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View Poll Results: How will Captain America do at the World Wide Box Office?
$100-$199 million 8 5.06%
$200-$299 million 25 15.82%
$300-$399 million 41 25.95%
$400-$499 million 46 29.11%
$500-$599 million 22 13.92%
$600-$699 million 6 3.80%
$700-$799 million 3 1.90%
$800-$899 million 0 0%
$900-$999 million 1 0.63%
1 billion + 6 3.80%
Voters: 158. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-26-2011, 09:16 AM   #101
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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Marvel really screwed up when they let Favreau get away from Iron Man.

No they didn't. Two words, Shane Black.

Besides, why let someone stick around that don't want to make more of these?

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Old 07-26-2011, 09:17 AM   #102
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

I go on the Mojo boards to see at like 2pm Columbus, Ohio time because they post them earlier than the site runner does. He sometimes waits as late as 4.30 to 5.00 o'clock to post all of the weekday numbers.

EDIT:

They hardly had any 3D showings at my theater. And Marvel sorta downplayed the 3D as the movie got closer anyhow.

And thats what I was trying to say Spider-Fan, Cap did have more eyeballs watching it this weekend that both of those films. It didn't do gangbuster numbers but it did make more money than FC and have higher attendance than both Thor and FC.

Anyway I think that it's going to have a 53 to 56% drop from Sunday to Monday.

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Old 07-26-2011, 11:55 AM   #103
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

People who are disappointed with CA:TFA or THOR's opening weekends need to look at box-office trends over the past 2 years.

Only ONE non-sequel has opened with > $70 million and that was Avatar with $77 million; only one other non-sequel has opened higher than THOR and that Up with $68 million.

I have to admit that I had hoped that CA:TFA would open in the 70-80 million range but the American public is just not rushing out in huge numbers for unproven franchises.

Cap probably would have opened in that way if not for the BO juggernaut that is the final HP film.

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Old 07-26-2011, 12:24 PM   #104
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

If you can put a number on it, how much more would you say CA:TFA would have gotten OW had there not been HP in theaters?

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Old 07-26-2011, 12:53 PM   #105
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Hard to say. I'm really guessing but I would say $10-15 million more.

Like I said, the key factor is that the American public is not rushing out for unproven franchises; they will rush out for sequels for proven ones like F&F, POTC, TF, etc. Even Inception only opened to $63 million.

People don't really appreciate how well THOR did to make >$180 million in the US in the current climate. It's a FANTASY SUPERHERO movie with an UNKNOWN in the lead!!!

I think CA:TFA will do better than THOR for several reasons:
1: It seems the majority of people consider it a better movie; it got a better Cinemascore
2: It has a patriotic factor that I think is likely to get the average joe to get out and give it a chance
3: It's an older and more known character that will bring out people in their 40's to 70's who don't typically go to the cinema alot.

Of course all this is my opinion and speculation. We'll have to wait and see.

CAPTAIN AMERICA fans need to remember that it's not about box-office rivalry with THOR or DC movies; the most important thing is that we got a GREAT CAPTAIN AMERICA MOVIE!!!!!

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Old 07-26-2011, 01:54 PM   #106
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

CAP grossed $7.8 million on Monday. Total is 73 million.

I don't think CAP has any chance of doing 200 million domestically. It will end up between 178-183 million. Hopefully, it is the highest grossing comic book movie domestically. However, that will depend on weekdays and how it does this weekend.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:00 PM   #107
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

I'm glad you guys are optimistic because I hope that all works out. I still feel the movie wasn't pushed hard enough and didn't look special enough for a summer release a lot like Incredible Hulk in 2008.

It still makes me sick we couldn't get this movie on July 4 instead of Transformers.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:10 PM   #108
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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Originally Posted by TheVileOne View Post
I'm glad you guys are optimistic because I hope that all works out. I still feel the movie wasn't pushed hard enough and didn't look special enough for a summer release a lot like Incredible Hulk in 2008.

It still makes me sick we couldn't get this movie on July 4 instead of Transformers.
But, it did better than TIH.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:13 PM   #109
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Of course it is doing better but that is in large part due to ticket price inflation and 3D money.

BOM is reporting $7.8 million estimate for Monday which I guess is good. I hope it can keep that up and break over $100 million this weekend.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:17 PM   #110
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Man, 7.8 is kinda sucky. I was hoping at least double digits.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:20 PM   #111
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Not a bad number but with that drop and Cowboys as direct competition I'd be surprised if this hits 200m.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:40 PM   #112
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Good thing I never expected any of the superhero movies released this year to make $200 mil domestic.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:43 PM   #113
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Well that's not a good thing for the movies .

