The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Captain America > Captain America: The Winter Soldier

View Poll Results: How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?
$1.5 billion 3 1.63%
$1 billion 8 4.35%
$900 million 11 5.98%
$800 million 20 10.87%
$700 million 45 24.46%
$600 million 53 28.80%
$500 million 38 20.65%
$400 million 4 2.17%
$300 million 2 1.09%
$200 million 0 0%
Voters: 184. You may not vote on this poll

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-13-2014, 02:49 AM   #201
flickchick85
Loose Seal
SHH! Moderator
 
flickchick85's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 12,499
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Honestly, I think the worst case is $80-85mil. No way this opens lower than TDW. It should easily approach $100M, imo.

__________________
4.18.15
VIDEO-CLick to Watch!:

01000110011011110111001000100000011001010111011001 10010101110010011110010010000001100001011101000110 11110110110100100000011000100110010101101100011011 11011011100110011101101001011011100110011100100000 01110100011011110010000001101101011001010010000001 10000101110011001000000110011101101111011011110110 01000010000001100010011001010110110001101111011011 10011001110111001100100000011101000110111100100000 01111001011011110111010100101110
flickchick85 is offline  
Old 02-13-2014, 02:56 AM   #202
mkilban2
family1stclothingco.com
 
mkilban2's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 3,554
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I predict it will make money. A low end of a little bit and a maximum of a lot.

__________________
"1983: I was 14 years old and I still have a nanny.. that was weird!"

Spoiler!!! Click to Read!:
If you've got a minute, check out our up and coming clothing company. Summer wear now in stock!
( http://www.family1stclothingco.com/ )
mkilban2 is offline  
Old 02-13-2014, 11:10 AM   #203
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,636
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I would say that is a very safe prediction!

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 02-14-2014, 01:45 AM   #204
psylockolussus
The X-Men 5 Advocator!
 
psylockolussus's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: X-Mansion and the Baxter Building
Posts: 19,406
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
I agree with the 75 mill as as a possible worst case scenario,
But I think Sony is going to make the case that ASM2 is the first big Summer movie.
Well ASM2 is being released in the 1st weekend of May, not the 1st weekend of April.

__________________
X-MEN RI5E' MUTANT OF THE MONTH | JEAN GREY | PORTRAYED BY FAMKE JANNSEN
"All kind of things." - X1
"This is the only way" - X2
"Kill me before I kill someone else" - X3
"Where else would I be?" - X4
www.twitter.com/xmen5movie2018
psylockolussus is offline  
Old 02-14-2014, 10:03 PM   #205
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,636
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
Well ASM2 is being released in the 1st weekend of May, not the 1st weekend of April.
Exactly.

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 02-14-2014, 10:56 PM   #206
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 36,545
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mysteryman View Post
I agree with the 75 mill as as a possible worst case scenario,
But I think Sony is going to make the case that ASM2 is the first big Summer movie.
I think the Summer movie season is going to start in April this year...sorta. Sure Spidey 2 is going to be considered the kick off of the summer movie season but Thor was in 2011 and yet Fast Five had the better opening weekend and total gross when all was said and done.

If Cap 2 opens with 85-100+mil studios are going to be looking at getting things started even earlier.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

2014 IS THE YEAR DC/WB DECIDED TO GET SERIOUS.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 02-15-2014, 12:09 AM   #207
Mysteryman
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 5,636
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I wouldn't have a problem with studios starting earlier

Mysteryman is offline  
Old 02-15-2014, 06:22 PM   #208
TJByrum
Captain America Fan
 
TJByrum's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 616
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm putting my money on 500 million.

Cap's first movie only got 300 something million, but now that more people actually know who Cap is, the fact he is an Avenger, and the fact his movie trailers look very cool, I see him gaining about 500 million, maybe 600 million.

TJByrum is offline  
Old 02-15-2014, 07:06 PM   #209
Saitou Hajime
Side-Kick
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,542
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
I think the Summer movie season is going to start in April this year...sorta. Sure Spidey 2 is going to be considered the kick off of the summer movie season but Thor was in 2011 and yet Fast Five had the better opening weekend and total gross when all was said and done.
Yeah, but Fast Five opened on April 29 (which was on the cusp of the regular summer season anyway), and was a week before Thor (not a month like TWS/ASM2).

