The SuperHeroHype Forums  

Go Back   The SuperHeroHype Forums > Iron Man > Iron Man 3

View Poll Results: How much will Iron Man 3 make world wide?
500 Million 2 1.14%
550 Million 4 2.29%
600 Million 4 2.29%
650 Million 6 3.43%
700 Million 9 5.14%
750 Million 10 5.71%
800 Million 16 9.14%
850 Million 30 17.14%
900 Million 33 18.86%
950 Million 9 5.14%
1 Billion 31 17.71%
1.1 Billion 11 6.29%
1.2 Billion 3 1.71%
1.3 Billion 1 0.57%
1.4 Billion 0 0%
1.5 Billion 6 3.43%
Voters: 175. You may not vote on this poll

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-11-2013, 12:17 PM   #251
MessiahDecoy123
Noble Savage
 
MessiahDecoy123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 16,587
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I think 400 m domestic, 800 m overseas, and 1.2 billion worldwide is a pretty reasonable estimate at this point.

__________________
MR - Morlock Rule
MessiahDecoy123 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 12:22 PM   #252
Tony Stark
Armored Avenger!
 
Tony Stark's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: In a cave with a box of scraps
Posts: 9,637
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
Less then 20m on Friday. That is a huge drop.
Its a good number considering Gatsby did better than anyone expected.

__________________
"Dull and downbeat, this Fantastic Four proves a woefully misguided attempt to translate a classic comic series without the humor, joy, or colorful thrills that made it great." - Rotten Tomatoes critics consensus on Josh Trank's Fantastic Four
Tony Stark is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 12:33 PM   #253
DarthSkywalker
May the Force Be With You
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 41,959
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tony Stark View Post
Its a good number considering Gatsby did better than anyone expected.
Better then everyone on here was expecting. Everyone was trashing it here. No way it could come close in the second week. It might win.

Never underestimate the female audience.

__________________
"The Force is strong in my family. My father has it. I have it. My sister has it. You have that power too."
DarthSkywalker is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 12:36 PM   #254
KangConquers
Purple Kang, Purple Kang
 
KangConquers's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 6,932
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Friday drop was slightly better than The Dark Knight Rises 76.6% drop. I'm not too concerned about it breaking past 400 M, and probably $450 M, but this definitely takes $500 M off of the table.

KangConquers is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 01:32 PM   #255
Raiden
Chewie, we're home!
 
Raiden's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 26,462
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I'm a bit surprised that The Great Gatsby did as well as it did, but I think IM3 can still win the weekend.

__________________
"I know I'm asking a lot, but the price of freedom is high, it always has been, and it's a price I'm willing to pay. And if I'm the only one, then so be it. But I'm willing to bet I'm not." - Captain America
Raiden is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 01:35 PM   #256
DarthSkywalker
May the Force Be With You
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 41,959
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by KangConquers View Post
Friday drop was slightly better than The Dark Knight Rises 76.6% drop. I'm not too concerned about it breaking past 400 M, and probably $450 M, but this definitely takes $500 M off of the table.
We will see what the big hitters will do. A lot coming out the next few weeks. STID could kill it stone dead. But I think $400m is still probable.

__________________
"The Force is strong in my family. My father has it. I have it. My sister has it. You have that power too."

Last edited by DarthSkywalker; 05-11-2013 at 02:24 PM.
DarthSkywalker is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 01:40 PM   #257
Tony Stark
Armored Avenger!
 
Tony Stark's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: In a cave with a box of scraps
Posts: 9,637
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
Better then everyone on here was expecting. Everyone was trashing it here. No way it could come close in the second week. It might win.

Never underestimate the female audience.
It might win Friday, not the weekend. IM3 will still end up at 70 or thereabout, GG will be in the 50's.

