The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Captain America > Captain America: The Winter Soldier

View Poll Results: How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?
$1.5 billion 3 1.63%
$1 billion 8 4.35%
$900 million 11 5.98%
$800 million 20 10.87%
$700 million 45 24.46%
$600 million 53 28.80%
$500 million 38 20.65%
$400 million 4 2.17%
$300 million 2 1.09%
$200 million 0 0%
Voters: 184. You may not vote on this poll

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 04-07-2014, 08:27 AM   #1
Thread Manager
SHH! Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 0
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

This is a continuation thread, the old thread is Here

Thread Manager is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 08:27 AM   #2
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Really eager to discuss this. No trailer yet and what not, but we have Redford on the cast and tons of other info. For now I'm predicting:

OW: $85m
DOM: $235m
INT: $310m
WW: $545m

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 08:27 AM   #3
Dark Raven
The Gal from Themysicra
 
Dark Raven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Tall and tan and young and lovely
Posts: 20,652
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Suzanne78 View Post
Yeah , some huge heavy hitters there!
How the heck is X-Men Origins: Wolverine so high up on that list with such a huge opening? It's number 12, which means that until November last year, it was actually number 10 on the list. :doh:

__________________
Quote:
Anne Hathaway: "You did not just ask me that!! What a forward young man you are!!! My goodness!!"
Dark Raven is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 09:50 AM   #4
PunyGod
Dojo
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 631
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

...


Last edited by PunyGod; 04-17-2014 at 01:03 PM.
PunyGod is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 10:10 AM   #5
Suzanne78
I AM GROOT!
 
Suzanne78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 4,691
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dark Raven View Post
How the heck is X-Men Origins: Wolverine so high up on that list with such a huge opening? It's number 12, which means that until November last year, it was actually number 10 on the list.
I remember the opening weekend was huge. My husband and I went to see it… and left feeling oddly empty

It was the next week that the ledge dropped out from under it

__________________
"Joss Whedon, Shane Black, Edgar Wright, James Gunn… For as much flack as people give Marvel that's a pretty freaking great group of filmmakers. Kind of feel spoiled."
--Chewy

Avatar by Kane52630
Suzanne78 is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 10:55 AM   #6
kedrell
I see what you did there
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 17,683
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Something I haven't seen anyone else address on here is that this is the film that will put the MCU in the #2 spot all time among franchises(unadjusted for inflation of course) up from it's current #3 spot. The MCU will overtake the James Bond/007 franchise as soon as CA:TWS gets to around the $500M WW mark. Only Potter is left to take down which between GotG and TA:AoU it'll happen for sure in 2015(even if it needs to add Ant-Man to make it happen, but I don't think A-M will be needed). So in 2015 the MCU will become the biggest franchise in history. Not bad for an upstart film company.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...nd_film_series

__________________
Beware of Space Dementia: It happened to Steve Buscemi. It happened to Matt Damon. It can happen to YOU!

I have an inner child. Not an inner teenager.
kedrell is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:17 AM   #7
TJByrum
Captain America Fan
 
TJByrum's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 613
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So how good is Cap doing right now?

__________________
"Not without you partner, the world needs Bucky too."
-Cap to Bucky
TJByrum is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:19 AM   #8
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,625
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Even if that is the case, nothing remains permanent when it comes to box office placings .
Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves .

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:22 AM   #9
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,625
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by TJByrum View Post
So how good is Cap doing right now?
I believe the current estimate is 96.2 million.

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:25 AM   #10
TJByrum
Captain America Fan
 
TJByrum's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 613
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
I believe the current estimate is 96.2 million.
Well I read it's made a total of 303 million total so far. I was just confirming its truth or not, so has it made 303 million?

__________________
"Not without you partner, the world needs Bucky too."
-Cap to Bucky
TJByrum is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:27 AM   #11
Suzanne78
I AM GROOT!
 
