The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

Most of the unimpressive 3D was postproduction converts, like Airbender and Clash of the Titans. If they film using the 3D process it won't look as bad as those, however it does make it a more expensive process.

I do think that people will soon get sick of the "everything 3D" craze, as both the next Harry Potter and the next Narnia installments are set for 3D, and when 2012 rolls around, the fad could quickly change.

I think the home format 3D is doomed. There are competing technologies, and the glasses for the process cost over 150 dollars a pair, in edition to having to buy a new TV and blue ray to support the process.

I guess we'll see what happens as it seems like Cap is going to be the first film they tag with 3D. I really hope that Thor does not get a post production convert, as those to date have looked awful, but the one thing I'll agree that Marvel/Paramount is thinking is that had they post converted IM2, it probably would have grossed close to 400 mil domestically and well over 700 million world wide. That more than anything is what's driving the 3D craze.

That's a shame. A lot of movies are making more than they should. 3D is getting really old to me. I'm tired of it in theaters and I know I'm not going to be sitting around my house with those stupid glasses on my face. I actually giggle at those commercials featuring the family happily sitting together on a couch with them perched on their noses while they watch TV.

Since we continue to pretend only domestic counts, it should be noted that only 3 movies have made more than 300 million this year. Last year 3 movies did it. 2008 also had 3 movies over 300 million. 2007 had 4 over 300 million (the record). 2006 only had 1 over 300 million. It's really time to stop pretending a 300 million domestic gross is "disappointing" or "a minor hit"....especially when you do it without "3D" to boost sales. (IM2 is the only one of the 3 this year to do it 3D-free) We've got some real warped perceptions here.

$611,241,000 as of Sunday.

[hatebox]

An impressive holiday weekend all round. Even airbender did well despite the reviews. As if it needs to be said: people are still going to the cinema.

Incidentally Peter Travis' review for Inception has partially leaked. He gushes over it but suggests it might too smart to make really huge money. Empire also gave it 5 stars.

[Tony Stark]

Originally Posted by hatebox

An impressive holiday weekend all round. Even airbender did well despite the reviews. As if it needs to be said: people are still going to the cinema.

Incidentally Peter Travis' review for Inception has partially leaked. He gushes over it but suggests it might too smart to make really huge money. Empire also gave it 5 stars.

Everyone knew the twi-hards were going to flock to Eclipse, which admittedly was a better movie than the last two, albeit it still sucked, and I expect a 60% plus drop next week.

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by hatebox

An impressive holiday weekend all round. Even airbender did well despite the reviews. As if it needs to be said: people are still going to the cinema.

Incidentally Peter Travis' review for Inception has partially leaked. He gushes over it but suggests it might too smart to make really huge money. Empire also gave it 5 stars.

People certainly went to see IM2.

So now if Inception makes a lot of money, it's because it is a smart movie...and if it doesn't make a lot of money, it's because it is a smart movie.

That's hilarious! ("incidentally" eh? wonder why you slipped that particular movie in) Talk about covering all the bases. I gotta remember that one in case a movie I love doesn't do well at the box office.

[hatebox]

^ Wow, calm down. Your hysterically defensive attitude says more about you than the content of my post. Just reporting what a critic said. I for one have never suggested Inception will make loads of money.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by hatebox

An impressive holiday weekend all round. Even airbender did well despite the reviews. As if it needs to be said: people are still going to the cinema.

Incidentally Peter Travis' review for Inception has partially leaked. He gushes over it but suggests it might too smart to make really huge money. Empire also gave it 5 stars.

Yep the weekend went very well. And yeah, ofcourse Eclispe was frontloaded as f**k and will not make as much as New Moon as I said months ago. A movie released 8 months after it's predecessor was never going to keep or grow the audience. That has never happened and it never will happen plus this franchise only appeals to a select group of people, New Moon's non-legs showed that. That being said the movie is still a huge hit and although the movies are never truely good, I enjoyed it and it was the best one yet. (Thats not saying much, I know) And The Last Airbender opened very well, although it was helped by 3D ticket prices. I think it's going to have s**t legs though.

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by hatebox

^ Wow, calm down. Your hysterically defensive attitude says more about you than the content of my post. Just reporting what a critic said. I for one have never suggested Inception will make loads of money.

Well you can't expect us to know you would bother to type out something you didn't agree with.

[Iron_Stark]

Originally Posted by JeetKuneDo

People certainly went to see IM2.

So now if Inception makes a lot of money, it's because it is a smart movie...and if it doesn't make a lot of money, it's because it is a smart movie.

That's hilarious! ("incidentally" eh? wonder why you slipped that particular movie in) Talk about covering all the bases. I gotta remember that one in case a movie I love doesn't do well at the box office.

LOL so true.

This isn't making a lot of money cause Nolan's too smart for us.

[Tony Stark]

The Nolanites are just as bad if not worse than the twi-hards. What sucks is that most of these people never heard of Nolan until Batman Begins. I remember a friend reccomending Momento when it came out, and I thought it was brilliant, and one of the best indy films out there.

Now it's just comical. I think the film will be good, as I was a huge fan of the film that inspired it, Dark City, infact in the trailer there's a couple of scenes that are straight out of Dark City, but don't tell the Nolanites that Chris Nolan stole an idea from another movie.

And yes hatebox throwing that in was an intentional jab at people on this board. But whatever. This stuff has gone on back in 2004 when Spider-man 2 did well some idiot posted on the SM boards that Batman Begins would "kick Spider-man 2's ass" a year before the film ever came out.

