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View Poll Results: DOFP Worldwide prediction
+ $300 million 7 5.07%
+ $400 5 3.62%
+ $500 23 16.67%
+ $600 32 23.19%
+ $700 38 27.54%
+ $800 16 11.59%
+ $900 10 7.25%
+ 1 Billion 5 3.62%
1,100 - 1,250 1 0.72%
1,250 -1,500 0 0%
+ 1,500 1 0.72%
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Old 04-05-2014, 09:35 PM   #351
EnDz0n3
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

It's worth noting that Boxoffice.com's $103 Mil prediction is for 4-day weekend. Their $90 + Mil for Cap is for 3 days.

Quote:
Originally Posted by marvelrobbins View Post
Cap Is guranteed to beat DOFP overseas. Thor the dark world with 65 percent from RT made 438 Million overseas Vs 206 Million Domesticly. WS will gross In 400 million range.

DOFP only chance was to beat Cap Domesticly. That chance is almost certinly gone.

The wolverine grossed 282 Million overseas so I have no doudt it can hit 300 Million with X-Men characters from both trilogy and FC joining Hugh jackman.

Box office.com has predictions of

The Amzing SPider-man 2-OW-112 Million DOmestic 265 Million
Cap-98 million OW 248 Million Domestic
Godzilla-OW 75 Million DOmestic-235 Million
DOFP-OW 102 Million DOmestic-221 Million
Edit: What happens if these guarantees you're handing out does not come to fruition?


Last edited by EnDz0n3; 04-05-2014 at 09:39 PM.
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Old 04-05-2014, 09:40 PM   #352
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by def28 View Post
I think we will definitely get a higher over seas number. I would be very surprised if there is less then $100m difference between this and The Wolverines gross.
If it gets 100 million over the wolverine Forign box office It will get 382 and if it does as Box office.com predicts with 221 million domesticly that would push it
a little over 600 million.

I believe box office mojo predicted The wolverine at 120 Million domesticly and the wolverine finished 132 Million domesticly so maybe DOFP could get In 230 million range close to what last stand did In 2006 without taking In infliration.

Still so far it seems Box office.com was very much on the money with Cap's opening weekend.

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Old 04-05-2014, 09:44 PM   #353
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Boxoffice.com, in the lead up to the release to The Wolverine, also over-predicted that movie's opening weekend.

The lesson here is to not take these predictions as gospel, either for or against your argument.

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Old 04-05-2014, 09:51 PM   #354
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by EnDz0n3 View Post
It's worth noting that Boxoffice.com's $103 Mil prediction is for 4-day weekend. Their $90 + Mil for Cap is for 3 days.



Edit: What happens if these guarantees you're handing out does not come to fruition?
with 89% fresh from RT and the avengers boost It's already doing better than Thor:The dark world domesticly. Considering both Iron man 3 and TDW did better overseas than domesticly I doudt anyone think WS won't finish high overseas.

Box Office.com Is one who predicted 248 Million domesticly.

For spider-man with fact SPider-man 3 did 554 million overseas and ASm did 490 Million overseas does anything think SPider-man won't make a mint overseas even with 265 Million domestic prediction.

If Box office.com 102 Million over 4 days pans out that's even more to say Cap will outgross DOFP.

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Last edited by marvelrobbins; 04-05-2014 at 10:00 PM.
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Old 04-05-2014, 09:54 PM   #355
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

The lesson here is to stop throwing around terms like "guaranteed" and "it's clear that"

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Old 04-05-2014, 09:56 PM   #356
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by EnDz0n3 View Post
Boxoffice.com, in the lead up to the release to The Wolverine, also over-predicted that movie's opening weekend.

The lesson here is to not take these predictions as gospel, either for or against your argument.
I know some overestimated the wolverine's box office domesticly.

It's not like I want spider-man and cap to beat X-Men but since Box office.com was pretty much on the money with WS you have to take their OW and DOmestic predictions for DOFP and other summer films seriously.

DOFP has Godzilla the week before and Maleficent the week after.

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Old 04-05-2014, 09:59 PM   #357
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by EnDz0n3 View Post
The lesson here is to stop throwing around terms like "guaranteed" and "it's clear that"
Ok It's looking like and odds are DOFP will be third highest grossing comic Book film of 2014 behind the Amazing SPider-man 2 and Captain America:The winter SOldier.

