2010 and beyond - the future trends of film

[Octoberist]

I was inspired to make this thread based on this piece on Film School Rejects, on the most influential movies of the past decade.

CHECK IT OUT

The 2000s, to me at least, was all over the place. But then again, it's been a crazy decade too.

It gave birth to optimism from the beginning to cynicism by the end. It gave us big franchises (Harry Potter, Lord of the Rings) in the beginning and franchises with no brain cells by the decades end (Transformers 2), reboots, the rise of indie flicks in 2003 and the near death of indie films in 2009, political and war movies, realism, and so much more.

I know that we can't predict what will happen when it comes to world events, but I would like to see what you guys like to see in the future, including changes in the industry.

For example:

-Because of the economy, will low budget hits like District 9 overcome the likes of the blockbuster Michael Bay-type films?

- Will Hollywood get more racially diverse with their leading stars?

-If Avatar does change cinema, how will it affect the industry in the next decade?

- Is 3D here to stay?

- Will the shakey camera go away?

- Will we ever gonna see more original Summer movies rather than remakes and sequels?

 

[Ipodman]

franchises with no brain cells by the decades end (Transformers 2)
Another Transformers 2 hate thread
A tear came out my eye when i read it

 

[Octoberist]

hahah. Come on..even the people that I know who liked it know it's a stupid movie.

 

[Solidus]

Depending if Avatar really changes my mind. I don't care for 3D to me its a gimmick more so for kids.

With Ridley returning to Sci-Fi these are things over all I would like to see.

-With Sci-Fi a more focus 80's style, less CGI and more practical effects to give it that texture of great sci-fi of old. With Ridley returning I hope we get more of that District 9 was in the right direction *in terms of "feel"*. (of course more Star Trek type films I want made but I want old school Sci-Fi brought back into the mix films like Moon give me hope of that)

-I am one that loves original and remakes/sequels, so I just hope there is a mix of them.

-But I really hope 3D goes away, so far I have not been swayed towards it.

-I want big movie blockbusters to be filmed all in IMAX

-I think if used right shakey cam can work, but I do hope that when used it is used in moderation or not so shakey ala any Tony Scott film.



These are just a few things I can think of right now.

 

[Figs]

-Because of the economy, will low budget hits like District 9 overcome the likes of the blockbuster Michael Bay-type films?

I doubt it. The GA still loves big summer blockbusters(I do too to an extent), even the dumber ones. I can't remember what District 9 did at the BO but a lot of people I know that I would put in the "GA" category didn't like it...not enough action.

- Will Hollywood get more racially diverse with their leading stars?

Hard to say. As politically correct things are getting I wouldn't be surprised if it helps non white/black actors taking the lead for most films, and that's not a bad thing of course. Hopefully this happens because being a huge fan of cinema/film I don't really care if I don't know the actor in the lead role so long as the film is good.

-If Avatar does change cinema, how will it affect the industry in the next decade?

In the next decade I predict that halfway through, or near 2020, CGI will in fact be photorealistic. Avatar isn't but it's that damn close, to where people saying it looks like a video game have no idea what they are talking about.

- Is 3D here to stay?

It will burn out eventually like it did in the past. Even with this new supposedly immersive technology they're using for Avatar, I think that will keep it going for awhile but over time it will die like it did in the past.

- Will the shakey camera go away?

It's definitely possible but every Director is different and some I'm sure will still use it years from now.

- Will we ever gonna see more original Summer movies rather than remakes and sequels?

I'm sure we'll get some here and there but this is Hollywood we're talking about here. There will always be sequels and remakes in the summer. As long as most people like the films due to big effects or action, it won't change.

 

[Watson]

I wonder if comic book films will maintain their popularity. There are a bunch still slated to come out, but in 2020 are we going to be watching SMVII?

 

[Ipodman]

Yes we will. Different director and cast i would imagine

 

[Octoberist]

Prediction: Disney has been in a big transitional stage right now, since the departure of Eisner and most recently Dick Cook, members of Pixar taking over the board and the purchase of Marvel.

Disney now wants movie likes Old Dogs to disappear. I'm predicting their live action stuff will get better in the next decade. This will ring true if Tron Legacy and John Carter of Mars are legitimately good. If Princess and the Frog is a hit, I'm expecting their new line of animated films (not by Pixar) to feature quality entertainment.

The old stigma of the Eisner Disney is still around. I'm hoping that it'll fade away once things get rolling.