Suzanne78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 4,691
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by TJByrum View Post
So how good is Cap doing right now?
I'd say it exceeded expectations. The projections had it landing around $85-90, but then it upped to $90-95 right before it came out. It's now in the neighborhood of $96 million with 89% positive reviews on RT.

So basically, it smashed the April OW record by $10million, it's the sequel that has most improved on the original according to RT, and it only needs around $63million more dollars to exceed the total gross of the first Cap movie.

In other words, it's doing great!

ETA: Yes, $303m is the worldwide (DOM + Int'l) gross so far. So only needs about $67mil to best CA1. It should do that in a couple of days honestly, maybe by Wednesday/Thurs.

__________________
"Joss Whedon, Shane Black, Edgar Wright, James Gunn… For as much flack as people give Marvel that's a pretty freaking great group of filmmakers. Kind of feel spoiled."
--Chewy

Avatar by Kane52630
Suzanne78 is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:28 AM   #12
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 35,742
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Yes it's estimated worldwide total is 303mil.

I SEE SPIDEY is online now  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:32 AM   #13
Joeyjojo72
Side-Kick
 
Joeyjojo72's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 3,751
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So is 600 million in the bag or do we not have enough info yet to make that assumption?

__________________
Originally Posted by KangConquers

At the risk of being totally offensive...there's a quote from Ghandi about Christianity that can be reappropriated for this.

"I like your Christopher Nolan, but I do not like your Nolanites."
Joeyjojo72 is online now  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:33 AM   #14
Suzanne78
I AM GROOT!
 
Suzanne78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 4,691
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joeyjojo72 View Post
So is 600 million in the bag or do we not have enough info yet to make that assumption?
Ehhhh… still need more info, especially the holds over the next few weeks.

__________________
"Joss Whedon, Shane Black, Edgar Wright, James Gunn… For as much flack as people give Marvel that's a pretty freaking great group of filmmakers. Kind of feel spoiled."
--Chewy

Avatar by Kane52630
Suzanne78 is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:36 AM   #15
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 35,742
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joeyjojo72 View Post
So is 600 million in the bag or do we not have enough info yet to make that assumption?
I'd be surprised if it didn't make more than 600mil worldwide. Surely the word of mouth on the film will be good even overseas.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

...It's Batman and Superman, lets just be honest, I don't know how you get bigger than that--Zack Snyder.
I SEE SPIDEY is online now  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:40 AM   #16
Suzanne78
I AM GROOT!
 
Suzanne78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 4,691
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Yeah. I don't know what would be considered a good "Hold" domestically for this movie? Sub 50% for sure, but between 50-55%?

Sorry, Joeyjojo, I read your post as $700mil. In my wildest dreams, but I don't think $700mil is happening LOL!

But yeah, it does seem to be on a good track overall toward $600. $400+mill overseas and $200+ domestic.

__________________
"Joss Whedon, Shane Black, Edgar Wright, James Gunn… For as much flack as people give Marvel that's a pretty freaking great group of filmmakers. Kind of feel spoiled."
--Chewy

Avatar by Kane52630
Suzanne78 is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 11:54 AM   #17
NJCaliboi
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 216
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joeyjojo72 View Post
So is 600 million in the bag or do we not have enough info yet to make that assumption?
It's a good bet, but not exactly a sure bet at this point. It's as others have said the next weeks the picture will come more into focus. One thing for sure is that it's a bonafide hit!

Cap3 stocks has never been higher- it's actually looking like a real contender and moving the title into the league of the big boys. Very exciting for Marvel and Captain fans!

NJCaliboi is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:00 PM   #18
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 35,742
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

50-55% would actually be considered pretty good or solid holds in North America for such a big opening weekend. Of course I'd like for it to drop less than 50%· The weekday numbers will give us an idea where it is headed.

