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View Poll Results: How much will The Amazing Spider-Man 2 gross?
$1.5 billion 3 2.50%
$1.4 billion 1 0.83%
$1.3 billion 1 0.83%
$1.2 billion 0 0%
$1.1 billion 6 5.00%
$1.0 billion 13 10.83%
$950 million 10 8.33%
$900 million 23 19.17%
$850 million 29 24.17%
$800 million 20 16.67%
$750 million 5 4.17%
$700 million 4 3.33%
$650 million 1 0.83%
$600 million 0 0%
$550 million 1 0.83%
$500 million 3 2.50%
Voters: 120. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 04-28-2013, 03:49 PM   #1
Mr. Dent
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Default The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Seemed an appropriate time to make this...right before Iron Man takes Spidey's throne as Marvel's #1 highest grossing solo character at the movies.

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Old 04-28-2013, 03:56 PM   #2
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm gonna guess 3.4 billion worse case scenerio. Best case, beer in a can.

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Old 04-28-2013, 07:09 PM   #3
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

We're voting for lifetime gross, and overall right? International + domestic? That's what I put down lol.

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:13 PM   #4
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Domestic - $250 million
Worldwide - $700 million

I think this perform lower than TASM1 but just $50 to $30 million short from TASM1's worldwide gross.

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:19 PM   #5
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by psylockolussus View Post
Domestic - $250 million
Worldwide - $700 million

I think this perform lower than TASM1 but just $50 to $30 million short from TASM1's worldwide gross.
You need to take into account the fact Jamie Foxx is in it, hot off of Django. He's sure to be promoted a lot. That's some added coin.

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:19 PM   #6
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm gonna say worldwide between $860 million-$930 million.

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:26 PM   #7
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

That's a hard one to predict, imo.
I imagine it doing quite well again, with similar numbers (around 750M), or a slight increase (finishing with 830M max.).

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:27 PM   #8
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

If this is better received than TASM (like, 85%+ RT score, etc) then I'm going with this:

OW: $110m
DOM: $350m
INT: $530m
WW: $880m

That's sorta conservative (if the movie is as acclaimed as I pointed out). It also depends on if Sony releases the film internationally first like with other movies, which could effect the hype level domestically and thus the OW and overall legs.

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Old 04-28-2013, 08:31 PM   #9
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe_Kickass View Post
You need to take into account the fact Jamie Foxx is in it, hot off of Django. He's sure to be promoted a lot. That's some added coin.
But after the reception of the first movie, I don't think this will perform better at the box-office. Though my prediction could always change especially when I see the trailer.

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Old 04-28-2013, 09:30 PM   #10
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

^ Don't think the first movie's reception is going to have much of an effect on this. It's Spider-Man, it's all but guaranteed to do $500m+ OS no matter what. As for state side, the movie wasn't really negatively viewed to the point it left a bad taste in peoples' mouths about Spider-Man (like with SM3), the movie just got panned for being a rehash and a lot of people didn't see the point in going to see it.

I think what we should keep in mind is that TASM had a bad release date, was sandwiched in between The Avengers and TDKR and was pretty much drowned out, was panned for being too much like the first Spider-Man, and was the first Spider-Man movie in 5 years after the last one was horribly received, and despite all of that it STILL made $750m+, with $480m from OS. TASM2 has a far better release date and is pretty much the headline CBM of the summer this time around. If it has actual good WOM then I can see it getting $550m+ OS and $350m+ DOM fairly easily.

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Old 04-29-2013, 06:32 AM   #11
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
Seemed an appropriate time to make this...right before Iron Man takes Spidey's throne as Marvel's #1 highest grossing solo character at the movies.
Er how??

Even if IM3 makes a billion,it cant overtake Spidey

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Old 04-29-2013, 06:42 AM   #12
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

if it gets good reviews i think it will make 800.

if it gets the same reception that the first one did, i reckon 675.

@spiderdevil: i believe he means per movie - no spider-man movie has made over 900 million by itself.

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Old 04-29-2013, 07:31 AM   #13
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

It's hard to say before we see a teaser at least. But I still predict 800M WW if not then close to. I think it will surpass TASM, but not by huge leaps.