 

[Sentinel X]

I think we are going to get more small budget films (ala District 9 and Paranormal Activity). Those two films will inspire directors and studios to make sleeper hits, especially PA (as much as that film annoyed me.)

I also think that with Avatar, 3D is going to be a big thing for the new decade but I dont know how long it will last.

I think comic book films will stay probably until the middle of the decade...or maybe the end, but eventually people will probably get tired of them and studios will probably take a break rather than releasing 3-4 comic book films a year

other than that who knows?

 

[Carmine Falcone]

I pondered this some time ago. It's interesting to see where the next ten years will lead the art of filmmaking. This sure has been one interesting decade.

I amused myself with the notion of Avatar being a gigantic flop, which will cause the Hollywood system to crumble like a tower and drag every planned big movie down in it's fall. It's not wishfull thinking, but it's tintillating to consider. You know....the most expensive movie ever made failing financially. It sure would make a nice contrast to the succes of cheaper films like District 9.

Call me cruel.

 

[Sentinel X]

Why would anyone want Avatar to flop? From my knowledge this is the first time Hollywood has given such a big budget for a film that wasn't based of a comic book, pre-existing franchise, tv show, or a series of books.

Avatar is a completely fresh story....if it flops studios will be terrified to take such a risk again and instead we will be getting Transformers 3 or the 20th remake of Spider-man...yay

I personally would want films like Avatar and D9 to succeed and show industries thats its okay to do something different...but thats just me.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

I'm not that fond of the story for Avatar. The story looks predictable and preachy. However, I will go see it in IMAX 3-D because I've never seen either IMAX or 3D and this movie looks like the film to see both in.

I believe the next big adaptations will be video game adaptations. Like Comic book films in the 90s, this genre went through a rough decade with few hits. I believe that directors and producers will take this genre seriously in the next decade. All it needs is one film to bring a spark to the industry.

 

[KenK]

It's all about ninjas.

 

[Rac]

2010 goes medieval!

Robin Hood, Black Death, Season of the Witch, Centurion, Solomon Kane, A Game of Thrones (HBO series). Did I forgot something?

 

[Octoberist]

I pondered this some time ago. It's interesting to see where the next ten years will lead the art of filmmaking. This sure has been one interesting decade.

I amused myself with the notion of Avatar being a gigantic flop, which will cause the Hollywood system to crumble like a tower and drag every planned big movie down in it's fall. It's not wishfull thinking, but it's tintillating to consider. You know....the most expensive movie ever made failing financially. It sure would make a nice contrast to the succes of cheaper films like District 9.

Call me cruel.

aside the from the potential sucesss of Avatar, I think that Avatar will take CGI to the next level. Since it was done mostly by WETA, and now they're doing The Hobbit, they have the software where they have created the new standard. It'll get to the point where CGI pumped movies like GI Joe or even The Matrix sequels will looked outrageously outdated.

Soon, i'll be the standard and it will hopefully spread.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Surely the ongoing success of the Twilight franchise will cause the studios to make a few Twilightish films.

Hollywood hates women more than they love money so I doubt Twilight and Sex And the City's success change things as much as the little boy movies that make tons of money.

BTW:

I love little boy movies, they are my favorites.

 

[Octoberist]

I think we are going to get more small budget films (ala District 9 and Paranormal Activity). Those two films will inspire directors and studios to make sleeper hits, especially PA (as much as that film annoyed me.)


other than that who knows?

It has begun..at least at Paramount.

Variety says that Paramount is launching an initiative that will spend $1 million annually to develop and produce microbudget films following the success of Paranormal Activity, which cost only $15,000 to make and has earned over $100 million domestically.

The plan is designed to place between 10 and 20 projects in development by the end of next year, with no individual budget exceeding $100,000.

Paramount Film Group president Adam Goodman says the funds, which will come out of the studio's overall production budget, will be targeted at both unknowns and established filmmakers, with the goal of increasing the studio's ability to find new voices and ideas.


http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=61574

 

[Octoberist]

I think comic book films will stay probably until the middle of the decade...or maybe the end, but eventually people will probably get tired of them and studios will probably take a break rather than releasing 3-4 comic book films a year

other than that who knows?

With comic book movies, I'm just afraid that The Avengers, whenever that actually comes out, will break or break the genre. Honestly, where else can you go from there? you've done it all pretty much with these characters.

