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View Poll Results: What do YOU think Thor Dark World will do?
500 Million 8 7.08%
550 Million 10 8.85%
600 Million 10 8.85%
650 Million 10 8.85%
700 Million 17 15.04%
750 Million 16 14.16%
800 Million 22 19.47%
850 Million 8 7.08%
900 Million 3 2.65%
950 Million 1 0.88%
1 Billion plus 8 7.08%
Voters: 113. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-13-2013, 12:47 PM   #826
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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It will bring in 200 to 220 million domestic . Thats good but Hunger games is going to not only put in a dent in it its going to wipe it off the map. Hunger games is going to be the biggest domestic opening of the year. Its set up in a perfect spot to do it and coming off the first film making 400 million domestic? This one is going to bring in 500 million easy.


If HG increases at all it'll be minimally. I expect it'll drop though.

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:08 PM   #827
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

Not sure if it CF will Top IM3 opening weekend, might come close but not sure it will overtake it...
No 3D or ticket hikes to pad its totals...


Last edited by warriorking; 11-13-2013 at 02:16 PM.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:16 PM   #828
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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If HG increases at all it'll be minimally. I expect it'll drop though.
I think you guys are not being logical as far as hunger games appeal. The first movie did 400 million domestic. There isnt really a history of movies that big doing worse or the same with a sequel. There just isnt. Its opening during holiday time and its audience spans all generations. It is based on a massive selling book series. This movie is going to be the biggest movie of the year there is no doubt.

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:18 PM   #829
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Not sure if it CF will Top IM3 opening weekend, might come close but not sure it will overtake it...
No 3D or ticket hikes to pad its totals...


What as IM3s opening weekend? I dont remeber.

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:26 PM   #830
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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What as IM3s opening weekend? I dont remeber.
174.1 m

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:29 PM   #831
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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If HG increases at all it'll be minimally. I expect it'll drop though.


You're kidding right? Remember Twilight? The first one did less than 400 million, then the sequel did 700 million, and the last one reached 800 million, and if i remember well it was all without the help of 3D or IMAX, now Hunger Games is not only rising in popularity to, but it's actually good.

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:31 PM   #832
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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174.1 m
I think it will be close but over the long haul with thanksgiving weekend coming up after that its gonna be pulling massive numbers. Just checked orginal hunger games opened with 152 million with a march opening!. Yea I think this beats it.

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:33 PM   #833
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You're kidding right? Remember Twilight? The first one did less than 400 million, then the sequel did 700 million, and the last one reached 800 million, and if i remember well it was all without the help of 3D or IMAX, now Hunger Games is not only rising in popularity to, but it's actually good.

I think Marvel fandom sometimes clouds minds like the dark side of the force

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Old 11-13-2013, 02:39 PM   #834
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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I think Marvel fandom sometimes clouds minds like the dark side of the force
That's not the dark side.

It's hope and dreams.

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Old 11-13-2013, 03:17 PM   #835
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

A bit less than the estimate.

@BoxOffice58s

THOR: THE DARK WORLD: $5.24M Tuesday / $101.39M Domestic Total / 3,841 Locations / $1,365 Location Avg. #Thor2

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Old 11-13-2013, 03:33 PM   #836
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

HG may have grabbed 152Million during its march opening but that does not mean CF will blow that opening out of the water this time, remember its not like its going to open in thousands of more theatres than the last, and you can only sell out so many seats..I still think it will get around 165-170 Million at best OW which is great, but realistically its not going to show in anymore theatres than IM3 did and it has a 2:30 runtime.....

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Old 11-13-2013, 04:12 PM   #837
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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I think you guys are not being logical as far as hunger games appeal. The first movie did 400 million domestic.
With absolutely no competition. It was the first big movie of the year, and the next heavyweight was 6 weeks after (Avengers). It got a lot of hype when there was nothing much else to see. CF has much heavier competition on either side of it.

Quote:
There isnt really a history of movies that big doing worse or the same with a sequel. There just isnt.
Wut? There isn't really a history of franchises that start that big, full stop.

Name one other franchise that opened that big in the US and then grew by almost $100m in the sequel.

Spider-Man? Dropped ($403m->$373m).
Potter? Dropped ($317m->$261m).
Star Wars? Dropped ($307m->$209m).

Transformers is the only one I see, $80m increase. Even then, it started at $319m, not $400m+. Not exactly the same, at best the exception to the rule.
LOTR had about $30m increases with each movie but started at $315m.

Quote:
Its opening during holiday time and its audience spans all generations. It is based on a massive selling book series. This movie is going to be the biggest movie of the year there is no doubt.
I don't see where you're squeezing an extra $100m from "easily".

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Originally Posted by Lord View Post
You're kidding right? Remember Twilight? The first one did less than 400 million, then the sequel did 700 million, and the last one reached 800 million, and if i remember well it was all without the help of 3D or IMAX, now Hunger Games is not only rising in popularity to, but it's actually good.
We're talking US, not world wide. Twilight's starting point was $192m in the US, not at all comparable to THG.

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Originally Posted by insideguy View Post
I think Marvel fandom sometimes clouds minds like the dark side of the force
My mind is clouded because I don't think CF will "easily" crack $500m US?....
I think you've got that a bit backwards there, guy.

