The Official Captain America Box Office Thread!

[kedrell]

And considering the unusual baggage that the Hulk has(in live action films) I'd say it's not a good idea to use him in any way as a measuring bar for other heroes. If TIH had been the debut movie instead of Anghulk then he'd probably have a pretty decent sized franchise by now. of course then that would've meant that Universal would likely have never given him up.

[DieSmiling]

Originally Posted by marcvader

I'm hoping for a upper 300's run. The release date worries me though.

Yeah, domestically my biggest worry is the release date. One week after HP is a bit scary -- I think the final Potter is going to be a juggernaut.

I think Thor benefited from it's release date and I think Cap might be hurt by it.

[marcvader]

I think Cap would have made more than what Thor is making right now had it been released in May

[Superhero 101]

As long as Cap makes 400 million i am going to be happy!

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by marcvader

I think Cap would have made more than what Thor is making right now had it been released in May

I've been pondering that idea too. I haven't firmly come down on one side but I've been thinking about it.

[Spider-Vader]

I think HP should of been released in November. Perhaps on November 16, since that's the day that Sorcerer's Stone was released a decade ago. Oh well, too late now.

[KangConquers]

Box Office Mojo is predicting a 470 total gross for Cap.

[Spider-Vader]

Sounds good! Is that higher than what the predicted outcome for Thor will be?

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by Spider-Vader

I think HP should of been released in November. Perhaps on November 16, since that's the day that Sorcerer's Stone was released a decade ago. Oh well, too late now.

They should have all been released in November, but greedy WB was trying to make more money. HP works best in the States as a holiday movie and always has.

[KangConquers]

Originally Posted by Spider-Vader

Sounds good! Is that higher than what the predicted outcome for Thor will be?

They predicted basically the same. Thor making more abroad, Cap making more domestically.

[The Morningstar]

I think 400 mill would be a great number for Cap. Harry Potter will be a bit of a problem though.

[Whiskey Tango]

This is me in the Green Lantern thread trying to be optimistic about Cap's chances during week 2 of the last Harry Squatter, The Boy Who Pees Sitting Down movie

Potter will make obscene amounts of money it's first week and then calm his bespectacled ass down for week 2, which is when Cap comes out. Not saying Harry won't be a greasy leech but he won't be the curbstomp you DC tools are praying for either. The kids'll flood theaters in week 1 and be done with it.

I like to think Cap can hold his own but Potter is certain to be monstrous. I have heard about how the Potter movies are really front loaded that first weekend but is there truth to that? Is there any hope for Cap? Make me feel better, eh?

[KangConquers]

Originally Posted by Whiskey Tango

This is me in the Green Lantern thread trying to be optimistic about Cap's chances during week 2 of the last Harry Squatter, The Boy Who Pees Sitting Down movie



I like to think Cap can hold his own but Potter is certain to be monstrous. I have heard about how the Potter movies are really front loaded that first weekend but is there truth to that? Is there any hope for Cap? Make me feel better, eh?

Green Lantern fans are just envious because their Ryan Reynolds starring crapfest is inevitably going to be the dud of 2011.

[Doctor Jones]

How do we know it's going to be a crapfest? I'm sure you have a crystal ball somewhere to give us proof of that. If you do I will completely believe you.

[moe]

oops.. said 100-199.. though it was just overseas... but world wide.. should be over 400 hopefully.

[Dwarf Slayer]

Originally Posted by Whiskey Tango

I like to think Cap can hold his own but Potter is certain to be monstrous. I have heard about how the Potter movies are really front loaded that first weekend but is there truth to that? Is there any hope for Cap? Make me feel better, eh?

Captain America is going to be significantly hurt going up against Potter. Deathly Hallows Part 1 is the 10th highest grossing movie of all time. Marvel's biggest success (Iron Man) doesn't even break the top 50. Not to mention that TDH pt 1 was also the second highest grossing of the franchise, only second to the first movie.

