2022 Midterm Thread: Red Wave or Blue Wave

It's definitely tempting to move but if you move and every other non-Republican leaves then the state will only slide further into hell and bring the US with it because those Senators and Representatives will be Republican by default.

Republican influence needs to be diluted, not concentrated.

To an extent. There are certain people in certain states who absolutely need to get the **** out now, because it is dangerous for them.
 
To an extent. There are certain people in certain states who absolutely need to get the **** out now, because it is dangerous for them.
Obviously for some people yes.
 
Oh.....so you mean they should tell the truth?

One of the main reasons Beasley lost is that while she brought up abortion, she didn’t make it a centerpiece of her campaign. And a lot of her ads were touting her fairness as a judge and how moderate she is. Which was the wrong approach— she needed to paint Budd as the MAGA Republican he was and use dumbed down rhetoric to scare independents from voting for him.

Whereas Budd and the dark money PACs painted her as “dangerously liberal” and she didn’t respond as negatively as she should’ve been. She lost by 3 points to an effing election denier.
 
It's definitely tempting to move but if you move and every other non-Republican leaves then the state will only slide further into hell and bring the US with it because those Senators and Representatives will be Republican by default.

Republican influence needs to be diluted, not concentrated.

North Carolina is a growing tech and science hub (we have Apple investing big time here!) -- and with more companies opening up manufacturing plants here in the state, it will continue to grow.

It's so frustrating that progress is so slow for NC in comparison to, say, Michigan. I really, REALLY hope grassroots groups take a cue from Michigan and go all in on negative partisanship. It's time to fight fire with fire. Nor we can't get an independent redistricting commission ballot proposal as easily as MI has.

If that happened, Berger and Moore would no longer have the stranglehold here in Raleigh because of the gerrymandering. We would likely have a split party control in the state legislature, not an almost complete R supermajority that doesn't reflect the population in the heavily metro areas like Raleigh, Charlotte, and Greensboro.
 
North Carolina is a growing tech and science hub (we have Apple investing big time here!) -- and with more companies opening up manufacturing plants here in the state, it will continue to grow.

It's so frustrating that progress is so slow for NC in comparison to, say, Michigan. I really, REALLY hope grassroots groups take a cue from Michigan and go all in on negative partisanship. It's time to fight fire with fire. Nor we can't get an independent redistricting commission ballot proposal as easily as MI has.

If that happened, Berger and Moore would no longer have the stranglehold here in Raleigh because of the gerrymandering. We would likely have a split party control in the state legislature, not an almost complete R supermajority that doesn't reflect the population in the heavily metro areas like Raleigh, Charlotte, and Greensboro.
The bottom line is that a true, working class agenda is a winning agenda. NC, TN, KY, etc. are all seeing an uptick in business and, by extension, an influx of more progressive minded people. I'm not "quite" the Pollyanna you are :cwink: (but close), but it is just a matter of time before a more progressive movement grows significantly IF we can maintain voting/union rights.

I have installed computer networks all over that area in order to service the businesses moving to those states.

DON'T LEAVE because of the political situation. It WILL get better.
 
LA Times - Karen Bass drew more votes than any mayor candidate in L.A. history
Bass took advantage of the new political landscape to drub her rival, notching a nearly 10-percentage-point margin. Nearly 928,000 Angelenos cast votes for mayor, surpassing the previous high of 856,000 in the transformative, racially polarizing race in 1969, when the white incumbent, Sam Yorty, defeated his Black challenger, Councilman Tom Bradley.

With L.A.'s population a full 1 million under the 3.8 million it is today — and the total of registered voters only half the 2.2 million of today — the 1969 race drew an astonishing 76% turnout; this year’s Bass-Caruso matchup will be about 45%, according to county election officials.
Bass made history last week when she became the first woman elected mayor in L.A.’s 241-year history. Her vote total of 508,860 as of this week is already the highest ever for the city’s top job, and is more than double the number Eric Garcetti received when he became mayor in 2013.
 
