Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

[Kal-El.9859]

Originally Posted by Liam_H

WOM only really happens if the movie is good.

Which I believe this movie will be...and word of mouth works if it's bad too, it keeps people from going to see it. It's a two way street

[Project862006]

wom doesn't always work star trek had great word of mouth and it did'nt even hit 400 WW

[jacobed]

Which is more than it would have normally

[Project862006]

thats not enough for mos tho it cant afford batman begins number

[FilmNerdJamie]

Originally Posted by Project862006

wom doesn't always work star trek had great word of mouth and it did'nt even hit 400 WW

Word of mouth isn't gauged worldwide. Impossible to do so. Just domestic and here it was huge. Big opening, strong legs, $260M domestic gross. Word of mouth was great on Star Trek.

[mohoo]

Word of mouth isn't enough if the movie doesn't have enough attraction for families and young audience.

Most of movie awards go to movies that didn't get that much at box office.

I think Star Trek was a very good movie for the fans, but it didn't had enough to attract many who aren't. I'm sure superman will do better on that front.

[bgshw44]

IF the movie is as good as WB execs/I hope, then I don't see why Transformers numbers aren't possible. I assume WB marketing will be kicking it into high gear come May to create as high of awareness as possible.

When its all said and done, I say $650MM WW and a sequel in 2015

[Dr.]

Star Trek and Batman Begins are interesting examples. Box office-wise, they were only modest successes. (ST, in particular, had soft foreign #s.) But they were robust in home video; and the consensus seemed to be that - as reboots which had to overcome a prior/weak legacy - they did relatively well. Now, it could be argued that MOS is in the same situation. Therefore, success would be measured in the breakeven/modest profit range ($500M) and not (necessarily) with Spider-Man or Avengers #s.

[Project862006]

i think it needs atleast 500 WW mos isn't cheap and cost more than begins or trek

[Kal-El.9859]

Originally Posted by bgshw44

IF the movie is as good as WB execs/I hope, then I don't see why Transformers numbers aren't possible. I assume WB marketing will be kicking it into high gear come May to create as high of awareness as possible.

When its all said and done, I say $650MM WW and a sequel in 2015

I hope it kicks in well before May....

[ConnorKon-El]

^ if they just start promoting in May, then IM OUT.
promo should start at latest April.
I'm really hoping it starts in March.

[Kal-El.9859]

Yeah May is cutting it REAL DAMN CLOSE!

[Dr.]

Originally Posted by ConnorKon-El

^ if they just start promoting in May, then IM OUT.

As in boycott the film?

[ConnorKon-El]

Originally Posted by Dr.

As in boycott the film?

I could never

[fanboiii]

With all the movies coming out, they don't want to get lost in marketing congestion either

[Bruce Malone]

Originally Posted by Project862006

wom doesn't always work star trek had great word of mouth and it did'nt even hit 400 WW

Like another poster has mentioned WOM was great in North America it was seen as a breakout hit.

The film couldn't control the fact though that Star Trek the brand wasn't a very popular brand internationally. I don't think any of the other trek films made much of an impact overseas.

With MOS you might have to wonder what the international super-man brand is like? Spider-Man is very popular over-seas, The avengers became popular but hell it took until TDK or TDKR perhaps depending on your standards, for a batman movie to blow up internationally.

Superman Return didn't do amazing in that regards as welll.

[Showtime]

WBs first tv spot for Jack The Giant Slayer came out January 24th. Guessing April for MOS

[Excel]

I would bet we see something during the final four/March madness.

[Excel]

Originally Posted by fanboiii

With all the movies coming out, they don't want to get lost in marketing congestion either

Meh, the last trailer was total show stopper. MOS will take precedent over anything else. Also, I cant be the only one who finds TREK looking good but generic? Seems like an obvious Nolan rip off.

[sf2]

Well, I still haven’t seen the trailer in cinema though I have already watched 4 movies in cinema since it was released.

[FilmNerdJamie]

Only seen the trailer in front of The Hobbit.

[Project862006]

i didn't even get that but i did see hobbit 3 weeks after it's release

[dnno1]

C'mon you guys. I don't think you are really that interested in seeing this movie. "Iron Man 3" is trending higher that "Man of Steel". If you really think that this is going to be a hit tell your friends.

[G.Godfrey]

It's hard to predict anything until the final trailer and the reaction to it. And the pre-release sales and the hype a month before, TV clips and such. That will give us a much better idea of what to expect, although as always, BO can be highly unpredictable. Right now, based on the second trailer and it's reaction to it, the interest of the public and certain known factors to consider (such as Nolan's name) any guess between 400 million and a billion is plausible one way or the other.

[The Shield]

Originally Posted by dnno1

C'mon you guys. I don't think you are really that interested in seeing this movie. "Iron Man 3" is trending higher that "Man of Steel". If you really think that this is going to be a hit tell your friends.

Of course it is. It's the third (Or forth considering ) movie in the franchise, it's the first movie after the Avengers and it's putting out promo stuff consistently. It has spoilers galore and teasers for teasers for teasers building hype. It had a Super Bowl spot (it has to count for something) and it's staring RDL. Of course it's trending higher.