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View Poll Results: How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?
$1.5 billion 3 1.63%
$1 billion 8 4.35%
$900 million 11 5.98%
$800 million 20 10.87%
$700 million 45 24.46%
$600 million 53 28.80%
$500 million 38 20.65%
$400 million 4 2.17%
$300 million 2 1.09%
$200 million 0 0%
Voters: 184. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-11-2013, 06:08 PM   #151
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

^ I agree with this. Cap will have far more hype and probably end up being a critically acclaimed movie.

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Old 11-12-2013, 01:45 AM   #152
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by regnak View Post
The US reviews may have dropped TDW's opening weekend take here. If TWS is better reviewed it might do better in the US.
I doubt a lot of people didn't watch TDW because of bad/mixed online reviews.

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Old 11-12-2013, 08:40 AM   #153
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
I doubt a lot of people didn't watch TDW because of bad/mixed online reviews.
I think it did. Batman Begins, for example, was something of a modest box office success. Then when the overwhelmingly positive reviews and insane buzz for The Dark Knight started to come in, it basically obliterated expectations by becoming the first CBM (I think) to break a billion.

I personally think CA:TWS will hit $700 mill if its critical reception is similar to T:TDW's lukewarm reviews... which I strongly disagree with BTW. If the movie's quality is consistent with the trailers, though, I think Cap 2 has a decent shot at $800-850 mill with an outside chance of hitting a billion.

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Old 11-12-2013, 12:04 PM   #154
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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I think it did. Batman Begins, for example, was something of a modest box office success. Then when the overwhelmingly positive reviews and insane buzz for The Dark Knight started to come in, it basically obliterated expectations by becoming the first CBM (I think) to break a billion.

I personally think CA:TWS will hit $700 mill if its critical reception is similar to T:TDW's lukewarm reviews... which I strongly disagree with BTW. If the movie's quality is consistent with the trailers, though, I think Cap 2 has a decent shot at $800-850 mill with an outside chance of hitting a billion.
That has more to do with word of mouth than people reading online reviews.

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Old 11-12-2013, 12:21 PM   #155
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That has more to do with word of mouth than people reading online reviews.
Agreed, but firstly, those two things don't happen in isolation. Each feeds the other.

And secondly, these days, the line between "movie critic" and "blogger who likes movies" is pretty hazy. (Don't mean that in a pejorative sense even though it might have sounded that way... I'm all for the democratization of delivery platforms for the written word.)

I'm not saying that reviews are a bigger factor than WOM when it comes to box office take. What I'm saying is that it is a significant factor, and additionally is a factor that is not altogether independent from word of mouth.

EDIT: Oh, and I just re-read my previous post and I seem to have used the term "insane buzz" as alternate-speak for "good word of mouth".

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Old 11-12-2013, 12:35 PM   #156
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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I think Cap 2 is going to out-perform Thor 2 domestically.

By 30-40 m.

Overseas it might fall short by only 50 m.

So their WW gross should be closer this time around.
Captain America did better than Thor on DVD. That is something people keep forgetting. I think Captain America: Winter Soldier will surprise at the box office.

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Old 11-12-2013, 01:09 PM   #157
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I know it's a high guestimate but I have high hopes for this one. I'm thinking global take home will be around $900 million

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Old 11-12-2013, 01:51 PM   #158
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Captain America did better than Thor on DVD. That is something people keep forgetting. I think Captain America: Winter Soldier will surprise at the box office.
Yeah. I also see a lot more people revisiting Cap as their favorite pre-Avengers movie, flaws and all. It dethroned Iron Man for the top spot out of the solo Avengers films for me at least.

I really hope the final product meets the expectations set with this trailer. It actually sounds like, during one of the interviews with the Russos, that there might not be too much edited out for the final cut, like they managed to really get the product they wanted right from the get go.

Plus, I'm really glad that there didn't seem to be any drama going on with this movie. Well, aside from Anthony Mackie's unfortunate incident this weekend. Hope it stays that way.

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Old 11-12-2013, 02:32 PM   #159
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by MessiahDecoy123 View Post
That has more to do with word of mouth than people reading online reviews.
The word of mouth about Ledger's Joker performance and then his subsequent death led many to go and see it. Plus, it was probably one of the best movies that year.

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Old 11-12-2013, 02:59 PM   #160
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Yeah. I also see a lot more people revisiting Cap as their favorite pre-Avengers movie, flaws and all. It dethroned Iron Man for the top spot out of the solo Avengers films for me at least.