Saitou Hajime is online now  
Old 02-15-2014, 08:14 PM   #210
eddy
Side-Kick
 
eddy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 1,616
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I think it'll do between 500 and 600 million worldwide. I'm hoping for 250 million domestic.

__________________
" I want to make the kind of movie that inspires people to say, ‘There should be more movies with Super Heroes in them.’”
-Joss Whedon


AVENGERS ASSEMBLE.
eddy is offline  
Old 02-15-2014, 08:40 PM   #211
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 36,545
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Saitou Hajime View Post
Yeah, but Fast Five opened on April 29 (which was on the cusp of the regular summer season anyway), and was a week before Thor (not a month like TWS/ASM2).
I know that.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

2014 IS THE YEAR DC/WB DECIDED TO GET SERIOUS.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 03-04-2014, 09:23 PM   #212
KangConquers
Purple Kang, Purple Kang
 
KangConquers's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 6,863
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Boxoffice.com predicts an $87 M ow, and a $225 M domestic total.

KangConquers is offline  
Old 03-04-2014, 09:29 PM   #213
DarthSkywalker
We Are Hunter Rider
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 29,548
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by KangConquers View Post
Would be strong. But if it is as good as it looks, I think that number will go up quite a bit.

__________________
"You've failed, Your Highness. I am a Jedi, like my father before me."
DarthSkywalker is online now  
Old 03-04-2014, 09:41 PM   #214
Spider-Fan
Puppet tangled in strings
SHH! Global Moderator
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: In the neighborhood!
Posts: 39,203
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Agreed. Exceptional reviews can make that number go way up, as well.

Spider-Fan is offline  
Old 03-04-2014, 10:25 PM   #215
marcvader
Lurker #1
SHH! Moderator
 
marcvader's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: The MIA
Posts: 10,628
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Those are great numbers this far out from its premiere. Numbers tend to usually go up when its a good movie and from all indications it seems to be a really good one.

__________________
* * *CAPTAIN AMERICA* * *
******THE WINTER SOLDIER******
__________________#1 CBM of 2014____________________
Twitter- @mrpink13
GO PHINS
HAIL HYDRA!
marcvader is offline  
Old 03-04-2014, 11:44 PM   #216
Raiden
Hunk of Junk Soars
 
Raiden's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 25,500
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by KangConquers View Post
That is a nice figure, but I'm hoping it'd be around 90-100 mil OW and $300 mil domestic. If the reviews are amazing, I think it could happen.

__________________
"I know I'm asking a lot, but the price of freedom is high, it always has been, and it's a price I'm willing to pay. And if I'm the only one, then so be it. But I'm willing to bet I'm not." - Captain America
Raiden is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 12:22 AM   #217
xeno000
Raining hell from above
 
xeno000's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: Knowhere
Posts: 7,286
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

BO.com tends to be conservative with its predictions, so if they're saying it will do $87M OW it will most likely go higher. They're giving it a 2.6 multiplier, which sounds right. Everything depends on the breaks, at this point. The competition isn't as tough as it would have been in the summer which will give CATWS a chance thrive for at least a few weeks.

Good word of mouth from the previews can only help the film domestically. Once people take to Twitter after watching it the buzz will explode online. That could build CATWS into a mini-event as people who have heard good things rush out to see what all the fuss is about.

xeno000 is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 12:50 AM   #218
Mr. Dent
Banned User
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 8,956
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I think if it's as good as it looks and sounds it has a chance to hit $300m

Mr. Dent is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 08:40 AM   #219
T"Challa
Side-Kick
 
T"Challa's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 2,048
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

If its as good as it looks, this could make close to MI-Ghost protocol numbers IMO. Seems very much in the vein of that movie

__________________
Top 10 CBMs:
1. The Avengers 2. The Dark Knight 3. Captain America: The Winter Soldier . 4.X-Men:DOFP 5. Guardians Of The Galaxy 6.Spiderman 2 7. X2: X Men United. 8. Iron Man 9. Batman Begins. 10. X-Men: First Class
T"Challa is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 10:10 AM   #220
FeedOnATreeFrog
A Metal Gear reference
 
FeedOnATreeFrog's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 4,236
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

It's the big movie to kick off the summer, and it pretty much has an entire month to itself before Spider Man 2. I think it'll do pretty well.

