, with Thanksgiving next week. That it is a sequel to the 14th highest grossing film in US history, to the film with the 3rd largest 2D ever, those are great numbers. It could still claim to 2D record. Those are fantastic numbers.
I dont want to be mean but some of these guys must be smoking something. Its like they cant accept how big this movie is going to be.

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Old 11-23-2013, 03:20 PM   #192
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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I dont want to be mean but some of these guys must be smoking something. Its like they cant accept how big this movie is going to be.
It isn't that. Some are being defensive yes, but most don't know how to read the numbers and just take a headline as fact.

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Old 11-23-2013, 04:11 PM   #193
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

CF is looking at a dead even OW with THG thanks to studio estimates.

Because it's a sequel it will be far more frontloaded than THG. Most are predicting 350 m domestic for CF. THG made over 400 m.

So again, CF decreased and Thor 2 increased domestically.

Mockingjay is destined to drop even harder since the story is less popular.

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Old 11-23-2013, 04:25 PM   #194
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

So Thor is going to do 14ish mil this weekend. Yeah Catching Fire is going to come in under predictions and yet it's still going to make it's budget back opening weekend.

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Old 11-23-2013, 04:55 PM   #195
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So Thor is going to do 14ish mil this weekend. Yeah Catching Fire is going to come in under predictions and yet it's still going to make it's budget back opening weekend.
You have to double your budget first.

Though considering studios sometimes take 60-70% opening weekend, it will be pretty close.

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Old 11-23-2013, 05:21 PM   #196
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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CF is looking at a dead even OW with THG thanks to studio estimates.

Because it's a sequel it will be far more frontloaded than THG. Most are predicting 350 m domestic for CF. THG made over 400 m.

So again, CF decreased and Thor 2 increased domestically.

Mockingjay is destined to drop even harder since the story is less popular.

Seems like a lot of unsubstantiated BS in this post.

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Old 11-23-2013, 05:28 PM   #197
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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Seems like a lot of unsubstantiated BS in this post.
You wanna bet?

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Old 11-23-2013, 05:47 PM   #198
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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You wanna bet?
Bet what?

You're relying on studio estimates which are almost always under the actuals.

Then you says its going to only make 350 mil which is crazy underestimating. On a 150 OW that's a mere 2.3 multiplier which is far too low for a movie opening up a week before Thanksgiving. Beyond that HG opened in the spring when many schools had Friday off.

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Old 11-23-2013, 05:54 PM   #199
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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CF is looking at a dead even OW with THG thanks to studio estimates.

Because it's a sequel it will be far more frontloaded than THG. Most are predicting 350 m domestic for CF. THG made over 400 m.

So again, CF decreased and Thor 2 increased domestically.

Mockingjay is destined to drop even harder since the story is less popular.
You can't compare. Look where Thor has grown from and to. TDW has pretty much dropped off the face of the US. Even if your numbers turn out to be right, and considering Thanksgiving and Christmas I am not sure you will be right, the CF is a far better play domestically, for less money to make no less. If it makes $350m domestically, it is huge. There is no denying it.

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Old 11-23-2013, 06:07 PM   #200
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

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You can't compare. Look where Thor has grown from and to. TDW has pretty much dropped off the face of the US. Even if your numbers turn out to be right, and considering Thanksgiving and Christmas I am not sure you will be right, the CF is a far better play domestically, for less money to make no less. If it makes $350m domestically, it is huge. There is no denying it.
Who cares .....jeeeez, this is a Thor forum last time I checked! Thor is performing as expected. 12-14 mil would have happened with or without CF opening.

Let's talk Thor.

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