Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

[Zatanna]

I'm going to guess... between $600 to $700 million worldwide. I could be off, but I think people are already more intrigued than they were with Superman Returns. There's many things that make this one different.

[Asgard]

Ill say 300M domestic 375M overseas.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I'm not predicting 800mil at all but with the way the international numbers have been behaving I can see 800mil but 1bil is impossible for a reboot so I'll never take that prediction seriously.

[ElDuderino]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

I'm not predicting 800mil at all but with the way the international numbers have been behaving I can see 800mil but 1bil is impossible for a reboot so I'll never take that prediction seriously.

I wouldn't say it's impossible. No one would have thought a Bond movie would top $1 billion. If you make a good movie, it'll make money. There's no secret to it.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by ElDuderino

I wouldn't say it's impossible. No one would have thought a Bond movie would top $1 billion. If you make a good movie, it'll make money. There's no secret to it.

No reboot has ever made a billion and a movie that comes out in early June? Nah, only sequels do that or original films with tons of hype and some great gimmick, not reboots to a dead franchise.

You are setting this movie up for failure by expecting record breaking numbers. What are you expecting for the sequel, 2billion? Are you expecting the 3rd one to do 2.5bil? I mean why not predict 2bil for this one? Honestly what is stopping you from going that high.

The Superman Returns and The Amazing Spider-Man fanboys tossed out the same overzealous numbers and they were wrong, what exactly makes some Superman fans think that Man of Steel will break this trend?

I'm kinda obessed with getting an answer because so far predicting record breaking numbers for Superhero reboot movies has a 100% failure rate and some fanboys continue to do it. It's a very curious phenomenon and I'd like to know why people like yourself keep hyping a movie to do something it has no chance of doing?

And again doesn't expecting a billion and or record breaking numbers mean that anything less is a failure in your eyes? Why set the goal post so high in the first place? Can you imagine if a studio did that? They would never make a sequel to anything.
I'm human so my predictions are often wrong but I feel 100% sure that a Superman reboot with a lousy release date ain't hitting a billion no matter how good it is.
I almost always put an "if I'm wrong" in these prediction posts but not this time because of the 100% failure rate of Superhero reboots to gross 1bil, to break records. I'll happily eat crow if the impossible happens...it won't.
And this long post is brought to by a poster who have been here for nearly 10 years and just can't stand another wild over prediction of these Superhero reboots without talking about that mindset in depth.

[ConnorKon-El]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

No reboot has ever made a billion and a movie that comes out in early June? Nah, only sequels do that or original films with tons of hype and some great gimmick, not reboots to a dead franchise.

You are setting this movie up for failure by expecting record breaking numbers. What are you expecting for the sequel, 2billion? Are you expecting the 3rd one to do 2.5bil? I mean why not predict 2bil for this one? Honestly what is stopping you from going that high.

The Superman Returns and The Amazing Spider-Man fanboys tossed out the same overzealous numbers and they were wrong, what exactly makes some Superman fans think that Man of Steel will break this trend?

I'm kinda obessed with getting an answer because so far predicting record breaking numbers for Superhero reboot movies has a 100% failure rate and some fanboys continue to do it. It's a very curious phenomenon and I'd like to know why people like yourself keep hyping a movie to do something it has no chance of doing?

And again doesn't expecting a billion and or record breaking numbers mean that anything less is a failure in your eyes? Why set the goal post so high in the first place? Can you imagine if a studio did that? They would never make a sequel to anything.
I'm human so my predictions are often wrong but I feel 100% sure that a Superman reboot with a lousy release date ain't hitting a billion no matter how good it is.
I almost always put an "if I'm wrong" in these prediction posts but not this time because of the 100% failure rate of Superhero reboots to gross 1bil, to break records. I'll happily eat crow if the impossible happens...it won't.
And this long post is brought to by a poster who have been here for nearly 10 years and just can't stand another wild over prediction of these Superhero reboots without talking about that mindset in depth.

[FilmNerdJamie]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

You are setting this movie up for failure by expecting record breaking numbers.

That's basically the problem with The Hobbit. It's doing good here. But not great like The Lord of the Rings and especially not great when compared to the insane expectations/projections placed on it. Many thought a Phantom Menace-sized juggernaut was in the making... and now they're back-peddling.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by ConnorKon-El

I consider it an honor to get a Zoidberg laced response to my post from an equally befuddled poster.

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

That's basically the problem with The Hobbit. It's doing good here. But not great like The Lord of the Rings and especially not great when compared to the insane expectations/projections placed on it. Many thought a Phantom Menace-sized juggernaut was in the making... and now they're back-peddling.

Yeah and I too, of my own volition, got entangled in that mindset when it came to The Hobbit. It was kinda unfair to the movie but almost everyone expected it to break more records and do better. It hasn't so all of that overhype makes it look like a disappointment. Do we want that for Man of Steel? Do we want 600 to 800mil to look like a failure? If the movie even does that well ofcourse.

[FilmNerdJamie]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

Yeah and I too, of my own volition, got entangled in that mindset when it came to The Hobbit. It was kinda unfair to the movie but almost everyone expected it to break more records and do better. It hasn't so all of that overhype makes it look like a disappointment. Do we want that for Man of Steel? Do we want 600 to 800mil to look like a failure? If the movie even does that well ofcourse.