I really hope the final product meets the expectations set with this trailer. It actually sounds like, during one of the interviews with the Russos, that there might not be too much edited out for the final cut, like they managed to really get the product they wanted right from the get go.

Plus, I'm really glad that there didn't seem to be any drama going on with this movie. Well, aside from Anthony Mackie's unfortunate incident this weekend. Hope it stays that way.
Yep it's flawed but it's actually my favorite Marvel Studios movie, period.

I like what I'm seeing from WS so far, it looks like it will be deeper than The Dark World to me. I'm sure it will be heavily comedic like all of Marvel's films but I still think it will be deeper. It has like 3 weeks of no giant blockbusters so that sounds like a good release date to me.

Everybody says Marvel doesn't care because it's being released in April and not July 4th and I'm like, if a March release can do 200-300-400mil then so can an April release.

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Old 11-12-2013, 03:16 PM   #161
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I do feel like Cap is a more popular character than Thor, at least here in the states.

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Old 11-12-2013, 07:31 PM   #162
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Cap and Thor did identical US box office takes anyway. It was only a difference by about 5 million and that was because Thor came out early at the start of the season.

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Old 11-12-2013, 07:35 PM   #163
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Thor also had higher 3D ticket sales than Cap. Which gave Thor a higher take.

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Old 11-12-2013, 08:01 PM   #164
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Thor also had higher 3D ticket sales than Cap. Which gave Thor a higher take.
Bingo. I think they sold roughly the same amount of tickets in North America, Cap might have sold a few more.

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Old 11-12-2013, 08:19 PM   #165
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

My hope is that The Avengers effect rubs off on Cap as well. But The Winter Soldier looks sick.

It looks better than anything Marvel Studios has ever done period.

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Old 11-12-2013, 10:26 PM   #166
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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Captain America did better than Thor on DVD. That is something people keep forgetting.
As I recall, Thor got an IMAX release where Cap didn't, so that's something else to consider. I'm guessing TWS will get one this time? If so, I think it's practically guaranteed to surpass Thor 2's domestic take.

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Old 11-13-2013, 12:12 AM   #167
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I also think that in 2011, Thor got a better promotional push than CATFA, mostly due to the fact that it was the first MCU movie released to kick off the summer, Cap was stuck in a weak post-Harry Potter slot and Paramount was about to lose distribution (?) of Marvel productions to Disney, if I'm not mistaken. I remember being pretty underwhelmed with Cap's promotion during that time.

Given all those elements, Cap managed to basically match Thor's box office take. FF to this year and we're already getting twice the promotional push that CATFA had, with a trailer that kicks all the a**.

Bigger kick: Watching the trailers/teasers for CATFA and then watching the Winter Soldier trailer/extended trailer. It's night and day in tone, cinematography, FX, and iconography.

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Old 12-10-2013, 10:44 AM   #168
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm thinking low 500s if the tomato score is typical of the MCU (65-75%) and exponentially higher for a critically acclaimed film.

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Old 01-05-2014, 12:52 PM   #169
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

This is to hard for me to call at this time. I have to think that the mini-avengers thing it has going on plus being the first superhero movie of the year will help it alot. But after Thor 2s domestic I am not sure. This is a tough one I will wait and see how things line up.

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Old 01-05-2014, 01:56 PM   #170
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

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This is to hard for me to call at this time. I have to think that the mini-avengers thing it has going on plus being the first superhero movie of the year will help it alot. But after Thor 2s domestic I am not sure. This is a tough one I will wait and see how things line up.
Why is it that you seem to only post in these box office threads and nothing else?

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Old 01-05-2014, 03:36 PM   #171
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Why is it that you seem to only post in these box office threads and nothing else?

Hey I posted in best superhero movie of year thread and most overated superhero movie of the year thread and into the furnace thread. But I do like these threads

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Old 01-11-2014, 12:37 PM   #172
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I think this will make around 600 mil ww. I would be very surprised if it didn't.

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Old 01-22-2014, 05:29 PM   #173
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Cap should, at the least, gross $500 million, but I think if the film is ultimately as good as it looks in the trailers, it'll do $700-800 million.

I could see Cap eventually entering the billion mark territory after this movie & another appearance alongside his fellow Avengers.

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Old 02-08-2014, 07:21 PM   #174
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Boxoffice.com has made their domestic long range forecast -

http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_st...winter-soldier

Looks pretty good for Cap!

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Old 02-08-2014, 07:30 PM   #175
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I think 600 mil WW is a good estimate.

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