FeedOnATreeFrog is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 10:18 AM   #221
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 36,545
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raiden View Post
That is a nice figure, but I'm hoping it'd be around 90-100 mil OW and $300 mil domestic. If the reviews are amazing, I think it could happen.
It wouldn't hit 300mil off of a 90-100mil opening weekend.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

2014 IS THE YEAR DC/WB DECIDED TO GET SERIOUS.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 10:22 AM   #222
BoredGuy
Killing Time
 
BoredGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: the future past
Posts: 3,639
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Why not??
depends on legs, which, with a whole month to itself, Cap could easily have
animated movies do it all the time...

__________________
MOVIE STUDIO BATTING AVERAGES:
MARVEL- .800 WB- .412 FOX- .400 SONY- .429


BoredGuy is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 10:55 AM   #223
TJByrum
Captain America Fan
 
TJByrum's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 616
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

I still see this movie making 500+ million worldwide. I don't know about an opening weekend though.

CA:TFA made 175 million in America, and 370 million total (worldwide). It had a budget of 140 million, but it got that paid in America alone, so it did pretty successful.

But let's look at some factors:
-Cap wasn't known to the general audience much, but after TFA and especially after The Avengers, everyone has at least heard his name and so I'm pretty sure that has netted him some potential viewers.
-With a lot of good highlights on Anthony Mackie, they could be picking up on a the black demographic. Not being racist, but people tend to relate to characters who have similarities with him.
-With the inclusion of people like Robert Redford and Samuel L Jackson, and ScarJo, and even Anthony Mackie (who everyone tends to know), this movie has grabbed quite an attractive cast (attractive as in a good enough cast to go watch the movie).
-MARVEL was popular with Iron Man, MARVEL then grew in popularity after The Avengers, so more people probably tend to believe these movies are always going to be good, netting even more potential viewers.
-The trailers tend to be relatable to the modern-day movies we got aside from being a standard superhero film. Only real superheroing I see is the Falcon's flashy moves. Everything else looks like a war veteran taking down a terrorist organization with the help of his Russian babe.

Because of those factors (and I'm sure there's more), I see TWS making up to 500 million, perhaps 600 million but that's being generous. That's close to, what, an 80% increase from TFA?

Iron Man 3 netted over 1 billion, which is somewhere between a 90%-100% increase from IM1 and IM2.

Thor 2 netted 640 million, which is about a 50% (?) increase from his first movie, netting close to 450 million.

I ain't good with math, but I think if we look at the numbers an 80% increase from TFA isn't far-fetched to think about, especially considering those factors up above.

__________________
"Not without you partner, the world needs Bucky too."
-Cap to Bucky
TJByrum is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 11:46 AM   #224
I SEE SPIDEY
HYPE AWARD WINNER!
 
I SEE SPIDEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In Superman's arms
Posts: 36,545
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by BoredGuy View Post
Why not??
depends on legs, which, with a whole month to itself, Cap could easily have
animated movies do it all the time...
I looked it up the film does not have a whole month to itself, the competition isn't out of this world heavy, which should help it, but it's not just going to skate to victory. Sequels are almost always more frontloaded than the original film. I suppose it's not impossible but it is highly unlikely that the film improves on the legs of the original. At best it matches The First Avenger legs wise or has a negligible improvement but not enough to get it to 300mil off of the opening weekends you suggest. I think it would need a 115-120mil opening to have a shot at 300mil.

__________________
Come think with us:http://thinkmcflythink.squarespace.com/

2014 IS THE YEAR DC/WB DECIDED TO GET SERIOUS.
I SEE SPIDEY is offline  
Old 03-05-2014, 01:25 PM   #225
BoredGuy
Killing Time
 
BoredGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: the future past
Posts: 3,639
Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

that would certainly help (and I would love for a $120 or higher mil opening, if those lame YA novels can do it, so can CAP!), but I'm just sayin, it ain't impossible

__________________
MOVIE STUDIO BATTING AVERAGES:
MARVEL- .800 WB- .412 FOX- .400 SONY- .429


BoredGuy is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:54 AM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. ©2014 All Rights Reserved.