__________________
"Dull and downbeat, this Fantastic Four proves a woefully misguided attempt to translate a classic comic series without the humor, joy, or colorful thrills that made it great." - Rotten Tomatoes critics consensus on Josh Trank's Fantastic Four
Tony Stark is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 02:19 PM   #258
KangConquers
Purple Kang, Purple Kang
 
KangConquers's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 6,932
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarthSkywalker View Post
We will see what the big hitters will do. A lot coming out the next few weeks. STID could kill it stone dead. But I think $400m is still probably.
$400 M is still a lock.


Last edited by KangConquers; 05-11-2013 at 02:39 PM.
KangConquers is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 02:48 PM   #259
Bruce Malone
#Damaged
 
Bruce Malone's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Stay out of my territory
Posts: 6,654
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So is iron man still taking this weekend? Apparently gatsby is tracking for $50m+ (who'dve of known?).

I don't know if it's going to have the type of audience retention the Avengers had?

Bruce Malone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 03:30 PM   #260
Ironfan72
Golden Avenger
 
Ironfan72's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Stark International
Posts: 2,215
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Gatsby is tracking at $50 Million +, Iron Man 3 is tracking at $65 Million +, as of a report I see earlier on yahoo, Iron Man is still drawing a huge male audience while Gatsby is bring in the female audience.
When I went for the first showing this morning, I heard several asking for Gatsby tickets but heard just as many or more for Iron man 3 tickets, there actually was a bigger audience today for the IM3 showing than on opening day for IM3.

__________________
www.advancediron.org -The Ultimate Iron Man Website.

Last edited by Ironfan72; 05-11-2013 at 04:06 PM.
Ironfan72 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 03:42 PM   #261
Superhero 101
DESI
 
Superhero 101's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 7,716
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I think Gatsby has a really good chance of knocking IM3 I mean they have been marketing it like crazy!

__________________
2016 The Epic Year of Superheroes on Screen: Batman, Superman, Wonder Woman,Aquaman,Spider-man, Iron Man, Captain America, Falcon Doctor Strange, Ant-man,War Machine, Black Widow Vision,Scarlet Witch,Professor X,Jubilee,Black Panther, Gambit, Storm, Cyclops, Marvel Girl, Nightcrawler, Deadpool, Colossus Angel Psylocke
Superhero 101 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 04:20 PM   #262
Tony Stark
Armored Avenger!
 
Tony Stark's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: In a cave with a box of scraps
Posts: 9,637
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Superhero 101 View Post
I think Gatsby has a really good chance of knocking IM3 I mean they have been marketing it like crazy!
You mean for the weekend? GG would have to have an unheard of internal multiplier.

__________________
"Dull and downbeat, this Fantastic Four proves a woefully misguided attempt to translate a classic comic series without the humor, joy, or colorful thrills that made it great." - Rotten Tomatoes critics consensus on Josh Trank's Fantastic Four
Tony Stark is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 04:41 PM   #263
DarthSkywalker
May the Force Be With You
 
DarthSkywalker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 41,959
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Wonder if Mother's day will have any effect.

__________________
"The Force is strong in my family. My father has it. I have it. My sister has it. You have that power too."
DarthSkywalker is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:25 PM   #264
kedrell
PopularisCulturaFanaticus
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 19,661
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So a 63% drop if we get a $65M weekend. Hopefully it's a trend.

__________________
Current comic book TV show grades(ones that I watch, at least): Agents of Shield-[season 1: B-][season 2: B+]\The Flash-[season 1: B+/A-]\Arrow-[season 1: B+][season 2: B][season 3: C]\Agent Carter-[season 1: A-]\Daredevil-[season 1: A+]\iZombie-[season 1: A-]
kedrell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:38 PM   #265
Iceman
Sir Hunter Rider
 
Iceman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Londinium, North of Gaul, circa XLIII AD
Posts: 65,970
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

GG looks like it's done well but IM3 should still beat it out for the weekend.

