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View Poll Results: How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?
$1.5 billion 3 1.63%
$1 billion 8 4.35%
$900 million 11 5.98%
$800 million 20 10.87%
$700 million 45 24.46%
$600 million 53 28.80%
$500 million 38 20.65%
$400 million 4 2.17%
$300 million 2 1.09%
$200 million 0 0%
Voters: 184. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 04-09-2014, 01:24 PM   #76
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I saw the GOTG trailer before my showing of Cap. My mom seemed a little confused and amused and she didn't even know another X-Men film was coming out.

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Old 04-09-2014, 01:45 PM   #77
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

When it comes to X-Men, they keep on showing the first trailer when I go. I want to see the new one in all its glory.

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Old 04-09-2014, 01:56 PM   #78
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

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When it comes to X-Men, they keep on showing the first trailer when I go. I want to see the new one in all its glory.
Where do you live that you keep getting shafted by outdated trailer sets in front of new movies??

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Old 04-09-2014, 02:07 PM   #79
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So it's 6.9 mil Tuesday.

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Old 04-09-2014, 02:13 PM   #80
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Yep! Just a little off of that $7mil est.

Goooooo Cap!

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Old 04-09-2014, 02:33 PM   #81
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So far the week days are stronger than Iron Man's.

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Old 04-09-2014, 02:47 PM   #82
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I would definitely be fine if this movie outgrossed IM1

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:17 PM   #83
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I'd be fine if EVERY one of these MCU films grossed more than IM1 and that's still my favorite superhero film of all time.

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:21 PM   #84
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So what are we thinking? About $118-120M going into the 2nd weekend? Probably a $45-50M weekend and passing Cap1 DOM sometime during next week's weekdays. I think $250M is a lock at this point and probably will go quite higher.

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:30 PM   #85
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

So as of right this second Cap3 is at: $108,220,329 (US)

After wed and thursday (going into Friday) it will likely be around: $118mil (US)

So my guess for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be 57 Million....

So my prediction come Monday morning is right around: $175mil (US)

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:38 PM   #86
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

A $57M 2nd weekend is very optimistic. That's just a 40% drop. Most big openers are considered good if they can just hold on to 50%. IM1 dropped 48% I think which at the time was seen as very good. If this film drops only 40% then I'd say $300M DOM is close to a lock(and I think it can still get to $300M with IM1-type legs which aren't near as optimistic as a 40% drop).

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:40 PM   #87
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

No way will it get $57m, that is an incredible hold. I'll be happy if it can get $48m.

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:42 PM   #88
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I'm thinking 45mil.

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:43 PM   #89
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I'm hoping it can get $50M. IM1 with a few $M more on opening weekend got something like $52M in it's 2nd weekend as I recall.

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Old 04-09-2014, 03:46 PM   #90
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

And we really don't know what effect this new release date will do to skew the #'s. Many places have spring break already and I heard that it's staggered district to district throughout the month of April so the entirety of kids at school aren't all out at the same time ala' winter break and the summer months. Fast Five was released with only 1 week of April left to go back in 2011.

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Old 04-09-2014, 04:49 PM   #91
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I can't help it you u guys, I'm an eternal optomist, always have been. A 40% drop may not be likely, but it's certainly possible- so I will be the highend of the guesses and someone else can predict a 70% drop.

I just figure the word of mouth is so incredibly high and that 57million spread over 3 days for a movie with not a lot of direct competition is doable....fingers crossed. This movie definitely deserves to have just a 40% drop, but maybe that's not too realistic after all.

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Old 04-09-2014, 05:21 PM   #92
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by I SEE SPIDEY View Post
I'm thinking 45mil.
I'll go… $46.5mil.

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Old 04-09-2014, 05:32 PM   #93
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I'm hoping for 45 mil as well.

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Old 04-09-2014, 05:36 PM   #94
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Im going 47 mil.

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Old 04-09-2014, 06:56 PM   #95
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

I have little doubt with the critical and audience ratings this has got that $45M will be achieved. That's almost a 53% drop which is barely above an average drop(55-60% range) at best.

I'm hoping for a 47.5% drop or lower.

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Old 04-09-2014, 07:06 PM   #96
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

How come it's doing so well in Asia?

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Old 04-09-2014, 07:52 PM   #97
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

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How come it's doing so well in Asia?
It's getting terrific word of mouth, the market for superhero/action films is expanding there and Captain America has a much higher profile after The Avengers. The cast also made promotional appearances to raise awareness and the mighty Disney marketing machine did a great job with the campaign. A good overall performance in Asia isn't surprising, but the China numbers are incredible. CATWS actually made more in its first three days than IM3 did in a similar period even though the latter film had those special Chinese sequences.


This weekend I'm hoping for at least $45 million. It's insane that TWS will make as much as TFA's entire run in less than 2 full weeks.

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Old 04-09-2014, 08:05 PM   #98
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Yeah the China numbers are incredible. Does anyone know how it's doing in Europe?

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Old 04-09-2014, 10:34 PM   #99
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by NJCaliboi View Post
So as of right this second Cap3 is at: $108,220,329 (US)

After wed and thursday (going into Friday) it will likely be around: $118mil (US)

So my guess for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be 57 Million....

So my prediction come Monday morning is right around: $175mil (US)
CA3 is out already?
Man , that was fast, I just saw the second one last week!

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Old 04-09-2014, 10:38 PM   #100
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Default Re: Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by NJCaliboi View Post
I can't help it you u guys, I'm an eternal optomist, always have been. A 40% drop may not be likely, but it's certainly possible- so I will be the highend of the guesses and someone else can predict a 70% drop.

I just figure the word of mouth is so incredibly high and that 57million spread over 3 days for a movie with not a lot of direct competition is doable....fingers crossed. This movie definitely deserves to have just a 40% drop, but maybe that's not too realistic after all.
I don't think anybody here is going to predict a 70% drop..
Personally, I am going to go with 48 million.

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