Ant-Man and the Wasp - Box Office Discussion

Discussion in 'Ant-Man and The Wasp' started by Ozbridge, Jun 19, 2017.

?

How much will Ant-Man and the Wasp make worldwide?

  1. Under 300M

  2. 300M-400M

  3. 400M-450M

  4. 450M-500M

  5. 500M-550M

  6. 550M-600M

  7. 600M-650M

  8. 650M-700M

  9. 700M-800M

  10. Over 800M

Multiple votes are allowed.
Results are only viewable after voting.
  1. Ozbridge

    Ozbridge Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,140
    Likes Received:
    27
    Probably a little bit early for this thread, but I want to create this because I really like the 1st one and find that this film will probably suffer the most due to the over-saturation of CBM next year. Its box office run will be fun to track if we can keep the discussion of other films' effects on it.

    We don't exactly have a CBM every other week next year (though it's close) but there're 10 CBMs with released dates:

    1. Black Panther 2/16/18
    2. New Mutants 4/13/18
    3. Avengers: Infinity War 5/4/18
    4. Deadpool 2 6/1/18
    5. The Incredibles 2 6/15/18
    6. Ant-Man and the Wasp 7/6/18
    7. Venom 10/5/18
    8. Dark Phoenix 11/2/18
    9. Animated Spider-Man 12/14/18
    10. Aquaman 12/21/18

    So before AMatW hits in mid-summer the market has already had 4 live action CBM that can accumulate over 1.1B domestic: BP 250M+, New Mutants 150M, IW 400M+, Deadpool 300M+ (all except New Mutants can make considerably more: BP can draw an under-served demo and break out with 300M+similar to WW, IW and Deadpool can totally make around 475M and 375M, respectively, that means 1.3B spent on live action CBM before AMatW).

    That hasn't mentioned The Incredibles 2, which (imo of course), if gets good review, can bring near 500M to Pixar like Dory last year (another sequel to 13-year-old 380M-adjusted childhood beloved movie). Incredibles, which is in its 4th weekend on AMatW's opening weekend, will definitely eat into the kid/ family demo of Ant-Man, which is the most kid-friendly sub-franchise in the MCU along with the GotG movies.

    Direct competition with AMatW include:
    - The Incredibles (3 weeks prior)
    - Jurassic World sequel (2 weeks prior)
    - Purge sequel (same weekend)
    - Hotel Transylvania (1 week after)
    - Mission Impossible 6 (3 weeks after)

    So obviously competition with AMatW will mostly come before release. Currently my prediction is 70M OW, 170-200M, which is surely subjected to change when we have more news and teaser/ trailers.

    Edit: About the poll options, I keep it that way so people can put a closer-range prediction which is more meaningful, and I find it hard for the film to make outside of the 300M-800M range. If some want 200M-300M, 800M-900M etc added I will ask mod to edit it.
     
    #1
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2017
  2. KevTravels

    KevTravels Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 15, 2017
    Messages:
    4,309
    Likes Received:
    32
    No less than 600 million. 660 million IMO with an opening weekend of 70 million (in the USA)
     
    #2
  3. Kev4000

    Kev4000 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2016
    Messages:
    941
    Likes Received:
    9
    I agree with 625.
     
    #3
  4. NHawk19

    NHawk19 insert witty comment

    Joined:
    Apr 6, 2005
    Messages:
    4,961
    Likes Received:
    17
    I'm going 700. IFW is a heck of a lead in.

    Also I might bump it to August to capitalize on the time between August & November when competition from the other blockbusters has died down.
     
    #4
  5. SomeOldGuy

    SomeOldGuy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2014
    Messages:
    2,691
    Likes Received:
    27
    I’ll go with 600-650.
     
    #5
  6. Webfoot Hero

    Webfoot Hero West Coaster

    Joined:
    Mar 28, 2012
    Messages:
    11,073
    Likes Received:
    35
    I'll go with $650-700 million with it increasing due to it leading out from IW.
     
    #6
  7. Kuwolski

    Kuwolski g r u n t - m a n

    Joined:
    Dec 31, 2017
    Messages:
    1,145
    Likes Received:
    56
    The first film was well received by audiences and had a terrific multiplier. It would have likely received a boost anyway.

    I can't say how much though, but 600 -700 m seems realistic before seeing a trailer.
     
