The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Iron_Stark]

Thinking getting to or crossing 350 - 400 million is an easy feat, I'll post up some more facts.

2010 - ZERO 350, 1 - 400
2009 - ZERO 350, 1 - 400, 1 - 700
2008 - ZERO 350, 1 -500
2007 - ZERO 350, ZERO 400
2006 - ZERO 350, 1 - 400
2005 - 1 - 350, ZERO 400
2004 - 2 - 350, 1 - 400
2003 - 1 - 350, ZERO 400
2002 - ZERO 350, 1 - 400
2001 - ZERO 350, ZERO 400
2000 - ZERO 350, ZERO 400

So apart from the 7 that got to and passed 400, only 4, FOUR were able to cross that easy mark of 350. SIXTEEN out of the TWENTY movies that got to 300 million, couldn't get to 350.

[Jon Hex]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

The movie did disappoint, just like Spider-Man 3 did. It doesn't matter than both got over 300mil. The boxoffice is relative and the fact is Iron Man 2 made less than even the lowest predictions. It was not ridiculous to expect 350 to 400mil because the movie was in the exact same position that simular movie sequels were in. It's lower than expected opening can be blamed on marketing but it's legs were all word of mouth...which wasn't very good.

I'm not going to treat Iron Man special because it's a comicbook franchise. Also it would have been ridiculous for us to expect it to sell as many tickets as Spider-Man but it's not ridiculous for us to think that it would make 400mil.

I'm not going to look at Iron Man 2's disappointing boxoffice any differently after Thor and Captain America don't make 300mil next year because well Iron Man 2's boxoffice performance has nothing to do with those two films.

Wow. Iron-Man 2 should be BLAMED for it's huge opening because of unrealistic predictions.
So success is purely about exceeding predictions not actual numbers.

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

The movie did disappoint, just like Spider-Man 3 did. It doesn't matter than both got over 300mil. The boxoffice is relative and the fact is Iron Man 2 made less than even the lowest predictions. It was not ridiculous to expect 350 to 400mil because the movie was in the exact same position that simular movie sequels were in. It's lower than expected opening can be blamed on marketing but it's legs were all word of mouth...which wasn't very good.

I'm not going to treat Iron Man special because it's a comicbook franchise. Also it would have been ridiculous for us to expect it to sell as many tickets as Spider-Man but it's not ridiculous for us to think that it would make 400mil.

You used the wrong Spider-Man sequel as a comparison. You have to use 2nd movie to 2nd movie. That's what you look at if you want "similar movie sequels".

Spider-Man 2 made 7% less than Spidey 1. FF2 made 15% less than FF1. Superman 2 made 20% less than Supes 1. Batman 2 made 35% less than Batman 1. IM2 made 0.1% less than IM1 best of the bunch.

The predictions were off from day one on IM2. Because someone was using the wrong comparisons.

[JeetKuneDo]

Originally Posted by Jon Hex

Wow. Iron-Man 2 should be BLAMED for it's huge opening because of unrealistic predictions.
So success is purely about exceeding predictions not actual numbers.

That one is weird. So somehow this twists The Karate Kid into a "more successful" movie than IM2.

So just predict your favorite movie will make $1 at the box office and you'll be able to brag for years.

[Iron_Stark]

Originally Posted by JeetKuneDo

You used the wrong Spider-Man sequel as a comparison. You have to use 2nd movie to 2nd movie. That's what you look at if you want "similar movie sequels".

Spider-Man 2 made 7% less than Spidey 1. FF2 made 15% less than FF1. Superman 2 made 20% less than Supes 1. Batman 2 made 35% less than Batman 1. IM2 made 0.1% less than IM1 best of the bunch.

The predictions were off from day one on IM2. Because someone was using the wrong comparisons.

Using facts, logic and common sense is no use with them.

Remember, it's ok for Spider-Man 2 not making or surpassing Spider-Man 1 (for some odd reason) but unless Iron Man 2 made Spider-Man 1 numbers, it's considered a disappointment.

Originally Posted by JeetKuneDo

That one is weird. So somehow this twists The Karate Kid into a "more successful" movie than IM2.

So just predict your favorite movie will make $1 at the box office and you'll be able to brag for years.

haha, that's true.

[ironman_rick]

With HP7 making only $16.7 Million, it looks increasingly that IM2 will be the top grossing (domesic) non 3D film this year.


http://movies.yahoo.com/mv/boxoffice/

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1Warner Bros. Pictures$16,735,000$244,236,00034125


If this film was released in 3D, it would have easily passed TS3 to become the top grossing film this year. Not that bad ... isn't it

[ddddeeee]

It wouldn't have passed TS3.

But after so many disappointments this year, and considering the typical drop off from origin films. IM2's gross is very impressive in hindsight.

[Excelsior.]

Originally Posted by ironman_rick

If this film was released in 3D, it would have easily passed TS3 to become the top grossing film this year.

Only if you don't know basic math.

[JeetKuneDo]

Just thought about IM2 today as I was pondering how Thor, XmFC, and GL will all fail to even reach $200 milllion...let alone $300 million. Still waiting to see how Capt America does, but won't be surprised if it joins the others in the sub-$200 million club.

This is certainly putting IM2 into perspective.

1-The acknowledged box office slump is still ongoing. IM2 overcame that.
2-$300 million is a big deal. Other SH movies aren't getting near it.

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