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Old 04-05-2014, 10:17 PM   #358
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

I for one don't understand Box Office.com's prediction of a $75 million opening weekend for Godzilla and a $100 million opening weekend for DOFP; but still has Godzilla out grossing it domestically.

But what if DOFP grosses over $100 million it's opening weekend (3-day, not the 4-day), comes close to Cap's numbers and receives similar reviews (roughly 85-90% on RT); you still think Cap 2 will out gross DOFP?

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Old 04-05-2014, 10:22 PM   #359
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

It's all about the legs (box office for the movie after first weekend). Previous X-men movies had notoriously bad legs.

Though I agree with you in questioning how they think Godzilla will have good legs, in that Godzilla will also have to face off against the same movies that DOFP will supposedly have to struggle with.

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Old 04-05-2014, 11:34 PM   #360
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by Snikt View Post
I for one don't understand Box Office.com's prediction of a $75 million opening weekend for Godzilla and a $100 million opening weekend for DOFP; but still has Godzilla out grossing it domestically.

But what if DOFP grosses over $100 million it's opening weekend (3-day, not the 4-day), comes close to Cap's numbers and receives similar reviews (roughly 85-90% on RT); you still think Cap 2 will out gross DOFP?
I have questioned Godzilla numbers. Back when I saw trailer 1 in front of second hobbit film people laughed when it was revealed it was godzilla film and If Amazing SPider-man 2 only does 265 Million domesticly just about what first film did that has to be a disappointment with 50 previews of that film.

FC got 87% on RT and still only grossed 146 Million DOmesticly.

The problem Is while fans of X-Men films will go buy tickets of other comic book films will fans of others do same for X-Men. I have seen places online where people swear not to see DOFP In theatres due to studio wars

There Is belief In some circles cap will dominate box office till SPider-man arrives.

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Old 04-06-2014, 01:15 AM   #361
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by marvelrobbins View Post
Ok It's looking like and odds are DOFP will be third highest grossing comic Book film of 2014 behind the Amazing SPider-man 2 and Captain America:The winter SOldier.
Ah, No. DOFP will gross more than Captain America opening weekend. Last Stand did 103 million opening week in '06 for crying out loud. With the inflation from 2006 to now...It will easily beat CA WS.

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Old 04-06-2014, 01:29 AM   #362
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by marvelrobbins View Post
Unfortuly that could be the reality. Box office.com has 102 million opening weekend and 221 Million domestic prediction.

They had cap at 98 million opening weekend and 248 million domestic and it's looking like that Is eather coming true or underestimating It.

It's looking all but sure that DOFP will come In behind both the Amazing Spider-man 2 and Captain America The Winter Soldier.Box office.com also has it behind Godzilla.
I found box-office.com predictions off.

For one, they predicted The Wolverine would get a domestic gross of $170 million. But that didn't happen. Their domestic prediction for The Dark World wasn't close too. I think their prediction was 220 to 240 million.

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Old 04-06-2014, 01:40 AM   #363
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Don't forget Jolie and her Sleeping Beauty movie comes up the following week, and it feels like a hit just from the trailers and the fact that Jolie has not acted for a while, people will take note. And I have to admit that she looks fierce. Plus, the press loves, loves, loves her so she will be taking a lot of oxygen out of the room around that time too, especially since she is being backed by the Mouse.

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Old 04-06-2014, 02:01 AM   #364
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

For some reason, I don't think Malificent would hurt that film that much. if it has Johnny Depp I would be worried but no. I feel like the target audience for Malificent are the female crowd and with so many options this summer, I don't think Malificent would perform like Alice in Wonderland.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:03 AM   #365
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Ah, No. DOFP will gross more than Captain America opening weekend. Last Stand did 103 million opening week in '06 for crying out loud. With the inflation from 2006 to now...It will easily beat CA WS.
yeah, you can tell when a prediction is biased or not. boxoffice.com prediction seems made by a marvelite or something. To predict DOFP as if the quality will be the same as X3, having then same bad legs is totally off to me.

