The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 - Page 40

Raiden · 05-12-2012, 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ElMariachi

Do you guys think TA can take down Battleship AND The Dictator next week?

If TA does indeed only suffers 52% or so drop this week, I have no doubt that it can remain #1 next week as well.

Tony Stark · 05-12-2012, 10:26 AM

boxoffice.com has it at 29M.

Nikki needs to find a new job.

04nbod · 05-12-2012, 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

boxoffice.com has it at 29M.

Nikki needs to find a new job.

These things always go up and down. She was way off last week but usually she is in range.

Liam_H · 05-12-2012, 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stark Bauer

Hmm. Yeah you guys got a point. But I think TA can reclaim the no 1 spot in June in at least one of the weeks. If it should come to that.

Highly unlikely. There's a big movie coming out every week in June and TA weekend take will be around the $30 million area around that time. It won't reclaim #1 by then but it'll remain in the Top 5 for a good while like the Hunger Games.

thalidomide · 05-12-2012, 10:48 AM

^^ is that a good or a bad thing? I'm having a hard time tracking these numbers

yads · 05-12-2012, 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by redp

The Avengers amassed an amazing $29.124 million on Friday, read more at
http://box-office-film-news.blogspot...illion-on.html

See how much it should make over its second weekend

Good predictions. Based on the mediocre Friday OS the $1.25b WW might be close, although I still hope for $1.4-$1.5b.

As for domestic, yeah $102.8m is certainly possible - but the reality is we're in unchartered territory with the numbers TA is making. It should - according to the increases usually seen with family films - make quite a bit more than $103m, but that would mean getting close to $50m second Saturday, which is so unheard of it's funny.

craigdbfan · 05-12-2012, 10:59 AM

Very good.

yads · 05-12-2012, 11:04 AM

At the opposite end of the predicting scale:
http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118053937/

Considering their reputation, this is astonishingly dumb:

"This is a reasonable drop for a B.O. buster like "Avengers," but if it persists through Sunday, pic will fall barely short of beating "Avatar's" second frame feat of $75.5 million"

CaptainCraig · 05-12-2012, 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jordanstine

More than likely she looks at the boxoffice.com forums because RTH posts there.

Right, if Nikki looks at anywhere it's likely boxoffice.com or maybe it's sister site boxofficetheory.com
Not sure if she might check out World of KJ or not.
She's not coming here and that's just 4 sites. I'm sure others use her #'s and talk about her inaccurate(but early!) rapid fire numbers reports.

craigdbfan · 05-12-2012, 11:06 AM

I think it's going to keep doing very well. I don't see it slowing down personally.

yads · 05-12-2012, 11:07 AM

$21m yesterday OS is bad though, I was hoping it would do around $30m. I wonder to what extent it's Dark Shadows doing better OS than US, or, worse, if the legs are gonna be less great from here on out.

CaptainCraig · 05-12-2012, 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by yads

$21m yesterday OS is bad though, I was hoping it would do around $30m. I wonder to what extent it's Dark Shadows doing better OS than US, or, worse, if the legs are gonna be less great from here on out.

Well, it is the films third weekend in at least 41 territories overseas and Depp is bigger internationally than anything else new opening. Sort of to be expected.

I feel the third weekend drop domestically will start to look normal as well. No third weekend record setting number. Avatar's third weekend was about $69m, don't see Avengers besting that as much as I'd like to.

Avatar *spit*

yads · 05-12-2012, 11:11 AM

What's so crazy about the Variety article is the suggestion it might fall short of Avatar's $75m. Based on the $29m Friday, it should be roughly at that mark after Saturday.

thalidomide · 05-12-2012, 11:20 AM

So... anyone here still going to see TA? That might help set the record

Rock Sexton · 05-12-2012, 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thalidomide

So... anyone here still going to see TA? That might help set the record

Really wanted to go yesterday, but couldn't fit it in. Hoping to see it either today or tomorrow. The issue now is getting someone to go with me .... otherwise I may have to sack up and go on my own. Maybe I can convince my folks to go on Mother's Day.

