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View Poll Results: How will Captain America do at the World Wide Box Office?
$100-$199 million 8 5.06%
$200-$299 million 25 15.82%
$300-$399 million 41 25.95%
$400-$499 million 46 29.11%
$500-$599 million 22 13.92%
$600-$699 million 6 3.80%
$700-$799 million 3 1.90%
$800-$899 million 0 0%
$900-$999 million 1 0.63%
1 billion + 6 3.80%
Voters: 158. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 05-16-2011, 09:55 PM   #76
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

I too think that Cap will be the biggest domestic superhero movie this year. I'm hoping it'll be third or fourth place after Transformers (God why), Potter & Pirates. Though, Super 8 could come out of nowhere & be a big hit.

As I've said before, Cap is an already recognizable face. He may not be as well known as Spidey or Batman, but he's definitely more well known that Iron Man & Thor were before their movies. I say he's as well known as Green Lantern currently is, but Cap's movie has an upper hand against GL's because the WOM for the Cap trailer has been much better than that of GL's. *Insert 'I KNOW RIGHT? joke here*

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Old 05-16-2011, 11:25 PM   #77
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

GL is no more 'known' than Iron Man or Thor were. Cap is slightly above all of them.

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Old 05-17-2011, 12:28 PM   #78
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I don't know how anyone could be happy about the movie making alot of money just because one expired. If that happened, to me it would indicate that the movie it's self wasn't that damn good, it would be pretty sad and pathetic imo. As a Captain America fan, it would trouble me. I still think that the movie will make around $400 million worldwide.


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Old 05-17-2011, 12:59 PM   #79
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

Quote:
Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
GL is no more 'known' than Iron Man or Thor were. Cap is slightly above all of them.
I'd argue Green Lantern is slightly better known than Iron Man and Thor were. I'd say it's around the same level as Fantastic Four.

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Old 05-17-2011, 01:26 PM   #80
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I'd argue Green Lantern is slightly better known than Iron Man and Thor were. I'd say it's around the same level as Fantastic Four.
Let me just say this, if you Google Green Lantern you get 68+ million search results. If you Google Fantastic Four, you only get around 8+ million search results.

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Old 05-17-2011, 01:32 PM   #81
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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Let me just say this, if you Google Green Lantern you get 68+ million search results. If you Google Fantastic Four, you only get around 8+ million search results.
Which proves exactly nothing. Unless you think it means GL is more known than the FF(which after the FF already had two summer movies..can't possibly be true). In fact, according to the google stats, GL has more search results than Spider-man. Does that mean GL is more known than Spider-Man? GL's search #'s also trumps Superman completely. Is GL more known than Superman?

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Old 05-17-2011, 02:12 PM   #82
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

Quote:
Originally Posted by S.A.A.D View Post
I don't know how anyone could be happy about the movie making alot of money just because one expired. If that happened, to me it would indicate that the movie it's self wasn't that damn good, it would be pretty sad and pathetic imo. As a Captain America fan, it would trouble me. I still think that the movie will make around $400 million worldwide.

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Old 05-17-2011, 02:54 PM   #83
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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Which proves exactly nothing. Unless you think it means GL is more known than the FF(which after the FF already had two summer movies..can't possibly be true). In fact, according to the google stats, GL has more search results than Spider-man. Does that mean GL is more known than Spider-Man? GL's search #'s also trumps Superman completely. Is GL more known than Superman?
No, Green Lantern isn't completely more known than Superman. Is Green Lantern more known than the Fantastic Four? I don't know, it made sense at the time.

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Old 05-17-2011, 02:57 PM   #84
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What's confusing about what I said?

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Old 05-17-2011, 02:58 PM   #85
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

I don't know what you were trying to say.

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Old 05-17-2011, 03:04 PM   #86
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I don't know what you were trying to say.
Oh, I was trying to say that it would be bad if The First Avenger made alot of money because of the death of Osama, and not because it's good.

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Old 05-17-2011, 03:05 PM   #87
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NOW I get it

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Old 05-17-2011, 09:20 PM   #88
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
GL is no more 'known' than Iron Man or Thor were. Cap is slightly above all of them.
Nah, I think the character's appearance in the various cartoons makes him well known. Right now, I'd rank him behind Supers, Bats & Wonder Woman in how well known he is. That might change after this summer.

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Old 05-18-2011, 06:17 AM   #89
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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Nah, I think the character's appearance in the various cartoons makes him well known. Right now, I'd rank him behind Supers, Bats & Wonder Woman in how well known he is. That might change after this summer.
Well the thing is, most of those GL's in animation weren't Hal Jordan.

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Old 05-18-2011, 07:41 AM   #90
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

People who are under the impression that the cartoon really matters to adults are sorely mistaken.

Green Lantern is same level as Iron Man (pre-movie). Slightly above Thor, slightly below Cap and Hulk.

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Old 05-18-2011, 07:43 AM   #91
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

Quote:
Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
GL is no more 'known' than Iron Man or Thor were. Cap is slightly above all of them.
Sadly, Cap used to be just "Slightly" below Spider-Man. Now he's barely above Thor.