As u say, X3 made 102 opening weekend back on 2006, with lower ticket prize and without 3D. Now on year 2014, with the superhero genre being hotter than ever, mixing the two casts with all the hype it has, and 3D tickets, this has the potential to do much more than X3 OW (and on its full run). And yes, FC and TW had lower numbers, but this movie is another monster and has the best cast of the year hands down, so yeah, it will be huge. How huge we just cant know.

My OW prediction is between 120-150m (4day)

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:09 AM   #366
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
For some reason, I don't think Malificent would hurt that film that much. if it has Johnny Depp I would be worried but no. I feel like the target audience for Malificent are the female crowd and with so many options this summer, I don't think Malificent would perform like Alice in Wonderland.
This feels like the prediction I kept hearing that Frozen would only appeal to little girls.

Quote:
Originally Posted by EnDz0n3 View Post
It's all about the legs (box office for the movie after first weekend). Previous X-men movies had notoriously bad legs.

Though I agree with you in questioning how they think Godzilla will have good legs, in that Godzilla will also have to face off against the same movies that DOFP will supposedly have to struggle with.
They are predicting that Godzilla is Batman Begins or Casino Royale. Except in a time where people understand that means good things.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:14 AM   #367
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

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yeah, you can tell when a prediction is biased or not. boxoffice.com prediction seems made by a marvelite or something. To predict DOFP as if the quality will be the same as X3, having then same bad legs is totally off to me.

As u say, X3 made 102 opening weekend back on 2006, with lower ticket prize and without 3D. Now on year 2014, with the superhero genre being hotter than ever, mixing the two casts with all the hype it has, and 3D tickets, this has the potential to do much more than X3 OW (and on its full run). And yes, FC and TW had lower numbers, but this movie is another monster and has the best cast of the year hands down, so yeah, it will be huge. How huge we just cant know.

My OW prediction is between 120-150m (4day)
What was Wolverine Origins, First Class and The Wolverine's OW?

Cap also has zero competition. DOFP has Godzilla with it's amazing marketing campaign to deal with. Plus Maleficent.

I predict 600 million WW for the X-Men.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:19 AM   #368
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

FC ow was: $55m
TWolverine: $53m

The thing about Godzilla is that just because its on the theatre at the same time than XMen it doesnt mean all those viewers cant watch both movies on the same month, or in June. Movie/action lovers use to go to the theatre various times, so if that audience is interested in Godzilla & XMen, they will watch both, just in different weeks or months. Its not a big problem, imo

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:24 AM   #369
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Big box office doesn't come from the simple one offs. Repeat viewings are just as important.

Personally think the OW predictions so far are too low. I don't think DoFP is going to kill at the BO, but I think it will do really good business week one. It will be front loaded as movies like Maleficent and How to Train Your Dragon 2 roll out.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:29 AM   #370
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

Yea i think it'll be around 100 million OW. But not anywhere near the likes of 150 million.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:31 AM   #371
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Big box office doesn't come from the simple one offs. Repeat viewings are just as important.
good point too. So taking into account that this movie more than likely will be the best Xmen movie to date and fans will leave pretty satisfied and excited, repeat viewings will be better this time around too. Same with word of mouth.
Just knowing all the great elements this movie has, Im sure this movie will have the best Wom of the franchise.

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Old 04-06-2014, 07:31 AM   #372
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Yea i think it'll be around 100 million OW. But not anywhere near the likes of 150 million.
It is a 4 day weekend, and the film is finally getting hyped. I think something like $130m is definitely in play.

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good point too. So taking into account that this movie more than likely will be the best Xmen movie to date and fans will leave pretty satisfied and excited, repeat viewings will be better this time around too. Same with word of mouth.
Just knowing all the great elements this movie has, Im sure this movie will have the best Wom of the franchise.
That is if they don't have anything else to see. That is why competition is so important. DoFP is being followed by two potentially huge four-quadrant films.

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Old 04-06-2014, 09:29 AM   #373
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

My random guesses:

USA: $ 240.000.000
Worldwide: $ 350.000.000
Total: $ 590.000.000

But to be honest, I wouldn't be surprised if it made a little less.

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Old 04-06-2014, 10:01 AM   #374
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

You guys underestimate Xmen. There are very popular, worldwide and in the US.When I saw Cap everybody clapped when the xmen trailer ended.

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Old 04-06-2014, 10:11 AM   #375
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Default Re: 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction

its just being realistic

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