Cook Political Report National House Vote Tracker (current as of evening of November 25)
Republicans: 54.1M (50.8%) (R+3.1)
Democrats: 50.8M (47.7%)
others: 1.6M (1.5%)
TOTAL: 106.6M

See also: 1962-2020 Table

NBC News House Seat Projections +/- 2 Seats (current as of evening of November 25)
Republicans: 222 (51.0%)
Democrats: 213 (49.0%)
TOTAL: 435

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^2022 results not final / seat projections from NBC News

NBC News - Turnout was down in the 2022 midterms, but not in these key states
Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire all saw an increase in turnout from 2018.

states-with-the-largest-increase-in-midterm-turnout-2018-2022.png


In addition, the four most populous states in the nation — California, Texas, Florida and New York — all saw decreases in turnout from 2018, helping to explain why nationwide turnout was down from four years ago.
 
DON'T LEAVE because of the political situation. It WILL get better.

I’ve been contemplating leaving NC even before Trump. I was born and raised here and the state has been politically divided for decades (our state sent that nasty bigot Jesse Helms to the Senate).

I briefly thought about going to a blue city in Florida, but after the 2022 midterms, that’s out (since DeSantis makes Berger and Moore look like pikers). And the compensation they pay state legislators (plus the session scheduling) aren’t financially feasible for millennials and Gen Z’ers looking to unseat the wealthy old fogies.
 
Taniel: “Voting lines in some parts of Atlanta are *at least* three hours long today.” “A reminder that long voting lines in themselves tell you little about whether enthusiasm is sky-high, & three-hour lines aren’t something to celebrate — in this case, one thing to remember is that Georgia GOP cracked down on mail voting, including moving runoff up a month”

Taniel: “At this early point, 6% of the people who've already voted in the Georgia runoff (that's 5.1K of 82K) hadn't vote in November. 69% are them are under age 29. (A plurality is Black, 42%, though that may be driven by which counties have early voting.) https://georgiavotes.com”
 
Taniel: “Voting lines in some parts of Atlanta are *at least* three hours long today.” “A reminder that long voting lines in themselves tell you little about whether enthusiasm is sky-high, & three-hour lines aren’t something to celebrate — in this case, one thing to remember is that Georgia GOP cracked down on mail voting, including moving runoff up a month”

Taniel: “At this early point, 6% of the people who've already voted in the Georgia runoff (that's 5.1K of 82K) hadn't vote in November. 69% are them are under age 29. (A plurality is Black, 42%, though that may be driven by which counties have early voting.) https://georgiavotes.com”
At least the second part suggests good news.
 
Tom Bonier, CEO of Target Smart: “A swing of 3,340 votes from GOP to Dem in the 5 closest House races would have allowed Dems to hold the House.”
 
Tom Bonier, CEO of Target Smart: “A swing of 3,340 votes from GOP to Dem in the 5 closest House races would have allowed Dems to hold the House.”
Damn, not many at all cumulatively. :csad:
 
The ironic thing is if they do fail to certify, all those votes are disenfranchised and it would flip two Republican winners to Democrats instead.

If votes from this Republican stronghold somehow went uncounted, it could flip two races to Democrats: the contest for state superintendent and a congressional race in which Republican Juan Ciscomani already has been projected as the winner by CNN and other outlets.
:funny:
 
The ironic thing is if they do fail to certify, all those votes are disenfranchised and it would flip two Republican winners to Democrats instead.
I would LOVE that, hee hee. :p
 
It's a bad precedent to tolerate bad actors. Not just now but for the future.
 
It's a bad precedent to tolerate bad actors. Not just now but for the future.
It is and I am not tolerating them but if they continue to whine about stolen elections and actually flip seats from their own incompetence, I won't complain.
 
Alex Burness, Boltsmag: “Huge letdown election for Republicans in state legislatures: @Taniel
finds GOP picked up just 22 seats nationwide, mostly in places where partisan control was never in question. GOP failed to flip any statehouse chambers, Democrats flipped four.” In Legislative Elections, Democrats Defied Recent History - Bolts The GOP’s seat gains are minuscule by the standards of past midterms, a state-by-state analysis by Bolts finds. And only Democrats flipped chambers.

Daily Kos - The Republican House majority is the most fragile they've had in a very long time
Majority-MakingHouseDisrictbyMostRecentPresidentialMargin2008-2022.png
 
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