Rise of the Silver Surfer BOX OFFICE Discussion

[GL's Light]

This movie should have better legs for only one reason. Its better than the first one. People will use that to tell their friends to go see it.

Even if it's better than the first one it probably won't have better legs. X-Men 2 was better than X-Men 1, yet it had weaker legs. Sequels often open bigger and fall off faster, even if they're better films.

 

[coreymb16]

This movie should have better legs for only one reason. Its better than the first one. People will use that to tell their friends to go see it.

And I know you know it because you've seen the film.

 

[cookiva]

The general public honestly didnt care that much for FF, but i also think the surfer will attract people.

Seriously, dont underestimate how much better FF2 is to FF1.

 

[coreymb16]

cookiva, what your prediction for this movie opening weekend, domestically, and worldwide?

 

[cookiva]

I see it at 85-90 mil first weekend, with final domestic at 175-185mil. Worldwide is usually difficult for me to predict, so i wont even pretend to attepmt it!

 

[GL's Light]

I see it at 85-90 mil first weekend, with final domestic at 175-185mil. Worldwide is usually difficult for me to predict, so i wont even pretend to attepmt it!

Your prediction is actually that it'll have much weaker legs than FF 1. Bigger opening, weaker legs.

 

[cookiva]

You are right. I meant to say in my first post i wish it has better legs. My bad.

 

[coreymb16]

Do you think FF2 will dominant Evan Almighty second weekend or will FF2 fall short to the comedy?

 

[cookiva]

Evan Almighty is my bust of the summer pick. I dont see how that looks funny. I like Carrell, but jeez it looks stupid.

 

[Downhere]

Everyone is underestimating Evan Almighty, I think it will affect F4-2 more than people think. It's a live action family film and there hasn't been one for a while, it should do decent business and possibly another 100+ million dollar summer film.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I've been wrong on just about the whole summer but I still don't think Evan Almighty is going to make back that 175 million dollar budget. The most I see for it is like 120mil. Jim Carrey is a far bigger star than SC. The Office's ratings are in the dump and I'm not going to call him a draw after one 100 million dollar movie that had a killer premise. The drop is going to be huge from the first one because lets face facts, the star is gone. I do believe people are overpredicting it and Oceans 13. I think FF2 is going to hurt it's self more than some sequel without it's star. coughsonofthemaskcough!

 

[Carp Man]

Well. Looks like nothing has changed in 2 years. Still lots of negatives out there. Guess you'll just have to be shown again. 200 domeatic, 400 WW at least. 80 opening. Pickle-El, keep bringing up the rear. You were behind on the 1st movie, and you may be there again. The Thing 2005 has spoken. I see only 70 have voted. I know we have more than 70 who come here, so comeon, put your meat on da table. Cast a vote. Be counted.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Our sister site Coming Soon is ramping up for next week:

The 20th Century Fox action sequel Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer will be next week's clear victor with an amount surpassing $60 million, while I'm not confident that Warner Bros.' update of Nancy Drew will be able to bring in that many teen and 'tween girls with its rather unknown star Emma Roberts.

http://www.comingsoon.net/blog/2007/06/ww_68_update_and_615_preview.php#more

 

[Advanced Dark]

^ I say 70 million is in the bag. How can it not be unless Ocean's 13 holdovers are tremendous. I doubt that.

 

[GL's Light]

For comparison purposes, here are the current Top 5 June openings:

1. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004) - $ 93.687 million
2. Hulk (2003) - $ 62.128 million
3. Cars (2006) - $ 60.119 million
4. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me (1999) - $ 54.917 million
5. Scooby-Doo (2002) - $ 54.155 million

 

[coreymb16]

Can every put their prediction for the top 5 movies for next week(6/17)
Here's mine:
1. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 89.7 mil
2. Ocean Thirteen - 25.5 mil
3. Surf's Up - 24.2 mil
4. Nancy Drew - 14.8 mil
5. Hostel Part II - 13.9 mil

 

[highguard]

Now I know how expectant fathers feel. I am biting my nails, Hoping for a real big opening, lol.

[Edit] ^^ hahahahah somehow when I reread my own line it sounded kinda funny. I think the mother would be happy with a much smaller delivery, lol.

 

[Kelly]

Nope, the first time around....I felt the same way....


This time, I'm enjoying the run up to the movie....and looking for an enjoyable summer night in a few days....

 

[Hunter Rider]

Oceans 13 has gotten a lot of good reviews and may retain some of the teenage demo with FF2 being promoted as a PG family movie.I still think between $65-70M opening.

 

[Kelly]

Oceans 13 has gotten a lot of good reviews and may retain some of the teenage demo with FF2 being promoted as a PG family movie.I still think between $65-70M opening.

I think it would come near pulling the single adults more than the teenagers....and single adults don't necessarily do repeat visits of movies....so may it pull some, sure.....but I'm not that worried about it. They'll see it this weekend.....and I doubt they will do a repeat visit.

 

[GL's Light]

Can every put their prediction for the top 5 movies for next week(6/17)
Here's mine:
1. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 89.7 mil
2. Ocean Thirteen - 25.5 mil
3. Surf's Up - 24.2 mil
4. Nancy Drew - 14.8 mil
5. Hostel Part II - 13.9 mil

Your numbers for Surf's Up and Hostel Part II are more likely to be their opening take this weekend than what they'll make in their second weekend.

I think next weekend will look something like this:

1. Fantastic Four 2 - $ 65-70 million.
2. Ocean's 13 - $ 20-25 million.
3. Surf's Up - $ 15-17 million.
4. Nancy Drew - $ 14-16 million.
5. Knocked Up - $ 12-14 million.

Edit to add: Knocked Up will probably hold up really well, probably displacing Pirates 3. I've edited to reflect that.

 

[Fanticon]

I think Knocked Up won't budge this weekend. I think it'll make another 30m. Oceans will flop and make only 27m. Hostel 2, 10 or 16m...Surfs Up, its a tough call...I'd like to say above 30m, but theres too many Family/Kids oriented stuff out right now, Shrek and Pirates3 are gonna dig into Surf's Up potential.

Next week...I absolutely think FF2 will hit 80-90m opening...ocean's pirates shrek will all start to fizzle. Nancy Drew...8m.

 

[Carp Man]

Oceans 13 has gotten a lot of good reviews and may retain some of the teenage demo with FF2 being promoted as a PG family movie.I still think between $65-70M opening.

I guess you haven't seen the latest. Oceans 13 had 12 million Friday, and a 34.3 million weekend projected. So as I said forget Oceans 13. FF rules at da box office next weekend. Oceans 13 is weak, Pirates is weak, same with Shrek, and Spider-Man. Look for everything to go in the toilet next weekend. The Surfers comming. I said 80 and sticking with that. I'll be chipping in my $ 6.25 on Friday. Need 12.2 million people to see it to make it happen. 4.1 million average a day, 4,000 theaters, 1,025 per theater, per day. 10 showings a day is 102.5 people per showing. When you break it down, you see it's not that hard.

 

[Kelly]

1. Fantastic Four 2 - $ 60 -- 67 million.
2. Ocean's 13 - $ 15 -- 19 million
3. Surf's Up - $ 15 -- 20 million.
4. Nancy Drew - $ 10 -- 15 million.
5. Knocked Up - $ 10 -- 13 million.

I'm horrible at this kind of thing, but what the hell.......

 

[Carp Man]

1. Fantastic Four 2 $ 80 million.
2. Who Cares
3. Who Cares
4. Who Cares
5. Who Cares.
6 thru 10 WHO CARES.



FF gets theirs, and every other movie can pick over the carcus.