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View Poll Results: How do you think Man of Steel will do?
1.5 billion 11 5.85%
1 billion 27 14.36%
900 million 13 6.91%
800 million 35 18.62%
700 million 41 21.81%
600 million 29 15.43%
500 million 18 9.57%
400 million 8 4.26%
300 million 2 1.06%
200 million 4 2.13%
Voters: 188. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-28-2013, 06:13 PM   #551
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by manofsteel4life View Post
Honestly feel overseas will make a killing....domestic is the one that's unpredictable. When you got a guy changing his appearance to look like superman lol....I know it's just one person but superman isn't considered out of date or corny over there, unlike here in America....
I'm from the UK and the buzz with movie loving friends is really good,not just the ones who are into comic book films,it will do a lot better than Returns did here in the UK guaranteed.I'm also thinking International will be much higher too,it just needs our American friends to get pumped for it IMO.

And I've yet to meet an American who doesn't like to get pumped


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Old 02-28-2013, 06:18 PM   #552
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

They were both earlier movies to the superhero craze which is more cemented in today's culture with the help of Avengers and TDKR making billion dollars each.

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Old 02-28-2013, 06:59 PM   #553
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by metaphysician View Post
Whether a given dollar value counts as a hit or not depends largely on the budget for the movie. Batman Begins was viewed as a pretty big success, and Superman Returns as a fairly big failure, because Batman Begins cost almost half the amount to make.
Unfair inflation of Returns budget due to pass projects. Begins was ultimately a success because of its reception.

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Old 02-28-2013, 07:33 PM   #554
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Liam_H View Post
Unfair inflation of Returns budget due to pass projects. Begins was ultimately a success because of its reception.
Yep a sequel was on the bubble until the great DVD sales.

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Old 02-28-2013, 10:21 PM   #555
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm thinking $250m domestic is a pretty safe bet no matter what. If the film turns out to be REALLY good then I can see it hitting around $300m...like others have said international is really hard to predict but I'm going with around $450-500m overseas.

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Old 02-28-2013, 10:28 PM   #556
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

250 million is a good number. That is around Superman Returns money adjusted for inflation.

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Old 02-28-2013, 10:56 PM   #557
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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250 million is a good number. That is around Superman Returns money adjusted for inflation.
MoS making as much as a luckster superman movie that was a donner remake with even less action than the original? Adjusted for inflation...

The only reason I see that possibly happening is as fallout due to Returns.
If onlly Superman had come out in 2006 with guns blazing it, like the rest of the successful properties.

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Old 02-28-2013, 11:01 PM   #558
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I say 300+ because of Nolan factor

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Old 02-28-2013, 11:20 PM   #559
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

3D will help alot too.

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Old 02-28-2013, 11:35 PM   #560
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

3d is why I have trouble seeing under 300m. That would have selling in the ballpark of the same amount of tickets as SR. If it sells less tickets than SR, WB either totally dropped the ball marketing wise, or the film will sweep the razzies.

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Old 03-01-2013, 01:07 AM   #561
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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As funny as that may be....

Returns Domestic $200 WW $391 Production Budget 270
Begins Domestic $205 WW $374 Production Budget 150
Ironman Domestic $318 WW $585 Production Budget 140
ASM Domestic $262 WW $752 Production Budget 230

3 of those were considered hits.

When MoS performs somewhere in between IronMan and ASM...
The budget of SR was around 209 mil., the 270 mil figure is not accurate, they have included the money spent on past Superman projects (JJ Abrams, McG, Ratner's) which failed to take off.

Assuming that MOS sells same number of tickets as SR -

200 mil in 2006 would be near 220 mil for 2013(approx.), add the fact that the MOS movie would be 3D, which increases the collections by about 15 %, we get around 250 mil.

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Old 03-01-2013, 01:13 AM   #562
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I believe adjusted brings it closer to $250 million so 15% of that would bring it closer to $290 million. So $300 million domestic very much possible if its attracts the same number of people.

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Old 03-01-2013, 05:58 AM   #563
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

And really, it should bring in more if the film is as good as it looks.

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Old 03-02-2013, 10:13 AM   #564
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Liam_H View Post
Unfair inflation of Returns budget due to pass projects. Begins was ultimately a success because of its reception.
While true, even Superman Returns actual budget was at least 50M more than Batman Begins. That makes a difference.

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Old 03-02-2013, 11:19 AM   #565
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

my first guess was around 275 to 300 million dom. around 300 international...Once the next trailer hits tho, depending on the buzz, it could be even more. ( or less )

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Old 03-02-2013, 03:02 PM   #566
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I'll revise up to 225mil. 75miil opening and 225mil total. As I said before I might revise up when I see what WB's marketing is going to be like.

I remember when everyone said The Incredible Hulk was going to make 200mil because people were waiting for an action packed Hulk film and it got nowhere near 200mil and actually sold less tickets than the first one despite grossing slightly more than it. Nothing is guaranteed. when it comes to the boxoffice. If WB starts smartly marketing the film I will raise ny prediction. but until then I'm sticking to 225mil.

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Old 03-02-2013, 03:20 PM   #567
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
I'll revise up to 225mil. 75miil opening and 225mil total. As I said before I might revise up when I see what WB's marketing is going to be like.

...Nothing is guaranteed. when it comes to the boxoffice. If WB starts smartly marketing the film I will raise ny prediction. but until then I'm sticking to 225mil.
Itís not all about the marketing. Sometimes, thereís an ďintangible factorĒ - a positive buzz that the studio doesnít control and canít buy. Itís early days yet, but MOS seems to be on a good track in terms of the buzz.

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Old 03-02-2013, 06:48 PM   #568
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I know for sure word of mouth is key. Also a film like this has to get good reviews bad reviews could easily sink it quick.

The trailers are great but i think the public is still unsure whether superman is a character they can enjoy on the big screen? since it's been so long since anyone has.

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Old 03-02-2013, 07:24 PM   #569
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Once they show superman kicking ass in the next trailer, It's A wrap.That along will sell more tickets then superman returns.

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Old 03-02-2013, 10:51 PM   #570
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

22 of you seriously think this will break a billion? Hope you're not getting your hopes up for that one.

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Old 03-03-2013, 12:46 AM   #571
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I think worldwide collections would be in 700 mil to 800 mil range.

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Old 03-03-2013, 03:21 AM   #572
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

I am guessing 1.5 billion, i just have that feeling.

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Old 03-03-2013, 06:49 AM   #573
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

For me personally anthing lower than 300 domestic and 600 worldwide would be a disappointment.

I'd be very pleased with anything over 325 domestic and 700 worldwide.

MOS needs to be profitable and Superman needs to be an A-lister again like Batman, Spider-man, Avengers and Iron Man.

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Old 03-03-2013, 07:12 AM   #574
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Really not sure how viable Superman is going to be overseas. Completely tanked overseas last time around. Hopefully they have a way to market it this time around outside North America.

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Old 03-03-2013, 07:18 AM   #575
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Default Re: Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Well the foriegn market has expanded since Superman Returns and there's a 3D factor this time.

Both should add a healthy boost assuming the overseas audience doesn't drop from last time.

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