I want a good movie first and foremost. Many have already determined its a great movie. From the trailer alone. Which is foolish. That's the fanboy nerdgasm talking. Plenty of times we've seen good to great trailers to crappy movies.

I'm optimistic and hearing good things. But gotta be cautious and not get caught up in the hype.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

I want a good movie first and foremost. Many have already determined its a great movie. From the trailer alone. Which is foolish. That's the fanboy nerdgasm talking. Plenty of times we've seen good to great trailers to crappy movies.

I'm optimistic and hearing good things. But gotta be cautious and not get caught up in the hype.

Yeah the most important thing is if the individual watcher enjoys the flick.
The Matrix Reloaded killed my ability to get too excited for a film. So eventhough I'm hyped for MOS and Trek 2, I'm not so hyped that I'll suffer that crushing disappointment I did in 2003. Never again. I walk into every anticipated movie with the "It's gonna suck" mindset, it's aided me well since the summer of 03.

[FilmNerdJamie]

The Matrix Reloaded was the first time I was letdown.

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

The Matrix Reloaded was the first time I was letdown.

We are the same age so I'm not shocked at that info.

I used to just hate it but I didn't want to be like the Star Wars fans who still ***** to this very day so I let go of the hate. Now I just laugh at how awful it is whenever TNT plays it.

Ahhh to be 18 again, so nieve I was...

[FilmNerdJamie]

I like Phantom Menace and the hatred on George Lucas is childish. So there.

[ConnorKon-El]

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

I like Phantom Menace and the hatred on George Lucas is childish. So there.

I completely agree, it's a decent god damn film, expect for Jar Jar. Lol

[FilmNerdJamie]

I don't mind Jar Jar one bit.

Lucas set out to make a kids' adventure movie. To kick-start the prequels with something fun and the good guys win at the end... before everything went to Hell (on screen). He promised nothing more than that and that's exactly what he delivered.

[ConnorKon-El]

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

I don't mind Jar Jar one bit.

Lucas set out to make a kids' adventure movie. To kick-start the prequels with something fun and the good guys win at the end... before everything went to Hell (on screen). He promised nothing more than that and that's exactly what he delivered.

I suppose you are right, i just still to this day find the character annoying. Hell, i was 5 years old when i saw it, and i found it annoying.

[Project862006]

anyone think they are gonna change release date every poster and trailer keeps saying next summer when they have had a release date set for well over a year or am i just over thinking this?

[Liam_H]

Possibly, but only change they can really do is switch Pacific Rim and MOS. May is too packed. Can't remember the last movie of this caliber to be released in August.

[Project862006]

damn pacific rim's release date isn't the best 1 week after lone ranger and despicable me 2 i think i would rather keep june release lol

[Dr.]

Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY

No reboot has ever made a billion...

TAS didn’t make a billion. But ¾ of a billion isn’t chopped liver. And I suspect that WB would do handsprings if MOS got similar numbers.

You are setting this movie up for failure by expecting record breaking numbers.

Speaking for myself, I’d be entirely satisfied with a Batman Begins-type result and performance. That movie didn’t even crack $400M ww. And with hindsight, nobody cares. It was strong enough to earn a sequel (which, in turn…) and - more importantly - it was an exceptionally good film. In terms of pie-in-the-sky, fanboyish optimism, this is my prediction hope for MOS.

Originally Posted by FilmNerdJamie

That's basically the problem with The Hobbit. It's doing good here. But not great like The Lord of the Rings and especially not great when compared to the insane expectations/projections placed on it. Many thought a Phantom Menace-sized juggernaut was in the making... and now they're back-peddling.

What were the expectations for The Hobbit? After two weeks, it’s already closing in on $700M. So a final tally at or around $1B seems likely.

[hopefuldreamer]

Originally Posted by Project862006

damn pacific rim's release date isn't the best 1 week after lone ranger and despicable me 2 i think i would rather keep june release lol

I think they will keep the June date for defo.

For one thing, it's Supes 75th anniversary. I recon they'll play on that and release a lot of features about how long he's been around and how he's the daddy of all superheroes

[Parker Wayne]

Originally Posted by Dr.

What were the expectations for The Hobbit? After two weeks, it’s already closing in on $700M. So a final tally at or around $1B seems likely.

If I remember right, many people were expect numbers similar or close to The Avengers. At least $1.2 billion.

[FilmNerdJamie]

Originally Posted by Dr.

What were the expectations for The Hobbit? After two weeks, it’s already closing in on $700M. So a final tally at or around $1B seems likely.

Originally Posted by Parker Wayne

If I remember right, many people were expect numbers similar or close to The Avengers. At least $1.2 billion.

I was talking strictly domestic. There was a wide consensus it would out-gross Return of the King and surge like Phantom Menace. But there hasn't been enough time for nostalgia to kick in (which starts around... what...15-20-ish years?)

Worldwide it's doing solid.

[GreenKToo]

The big bucks won't come until the sequel hits. Broken record I know, but i'm thinking it will be in the same situation as batman begins was in, ie, A pretty Good b.o., but great word of mouth and dvd sales ensured a sequel. We all know how the sequel to that turned out. Folks Expecting a $billion b.o. are setting themselves up to be butt hurt.

[aNarcHy2day]

Hobbit didn't get much of a positive review from critics during advanced screenings who criticized its pace and the odd frame rate! That would have affected it's grossing potential, however marginally!