    #7
  8. KevTravels

    KevTravels Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 15, 2017
    Messages:
    4,309
    Likes Received:
    32
    No less than $600 million. Probably 650. Maybe even 700 million due to coming 2 months after Infinity War.

    An opening weekend of $80-85 million domestically.
     
    #8
  9. Dyson

    Dyson Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 6, 2012
    Messages:
    704
    Likes Received:
    0
    Opening weekend in North America - $70 - 75 million

    Overall:
    North America - $225 - 245 million
    International - $415 - 430 million
    Worldwide - $640 - 675 million
     
    #9
  10. Ozbridge

    Ozbridge Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,140
    Likes Received:
    27
    Bump, as we now have trailer.

    I vote for 600-650M, in the same ballpark as Doctor Strange.
     
    #10
  11. Silver Surfer

    Silver Surfer Power Cosmic

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2004
    Messages:
    2,763
    Likes Received:
    34
    Just beat Justice League, sweet justice after Snyder's comments back in the day.
     
    #11
  12. Webfoot Hero

    Webfoot Hero West Coaster

    Joined:
    Mar 28, 2012
    Messages:
    11,073
    Likes Received:
    35
    I'd take that.
     
    #12
  13. m2k

    m2k Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2017
    Messages:
    294
    Likes Received:
    5
    Mcu fan base is steadily growing I feel particularly the past couple of years and will reach it's peak naturally around IW.
    I can see this and subsequent smaller event/scale movies reaping the benefits of this increased fan base. I say 700 is doable.. unless it misses the mark critically, in which case, it should still do fine really.
     
    #13
  14. Vincanws

    Vincanws Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2014
    Messages:
    354
    Likes Received:
    0
    Off back of Black Panther and Infinity War this will make over $800M
     
    #14
  15. ultradog

    ultradog Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2017
    Messages:
    226
    Likes Received:
    0
    I think Doctor Strange numbers are a good minimum target: $232M Dom, $677M OS. That's a good bump from Ant-Man - plus beats JL :)

    But with the growing popularity of the MCU, coming off of IW, and also introducing a new exciting female superhero, I think it will beat $800M.
     
    #15
  16. Fallen

    Fallen Then I'll take it off your corpse!

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2018
    Messages:
    768
    Likes Received:
    58
    $658M :hehe:.

    My prediction: 600M-650M.
     
    #16
  17. KevTravels

    KevTravels Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 15, 2017
    Messages:
    4,309
    Likes Received:
    32
    That might be too low. I'm pegging 750
     
    #17
  18. Mightiest Mortal

    Mightiest Mortal World's Mightiest Mortal

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2016
    Messages:
    975
    Likes Received:
    35
    I think it will easily top $700 M. Of course, it will beat JL.:sly:
     
    #18
  19. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus well-known Mutant

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2004
    Messages:
    36,566
    Likes Received:
    187
    Jl set the bar pretty low.
     
    #19
  20. KevTravels

    KevTravels Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 15, 2017
    Messages:
    4,309
    Likes Received:
    32
    I worry about the success of this domestically. I'm sure worldwide it will reach 700 million, but domestic I worry it may not clear 200 million.
     
    #20
  21. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus well-known Mutant

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2004
    Messages:
    36,566
    Likes Received:
    187
    It should easily gross over $200 million in the United States.
     
    #21
  22. harlequinade

    harlequinade Little Mermaid

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2016
    Messages:
    12,324
    Likes Received:
    354
    They better move the release up to July 6th everywhere. Releasing this a month later in some countries is insane. These days movies appear online so freaking fast, so nevermind the problem with asking people to wait, crucial scenes will be spoiled to people before they see the movie.

    Also that championship ends mid July, what is the reasoning for postponing it to August? Ridiculous.
     
    #22
  23. -JKR-

    -JKR- Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2008
    Messages:
    3,668
    Likes Received:
    69
    Hasn't been a problem with lots of other movies being released one or two months later in other countries.

    People will show up regardless if they're interested.
     
    #23
  24. Spider-Aziz

    Spider-Aziz Raul Boston's Dish Gaunt

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2010
    Messages:
    75,652
    Likes Received:
    710
    I voted for the $650-700 million.
     
    #24
  25. harlequinade

    harlequinade Little Mermaid

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2016
    Messages:
    12,324
    Likes Received:
    354
    When? It's not early 00s :)
     
    #25

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "afb8e5d7348ab9e99f73cba908f10802"