__________________
Xbox GT: Miramax7000 135,097 G
X-MEN - AVENGERS - JUSTICE LEAGUE
Iceman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:47 PM   #266
Pickle-El
Side-Kick
 
Pickle-El's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,667
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
So a 63% drop if we get a $65M weekend. Hopefully it's a trend.
That would be bigger than Spiderman 3's 61% drop. I mentioned last week to wait till the Avengers bullet-proof inspired first week numbers happen and WOM kicks in weeks 2 and 3....

Seems like it will not have Avengers or IM1 legs. Avengers multiplier was 3.0 and IM1 was 3.2.

At the week 2 rate, if it continues with a similar multiplier of around 2.23 (lets call it 2.3 to be nice) You are looking at damn near exactly 400 million. (400.2). But, we don't know how Star Trek 2 and the rest of May affects IM3 numbers. Could be less, could be worse.

Here are your multiplier #'s

2.2 = 382 million
2.3 = 400 million
2.4 = 417 million
2.5 = 435 million

No point going above 2.5.....likely won't happen. Worst case, 380ish. And best case (if over 60% drop week 2 is true) is somewhere around 430.

Internationally is where this film is really overreaching. Those numbers are truly incredible.

Pickle-El is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:49 PM   #267
Pickle-El
Side-Kick
 
Pickle-El's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,667
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceman View Post
GG looks like it's done well but IM3 should still beat it out for the weekend.
GG exceeded expectations. I thought no more than 30 for the weekend. But 50 Million? That's waaaay more than anyone anticipated.

Pickle-El is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:50 PM   #268
Iceman
Sir Hunter Rider
 
Iceman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Londinium, North of Gaul, circa XLIII AD
Posts: 65,970
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pickle-El View Post
GG exceeded expectations. I thought no more than 30 for the weekend. But 50 Million? That's waaaay more than anyone anticipated.
I know but $50m is still less than the low end of IM3 weekend expectations.

__________________
Xbox GT: Miramax7000 135,097 G
X-MEN - AVENGERS - JUSTICE LEAGUE
Iceman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 07:57 PM   #269
Pickle-El
Side-Kick
 
Pickle-El's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,667
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceman View Post
I know but $50m is still less than the low end of IM3 weekend expectations.
Def. Though, we all assumed that IM3 would steamroll is by about 40 (75 million to about 35million)

Either, GG took a good chunk of female business away from IM3. Or, WOM on the film isn't as great as initially thought.

In a month like May, the weekdays are weaker (due to school) and weekends stronger as crowds can make it to the theatre. IM1, SM1, Avengers, none dropped below 50%. (All May movies)

Wanna see a scary weekend drops? Look at Spiderman 1 from 2002.

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?pag...=spiderman.htm

114 million 1st weekend
71 million 2nd weekend
45 Million 3rd weekend
35 Million 4th weekend

This thing had a multiplier of 3.5


Last edited by Pickle-El; 05-11-2013 at 08:01 PM.
Pickle-El is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 08:06 PM   #270
Iceman
Sir Hunter Rider
 
Iceman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Londinium, North of Gaul, circa XLIII AD
Posts: 65,970
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pickle-El View Post
Def. Though, we all assumed that IM3 would steamroll is by about 40 (75 million to about 35million)

Either, GG took a good chunk of female business away from IM3. Or, WOM on the film isn't as great as initially thought.

In a month like May, the weekdays are weaker (due to school) and weekends stronger as crowds can make it to the theatre. IM1, SM1, Avengers, none dropped below 50%. (All May movies)

Wanna see a scary weekend drops? Look at Spiderman 1 from 2002.

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?pag...=spiderman.htm

114 million 1st weekend
71 million 2nd weekend
45 Million 3rd weekend
35 Million 4th weekend

This thing had a multiplier of 3.5
Yeah & all after an opening weekend record which is the crazy thing. That film had the rare freshness of being the 1st ever Spider-man movie and 1st big budget comic film of this new era. Was a great time!