I think people are underestimating the 25 and up age bracket's effect on these movies. Thor had a huge percentage of 25+ adults. To people in their 30s and 40s, Cap is a HUGE name. He started to phase out in the 90s, which is why most people here don't remember him as having gigantic name recognition. But the people who were alive when he was an instantly recognizable name are still alive, and still going to movies.

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Old 05-18-2011, 09:44 AM   #92
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

Well My Dad used to read the ORIGINAL Cap comics in the 40's, but he really doesn't liked any kind of Fantasy films. He's more a Cowboy/Western Film fan when he DOES see movies.

By the way Kang, I'm 50, and a fan.

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Old 05-18-2011, 09:39 PM   #93
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

I guess when it comes to GL, I'm mainly thinking about the teen age group since that's the one I'm in. I do think that character is pretty recognizable for people my age. It'll be interesting to see how both that film & Cap do.

I'd hang out in the GL forum, but alas I don't know crap about DC since I'm a super casual DC fan.

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Old 05-18-2011, 11:03 PM   #94
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

I'm a little worried that Cap won't make as much as people are expecting domestically just because A.) like so many this summer, it's sandwiched between two other blockbusters, one of which could be the biggest of the year, and B.) It's the last of the superheroes, which means IF people start feeling superhero fatigue as the season goes on, Cap is the one that's gonna suffer from it the most.

I still think it will at least do well enough to warrant a sequel (say, $160-$190m domestic), but it might not do as well as the others. Of course, I'd be thrilled to be wrong, because I think it looks great. And that said, I think it will do BETTER than many are expecting overseas. If an American-ized take on WWII like Inglourious Basterds can make $200m overseas alone, then I think a WWII-set blockbuster like Cap, even an "America-slanted" one, could at least pull in $200-240m overseas as well. So while I agree with the predictions of $400m worldwide, I think a lower percentage of that will come from the domestic returns than many people are predicting.

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Old 05-19-2011, 01:59 AM   #95
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

Cap's budget is also $10M less than Thor's. Less to make up. Honestly, anything $350M+ WW gets you a sequel for sure.

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Old 05-19-2011, 03:56 AM   #96
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

BOM seems to think Cap'll do $270M OS.

http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3161&p=.htm

I think that's a bit optimistic. That's very near where Thor's going to end up($275M-$300M). But I'd love it if they are right.

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Old 05-19-2011, 06:27 PM   #97
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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BOM seems to think Cap'll do $270M OS.

http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3161&p=.htm

I think that's a bit optimistic. That's very near where Thor's going to end up($275M-$300M). But I'd love it if they are right.
I was just to post that. It was kind of shocking to see a major publication say that. At first I thought they meant total, but then I realized it was sans-North America.

After The Hulk movies, I am always very skeptical about new comic book characters chances; Hulk has huge name recognition, and failed to garner enough money to warrant a direct sequel either time.

Captain America, in my eyes, has a lot of stigma attached to him. Everyone knows who he is, but a lot of people think the idea is "dorky" compared to "cool" superheroes like Wolverine, Iron Man, and Batman. And that's within his own country!

I want Cap to be huge; he's my favorite superhero of all time. But on the flipside, I want to be realistic. I still think 350 million worldwide is a fair estimate, and will likely result in more Captain America movies. The 520-550 million that would result from Cap making 270 OS would be nice, but I just don't want to set myself up for disappointment.

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Old 05-19-2011, 07:16 PM   #98
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

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I was just to post that. It was kind of shocking to see a major publication say that. At first I thought they meant total, but then I realized it was sans-North America.

After The Hulk movies, I am always very skeptical about new comic book characters chances; Hulk has huge name recognition, and failed to garner enough money to warrant a direct sequel either time.

Captain America, in my eyes, has a lot of stigma attached to him. Everyone knows who he is, but a lot of people think the idea is "dorky" compared to "cool" superheroes like Wolverine, Iron Man, and Batman. And that's within his own country!

I want Cap to be huge; he's my favorite superhero of all time. But on the flipside, I want to be realistic. I still think 350 million worldwide is a fair estimate, and will likely result in more Captain America movies. The 520-550 million that would result from Cap making 270 OS would be nice, but I just don't want to set myself up for disappointment.
The Hulk is a less engaging concept for the average movie goer than Cap is. The Hulk is a CGI monster, and it has hurt people in caring about Hulk as a character. Money can't keep Hulk on screen long enough for us to connect with him. Cap is always human and has an ugly duckling story that is more relatable.

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Old 05-19-2011, 07:22 PM   #99
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the thing about CAP in over-seas markets is that it isn't fantastical or cgi heavy to drag in the viewers that pay for that... nor is it a historic epic (medivel war)... its kinda in between and that doesn't work... its gonna be tough... domestically it can do solid... and will depend on word of mouth to carry it.

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Old 05-20-2011, 09:25 AM   #100
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

I'm hoping for a upper 300's run. The release date worries me though.

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