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Last edited by Moridin; 11-13-2013 at 04:40 PM.
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Old 11-13-2013, 04:53 PM   #838
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by rashad View Post
A bit less than the estimate.

@BoxOffice58s
THOR: THE DARK WORLD: $5.24M Tuesday / $101.39M Domestic Total / 3,841 Locations / $1,365 Location Avg. #Thor2
We should be at 115 Million going into the weekend..
Then probably sitting at 160 Million by Monday...

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Old 11-13-2013, 05:02 PM   #839
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by ironman_rick View Post
Holycow............that's a huge drop from Monday

What? Monday was a Holiday. Come on people.

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Old 11-13-2013, 05:08 PM   #840
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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What? Monday was a Holiday. Come on people.
Exactly, You can expect around 4 to 5 Million each weekday going into the weekend...
TDW may haul in another 20 Million during the CF weekend...
Think it will end up around 250-275 Million domestic wise, 450Million OS...
Still a Good solid Hit...


Last edited by warriorking; 11-13-2013 at 05:16 PM.
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Old 11-13-2013, 05:38 PM   #841
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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With absolutely no competition. It was the first big movie of the year, and the next heavyweight was 6 weeks after (Avengers). It got a lot of hype when there was nothing much else to see. CF has much heavier competition on either side of it.



Wut? There isn't really a history of franchises that start that big, full stop.

Name one other franchise that opened that big in the US and then grew by almost $100m in the sequel.

Spider-Man? Dropped ($403m->$373m).
Potter? Dropped ($317m->$261m).
Star Wars? Dropped ($307m->$209m).

Transformers is the only one I see, $80m increase. Even then, it started at $319m, not $400m+. Not exactly the same, at best the exception to the rule.
LOTR had about $30m increases with each movie but started at $315m.



I don't see where you're squeezing an extra $100m from "easily".



We're talking US, not world wide. Twilight's starting point was $192m in the US, not at all comparable to THG.



My mind is clouded because I don't think CF will "easily" crack $500m US?....
I think you've got that a bit backwards there, guy.
HG is opening on a perfect weekend. Its only bigger than it was last time, Sequels do better IM2, Thor 2 Darknight, Matrix, LOTR, ect. Not always but a movie like this? Yes. Its going to be the biggest movie of the year. I will see you back here when it is.

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Old 11-13-2013, 05:40 PM   #842
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by warriorking View Post
Exactly, You can expect around 4 to 5 Million each weekday going into the weekend...
TDW may haul in another 20 Million during the CF weekend...
Think it will end up around 250-275 Million domestic wise, 450Million OS...
Still a Good solid Hit...

I really think 250 to 275 is on the extreme high side.

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Old 11-13-2013, 05:44 PM   #843
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

HG is going to be huge IMO and I would bet it makes more Domestically than T:TDW.

That said, seriously it's not going to stomp Thor completely out of the theaters as much as some are implying. All of the other movies that have been out for a bit in the theaters now and are not making as much as T:TDW are going to lose more of their theaters first, it's not like they are going to throw T:TDW out of the theaters while it's making more money than anything else there except for HG:CF.

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Old 11-13-2013, 05:46 PM   #844
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
People were convinced Thor couldn't outperform Hulk because he was less popular and a hard-sell conceptually.
I remember that.

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Old 11-13-2013, 06:44 PM   #845
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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Originally Posted by rashad View Post
A bit less than the estimate.

@BoxOffice58s

THOR: THE DARK WORLD: $5.24M Tuesday / $101.39M Domestic Total / 3,841 Locations / $1,365 Location Avg. #Thor2
50% drop? That's harsh. I was expecting a steep drop what with Veteran's day and all, but not that steep.

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Old 11-13-2013, 06:58 PM   #846
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50% drop? That's harsh. I was expecting a steep drop what with Veteran's day and all, but not that steep.
Its not summer time, kids are at school, people are at work, so its a normal
drop for this time of year...This weekend will bring in respectable numbers, so don't worry...

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Old 11-13-2013, 07:14 PM   #847
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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If HG increases at all it'll be minimally. I expect it'll drop though.
It'll probably make more WW than the first(due to OS expansion) but it's domestic total should have a drop. Just not sure how much but it's extremely likely to still get over $350M domestic.

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Old 11-13-2013, 07:17 PM   #848
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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174.1 m
I thought that it was 185 million.

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Old 11-13-2013, 07:25 PM   #849
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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I really think 250 to 275 is on the extreme high side.
It pretty much for sure will be within $20M of the $250 mark, whether on the low side or above it. Any way you slice it though, that's a successful run. The movie cost $170M and it's have that covered with domestic totals before THG2 even opens.

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Old 11-13-2013, 07:28 PM   #850
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Default Re: Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions

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50% drop? That's harsh. I was expecting a steep drop what with Veteran's day and all, but not that steep.
I don't know if it's all that bad but I must admit that when I was projecting it against Skyfall as a comparison film I thought it might only fall to around $6.5M on Tuesday. This was a little more of a drop than I had hoped for but we'll have to see the rest of the week to determine what trend is forming. It's too early to tell right now.

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