Quasimod0 · 05-12-2012, 11:23 AM

Yes. I'm going tomorrow. And I know lots of other ppl who are

thalidomide · 05-12-2012, 11:28 AM

I've already seen the movie 4 times!!

Superhero 101 · 05-12-2012, 11:32 AM

So will it probably make about 80-95 million

yads · 05-12-2012, 11:41 AM

Yeah, it should do $105-$115m from a $29m Friday, but those numbers just look nuts for a second weekend...

redfirebird2008 · 05-12-2012, 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Superhero 101

So will it probably make about 80-95 million

Closer to $105m.

Thread Manager · 05-12-2012, 11:44 AM

This thread is now closed it has a continuation thread Here

View Poll Results: What will be the world-wide box office take of The Avengers?
1.5 billion >	7	4.93%
1.0 billion >	31	21.83%
900 million >	30	21.13%
800 million >	46	32.39%
700 million >	20	14.08%
600 million >	1	0.70%
500 million >	6	4.23%
400 million >	0	0%
300 million >	1	0.70%
200 million >	0	0%
Voters: 142. You may not vote on this poll

05-12-2012, 10:26 AM	#977
Tony Stark Armored Avenger! Join Date: May 2002 Location: In a cave with a box of scraps Posts: 6,357	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 boxoffice.com has it at 29M. Nikki needs to find a new job. __________________ “Some people call me a terrorist. I consider myself a teacher. Lesson number one: Heroes....there is no such thing.” The Mandarin

05-12-2012, 10:48 AM	#980
thalidomide The Enemy Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Parts, Unknown Posts: 1,142	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 ^^ is that a good or a bad thing? I'm having a hard time tracking these numbers __________________ Every damn word I say is a sneak attack!

05-12-2012, 11:04 AM	#983
yads Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 157	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 At the opposite end of the predicting scale: http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118053937/ Considering their reputation, this is astonishingly dumb: "This is a reasonable drop for a B.O. buster like "Avengers," but if it persists through Sunday, pic will fall barely short of beating "Avatar's" second frame feat of $75.5 million"

05-12-2012, 11:07 AM	#986
yads Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 157	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 $21m yesterday OS is bad though, I was hoping it would do around $30m. I wonder to what extent it's Dark Shadows doing better OS than US, or, worse, if the legs are gonna be less great from here on out.

05-12-2012, 11:11 AM	#988
yads Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 157	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 What's so crazy about the Variety article is the suggestion it might fall short of Avatar's $75m. Based on the $29m Friday, it should be roughly at that mark after Saturday.

05-12-2012, 11:20 AM	#989
thalidomide The Enemy Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Parts, Unknown Posts: 1,142	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 So... anyone here still going to see TA? That might help set the record __________________ Every damn word I say is a sneak attack!

05-12-2012, 11:23 AM	#991
Quasimod0 Bell-Ringer Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 5,195	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 Yes. I'm going tomorrow. And I know lots of other ppl who are

05-12-2012, 11:28 AM	#992
thalidomide The Enemy Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Parts, Unknown Posts: 1,142	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 I've already seen the movie 4 times!! __________________ Every damn word I say is a sneak attack!

05-12-2012, 11:32 AM	#993
Superhero 101 DESI Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 6,493	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 So will it probably make about 80-95 million __________________ Summer 2013: Iron Man 3 8.5/10 Star Trek Into Darkness 9/10 Fast And Furious 6 Hangover III Man of Steel The Wolverine

05-12-2012, 11:41 AM	#994
yads Side-Kick Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 157	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 Yeah, it should do $105-$115m from a $29m Friday, but those numbers just look nuts for a second weekend...

05-12-2012, 11:44 AM	#996
Thread Manager SHH! Moderator Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 1	Re: The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4 This thread is now closed it has a continuation thread Here

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode