Aquaman Box Office Thread

Discussion in 'Aquaman' started by writer0327, Dec 23, 2017.

?

What will Aquaman's worldwide box office be?

  1. Over $900M

  2. $800-900M

  3. $700-800M

  4. $600-700M

  5. $500-600M

  6. Under $500M

Multiple votes are allowed.
Results are only viewable after voting.
  1. NHawk19

    NHawk19 insert witty comment

    Joined:
    Apr 6, 2005
    Messages:
    4,933
    Likes Received:
    11
    DC's edgy designs haven't gone over well. It has no really good will, or momentum going in to it. He wasn't a stand-out in JL. It has decent competition.

    I'm going 500M WW.
     
    #51
  2. nyyarod

    nyyarod yippee ki-yay mf!

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2010
    Messages:
    1,921
    Likes Received:
    1
    I'm also going with 500M.
     
    #52
  3. TheScarecrow

    TheScarecrow Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 14, 2004
    Messages:
    1,716
    Likes Received:
    0
    I don't think it needs to outgross JL to do that, although it would help.

    What it needs is a solid reception and to show that a sequel can generate excitement - think Batman Begins, which did not make much money at all.
     
    #53
  4. Milk Tray Guy

    Milk Tray Guy 70s Man of Action

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2017
    Messages:
    8,453
    Likes Received:
    60
    I would be very happy with that state of affairs.
     
    #54
  5. Creo

    Creo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2012
    Messages:
    252
    Likes Received:
    0
    Around $400 million. There's not a lot of good will for the DCEU, Aquaman isn't terribly well known (outside of being the butt of a number of Family Guy jokes), and is releasing against too many other movies.
     
    #55
  6. JOE

    JOE _________________________

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2012
    Messages:
    13,511
    Likes Received:
    5
    I'm thinking JL's numbers at best unless the reviews are RAVING and the word gets around quick. Otherwise I can see this landing under 600M unfortunately.
     
    #56
  7. harlequinade

    harlequinade Little Mermaid

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2016
    Messages:
    11,834
    Likes Received:
    93
    Hopefully at least 500 mil but next promos will have to wow the audience


    Nanny's second trailer coming very soon....
     
    #57
  8. OzzMosiz

    OzzMosiz Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2004
    Messages:
    1,539
    Likes Received:
    0
    $140m US
    $230m Rest of world

    $370m worldwide.
     
    #58
  9. Micromind

    Micromind New World New Rules

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2009
    Messages:
    17,585
    Likes Received:
    101
    250 mil. in US, 400 mil overseas, 650 mil worldwide.
     
    #59
  10. seriesofdreams

    seriesofdreams Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2015
    Messages:
    178
    Likes Received:
    0
    As it stands, Aquaman is opening the week of Mary Poppins Returns and the same weekend as Bumblebee and Battle Angel. That's potentially rough competition along with holdover and the usual awards contenders.

    I'll cautiously stick with $200 DOM and $675M Overall.
     
    #60
  11. unholyrevenger

    unholyrevenger DC is Doomed by its fans

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2018
    Messages:
    237
    Likes Received:
    0
    It'll do Non-Tony Stark MCU Numbers at best.
     
    #61
  12. marcvader

    marcvader Lurker #1

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2006
    Messages:
    13,122
    Likes Received:
    4
    I'm going optimistic and overestimating to $700.
     
    #62
  13. Juan1193

    Juan1193 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2012
    Messages:
    1,868
    Likes Received:
    9
    I'm getting strong Wonder Woman vibes from these Aquaman box office predictions. I'll go ahead and predict it'll land in the 700M range.

    As for competition, well Poppins is a nobody in Latin America/Asia, Transformers is in as bad a place (arguably worse place than DC Films), and the other two films have ZERO hype what so ever.
     
    #63
  14. Juan1193

    Juan1193 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2012
    Messages:
    1,868
    Likes Received:
    9
    Only $700? Lol That would make it the biggest flop in Hollywood history :o
     
    #64
  15. Iceman

    Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2005
    Messages:
    119,239
    Likes Received:
    302
    Yeah, no need for all those films to open so close to each other. They will all be competing for screens on their debut.
     
    #65
  16. Finarfiniel

    Finarfiniel Merciless Queen of the Dread Dimension Death

    Joined:
    May 29, 2016
    Messages:
    2,006
    Likes Received:
    23
    That's a bit of a broad statement. Black Panther is a non-Stark MCU movie and made over a billion. GotG 2 and Thor: Ragnarok are both non-Stark MCU movies and made in the $800-$900 million range. I don't see Aquaman making anywhere close to those numbers, I'm thinking it'll be more in the $550-$650 million range, mostly because of the sheer volume of competition it's up against. If it's really good and gets excellent reviews and WOM, maybe it could breach the $700 million mark.
     
