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View Poll Results: How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?
$1.5 billion 3 1.63%
$1 billion 8 4.35%
$900 million 11 5.98%
$800 million 20 10.87%
$700 million 45 24.46%
$600 million 53 28.80%
$500 million 38 20.65%
$400 million 4 2.17%
$300 million 2 1.09%
$200 million 0 0%
Voters: 184. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 03-13-2014, 10:16 PM   #276
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm going for 1b booyaaaah

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Old 03-13-2014, 10:56 PM   #277
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm going with 650mil!!!! ;p

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Old 03-13-2014, 11:23 PM   #278
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

What film currently holds the record for opening weekend in April?
Is it one of the Fast and Furious films?

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Old 03-13-2014, 11:37 PM   #279
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
What film currently holds the record for opening weekend in April?
Is it one of the Fast and Furious films?
It's Fast Five with $86.1 (going off my memory).

So hoping Cap can top that, or get over $90. That it's already tracking $80+mil. is a really good sign. So long as the promo doesn't let up for the next couple of weeks….

ETA: Variety's tracking it at $85-$90mil over THR's report.

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Old 03-13-2014, 11:40 PM   #280
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I hear you, kind of like when a football team plays soft defense when they have a big lead.

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Old 03-13-2014, 11:42 PM   #281
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

90 million or more?
I hope so.


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Old 03-15-2014, 03:04 PM   #282
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

500-550. If it receives a sequel boost similar to the Thor films it will fall within that range. Normally, I'd expect the film to have a smaller boost (less international appeal and no Loki) but from what I've seen this will likely be a far better movie than T:TDW so I'm expecting closer to 550 than 500. Still wouldn't be surprised to see this push past 600 though.


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Old 03-15-2014, 09:28 PM   #283
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I picked 500 million but I think it might go a little higher.

650-700 is my updated prediction.

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Old 03-16-2014, 05:50 AM   #284
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Suzanne78 View Post
It's Fast Five with $86.1 (going off my memory).

So hoping Cap can top that, or get over $90. That it's already tracking $80+mil. is a really good sign. So long as the promo doesn't let up for the next couple of weeks….

ETA: Variety's tracking it at $85-$90mil over THR's report.
The OW tally will go higher than the tracking at this point suggests. An $80 million total seems locked now, but $90-$95 million may be doable. A major push by Marvel in the final two weeks before opening could nudge it even higher.

Awareness of CATWS is far higher than it was for TDW at the same point. The Disney marketing machine has done a fine job of making sure that the film has soaked into the popular consciousness. The desire to see it is in the same range. Now they simply need to push hard to make the final sale to the people who haven't yet decided that they need to see the film. That's what will get that opening weekend gross to rise.

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Old 03-16-2014, 05:54 AM   #285
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Hmmm this is hard to gage. I think anywhere between 600-800 million WW.

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Old 03-16-2014, 08:29 AM   #286
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

People are ready for a big blockbuster movie. This movie will fill that need. I think the November opening of TDW hurt that box office.

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Old 03-16-2014, 10:25 AM   #287
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by samsnee View Post
People are ready for a big blockbuster movie. This movie will fill that need. I think the November opening of TDW hurt that box office.
TDW wont be the last November release Marvel has .

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Old 03-16-2014, 10:40 AM   #288
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by samsnee View Post
People are ready for a big blockbuster movie. This movie will fill that need. I think the November opening of TDW hurt that box office.
A lot ov movies get hurt from not releasing in the summer but you only have certain number spots and if their all full but you still want to release what are you going fo do. The movie may have done worse if it had summer competition. They got a hit in a month kids are in school so Im okay with the choice they made.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:00 AM   #289
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

TDW tracked at around 75 and ended up doing 85. If the same holds true for TWS with its current tracking it might push 100.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:03 AM   #290
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Im expecting just over 90 mill opening weekend. 92 is my prediction.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:07 AM   #291
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

The November release date did not hurt Thor. Two movies that were released in November made 400mil (Frozen is about to hit that number) domestically. Thor did just fine domestically, it was never going to reach the lofty fanboy expectations.

I would love for Cap to hit 100mil domestically opening weekend but I'm still not quite there yet prediction wise. I'm still thinking 90ishmil.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:13 AM   #292
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Right now, I will go with 88 million.
Not as lofty as 90 or 100 million, but, it will firmly set a new OW record for April.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:17 AM   #293
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
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Right now, I will go with 88 million.
Not as lofty as 90 or 100 million, but, it will firmly set a new OW record for April.
90 isn't that lofty. It's tracking at 85 and they usually underestimate so 5 mil more isn't really out of reach.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:23 AM   #294
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Movies go under their tracking numbers all the time as well. Now I don't think Cap will but I just had to say that.

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Old 03-16-2014, 11:51 AM   #295
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I Agree.
Box office . com had TDW doing 90 million plus, that didn't happen.
So yeah, coming in lower is a possibility .
Until we have consistent info from multiple sources that say 90 million or more is a possibility,
I am going to stick to my guns and say that TWS lands somewhere in the 80-88 million dollar range.

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Old 03-16-2014, 12:03 PM   #296
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I think with the strong reviews and marketing, TWS will do 90-95 mil OW. And if the WOM is great, I think it can make 350 mil domestically and 800-850 mil WW. Maybe I'm a bit optimistic, but I believe that this movie is going to become a huge hit.

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Old 03-16-2014, 12:38 PM   #297
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Winter Soldier would need 140+mil opening weekend to even have a shot at 350mil domestically, no matter how good word of mouth is.

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Old 03-16-2014, 12:44 PM   #298
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
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Winter Soldier would need 140+mil opening weekend to even have a shot at 350mil domestically, no matter how good word of mouth is.
Unless it does an Avatar.

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Old 03-16-2014, 12:44 PM   #299
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

In terms of competition ,
There is Transcendence on the 18th, a scifi film starring Johnny Depp.
That would probably be the biggest threat in April for TWS .
Now Depps film might not beat it, But I keep hearing that there is no competition in April and that just isn't accurate .

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Old 03-16-2014, 12:49 PM   #300
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Unless it does an Avatar.
I know that you are joking but after Titanic ,any Cameron film is usually pretty easily sold as an event film.
TWS is being sold as a typical Marvel action film.

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