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Old 04-29-2013, 12:07 PM   #14
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

I was correct about the domestic market poll for the first film....let's see if I'll be correct on this poll

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Old 04-29-2013, 12:49 PM   #15
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Surprised you went for $850m.

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Old 04-29-2013, 03:42 PM   #16
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

If they build on the story, tighten up the villain arc and really go for the emotional punch that the first did so well (and ram up the action), easily over 850 million.

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Old 04-29-2013, 09:05 PM   #17
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

^ I wouldn't say easily over $850M, but I could see the film getting there WW with a better story, better villain arc and better development with everyone besides only just Peter and Gwen.

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Old 04-29-2013, 09:15 PM   #18
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Why even factor story into it at all?

Reminder that Spider-Man 3 made ~$900 million.

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Old 04-29-2013, 09:30 PM   #19
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Spider-Man 3's case was because people were so enthralled with Spider-Man 2.

Can we say people will watch the sequel, without a story being a factor, because of the first film? It wasn't a big of a deal as S-M 2 was.

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Old 04-29-2013, 09:49 PM   #20
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

The GA doesn't go to see CBMs for their story anyway, I don't see how a better story would factor in the box office.

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Old 04-29-2013, 09:55 PM   #21
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say over 900. I predict that the trailer is gonna knock socks off- just send them absolutely flying!! This Spidey is gonna be more fun and action-packed than the last one, and that's going to draw people in. Plus I'll be seeing it at least four times, so...

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Old 04-29-2013, 10:01 PM   #22
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by VenomSpawn View Post
The GA doesn't go to see CBMs for their story anyway, I don't see how a better story would factor in the box office.
I don't think that's very much true. A part of the GA does go to see CBMs because of their story. If that wasn't the case, Green Lantern would've been a blockbuster.

Quote:
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I'm gonna go out on a limb and say over 900. I predict that the trailer is gonna knock socks off- just send them absolutely flying!! This Spidey is gonna be more fun and action-packed than the last one, and that's going to draw people in. Plus I'll be seeing it at least four times, so...
What if the trailer doesn't knock socks off? Lol.

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Old 04-29-2013, 10:06 PM   #23
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by VenomSpawn View Post
Why even factor story into it at all?

Reminder that Spider-Man 3 made ~$900 million.
Like Anno said, SM3 made that much based off of the goodwill and hype created by SM2. TASM made so much less because SM3 was so poorly received, in addition to the other things surrounding its release. But the disappointment with SM3 is a big reason why it didn't gross more than $260m domestically even with 3D.

Quote:
Originally Posted by VenomSpawn View Post
The GA doesn't go to see CBMs for their story anyway, I don't see how a better story would factor in the box office.
You're completely wrong about this. Reception on the story and overall quality of a CBM goes a long way in building hype, good WOM, and positivity around the franchise as a whole. The first trilogy would not have been as successful if the first two movies weren't so good. The Batman trilogy would not have been so successful if the first two movies weren't so good. The Iron Man and MCU franchise as a whole would not be so successful if not for Iron Man, Avengers, and arguable some of the other films weren't so good.

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Old 04-29-2013, 10:07 PM   #24
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Dent View Post
Like Anno said, SM3 made that much based off of the goodwill and hype created by SM2. TASM made so much less because SM3 was so poorly received, in addition to the other things surrounding its release. But the disappointment with SM3 is a big reason why it didn't gross more than $260m domestically even with 3D.


You're completely wrong about this. Reception on the story and overall quality of a CBM goes a long way in building hype, good WOM, and positivity around the franchise as a whole. The first trilogy would not have been as successful if the first two movies weren't so good. The Batman trilogy would not have been so successful if the first two movies weren't so good. The Iron Man and MCU franchise as a whole would not be so successful if not for Iron Man, Avengers, and arguable some of the other films weren't so good.
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Old 04-29-2013, 10:10 PM   #25
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Default Re: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Maybe. But TDKR grossed as much as did based off of TDK hype, no one can deny that. That's why I didn't include it, it wouldn't really be fair to say it stood on its own. Same with the other films I mentioned.

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