On an international level, it's almost certain that Cap will be slaughtered by Potter. Domestically, it might fare a little bit better. That said, this is the last installment of Potter and there is definitely a curiosity factor. Deathly Hallows Pt 1 has already shown that people already more interested in this last installment than they have been in previous movies. Expect Potter to break a lot of records and destroy anything in its path.

Both Cap and GL fans need to prepare themselves for the worst. I don't think both films will be outright flops, but they won't make nearly as much as they need to. GL is definitely the worst off. GL needs to show Warner Bros that DC properties can succeed outside of Batman and Superman. Captain America at least has The Avengers to fall back on. GL can fall back on the international box office though, it has more chances of succeeding there than Captain America does.

[CaptainStacy]

Originally Posted by Dwarf Slayer

Captain America is going to be significantly hurt going up against Potter. Deathly Hallows Part 1 is the 10th highest grossing movie of all time. Marvel's biggest success (Iron Man) doesn't even break the top 50. Not to mention that TDH pt 1 was also the second highest grossing of the franchise, only second to the first movie.

On an international level, it's almost certain that Cap will be slaughtered by Potter. Domestically, it might fare a little bit better. That said, this is the last installment of Potter and there is definitely a curiosity factor. Deathly Hallows Pt 1 has already shown that people already more interested in this last installment than they have been in previous movies. Expect Potter to break a lot of records and destroy anything in its path.

Both Cap and GL fans need to prepare themselves for the worst. I don't think both films will be outright flops, but they won't make nearly as much as they need to. GL is definitely the worst off. GL needs to show Warner Bros that DC properties can succeed outside of Batman and Superman. Captain America at least has The Avengers to fall back on. GL can fall back on the international box office though, it has more chances of succeeding there than Captain America does.

Very true!

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Captain America and Harry Potter can both succeed. People often overstate the competition thing. All films have competition, thats what summer is about but alot of them succeed regardless. Spider-Man and Star Wars made 400 and 300mil respectively and came out within two weeks of eachother. Despite Avatar being on it's way to 750mil, Sherklock Holmes and Alvin and the Chipmunks managed to make over 200mil in the winter months.

The Hangover 2 was a monster and direct competition for BridesMaids and yet that film still had a great drop this pass weekend and will sail pass 100mil overall. If people want to see Captain America they will go see it. Even if Potter makes 350mil, Cap can still do over 200mil.

[Spider-Fan]

Agreed. It may hurt Cap's opening, but that doesn't mean the Potter crowd won't drop and not see Cap. Cap just needs good WOM.

[monnie]

They have changed the released for the Green lantern in Australia to the 4 August and we get cap on the 28th july so it well be interesting to see which one does the best.

[Whiskey Tango]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

Captain America and Harry Potter can both succeed. People often overstate the competition thing. All films have competition, thats what summer is about but alot of them succeed regardless. Spider-Man and Star Wars made 400 and 300mil respectively and came out within two weeks of eachother. Despite Avatar being on it's way to 750mil, Sherklock Holmes and Alvin and the Chipmunks manged to make over 200mil.

The Hangover 2 was a monster and direct competition for BridesMaids and yet that film still had a great drop this pass weekend and sail pass 100mil overall. If people want to see Captain America they will go see it. Even if Potter makes 350mil, Cap can still do over 200mil.

This is a good point & one that I haven't considered.

[Green Day]

165m domestically
155m overseas
320m worldwide

[Spider-Vader]

I think Cap will do atleast 200 million domestically.

[Marvel]

Originally Posted by KangConquers

Green Lantern fans are just envious because their Ryan Reynolds starring crapfest is inevitably going to be the dud of 2011.

I really really hope Green Lantern flops or at least underperforms. It's not an anti-DC thing, it's an anti cheesy CGI video game movie thing. I hate to see mixed messages sent to hollywood at this point. The genre needs to see more First Class efforts and less Jonah Hex Green Lantern cheese.

I have to have faith in audiences that they'll ignore Green Lantern in droves.

[Whiskey Tango]

I don't wish ill on any film, especially supers movies. GL looks pretty awesome to me. Certainly nowhere near Jonah Hex territory.