    #66
  17. Juan1193

    Juan1193 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2012
    Messages:
    1,868
    Likes Received:
    9
    Both of those films are sequels. Black Panther is the only outlier in an otherwise stable MCU box office trend.

    DCEU has no trend though. Their box office is all over the place ( 2 in 600M range, 2 in 800M range, and another in the 700M range).
     
    #67
  18. seriesofdreams

    seriesofdreams Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2015
    Messages:
    178
    Likes Received:
    0
    On point with Black Panther althought it's odd you mentioned GOTG Vol. 2. GOTG Vol. 1, however, is also not a sequel. The non-Stark MCU movie statement was broad and I really don't see it touching the movies you mentioned. Guardians 1 is possible, though ($775M still a tall order).


    The reported budget of $160M is actually quite good for Aquaman. If that's the case and there isn't any additional CGI tweakings, then a $600M-$700M would be quite a win. Quite the win especially if it receives good reviews. I'm optimistic as of now.
     
    #68
  19. Greenlite

    Greenlite is a real person

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2016
    Messages:
    6,337
    Likes Received:
    19
    If its budget is 150M then break-even (Deadline calculation method) would be like 450M rougly so anything over 500M is a good result for AM. 600M-700M would be cherry on top.

    Anyone know what happened the last time 3 blockbuster/family affairs clash in the same week during Christmas period?

    The legs should be quite good for everyone unless it critically bombs and I can see AM having a much higher non-US intake/OS intake overall, it could be the type of movie OS audiences like - family adventure/treasure hunt/fantasy, they need to market it right in different regions
     
    #69
  20. Iceman

    Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2005
    Messages:
    119,239
    Likes Received:
    302
    The Stark Iron Man movies also didn’t make anywhere close to a billion (even if adjusted) without an Avengers boost. More importantly Iron Man 2 made about the same as IM 1. Iron Man is not a franchise like Avengers that can make $1.4B with a middling entry and $2B when everything comes together. Stark is the star but without that Avengers boost he wasn’t tracking for huge overseas numbers, just very good domestic.
     
    #70
  21. -VisionsVision-

    -VisionsVision- Geralt of Rivia

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2015
    Messages:
    16,355
    Likes Received:
    59
  22. Finarfiniel

    Finarfiniel Merciless Queen of the Dread Dimension Death

    Joined:
    May 29, 2016
    Messages:
    2,006
    Likes Received:
    23
    That's exactly what I meant. The poster I was replying to never mentioned whether he/she was referring to first movies or sequels, they simply said that Aquaman should do as well as a non-Stark MCU movie. I was just pointing out that was a rather broad statement to make, considering that three very recent non-Stark MCU movies have made in the $800 million to $1 billion + range. I totally agree that it's faulty to compare Aquaman to a sequel in an already established and successful franchise, but that's not the point I was making.
     
    #72
  23. seriesofdreams

    seriesofdreams Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2015
    Messages:
    178
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ah, I see your point now. Thanks for elaborating.
     
    #73
  24. writer0327

    writer0327 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,102
    Likes Received:
    3
    I'm adjusting my prediction to $750M ww. I think Christmas releases are the thing now.
     
    #74
  25. m1ll3r

    m1ll3r Failed experiment

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2016
    Messages:
    5,924
    Likes Received:
    85
    If (and it’s a big if) the reports from test screenings are in any way accurate, Aquaman is looking to be a good, but not great, movie. So, lets take another ‘good, not great’ comic book movie from this year - Antman and The Wasp - and see if we can extrapolate anything from that movie’s box office.

    AATW took 545 million worldwide. It came off the back of Infinity War, Antman’s appearance in Civil War, and his own successful first movie.

    Aquaman will come off the back of Justice League, which performed badly, and Aquaman’s first appearance in the maligned Batman V Superman.

    If Aquaman is good, not great - and given the horrible track record of the films that came before it - I’m thinking it’s WW box office ceiling is 450-475 million at the most. It won’t have the goodwill that drove AATW to plus 500 million - and in fact it will suffer from its association with the previous DCEU movies, so that estimate feels about right to me.
     
    #75

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "afb8e5d7348ab9e99f73cba908f10802"