The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Batman > The Dark Knight Rises

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-08-2012, 10:20 AM   #1
Thread Manager
SHH! Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 0
Default The TDKR Box Office Thread V

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

Thread Manager is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:20 AM   #2
Thread Manager
SHH! Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 0
Default The TDKR Box Office Thread IV

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

Thread Manager is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:20 AM   #3
rashad
Hype Board Junkie
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,967
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV

Quote:
Originally Posted by BatLobsterRises View Post
Do you guys think it will easily be able to pull off 400 million domestic, or will be be a very slow crawl to get there?
The gross will be somewhere in the 380-390m range after the weekend and will cross 400m next week.

__________________

rashad is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:28 AM   #4
BatLobsterRises
Lobsterized
 
BatLobsterRises's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: NJ
Posts: 6,717
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Cool to hear. Very proud of how well the film is doing.

__________________
IMAGINE THE FIRE
My TDKR Metal cover
My MOS Trailer 3 score recreation
My take on why there is no "DC Films" Division at WB:
http://forums.superherohype.com/show...&postcount=158
BatLobsterRises is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:32 AM   #5
Bruce_Begins
I am still Green Goblin
 
Bruce_Begins's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 6,023
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Bourne Legacy is at 50 % on RT right now with total 16 reviews (8 fresh, 8 rotten) so far.

The RT score can go up (or down) but it is not a good start for this movie and with Total Rekall at RT rating of 30 %, can TDKR stay at No. 1 position for the fourth week ? If it does it would be quite an achievement.

__________________

*\S/T*
Bruce_Begins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:38 AM   #6
Milkman95
BvS 3.25.16
 
Milkman95's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Motor City
Posts: 15,490
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Still don't think it will beat Bourne Legacy, but should have a $20 million weekend....

__________________
Batman/Superman
3.25.16
Milkman95 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:41 AM   #7
redfirebird2008
Side-Kick
 
redfirebird2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,829
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bruce_Begins View Post
Bourne Legacy is at 50 % on RT right now with total 16 reviews (8 fresh, 8 rotten) so far.

The RT score can go up (or down) but it is not a good start for this movie and with Total Rekall at RT rating of 30 %, can TDKR stay at No. 1 position for the fourth week ? If it does it would be quite an achievement.
No chance of it beating Bourne. TDKR is headed for a $17-20m weekend, while Bourne is headed for a $35-45m weekend.

redfirebird2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 10:50 AM   #8
Bruce_Begins
I am still Green Goblin
 
Bruce_Begins's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 6,023
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

The Campaign is a comedy movie, I hope that it does not take second position from TDKR.

__________________

*\S/T*
Bruce_Begins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:07 PM   #9
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by redfirebird2008
$430m is a lock, so it won't be a slow crawl to $400m.
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.

Mr. Dent is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:08 PM   #10
redfirebird2008
Side-Kick
 
redfirebird2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,829
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.
It'll go higher than that.

redfirebird2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:13 PM   #11
Notrip
SuperDaD
 
Notrip's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: USA - NWA
Posts: 912
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

1. Bourne Legacy (36-40 million weekend)
2. The Campaign (23-27 million weekend)
3. TDKR (18-22 million weekend)
4. Total Recall (12 million weekend)

This is how it should go down this upcoming weekend.

Notrip is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:14 PM   #12
marcvader
Lurker #1
 
marcvader's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: The MIA
Posts: 9,413
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Is the campaign tracking that high?

__________________
* * *CAPTAIN AMERICA* * *
******THE WINTER SOLDIER******
__________________#1 CBM of 2014____________________
Twitter- @mrpink13
HAIL HYDRA!
marcvader is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:17 PM   #13
Notrip
SuperDaD
 
Notrip's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: USA - NWA
Posts: 912
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.
It will be about 20 or so million higher. its at 363 right now and with a potential of 20 million this weekend. after 24 days it will be around 390-394 million.

if i had to put a number on it right now 475 is the max it will get to with 450-455 (domestic)million being the number I think it will get to and the number WB is shooting for right now.

Notrip is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:20 PM   #14
Notrip
SuperDaD
 
Notrip's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: USA - NWA
Posts: 912
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

right around those numbers. should edge out TDKR for second.

Notrip is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:25 PM   #15
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by redfirebird2008 View Post
It'll go higher than that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Notrip View Post
It will be about 20 or so million higher. its at 363 right now and with a potential of 20 million this weekend. after 24 days it will be around 390-394 million.

if i had to put a number on it right now 475 is the max it will get to with 450-455 (domestic)million being the number I think it will get to and the number WB is shooting for right now.
I'm imagining around 18-20m tops for the whole of next week (about 2m per day Mon-Thurs and around 10-12m for the weekend) which would put it at 410m after next week. From there I can see it hitting 430m with a week and two days time but after that it'll be crawling and I can't see it getting all the way to 450m by the time it completely closes in theaters. I'd put the high at 445m. I could be underestimating its legs but I don't think I am given how its performed thus far.