__________________
Xbox GT: Miramax7000 135,097 G
X-MEN - AVENGERS - JUSTICE LEAGUE
Iceman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 08:35 PM   #271
vailian48
Newbie
 
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 12
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

in the local area where i live (meaning local area around zip code) for normal viewings, today, iron man 3 was able to sell out 10 of its 41 showings, i am not saying for it to be impressive but that is still good though, and i didnt see anything about yesterday to see if it sold out any yesterday and i do not know if it will sell out any tommorow

all of the rooms were 100+ by the way, how much above 100+? i do not know

and no other movie sold out any today,


now, i know some of you said that you heard just as many people asking for great gatsby as you did for iron man 3, so, of course, every area is going to be different and also, this might be typical for movies that ended up in the 400 domestic range


Last edited by vailian48; 05-11-2013 at 08:41 PM.
vailian48 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 08:42 PM   #272
xeno000
Raining hell from above
 
xeno000's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: Knowhere
Posts: 7,321
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by KangConquers View Post
Friday drop was slightly better than The Dark Knight Rises 76.6% drop. I'm not too concerned about it breaking past 400 M, and probably $450 M, but this definitely takes $500 M off of the table.
Frankly, $500M DOM was never on the table, but $400M was and still is.

xeno000 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 09:31 PM   #273
kedrell
PopularisCulturaFanaticus
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 19,661
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by xeno000 View Post
Frankly, $500M DOM was never on the table, but $400M was and still is.

Not unless it was as well received as IM1, TA, etc. If it had been in their ball park quality-wise then $500M would have definitely been on the table.

__________________
Current comic book TV show grades(ones that I watch, at least): Agents of Shield-[season 1: B-][season 2: B+]\The Flash-[season 1: B+/A-]\Arrow-[season 1: B+][season 2: B][season 3: C]\Agent Carter-[season 1: A-]\Daredevil-[season 1: A+]\iZombie-[season 1: A-]
kedrell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 09:33 PM   #274
kedrell
PopularisCulturaFanaticus
 
kedrell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Southern California
Posts: 19,661
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceman View Post
Yeah & all after an opening weekend record which is the crazy thing. That film had the rare freshness of being the 1st ever Spider-man movie and 1st big budget comic film of this new era. Was a great time!
9/11 had A LOT to do with that, I think. I'll always wonder how well the movie would have done w/o it's impact just as I'll alwys wonder how well TDK would have done had Ledger not died.

__________________
Current comic book TV show grades(ones that I watch, at least): Agents of Shield-[season 1: B-][season 2: B+]\The Flash-[season 1: B+/A-]\Arrow-[season 1: B+][season 2: B][season 3: C]\Agent Carter-[season 1: A-]\Daredevil-[season 1: A+]\iZombie-[season 1: A-]
kedrell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2013, 11:01 PM   #275
Iceman
Sir Hunter Rider
 
Iceman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Londinium, North of Gaul, circa XLIII AD
Posts: 65,970
Default Re: The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by kedrell View Post
9/11 had A LOT to do with that, I think. I'll always wonder how well the movie would have done w/o it's impact just as I'll alwys wonder how well TDK would have done had Ledger not died.
It did? I'd probably only just started using the internet regularly around then and of course am not from US so didn't even know. Guess it makes sense as Spidey can be quite a patriotic hero. I really liked that Twin Towers Spidey trailer they pulled. One of the best I can think of.

__________________
Xbox GT: Miramax7000 135,097 G
X-MEN - AVENGERS - JUSTICE LEAGUE
Iceman is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:13 PM.

monitoring_string = "dee460792f24517621e3ca080805de7e"
Contact Us - Mobile - SuperHeroHype - ComingSoon.net - Shock Till You Drop - Lost Password - Clear Cookies - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top - AdChoices


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2015, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SuperHeroHype.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. 2015 All Rights Reserved.