I SEE SPIDEY is online now  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:01 PM   #19
kedrell
I see what you did there
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 17,683
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
Even if that is the case, nothing remains permanent when it comes to box office placings .
Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves .
While true it matters whether we're talking about a closed franchise like HP or an open ended one like Bond or the MCU. Since the MCU is open ended I suspect it'll be some time till any franchise takes it's top spot once it beats HP next year. Bond doesn't make enough films fast enough to ever catch up again(very unlikely to at least) and that also goes for just about every other franchise as well. Marvel Studios's 2 films or more a year pace really gives them a nearly insurmountable advantage over other franchises.

__________________
Beware of Space Dementia: It happened to Steve Buscemi. It happened to Matt Damon. It can happen to YOU!

I have an inner child. Not an inner teenager.
kedrell is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:03 PM   #20
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,625
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Suzanne78 View Post
Yeah. I don't know what would be considered a good "Hold" domestically for this movie? Sub 50% for sure, but between 50-55%?

Sorry, Joeyjojo, I read your post as $700mil. In my wildest dreams, but I don't think $700mil is happening LOL!

But yeah, it does seem to be on a good track overall toward $600. $400+mill overseas and $200+ domestic.
Do we have any tracking on Rio2 yet?
It might give us an idea what to expect in terms of a hold for TWS .
Do we know how Rio did internationally ?

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:09 PM   #21
Suzanne78
I AM GROOT!
 
Suzanne78's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 4,691
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Thank you Spidey! I'm only an amateur at B.O. predictions, so I appreciate the more knowledgeable among us sharing!

__________________
"Joss Whedon, Shane Black, Edgar Wright, James Gunn… For as much flack as people give Marvel that's a pretty freaking great group of filmmakers. Kind of feel spoiled."
--Chewy

Avatar by Kane52630
Suzanne78 is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:11 PM   #22
spideymouse
Side-Kick
 
spideymouse's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,507
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
Do we have any tracking on Rio2 yet?
It might give us an idea what to expect in terms of a hold for TWS .
Do we know how Rio did internationally ?
It took the #1 spot just one week after Cap 2's premiere in the UK, I believe.

spideymouse is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:11 PM   #23
kedrell
I see what you did there
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 17,683
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
A week ahead of its U.S. debut, Rio 2 added $22.2 million from 12 foreign markets. New territories included the U.K. ($4.7 million), Germany ($4 million) and Spain ($2.5 million). Across all three of those markets, Rio 2's debut was a step up from the original. The animated sequel has now earned $55.5 million.
There you go.

__________________
Beware of Space Dementia: It happened to Steve Buscemi. It happened to Matt Damon. It can happen to YOU!

I have an inner child. Not an inner teenager.
kedrell is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:20 PM   #24
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,958
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
Something I haven't seen anyone else address on here is that this is the film that will put the MCU in the #2 spot all time among franchises(unadjusted for inflation of course) up from it's current #3 spot. The MCU will overtake the James Bond/007 franchise as soon as CA:TWS gets to around the $500M WW mark. Only Potter is left to take down which between GotG and TA:AoU it'll happen for sure in 2015(even if it needs to add Ant-Man to make it happen, but I don't think A-M will be needed). So in 2015 the MCU will become the biggest franchise in history. Not bad for an upstart film company.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...nd_film_series
Yeah, it's really awesome.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
Even if that is the case, nothing remains permanent when it comes to box office placings .
Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves .
Okay? But we're not, in 2015 the MCU will by far be the highest grossing film franchise ever. Assuming AOU only makes as much as the first movie, which is conservative, it will blow past Harry Potter and will not look back. At the rate they're releasing movies and how much they gross, it's somewhat inconceivable that anything will be able to catch them anytime soon.

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 04-07-2014, 12:22 PM   #25
kedrell
I see what you did there
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 17,683
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I figure the MCU will collectively be at around $6.3 billion by the time CA:TWS ends it's run. Cap2 just needs another $325M WW to get it there, which will put it around the $630m WW mark.

__________________
Beware of Space Dementia: It happened to Steve Buscemi. It happened to Matt Damon. It can happen to YOU!

I have an inner child. Not an inner teenager.
kedrell is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:21 PM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. ©2014 All Rights Reserved.