Mr. Dent is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 12:36 PM   #16
Jordanstine
Side-Kick
 
Jordanstine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 451
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

The pace right now...

By this 4th weekend it will take in another $36.3 million for the whole week.

5th weekend about another $19.7 million.

6th weekend another $11 million.

7th weekend Labor Day $7.5 million.

8th weekend about $3.5 million.

9th weekend about $2 million.

10th weekend about $1.2 million.

So after it's 10th weekend, TDKR would make about another ~ $80.1 million.

Based on estimates, the total should be up at about ~ $435 million after September 23.

__________________
Timeline of Avengers Spoilers! Beware!
Jordanstine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 06:39 PM   #17
Bruce Malone
Side-Kick
 
Bruce Malone's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Stay out of my territory
Posts: 5,822
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

I've been basing my projections on how it stacks up next to pirates 2 as their dailies have been extremely similar. As of now it's been consistently $30m ahead of where pirates 2 is at mainly due to its larger opening weekend.

If things hold it should finish around the 450m mark as pirates 2 finished with $423m.

Bruce Malone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 07:16 PM   #18
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

^ The dailies have been very close the TDKR ahead of it ever day actually, but Pirates 2 had really good weekends in it's 7-10th weeks and I'm not sure if TDKR will age as gracefully.

Mr. Dent is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-08-2012, 07:48 PM   #19
Bruce Malone
Side-Kick
 
Bruce Malone's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Stay out of my territory
Posts: 5,822
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

As of now TDKR has actually held better from the 2nd to 3rd wknd drop than TDK did so i think its legs are pretty decent.

I predict bourne opening this weekend will be another total recall and see a lot of ppl sticking to TDKR although i don't think it will win the weekend. I and most experts at the moment are predicting 450m so unless there are some trand changes it seems most likely.

Bruce Malone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 05:21 AM   #20
regwec
Shakespearo
 
regwec's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Herne's Oak
Posts: 22,458
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

To me, the Bourneless Bourne smacks of mediocrity even more so than Total Remake.

__________________
Difficult, difficult, lemon-difficult.
regwec is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 05:45 AM   #21
TheGuy
Side-Kick
 
TheGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 673
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

So when's TDKR gonna hit $1b?

TheGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 08:15 AM   #22
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

I'd say in another 3-4 weeks.

Mr. Dent is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 11:03 AM   #23
Jordanstine
Side-Kick
 
Jordanstine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 451
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by redfirebird2008 View Post
It'll go higher than that.
Hey bird, did you know why the forums were taken out at BO?

__________________
Timeline of Avengers Spoilers! Beware!
Jordanstine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 11:09 AM   #24
Liam_H
Side-Kick
 
Liam_H's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: California
Posts: 8,505
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

They're just undergoing maintenance. Shouldn't be too long before they're back up.

__________________

Spill


Liam_H is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-09-2012, 11:10 AM   #25
Jordanstine
Side-Kick
 
Jordanstine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 451
Default Re: The TDKR Box Office Thread IV - Part 4

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liam_H View Post
They're just undergoing maintenance. Shouldn't be too long before they're back up.
Thanks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
I'm imagining around 18-20m tops for the whole of next week (about 2m per day Mon-Thurs and around 10-12m for the weekend) which would put it at 410m after next week. From there I can see it hitting 430m with a week and two days time but after that it'll be crawling and I can't see it getting all the way to 450m by the time it completely closes in theaters. I'd put the high at 445m. I could be underestimating its legs but I don't think I am given how its performed thus far.
Agreed.

The analysis I wrote in a different forum:

Quote:
$475 million is definitely out of the picture.

By it's 10th weekend (September 23) TDKR should be around $435 - $438 million.

$450 million still has a chance, but it would be a slow crawl from October on out, assuming it's still in the local theaters longer than 16 weeks like TDK did which would be around mid-late November or so.

By the 17th week is when we can expect WB to have TDKR moved to the dollar theaters, which brought in an extra $2.5 million to 2008's TDK. In TDKR's comparison percentage that would be roughly about $2.1 million on the high end.

So if I had to guesstimate (assuming no re-releases) based on it's current pace... TDKR's original run is looking to end roughly between $443 - $447 million.

__________________
Timeline of Avengers Spoilers! Beware!
Jordanstine is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:49 AM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. 2014 All Rights Reserved.