I just hope that DC gets to shine before people get tired of them. However, as long as they are good movies, I can't see them disappearing anytime soon.

 

[matrix_ghost]

I was inspired to make this thread based on this piece on Film School Rejects, on the most influential movies of the past decade.

CHECK IT OUT

The 2000s, to me at least, was all over the place. But then again, it's been a crazy decade too.

It gave birth to optimism from the beginning to cynicism by the end. It gave us big franchises (Harry Potter, Lord of the Rings) in the beginning and franchises with no brain cells by the decades end (Transformers 2), reboots, the rise of indie flicks in 2003 and the near death of indie films in 2009, political and war movies, realism, and so much more.

I know that we can't predict what will happen when it comes to world events, but I would like to see what you guys like to see in the future, including changes in the industry.

For example:

-Because of the economy, will low budget hits like District 9 overcome the likes of the blockbuster Michael Bay-type films?

- Will Hollywood get more racially diverse with their leading stars?

-If Avatar does change cinema, how will it affect the industry in the next decade?

- Is 3D here to stay?

- Will the shakey camera go away?

- Will we ever gonna see more original Summer movies rather than remakes and sequels?

To answer some of you're questions Octoberist
-Because of the economy, will low budget hits like District 9 overcome the likes of the blockbuster Michael Bay-type films?
Doubt it. And it depends on how you definae a blockbuster , at least in terms of BO performance. Are we talking a domestic number of 200 million ? 300 million ? 400 million and more ?
If it's anything between 200-300 million i would say that there is a really possibility that it could happen. However the rating needs to be low enough . One could use The Hangover as an example ( it's hit like 270 million in the states right ..) however those are exceptions . Movies like Hangover , District 9 and paranormal activity have great repeat business but because they open with low numbers they'll have a hard time to go beyond 200 million.
But if you're talking about the blockbuster 300 plus million at the domestic BO , then no.Those numbers are reserved to movies that always open huge and where studios pump large amount of cash to get the audience interested. As much as i liked D9 , i felt the action was lacking. Certainly when you compare it to a brainless but nevertheless fun spectacle like 2012. The visuals of 2012 are what sold the movie .


- Will Hollywood get more racially diverse with their leading stars?
If the movie budget is low enough like Ninja Assasin , then yes. Otherwise no. Studios and producers still are afraid that the material isn't going to sell itself But honesty i think that with a movie like PoP the material does sell itself and it doesn't need high profile actors. Basically you could make a good batman movie with complete unknowns and it would still find an audience. All you need are good actors who don't struggle with their accents.


-If Avatar does change cinema, how will it affect the industry in the next decade?
Like CGI , it's all about the execution. If done right , it could be great. Otherwise what's the point. Focusing on the positive things , i think the tech. of Avatar is will help directors who have a very clear vision of their movies. They would actually prefer to shoot their movies more and more against green screens because of the control they have. Not only that but with a little luck we'll reach a point where something is so realistic , you'll just forget that you're watching at CGI.

 

[GhostPoet]

Superheroes are gonna remain big for the next few years...may even more so than they are now.

 

[jmc]

With comic book movies, I'm just afraid that The Avengers, whenever that actually comes out, will break or break the genre. Honestly, where else can you go from there? you've done it all pretty much with these characters.

I just hope that DC gets to shine before people get tired of them. However, as long as they are good movies, I can't see them disappearing anytime soon.

I actually think once Avengers comes out it will be the beginning of the end for the superhero genre, at least in terms of the amount of superhero flicks be produced.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

Surely the ongoing success of the Twilight franchise will cause the studios to make a few Twilightish films.

Hollywood hates women more than they love money so I doubt Twilight and Sex And the City's success change things as much as the little boy movies that make tons of money.

BTW:

I love little boy movies, they are my favorites.

I actually think more female-driven films will become promient by 2015. They'll be mostly drivel, but that's what boy movies are.

 

[Octoberist]

i don't mind more 'female-driven' movies.

Like what someone said, some of the people bashing Twilight are Transformers 2 fans. haha. Hell, I'm all for more Fangirls.

 

[jmc]

I'd like there to be better quality female driven films. It's gonna be a long decade if studios now think the only formula is the Twilight one.

 

[Figs]

I'd like there to be better quality female driven films. It's gonna be a long decade if studios now think the only formula is the Twilight one.

Well, much like your avy, hopefully DC/WB gets off their ass and puts out a good WW film.