The fanboy stuff is pretty sickening around here, and it really sucks when a film like IM2 is successful, and the fanboys have to run it down to make themselves feel better.

Star Trek was easily the best movie of the summer last year, but it didn't make the most money. Box office is only one predictor of success, and only so much as it will greenlight sequels.

The movie I'm most upset about for this year, was Percy Jackson. That series should have been the next Harry Potter, but the producers felt that the book wasn't good enough, so they changed it all to hell, and in the process ruined any chances of a sequel being greenlit.

[Spider-Vader]

Iron Man 2 was a good movie & a success. Anyone who disagrees is blind &/or retarded.

[bubbadoom]

While I am sorry to see IM2 slowing down as much as it has and being bumped from #2 to #3, I WILL be happy when TS2 passes ALICE in a few days!

[Rumpy Bulge Dubz]

what do you mean slowing down? The damn thing is done

[bubbadoom]

okay, sorry to see it's done...

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

The Nolanites are just as bad if not worse than the twi-hards. What sucks is that most of these people never heard of Nolan until Batman Begins. I remember a friend reccomending Momento when it came out, and I thought it was brilliant, and one of the best indy films out there.

Still his best movie. That's one you have to sit down and watch immediately after seeing it the first time.

$613,438,470 as of Wednesday. 28+ million more than IM1.

[topdog1]

Originally Posted by Tony Stark

The Nolanites are just as bad if not worse than the twi-hards. What sucks is that most of these people never heard of Nolan until Batman Begins. I remember a friend reccomending Momento when it came out, and I thought it was brilliant, and one of the best indy films out there.

Now it's just comical. I think the film will be good, as I was a huge fan of the film that inspired it, Dark City, infact in the trailer there's a couple of scenes that are straight out of Dark City, but don't tell the Nolanites that Chris Nolan stole an idea from another movie.

And yes hatebox throwing that in was an intentional jab at people on this board. But whatever. This stuff has gone on back in 2004 when Spider-man 2 did well some idiot posted on the SM boards that Batman Begins would "kick Spider-man 2's ass" a year before the film ever came out.

The fanboy stuff is pretty sickening around here, and it really sucks when a film like IM2 is successful, and the fanboys have to run it down to make themselves feel better.

Star Trek was easily the best movie of the summer last year, but it didn't make the most money. Box office is only one predictor of success, and only so much as it will greenlight sequels.

The movie I'm most upset about for this year, was Percy Jackson. That series should have been the next Harry Potter, but the producers felt that the book wasn't good enough, so they changed it all to hell, and in the process ruined any chances of a sequel being greenlit.

So very true. I'm trying to take the high ground and let them enjoy their movie even though they didn't show Iron Man fans any courtesy at all over the past few months. I want to like Inception myself and judge it on its own merits, not see it pre-determined to hate it because Nolanites are an overly annoying bunch.

“Fans & many critics alike have already made up their mind that Inception is a masterpiece, and they decided this a long time ago. They once called The Dark Knight a masterpiece, shear perfection that can't be topped. Now they are already downplaying The Dark Knight to make Inception sound even better. I'm sure Inception will be #1 on IMDB long before it is released in theaters as well.”

[FaT_tONle]

Who were you quoting there? It's a knock on that fan group, and a perfectly justified one at that.

[Evil Twin]

IM2 sits at $308,738,470 after 62 days domestic. It's also dropping to 322 domestic screens this week, which pretty much means it will be in 2nd run, budget cinemas in about 2 weeks.

Given it's daily pace, # of screens, and where it stands compared to IM, I'm calling the final total right around $311 million domestic. Maybe squeaking to the $312 million range.

[JeetKuneDo]

Also worth noting that IM2 was in 10th place on Thurs while IM1 was in 13 place the same day of its run (also a Thurs). That's one demonstration of how the box office is in a lull these days. IM1 actually made more money that day but still couldn't break the top 10. So in context IM2 is doing better.

IM2 was in 11th place on Wednesday...so I guess it's catching and passing movies around it!

[TheVileOne]

I still thought it would surpass Iron Man but oh well. Got it wrong on that one.

It will still surpass $310 million which people here were saying it wouldn't even get over $300 million.

[Rumpy Bulge Dubz]

Is the movie still out in some places in the states?

[TheVileOne]

Yes it's still out in a few hundred theatres or so and will probably just barely cross $310 million domestically.

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by Mr. Boney Dubz

Is the movie still out in some places in the states?

Yep. It was in the top 10 on Thurs (10th place).

[Superhero 101]

I think it will reach 615 million and that's it

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Some people were saying that it had a chance of not making 300mil, not that it wouldn't. It has made 300mil and it is a hit but there is still a but.

And I agree that boxoffice doesn't mean that a movie is good or bad. Iron Man 2's 600mil doesn't mean that it was good.

Anyway I will agree with some of you on one thing the Nolan fans are annoying as f**k and although I'm very much looking forward to Inception it sickens me that alot of people made up there minds before seeing the flick. Listen I think that it looks fantastic and I'll probably end up enjoying it and giving it atleast a 9 out of 10 but I hope it disappoints at the boxoffice so I can laugh at the crazies. Petty and foolish I know.

[hatebox]

I can't see Inception bombing, but I don't see it making that much - even $300 domestic would really surprise me. Its big budget is basically WB saying 'thanks' for the Dark Knight and a gentleman's agreement for him to do the next Bat film.