This genre is really starting to hit a wall and fatigue. I mean part of it is the economy, but still hopefully Avengers will do a lot better.

But yeah, $200 million is pretty much a fantasy at this point. The best we can hope for is Thor or Wolverine numbers. I mean that wouldn't be so bad because Thor did make about $450 million worldwide.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:49 PM   #114
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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Originally Posted by TheVileOne View Post
Well that's not a good thing for the movies .

This genre is really starting to hit a wall and fatigue. I mean part of it is the economy, but still hopefully Avengers will do a lot better.

But yeah, $200 million is pretty much a fantasy at this point. The best we can hope for is Thor or Wolverine numbers. I mean that wouldn't be so bad because Thor did make about $450 million worldwide.
I think it's pretty much guaranteed that Avengers will, at the very least, open huge. There's a few factors at work here.

1.) Iron Man. He makes money. People like RDJ, and they like Iron Man. They'll turn out just for him.
2.) Cap and Thor were both successful, and the general public enjoyed them. The idea of seeing one hugely popular character along with two popular ones has never been done before on this scale.

Those combined factors will build huge hype pre-release. This thing is an event, it's something that hasn't been done before on this scale. Taking several big-budget movies and combining them all into one universe. If the movie is good, it could very well be huge. And even if it isn't, it'll still open big at the very least.

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Old 07-26-2011, 02:52 PM   #115
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Looks like Cap is doing great to me.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:22 PM   #116
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by MARVEL ROCKS View Post
CAP grossed $7.8 million on Monday. Total is 73 million.

I don't think CAP has any chance of doing 200 million domestically. It will end up between 178-183 million. Hopefully, it is the highest grossing comic book movie domestically. However, that will depend on weekdays and how it does this weekend.
Um...Thor only did $5.4 Million it's first Monday and went onto $181 million domestic; That's only 70% of what Cap did on it's first Monday.

If anything, that shows that Cap has a VERY good chance at breaking 200 million domestic.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:38 PM   #117
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Cap has a decent shot at $200M still. It could miss it but I'm quite confident that it'll pass Thor's $180M(which is a good # for Thor's first movie domestic). I think Cap will be at about $91M after Thursday(it's opening week total) and while I do not think it can match Thor's 2nd weekend total(more competition and this is summer where weekdays are larger but weekend drops are bigger), I do think it can maybe hold to a flat $30M weekend. At this rate I expect Cap to have domestically covered it's $140M budget by the end of it's 2nd full week in theaters.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:47 PM   #118
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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Um...Thor only did $5.4 Million it's first Monday and went onto $181 million domestic; That's only 70% of what Cap did on it's first Monday.

If anything, that shows that Cap has a VERY good chance at breaking 200 million domestic.
I was curious to see what Thor did its 1st Monday in comparison to Cap. I had forgotten, lol. Looks like Cap is on a good pace then, since it did better business than Thor on its first Monday. But, ultimately whether or not it surpasses Thor domestically or breaks 200mil is yet to be seen.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:50 PM   #119
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

As expected, Cap's weekdays will beat Thor's though Thor's weekends should be higher(at least the 1st and now 2nd weekends for sure). Just a consequence of the different time of the year that they came out.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:53 PM   #120
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Thor's first Monday was when schools were still in session so it's not a valid comparison. Cap's increase this Friday will be much lower than Thor's was.

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Old 07-26-2011, 03:58 PM   #121
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

That is probably true, but it evens out when you figure in the increased weekdays.

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Old 07-26-2011, 04:17 PM   #122
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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Thor's first Monday was when schools were still in session so it's not a valid comparison. Cap's increase this Friday will be much lower than Thor's was.
It doesn't matter. That still means that Cap has the opportunity to make more money.

I'm not trying to start a pissing contest, I just believe that Cap has a very good chance at crossing 200 Million. I wish Thor had done it too.

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Old 07-26-2011, 04:18 PM   #123
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

Wow! Fantastic Monday. Was not expecting 7.8 mil. That more than 2 million more than every other comic book movie that opened this summer.

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Old 07-26-2011, 06:22 PM   #124
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

I doubt Cap will have a sub-50% dropoff in its second weekend like Thor did.

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Old 07-26-2011, 06:27 PM   #125
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Default Re: The Official Captain America Box Office Thread! - Part 1

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I doubt Cap will have a sub-50% dropoff in its second weekend like Thor did.
True, but a low 50's drop could happen. I hope it only drops no more than 53.9% to cross $30M on it's 2nd weekend.

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